COVID-19 Online Forecast Bulgaria Statistics Forum


Bulgaria / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 07.07.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 07-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-23 to 06-07-2020
a=93.023484393813 / b=1748.2572650618 / c=0.00022707975776239

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-2331955.27327724.56
2020-3-2442125.35728920.56
2020-3-2552355.4630014.45
2020-3-2662535.53331311.55
2020-3-2772815.6383256.13
2020-3-2883135.7463381.94
2020-3-2993245.7813512.2
2020-3-30103345.8113652.71
2020-3-31113745.9243790.08
2020-4-1123925.9713930.01
2020-4-2134226.0454080.45
2020-4-3144416.0894230.73
2020-4-4154526.1144380.4
2020-4-5164746.1614540.84
2020-4-6174886.194700.65
2020-4-7185126.2384861.28
2020-4-8195276.2675031.07
2020-4-9205466.3035201.21
2020-4-10215566.3215380.58
2020-4-11225716.3475560.4
2020-4-12235786.365740.03
2020-4-13245826.3665920.19
2020-4-14255976.3926110.34
2020-4-15266066.4076300.94
2020-4-16276406.4616490.14
2020-4-17286646.4986690.04
2020-4-18296846.5286890.04
2020-4-19306916.5387090.48
2020-4-20317196.5787290.16
2020-4-21327606.6337500.12
2020-4-22338016.6867711.13
2020-4-23348556.7517924.92
2020-4-24359836.89181335.12
2020-4-25369956.90383530.47
2020-4-263710396.94685738.56
2020-4-273810997.00287955.02
2020-4-283911197.0290152.68
2020-4-294011407.03992350.87
2020-4-304111747.06894555.18
2020-5-14212117.09996761.02
2020-5-24312357.11999060.39
2020-5-34412377.12101249.55
2020-5-44512537.133103545.67
2020-5-54612827.156105847.37
2020-5-64713347.196108059.36
2020-5-74813617.216110360.19
2020-5-84913857.233112559.66
2020-5-95014097.251114859.18
2020-5-105114307.265117057.43
2020-5-115214367.27119249.5
2020-5-125314527.281121546.17
2020-5-135414747.296123745.34
2020-5-145514707.293125835.37
2020-5-155614917.307128034.56
2020-5-165714977.311130229.19
2020-5-175815057.317132324.97
2020-5-185915137.322134421.21
2020-5-196015017.314136413.6
2020-5-206114927.30813858.26
2020-5-216214847.30214054.44
2020-5-226314787.29814242
2020-5-236414747.29614430.63
2020-5-246514577.28414620.02
2020-5-256614417.27314811.09
2020-5-266714337.26814992.91
2020-5-276814157.25515166.8
2020-5-286913787.228153315.77
2020-5-297013337.195154930.38
2020-5-307112967.167156546.53
2020-5-317212997.169158150.4
2020-6-17312897.162159659.09
2020-6-27412717.148161071.5
2020-6-37512087.0971623106.53
2020-6-47611167.0181636165.77
2020-6-57710786.9831649197.86
2020-6-67810066.9141660258.24
2020-6-77910196.9271671254.97
2020-6-88010596.9651682230.88
2020-6-98110997.0021691207.71
2020-6-108211627.0581700170.62
2020-6-118312307.1151708134.17
2020-6-128413037.172171699.5
2020-6-138513717.223172271.87
2020-6-148613867.234172867.97
2020-6-158713817.231173371.83
2020-6-168814557.283173846.16
2020-6-178914787.298174139.97
2020-6-189015437.341174423.3
2020-6-199115547.349174621.25
2020-6-209216467.40617475.93
2020-6-219316327.39817487.73
2020-6-229416067.382174711.52
2020-6-239516897.43217461.91
2020-6-249617707.47917440.37
2020-6-259718277.5117414.15
2020-6-269818417.51817386.05
2020-6-279919347.567173423.04
2020-6-2810019647.583172931.93
2020-6-2910120267.614172353.22
2020-6-3010220837.642171678.23
2020-7-110322007.6961709140.94
2020-7-210422817.7321701197.71
2020-7-310523667.7691692268.26
2020-7-410625387.8391682434.78
2020-7-510725797.8551672491.46
2020-7-610826647.8881661604.97
2020-7-7109016490
2020-7-8110016370
2020-7-9111016240
2020-7-10112016100
2020-7-11113015960
2020-7-12114015820
2020-7-13115015660
2020-7-14116015500
2020-7-15117015340
2020-7-16118015170
2020-7-17119014990
2020-7-18120014810
2020-7-19121014630
2020-7-20122014440
2020-7-21123014250
2020-7-22124014050
2020-7-23125013860
2020-7-24126013650
2020-7-25127013450
2020-7-26128013240
Goodness of fit x2 = 6108.55
Today = 07-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-23 to 06-07-2020
a=6.3471024479265 / b=659592.67804157 / c=0.4658828950637

