COVID-19 Online Forecast The whole world Statistics Forum


The whole world / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 09.08.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 09-08-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-03-12 to 08-08-2020
a=123.92651626225 / b=5699491.0755 / c=0.00024052291828832

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-1235906910.98616917171658.27
2020-3-1347105211.17117926065319.2
2020-3-1457937211.28218986164298.74
2020-3-1568647011.36820099165252.11
2020-3-1679840311.49721267161396.48
2020-3-17811069311.61522492258012.62
2020-3-18912690711.75123776451687.17
2020-3-191015208211.93225121839121.78
2020-3-201117776712.08826530728884.54
2020-3-211220410212.22628005020596.98
2020-3-221322960612.34429547114682.44
2020-3-231426938512.5043115915716.98
2020-3-241529863612.6073284322703.23
2020-3-251634089112.73934601775.95
2020-3-261739240312.883643682156.94
2020-3-271844450013.0053835089699.74
2020-3-281949995413.12240345923078.11
2020-3-292054658413.21142424535278.7
2020-3-302159160213.29144588647619.84
2020-3-312264964913.38446840670129.13
2020-4-12370518913.46649182692559.77
2020-4-22476322213.545516170118245.07
2020-4-32582492213.623541457148399.17
2020-4-42687908413.687567711170778.67
2020-4-52793187313.745594951190799.17
2020-4-62898206713.797623198206654.15
2020-4-729102757313.843652472215641.19
2020-4-830107583513.889682793226248.69
2020-4-931112944613.937714180241459.31
2020-4-1032118791513.988746650260784.04
2020-4-1133123246614.025780221262137.81
2020-4-1234130405714.081814909293610.17
2020-4-1335134073814.109850730282237.3
2020-4-1436137853514.137887698271399.05
2020-4-1537141433214.162925827257754.57
2020-4-1638147285514.203965130267097.66
2020-4-1739152550714.2381005617268774.74
2020-4-1840156901514.2661047299259893.87
2020-4-1941161324714.2941090184250961.25
2020-4-2042165913114.3221134280242857.62
2020-4-2143169236514.3421179591222905.1
2020-4-2244173192614.3651226122208655.38
2020-4-2345178526514.3951273876205293.19
2020-4-2446181544814.4121322853183428.46
2020-4-2547186698314.441373053177681.62
2020-4-2648190740114.4611424472163723.53
2020-4-2749194366014.481477106147363.63
2020-4-2850197920914.4981530949131249.87
2020-4-2951200729114.5121585990111913.44
2020-4-3052202001814.519164222186912.87
2020-5-153206362114.54169962777952.94
2020-5-254209895714.557175819566044.29
2020-5-355214078114.577181790557345.41
2020-5-456217864714.594187874047874.74
2020-5-557221621314.611194067639120.58
2020-5-658225365614.628200369031183.8
2020-5-759229784814.647206775525603.77
2020-5-860234722714.669213284321548.84
2020-5-961237524914.681219892114139.34
2020-5-1062241432014.69722659569714.05
2020-5-1163244009214.70823339124830.54
2020-5-1264248108914.72424027502554.14
2020-5-1365250476814.7342472428423
2020-5-1466255686314.754254290376.63
2020-5-1567259998714.771261413076.52
2020-5-1668263465314.7842686059983.83
2020-5-1769266893214.79727586402917.23
2020-5-1870270100514.80928318196042.95
2020-5-1971274050514.82429055429374.31
2020-5-2072277971014.838297975113429.46
2020-5-2173282998214.856305438516486.7
2020-5-2274282294314.853312938230007.6
2020-5-2375286926314.87320467935106.28
2020-5-2476290600314.882328021042689.67
