COVID-19 Online Forecast Australia Statistics Forum


Australia / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 12.08.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 12-08-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-14 to 11-08-2020
a=71.658219437696 / b=624.48184450394 / c=-0.00041033890128831

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-1432245.41243203884.6
2020-3-1542715.60240853561.9
2020-3-1653515.86138663196.68
2020-3-1764246.0536622863.56
2020-3-1875396.2934712477.45
2020-3-1986496.47532932123.58
2020-3-2097586.63131271795.05
2020-3-211010386.94529711258.35
2020-3-221114547.2822826666.33
2020-3-231215877.372690452.38
2020-3-241319217.5612562160.68
2020-3-251422377.713244317.41
2020-3-261526257.873233137.01
2020-3-271629367.9852226226.26
2020-3-281733828.1262127739.35
2020-3-291837248.22320351401.25
2020-3-301940878.31619482347.48
2020-3-312041838.33918662874.09
2020-4-12144208.39417893864.32
2020-4-22245728.42817174742.45
2020-4-32346538.44516495466.39
2020-4-42448198.4815856590.91
2020-4-52548958.49615257440.4
2020-4-62646778.4514697005.52
2020-4-72747708.4714157948.93
2020-4-82848808.49313659049.28
2020-4-92945858.43113178101.68
2020-4-103043688.38212727526.19
2020-4-113144408.39812308370.21
2020-4-123244498.411908916.26
2020-4-133344848.40811539622.66
2020-4-143441678.33511178321.78
2020-4-153541918.34110838906.41
2020-4-163640448.30510528506.33
2020-4-173726487.88210222585.2
2020-4-183823777.7749941924.01
2020-4-193924197.7919672178.35
2020-4-204022657.7259421857.31
2020-4-214118837.5419181013.19
2020-4-224216537.41895639.74
2020-4-234315407.34874505.94
2020-4-244414627.288854431.39
2020-4-254512387.121835193.4
2020-4-264610906.99481890.32
2020-4-274710506.95780177.08
2020-4-28489906.89878553.11
2020-4-29499466.85277039.76
2020-4-30509316.83675739.98
2020-5-1519106.81374337.04
2020-5-2528916.79273134.64
2020-5-3538786.77872034.49
2020-5-4548646.76270933.54
2020-5-5558036.68869915.22
2020-5-6567666.6416908.24
2020-5-7577386.6046824.59
2020-5-8586996.556740.92
2020-5-9597016.5536661.74
2020-5-10606846.5286600.85
2020-5-11616606.4926540.05
2020-5-12626126.4176482.09
2020-5-13635946.3876433.88
2020-5-14645876.3756394.34
2020-5-15655786.366355.28
2020-5-16665826.3666324.07
2020-5-17675636.3336307.14
2020-5-18685566.3216278.24
2020-5-19695416.29362611.62
2020-5-20705116.23662520.86
2020-5-21715166.24662418.88
2020-5-22725136.2462419.91
2020-5-23735046.22362423.41
2020-5-24744816.17662533.54
2020-5-25754726.15762738.47
2020-5-26764766.16562937.36
2020-5-27774686.14863142.48
2020-5-28784866.18663434.91
2020-5-29794766.16563841.33
2020-5-30804756.16364243.7
2020-5-31814816.17664742.7
2020-6-1824936.20165238.99
2020-6-2834916.19665842.53
2020-6-3844906.19466445.94
2020-6-4854626.13667165.52
2020-6-5864626.13667969.61
2020-6-6874546.11868779.48
2020-6-7884576.12569682.53
2020-6-8894456.09870696.79
2020-6-9904326.068716113.24
2020-6-10914246.05728127.01
2020-6-11924056.004740151.69
2020-6-12933895.964752175.82
2020-6-13943805.94766194.84
2020-6-14953825.945780203.79
2020-6-15963895.964796208.38
2020-6-16974076.009812202.58
2020-6-17984126.021830210.65
2020-6-18994296.061848207.53
2020-6-191004286.059868223.26
2020-6-201014636.138889204.2
2020-6-211024696.151911214.55
2020-6-221034756.163934225.93
2020-6-231044946.203959225.64
2020-6-241055236.26985217.01
2020-6-251065336.2791013227.58
2020-6-261075376.2861042245.17
2020-6-271085896.3781073218.81
2020-6-281096536.4821106185.97
2020-6-291106936.5411141176.26