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-23211955.2731950
2020-3-24222125.3572140.03
2020-3-25232355.462340
2020-3-26242535.5332550.02
2020-3-27252815.6382760.08
2020-3-28263135.7462970.79
2020-3-29273245.7813190.07
2020-3-30283345.8113410.15
2020-3-31293745.9243630.31
2020-4-1303925.9713850.1
2020-4-2314226.0454080.47
2020-4-3324416.0894300.24
2020-4-4334526.1144530.01
2020-4-5344746.1614760.01
2020-4-6354886.194990.25
2020-4-7365126.2385220.19
2020-4-8375276.2675440.59
2020-4-9385466.3035670.83
2020-4-10395566.3215902.01
2020-4-11405716.3476132.89
2020-4-12415786.366355.23
2020-4-13425826.3666588.81
2020-4-14435976.39268010.25
2020-4-15446066.40770213.32
2020-4-16456406.4617249.94
2020-4-17466646.4987469.18
2020-4-18476846.5287689.31
2020-4-19486916.53879012.45
2020-4-20497196.57881110.57
2020-4-21507606.6338326.37
2020-4-22518016.6868533.28
2020-4-23528556.7518740.44
2020-4-24539836.8918958.58
2020-4-25549956.9039156.86
2020-4-265510396.94693511.35
2020-4-275610997.00295521.42
2020-4-285711197.0297521.06
2020-4-295811407.03999521.08
2020-4-305911747.068101425.09
2020-5-16012117.099103330.48
2020-5-26112357.119105231.71
2020-5-36212377.12107025.76
2020-5-46312537.133108924.62
2020-5-56412827.156110727.55
2020-5-66513347.196112538.75
2020-5-76613617.216114241.66
2020-5-86713857.233116043.57
2020-5-96814097.251117745.6
2020-5-106914307.265119446.57
2020-5-117014367.27121041.87
2020-5-127114527.281122741.16
2020-5-137214747.296124342.77
2020-5-147314707.293125935.24
2020-5-157414917.307127536.59
2020-5-167514977.311129033.05
2020-5-177615057.317130530.43
2020-5-187715137.322132028.01
2020-5-197815017.314133520.53
2020-5-207914927.308134914.95
2020-5-218014847.302136410.52
2020-5-228114787.29813787.22
2020-5-238214747.29613924.82
2020-5-248314577.28414051.87
2020-5-258414417.27314190.34
2020-5-268514337.26814320
2020-5-278614157.25514450.63
2020-5-288713787.22814574.38
2020-5-298813337.195147012.84
2020-5-308912967.167148223.51
2020-5-319012997.169149425.65
2020-6-19112897.162150631.45
2020-6-29212717.148151840.29
2020-6-39312087.097152967.69
2020-6-49411167.0181541117.24
2020-6-59510786.9831552144.83
2020-6-69610066.9141562198.49
2020-6-79710196.9271573195.49
2020-6-89810596.9651584174.08
2020-6-99910997.0021594153.93
2020-6-1010011627.0581604122.03
2020-6-1110112307.115161491.53
2020-6-1210213037.172162463.49
2020-6-1310313717.223163342.23
2020-6-1410413867.234164340.2
2020-6-1510513817.231165244.51
2020-6-1610614557.283166125.59
2020-6-1710714787.298167022.08
2020-6-1810815437.341167810.97
2020-6-1910915547.349168710.51
2020-6-2011016467.40616951.44
2020-6-2111116327.39817033.01
2020-6-2211216067.38217116.52
2020-6-2311316897.43217190.54
2020-6-2411417707.47917271.06
2020-6-2511518277.5117344.92
2020-6-2611618417.51817415.63
2020-6-2711719347.567174919.53
2020-6-2811819647.583175624.58
2020-6-2911920267.614176339.19
2020-6-3012020837.642176955.39
2020-7-112122007.6961776100.95
2020-7-212222817.7321782139.1
2020-7-312323667.7691789185.87
2020-7-412425387.8391795307.05
2020-7-512525797.8551801335.5
2020-7-612626647.8881807405.9
2020-7-7127018130
2020-7-8128018180
2020-7-9129018240
2020-7-10130018290
2020-7-11131018350
2020-7-12132018400
2020-7-13133018450
2020-7-14134018500
2020-7-15135018540
2020-7-16136018590
2020-7-17137018640
2020-7-18138018680
2020-7-19139018720
2020-7-20140018770
2020-7-21141018810
2020-7-22142018850
2020-7-23143018890
2020-7-24144018920
2020-7-25145018960
2020-7-26146019000
Goodness of fit x2 = 4229.11