2020-5-2577292805514.89335590654547.63
2020-5-2678296115014.901343169764520.63
2020-5-2779299513514.912350751374848.39
2020-5-2880304288114.928358327981498.25
2020-5-2981308195914.941365892290979.5
2020-5-3082314516914.961373436592961.47
2020-5-3183317351414.973809530106185.43
2020-6-184321075314.9823884339116807.09
2020-6-285322263414.9863958712136865.59
2020-6-386325726014.9964032569149062.47
2020-6-487330900015.0124105828154642.63
2020-6-588336595415.0294178408157974.6
2020-6-689342581515.0474250226159910.07
2020-6-790348027115.0634321199163649.08
2020-6-891342714715.0474391244211667.51
2020-6-992346430915.0584460278222397.74
2020-6-1093351396115.0724528219227179.99
2020-6-1194356141315.0864594984232486.19
2020-6-1295360650415.0984660491238363.23
2020-6-1396365227715.1114724659243404.48
2020-6-1497371158115.1274787406241759.36
2020-6-1598374758615.1374848654250038.67
2020-6-1699378440715.1464908323257356.47
2020-6-17100380235715.1514966338272807.03
2020-6-18101385618515.1655022621270889.2
2020-6-19102393578615.1865077099256563.2
2020-6-20103397334315.1955129700260670.78
2020-6-21104402922715.2095180354255792.06
2020-6-22105407132315.2195228991256301.15
2020-6-23106412731115.2335275547249916.59
2020-6-24107417751715.2455319957245334.89
2020-6-25108425787715.2645362162227416.84
2020-6-26109433774215.2835402102209707.72
2020-6-27110440505015.2985439722196801.68
2020-6-28111447455315.3145474969182801.68
2020-6-29112453441415.3275507795172023.77
2020-6-30113458576715.3385538153163780.25
2020-7-1114468247215.3595566000140248.44
2020-7-2115460019215.3425591297175681.96
2020-7-3116468884915.3615614008152461.36
2020-7-4117468230115.3595634099160792.54
2020-7-5118474209015.3725651544146350.67
2020-7-6119478199815.385666316138011.92
2020-7-7120484168115.3935678394123290.17
2020-7-8121489018515.4035687762111841.83
2020-7-9122497841815.421569440590024.86
2020-7-10123506627315.438569831470104.3
2020-7-11124515178115.455569948352632.53
2020-7-12125522877715.47569791138625.95
2020-7-13126527740315.479569360030423.67
2020-7-14127535114815.493568655619783.27
2020-7-15128541697415.505567678911891.23
2020-7-16129551146215.52256643134124.72
2020-7-17130556331015.53256491471304.28
2020-7-18131564434415.546563131230.16
2020-7-19132576705515.56856108334349.63
2020-7-20133581065415.57555877408892.72
2020-7-21134586337415.584556206716322.33
2020-7-22135596047215.601553384832889.91
2020-7-23136606309115.618550312456978.9
2020-7-24137610880215.625546994074615.89
2020-7-25138613943815.63543434091485.28
2020-7-26139620857715.6415396376122243.1
2020-7-27140626022515.655356100152618.81
2020-7-28141633230315.6615313567195315.32
2020-7-29142641310815.6745268838248508.95
2020-7-30143646521415.6825221972295989.64
2020-7-31144655053115.6955173034366805.39
2020-8-1145661125915.7045122090432952.7
2020-8-2146669910315.7175069209524056.9
2020-8-3147667481215.7145014460549763.07
2020-8-4148670470715.7184957918615433.63
2020-8-5149674725415.7254899656696705.55
2020-8-6150683680815.7384839749824059.46
2020-8-7151691878515.754778276958876.21
2020-8-8152697161615.75747153151079650.23
2020-8-9153046509460
2020-8-10154045852490
2020-8-11155045183060
2020-8-12156044501990
2020-8-13157043810110
2020-8-14158043108240