2020-6-301117766.6541178137.49
2020-7-11128076.6931217138.53
2020-7-21138326.7241259144.95
2020-7-31148376.731303166.78
2020-7-41159406.8461349124.44
2020-7-511610576.963139983.73
2020-7-611711947.085145145.76
2020-7-711812937.165150730.5
2020-7-811913777.228156622.92
2020-7-912016927.43416292.42
2020-7-1012117137.44616950.17
2020-7-1112219627.582176621.6
2020-7-1212321037.651184137
2020-7-1312423087.744192177.53
2020-7-1412524487.803200796.82
2020-7-1512626627.8872097151.71
2020-7-1612730038.0072194297.94
2020-7-1712831618.0592297324.7
2020-7-1812934068.1332407414.59
2020-7-1913035518.1752524417.83
2020-7-2013139048.272648594.66
2020-7-2113242218.3482782743.99
2020-7-2213343998.3892924743.16
2020-7-2313446818.4513076836.17
2020-7-2413548678.493239817.23
2020-7-2513652298.5623414964.78
2020-7-2613756008.63136001110.12
2020-7-2713858258.6738001078.28
2020-7-2813957898.6644014783.91
2020-7-2914064908.77842441187.55
2020-7-3014169488.84644911343.48
2020-7-3114270968.86747561150.7
2020-8-114374838.9250411182.71
2020-8-214474758.9195347846.54
2020-8-314578758.9715676851.2
2020-8-414683999.0366031929.35
2020-8-514786949.076413810.88
2020-8-614888879.0926825622.71
2020-8-714988609.0897269347.9
2020-8-815089159.0957749175.37
2020-8-915192089.1288267107.06
2020-8-1015292389.131882719.13
2020-8-1115393809.14694320.29
2020-8-121540100870
2020-8-131550107970
2020-8-141560115660
2020-8-151570124000
2020-8-161580133050
2020-8-171590142880
2020-8-181600153560
2020-8-191610165180
2020-8-201620177820
2020-8-211630191580
2020-8-221640206580
2020-8-231650222940
2020-8-241660240780
2020-8-251670260270
2020-8-261680281570
2020-8-271690304870
2020-8-281700330360
2020-8-291710358270
2020-8-301720388860
2020-8-311730422410
Goodness of fit x2 = 187373.31
Today = 12-08-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-14 to 11-08-2020
a=5.1427004995354 / b=121914.48900512 / c=-11.892658583764

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-141202245.41245554118.64
2020-3-151212715.60242153690.93
2020-3-161223515.86139093239.1
2020-3-171234246.0536332835.35
2020-3-181245396.2933842392.74
2020-3-191256496.47531591994.97
2020-3-201267586.63129551633.9
2020-3-2112710386.94527701083.07
2020-3-2212814547.2822601506.16
2020-3-2312915877.372447302.76
2020-3-2413019217.561230764.8
2020-3-2513122377.71321791.51
2020-3-2613226257.8732062153.52
2020-3-2713329367.9851954492.45
2020-3-2813433828.12618561254.24
2020-3-2913537248.22317652172.53
2020-3-3013640878.31616823438.34
2020-3-3113741838.33916054139.57
2020-4-113844208.39415345427.21
2020-4-213945728.42814686555.69
2020-4-314046538.44514087475.08
2020-4-414148198.4813528885.96
2020-4-514248958.49613009934.02
2020-4-614346778.4512529362.4
2020-4-714447708.47120810502.97
2020-4-814548808.493116611818.66
2020-4-914645858.431112810589.81
2020-4-1014743688.38210929817.95
2020-4-1114844408.398105910785.3
2020-4-1214944498.4102811371.28
2020-4-1315044848.408100012136.21
2020-4-1415141678.33597310476.51
2020-4-1515241918.34194811080.88
2020-4-1615340448.30592510504.78
2020-4-1715426487.8829043362.58
2020-4-1815523777.7748842519.33
2020-4-1915624197.7918652785.88
2020-4-2015722657.7258482363.43
2020-4-2115818837.5418321324.35
2020-4-2215916537.41818852.16
2020-4-2316015407.34804672.61
2020-4-2416114627.288791567.19
2020-4-2516212387.121780268.58
2020-4-2616310906.994769133.43
2020-4-2716410506.957759110.86
2020-4-281659906.89875076.18
2020-4-291669466.85274255.64
2020-4-301679316.83673552.06
2020-5-11689106.81372845.1
2020-5-21698916.79272239.14
2020-5-31708786.77871735.88
2020-5-41718646.76271232
2020-5-51728036.68870812.46
2020-5-61737666.6417055.16
2020-5-71747386.6047021.75
2020-5-81756996.557000
2020-5-91767016.5536990.01
2020-5-101776846.5286980.28
2020-5-111786606.4926972.01
2020-5-121796126.41769710.47
2020-5-131805946.38769715.48
2020-5-141815876.37569817.94
2020-5-151825786.3670021.42
2020-5-161835826.36670220.67
2020-5-171845636.33370428.6
2020-5-181855566.32170732.63
2020-5-191865416.29371140.85
2020-5-201875116.23671558.43
2020-5-211885166.24671957.76
2020-5-221895136.2472461.93
2020-5-231905046.22373070.14
2020-5-241914816.17673688.5
2020-5-251924726.15774298.67
2020-5-261934766.16574999.89
2020-5-271944686.148757110.4
2020-5-281954866.186765101.8
2020-5-291964766.165773114.48
2020-5-301974756.163782120.91
2020-5-311984816.176792122.25
2020-6-11994936.201802119.26
2020-6-22004916.196813127.55
2020-6-32014906.194824135.57
2020-6-42024626.136836167.42
2020-6-52034626.136848176.14
2020-6-62044546.118861192.9
2020-6-72054576.125875200
2020-6-82064456.098889222.35
2020-6-92074326.068904247.09
2020-6-102084246.05920267.86
2020-6-112094056.004937302.07
2020-6-122103895.964954334.78
2020-6-132113805.94972360.67
2020-6-142123825.945990374.11
2020-6-152133895.9641010382.11
2020-6-162144076.0091030377.4
2020-6-172154126.0211051389.24
2020-6-182164296.0611073387.32
2020-6-192174286.0591096407.94
2020-6-202184636.1381120386.14
2020-6-212194696.1511145399.79
2020-6-222204756.1631171414.31
2020-6-232214946.2031198414.33
2020-6-242225236.261226403.8
2020-6-252235336.2791256416.24
2020-6-262245376.2861286436.61
2020-6-272255896.3781318403.27
2020-6-282266536.4821350360.58
2020-6-292276936.5411385345.85
2020-6-302287766.6541420292.55
2020-7-12298076.6931457290.43
2020-7-22308326.7241496294.78
2020-7-32318376.731536318.15
2020-7-42329406.8461577257.71
2020-7-523310576.9631620196.14
2020-7-623411947.0851665133.61
2020-7-723512937.1651712102.76
2020-7-823613777.228176183.76
2020-7-923716927.43418117.89
2020-7-1023817137.446186412.25
2020-7-1123919627.58219180.98
2020-7-1224021037.65119758.22
2020-7-1324123087.744203436.73
2020-7-1424224487.803209659.08
2020-7-1524326627.8872160116.66
2020-7-1624430038.0072226270.8
2020-7-1724531618.0592295326.18
2020-7-1824634068.1332367455.4
2020-7-1924735518.1752442503.09
2020-7-2024839048.272520759.56
2020-7-2124942218.34826011008.28
2020-7-2225043998.38926851092.83
2020-7-2325146818.45127731311.77
2020-7-2425248678.4928641399.08
2020-7-2525352298.56229601739.24
2020-7-2625456008.63130592110.64
2020-7-2725558258.6731622242.52
2020-7-2825657898.66432691941.76
2020-7-2925764908.77833812858.53
2020-7-3025869488.84634973404.18
2020-7-3125970968.86736183341.55
2020-8-126074838.9237443731.44
2020-8-226174758.91938763340.95
2020-8-326278758.97140133715.96
2020-8-426383999.03641554332.08
2020-8-526486949.0743044476
2020-8-626588879.09244594395.9
2020-8-726688609.08946203888.98
2020-8-826789159.09547893554.63
2020-8-926892089.12849643627.48
2020-8-1026992389.13151473251.32
2020-8-1127093809.14653373061.34
2020-8-12271055360
2020-8-13272057430
2020-8-14273059590
2020-8-15274061840
2020-8-16275064190
2020-8-17276066640
2020-8-18277069200
2020-8-19278071860
2020-8-20279074640
2020-8-21280077550
2020-8-22281080580
2020-8-23282083740
2020-8-24283087040
2020-8-25284090480
2020-8-26285094070
2020-8-27286097830
2020-8-282870101740
2020-8-292880105840
2020-8-302890110110
2020-8-312900114570
Goodness of fit x2 = 284356.48