2020-8-15159042397220
2020-8-16160041677870
2020-8-17161040951020
2020-8-18162040217500
2020-8-19163039478120
2020-8-20164038733700
2020-8-21165037985030
2020-8-22166037232930
2020-8-23167036478160
2020-8-24168035721500
2020-8-25169034963720
2020-8-26170034205550
2020-8-27171033447730
2020-8-28172032690970
2020-8-29173031935970
2020-8-30174031183400
2020-8-31175030433910
2020-9-1176029688160
2020-9-2177028946760
2020-9-3178028210290
2020-9-4179027479340
2020-9-5180026754460
2020-9-6181026036170
2020-9-7182025324980
2020-9-8183024621370
2020-9-9184023925790
2020-9-10185023238690
2020-9-11186022560460
2020-9-12187021891490
2020-9-13188021232140
2020-9-14189020582750
2020-9-15190019943630
2020-9-16191019315050
2020-9-17192018697290
2020-9-18193018090590
2020-9-19194017495150
2020-9-20195016911170
2020-9-21196016338830
2020-9-22197015778260
2020-9-23198015229600
2020-9-24199014692950
2020-9-25200014168390
2020-9-26201013655990
2020-9-27202013155790
2020-9-28203012667810
2020-9-29204012192070
2020-9-30205011728550
2020-10-1206011277230
2020-10-2207010838060
2020-10-3208010410980
2020-10-420909995920
2020-10-521009592800
2020-10-621109201500
2020-10-721208821920
2020-10-821308453930
2020-10-921408097400
2020-10-1021507752170
2020-10-1121607418090
2020-10-1221707095000
2020-10-1321806782710
2020-10-1421906481050
2020-10-1522006189830
2020-10-1622105908850
2020-10-1722205637910
2020-10-1822305376810
2020-10-1922405125330
2020-10-2022504883270
2020-10-2122604650400
2020-10-2222704426510
2020-10-2322804211370
2020-10-2422904004760
2020-10-2523003806450
2020-10-2623103616220
2020-10-2723203433850
2020-10-2823303259110
2020-10-2923403091770
2020-10-3023502931610
2020-10-3123602778410
Goodness of fit x2 = 23226366.77
Today = 09-08-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-03-12 to 08-08-2020
a=6.0527058091693 / b=1912145367.5288 / c=0.80113656082487

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-12215906910.98664689488.29
2020-3-13227105211.17177135479.81
2020-3-14237937211.282909641477.39
2020-3-15248647011.3681062073667.87
2020-3-16259840311.4971228864877.93
2020-3-172611069311.6151410186521.37
2020-3-182712690711.7511606137073.64
2020-3-192815208211.9321816744820.33
2020-3-202917776712.0882042003421.81
2020-3-213020410212.2262281832541.49
2020-3-223122960612.3442536112272.31
2020-3-233226938512.504280469438.04
2020-3-243329863612.607308734330.34
2020-3-253434089112.73933838518.55
2020-3-263539240312.883693931433.22
2020-3-273644450013.0054017304553.42
2020-3-283749995413.1224353629582.9
2020-3-293854658413.21147025612388.7
2020-3-303959160213.29150637514344.04
2020-3-314064964913.38454368220653.24
2020-4-14170518913.46658213826010.04
2020-4-24276322213.54562170232214.47
2020-4-34382492213.62366233339911.83
2020-4-44487908413.68770399043548.32
2020-4-54593187313.74574663145958.94
2020-4-64698206713.79779021346579.57
2020-4-747102757313.84383469344570.11
2020-4-848107583513.88988002943566.24
2020-4-949112944613.93792617944610.43
2020-4-1050118791513.98897309947421.14
2020-4-1151123246614.025102074943912.83
2020-4-1252130405714.081106908551643.64
2020-4-1353134073814.109111806844345.95
2020-4-1454137853514.137116765638084.72
2020-4-1555141433214.162121780931713.58
2020-4-1656147285514.203126848832925.46
2020-4-1757152550714.238131965532110.62
2020-4-1858156901514.266137127128515.62
2020-4-1959161324714.294142329925349.67
2020-4-2060165913114.322147570322799.81
2020-4-2161169236514.342152844717579.22
2020-4-2262173192614.365158149714308.38
2020-4-2363178526514.395163481913844.8
2020-4-2464181544814.41216883809563.02
2020-4-2565186698314.4417421498944.97
2020-4-2666190740114.46117960936897.95
2020-4-2767194366014.4818501834722.71
2020-4-2868197920914.49819043892939.48
2020-4-2969200729114.51219586841206.23
2020-4-3070202001814.519201303924.19
2020-5-171206362114.5420674277.01
2020-5-272209895714.5572121824246.45
2020-5-373214078114.5772176204576.61
2020-5-474217864714.59422305431207.43
2020-5-575221621314.61122848182059.98
2020-5-676225365614.62823390063114.45
2020-5-777229784814.64723930863790.27
2020-5-878234722714.66924470384071.17
2020-5-979237524914.68125008416307.23
2020-5-1080241432014.69725544757689.89
2020-5-1181244009214.708260792410800.78
2020-5-1282248108914.724266116812185.82
2020-5-1383250476814.734271419116158.82
2020-5-1484255686314.754276697715955.29
2020-5-1585259998714.771281950917091.72
2020-5-1686263465314.784287177419579.1
2020-5-1787266893214.797292375722209.83
2020-5-1888270100514.809297544525312.97
2020-5-1989274050514.824302682327083.97
2020-5-2090277971014.838307788128885.52
2020-5-2191282998214.856312860628503.59
2020-5-2292282294314.853317898739876.73
2020-5-2393286926314.87322901340080.56
2020-5-2494290600314.882327867542360.06
2020-5-2595292805514.89332796348055.38
2020-5-2696296115014.901337686751177.9
2020-5-2797299513514.912342537954040.92
2020-5-2898304288114.928347349253383.22
2020-5-2999308195914.941352119754791.14
2020-5-30100314516914.961356848750217.02
2020-5-31101317351414.97361535653998.84
2020-6-1102321075314.982366179855557.86
2020-6-2103322263414.986370780563485.45
2020-6-3104325726014.996375337465575.56
2020-6-4105330900015.012379849963080.01
2020-6-5106336595415.029384317459258.21
2020-6-6107342581515.047388739754807.4
2020-6-7108348027115.063393116251715.75
2020-6-8109342714715.047397446675370.78
2020-6-9110346430915.058401730676122.17
2020-6-10111351396115.072405967873357.5
2020-6-11112356141315.086410158171138.8
2020-6-12113360650415.098414301069475.91
2020-6-13114365227715.111418396567565.73
2020-6-14115371158115.127422444362263.36
2020-6-15116374758615.137426444362643.92
2020-6-16117378440715.146430396362718.61
2020-6-17118380235715.151434300267302.99
2020-6-18119385618515.165438155862995.33
2020-6-19120393578615.186441963352970.03
2020-6-20121397334315.195445722452530.69
2020-6-21122402922715.209449433148132.3
2020-6-22123407132315.219453095546626.46
2020-6-23124412731115.233456709642348.84
2020-6-24125417751715.245460275339286.55
2020-6-25126425787715.264463792831142.99
2020-6-26127433774215.283467262024000.16
2020-6-27128440505015.298470683119348.91
2020-6-28129447455315.314474056114926.65
2020-6-29130453441415.327477381212005.45
2020-6-30131458576715.338480658510144.58
2020-7-1132468247215.35948388815055.68
2020-7-2133460019215.342487070115023.58
2020-7-3134468884915.36149020479272.41
2020-7-4135468230115.359493292212733.03
2020-7-5136474209015.37249633269861.43
2020-7-6137478199815.3849932618938.53
2020-7-7138484168115.39350227316526.16
2020-7-8139489018515.40350517365166.29
2020-7-9140497841815.42150802782042.34
2020-7-10141506627315.4385108362346.78
2020-7-11142515178115.455513598748.56
2020-7-12143522877715.475163158833.94
2020-7-13144527740315.47951898771476.09
2020-7-14145535114815.49352161463494.05
2020-7-15146541697415.50552419675842.68
2020-7-16147551146215.522526734511313.67
2020-7-17148556331015.532529228113879.96
2020-7-18149564434415.546531677820181.27
2020-7-19150576705515.568534083934013.31
2020-7-20151581065415.575536446837111.22
2020-7-21152586337415.584538766642002.87
2020-7-22153596047215.601541043855917.25
2020-7-23154606309115.618543278673127.03
2020-7-24155610880215.625545471478433.22
2020-7-25156613943815.63547622480320.35
2020-7-26157620857715.641549732092024.13
2020-7-27158626022515.65551800599835.04
2020-7-28159633230315.6615538282113838.34
2020-7-29160641310815.6745558154131508.53
2020-7-30161646521415.6825577626141245.01
2020-7-31162655053115.6955596699162558.98
2020-8-1163661125915.7045615378176618.06
2020-8-2164669910315.7175633666201494.82
2020-8-3165667481215.7145651566185263.89
2020-8-4166670470715.7185669082189187.41
2020-8-5167674725415.7255686216197987.62
2020-8-6168683680815.7385702973225422.94
2020-8-7169691878515.755719355251537.1
2020-8-8170697161615.7575735367266471.16
2020-8-9171057510110
2020-8-10172057662920
2020-8-11173057812120
2020-8-12174057957740
2020-8-13175058099830
2020-8-14176058238420
2020-8-15177058373540
2020-8-16178058505220
2020-8-17179058633510
2020-8-18180058758430
2020-8-19181058880010
2020-8-20182058998300
2020-8-21183059113320
2020-8-22184059225120
2020-8-23185059333710
2020-8-24186059439150
2020-8-25187059541450
2020-8-26188059640660
2020-8-27189059736800
2020-8-28190059829920
2020-8-29191059920030
2020-8-30192060007190
2020-8-31193060091410
2020-9-1194060172730
2020-9-2195060251180
2020-9-3196060326800
2020-9-4197060399610
2020-9-5198060469650
2020-9-6199060536950
2020-9-7200060601550
2020-9-8201060663460
2020-9-9202060722730
2020-9-10203060779380
2020-9-11204060833450
2020-9-12205060884960
2020-9-13206060933950
2020-9-14207060980440
2020-9-15208061024460
2020-9-16209061066050
2020-9-17210061105240
2020-9-18211061142040
2020-9-19212061176500
2020-9-20213061208640
2020-9-21214061238490
2020-9-22215061266070
2020-9-23216061291420
2020-9-24217061314560
2020-9-25218061335520
2020-9-26219061354330
2020-9-27220061371010
2020-9-28221061385590
2020-9-29222061398100
2020-9-30223061408570
2020-10-1224061417010
2020-10-2225061423470
2020-10-3226061427950
2020-10-4227061430490
2020-10-5228061431120
2020-10-6229061429850
2020-10-7230061426720
2020-10-8231061421740
2020-10-9232061414950
2020-10-10233061406360
2020-10-11234061396000
2020-10-12235061383890
2020-10-13236061370060
2020-10-14237061354530
2020-10-15238061337330
2020-10-16239061318470
2020-10-17240061297980
2020-10-18241061275880
2020-10-19242061252190
2020-10-20243061226940
2020-10-21244061200140
2020-10-22245061171830
2020-10-23246061142010
2020-10-24247061110710
2020-10-25248061077960
2020-10-26249061043770
2020-10-27250061008160
2020-10-28251060971150
2020-10-29252060932760
2020-10-30253060893020
2020-10-31254060851940
Goodness of fit x2 = 6213882.03