COVID-19 Online Forecast Canada Statistics Forum


Canada / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 14.07.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 14-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-15 to 13-07-2020
a=79.851682513798 / b=47140.253183527 / c=0.00062260286924218

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-1532435.4931192755.87
2020-3-1644025.9961311630.51
2020-3-1754646.141440661.74
2020-3-1866406.4611579559.22
2020-3-1977826.6621731520.34
2020-3-2089226.8271894499.04
2020-3-21912487.1292070326.6
2020-3-221014387.2712259298.87
2020-3-231120537.627246368.45
2020-3-241226547.88426820.3
2020-3-251330388.01929175
2020-3-261438208.2483168133.98
2020-3-271543728.3833437254.31
2020-3-281650498.5273723471.58
2020-3-291757508.6574029734.63
2020-3-301868528.83243541431.99
2020-3-311968348.834700968.34
2020-4-12081279.00350671847.36
2020-4-22194109.1554562865.34
2020-4-322100839.21958673029.07
2020-4-423101839.22863012390.7
2020-4-524124859.43267594849.27
2020-4-625129689.4772424527.35
2020-4-726137069.52677494579.2
2020-4-827145809.58782814790.57
2020-4-928149899.61588394278.63
2020-4-1029156479.65894224111.21
2020-4-1130160739.685100323636.77
2020-4-1231164629.709106683146.17
2020-4-1332171419.749113302979.69
2020-4-1433179249.794120182901.52
2020-4-1534182359.811127322377.65
2020-4-1635198529.896134723020.77
2020-4-1736209139.948142373129.9
2020-4-1837219919.998150273227.11
2020-4-19382222110.009158402569.6
2020-4-20392338810.06166772699.61
2020-4-21402430410.098175372610.8
2020-4-22412513110.132184182446.62
2020-4-23422629710.177193192520.38
2020-4-24432736810.217202382511.26
2020-4-25442778710.232211762063.9
2020-4-26452846310.256221291812.98
2020-4-27462850710.258230961267.65
2020-4-28472893610.27324075981.28
2020-4-29482938310.28825065743.82
2020-4-30492972310.326063513.96
2020-5-1503004210.3127066327.01
2020-5-2513042810.32328074197.3
2020-5-3523178810.36729083251.53
2020-5-4533192410.37130090111.67
2020-5-5543201910.3743109427.48
2020-5-6553214410.378320910.08
2020-5-7563240010.3863307913.98
2020-5-8573273810.3963405551
2020-5-9583283310.39935017136.23
2020-5-10593299110.40435960245.23
2020-5-11603314210.40936883379.55
2020-5-12613306410.40637783589.42
2020-5-13623296610.40338656837.68
2020-5-14633308510.407395001042.07
2020-5-15643337210.415403131195.19
2020-5-16653357410.422410911375.25
2020-5-17663386610.43418321517.06
2020-5-18673420010.44425331632.8
2020-5-19683439610.446431921791.61
2020-5-20693463210.453438071921.9
2020-5-21703474410.456443762090.69
2020-5-22713497910.463448952190.48
2020-5-23723536710.474453652203.52
2020-5-24733557410.479457822276.22
2020-5-25743581310.486461452313.72
2020-5-26753598510.491464542359.5
2020-5-27763586510.488467062516.67
2020-5-28773603310.492469022518.84
2020-5-29783594110.49470392618.68
2020-5-30793600510.491471182621.46
2020-5-31803589210.488471392683.7
2020-6-1813579310.486471012715.06
2020-6-2823575710.485470042691.57
2020-6-3833555610.479468502722.71
2020-6-4843536810.474466372723.33
2020-6-5853509510.466463682741
2020-6-6863453810.45460432875.14
2020-6-7873462610.452456642668.19
2020-6-8883452610.449452312533.72
2020-6-9893415410.439447462507.62
2020-6-10903346710.418442122611.59
2020-6-11913295710.403436302610.92
2020-6-12923243610.387430012596.09
2020-6-13933200910.374423292516.43
2020-6-14943151810.358416162450.48
2020-6-15953106910.344408642347.98
2020-6-16963091710.339400752093.12
2020-6-17972989910.306392532229.29
2020-6-18982973410.3384001955.85
2020-6-19992958810.295375181676.47
2020-6-201002947010.291366121393.24
2020-6-211012934710.287356821124.96
2020-6-221022920310.28234733880.66
2020-6-231032912010.27933767639.73
2020-6-241042901010.27532787435.32
2020-6-251052902710.27631796241.3
2020-6-261062887610.27130797119.88
2020-6-271072885710.272979229.36
2020-6-281082892210.272287840.66
2020-6-291092850410.2582777519.12
2020-6-301102832710.2522676890.72
2020-7-11112821310.24825766232.33
2020-7-21122807110.24224770439.73
2020-7-31132800810.2423783750.26
2020-7-41142794610.238228071157.52
2020-7-51152788310.236218441669.07
2020-7-61162792610.237208962364.86
2020-7-71172784010.234199643107.04
2020-7-81182774310.231190493967.05
2020-7-91192776410.231181545086.15
2020-7-101202770710.229172806291.48
2020-7-111212754810.224164277528.28
2020-7-121222756510.224155979183.15
2020-7-131232776710.2321479011385.19
2020-7-141240140070
2020-7-151250132500
2020-7-161260125180
2020-7-171270118110
2020-7-181280111310
2020-7-191290104770
2020-7-20130098490
2020-7-21131092470
2020-7-22132086710
2020-7-23133081200
2020-7-24134075960
2020-7-25135070960
2020-7-26136066210
2020-7-27137061700
2020-7-28138057420
2020-7-29139053380
2020-7-30140049560
2020-7-31141045950
2020-8-1142042560
2020-8-2143039360
2020-8-3144036360
2020-8-4145033550
2020-8-5146030920
2020-8-6147028450
2020-8-7148026150
2020-8-8149024010
2020-8-9150022020
2020-8-10151020160
2020-8-11152018440
2020-8-12153016850
2020-8-13154015370
2020-8-14155014000
2020-8-15156012740
2020-8-16157011580
2020-8-17158010520
2020-8-1815909530
2020-8-1916008630
2020-8-2016107810
2020-8-2116207050
2020-8-2216306360
2020-8-2316405730
2020-8-2416505160
2020-8-2516604640
2020-8-2616704160
2020-8-2716803730
2020-8-2816903340
2020-8-2917002990
2020-8-3017102670
2020-8-3117202380
2020-9-117302120
2020-9-217401890
2020-9-317501680
2020-9-417601490
2020-9-517701320
2020-9-617801170
2020-9-717901030
2020-9-81800910
2020-9-91810800
2020-9-101820710
2020-9-111830620
2020-9-121840550
2020-9-131850480
2020-9-141860420
2020-9-151870370
2020-9-161880320
2020-9-171890280
2020-9-181900240
2020-9-191910210
2020-9-201920180
2020-9-211930160
2020-9-221940140
2020-9-231950120
2020-9-241960100
2020-9-25197090
2020-9-26198070
2020-9-27199060
2020-9-28200050
2020-9-29201050
2020-9-30202040
2020-10-1203030
2020-10-2204030
2020-10-3205020
2020-10-4206020
2020-10-5207020
2020-10-6208010
2020-10-7209010
2020-10-8210010
2020-10-9211010
2020-10-10212000
2020-10-11213000
2020-10-12214000
2020-10-13215000
2020-10-14216000
2020-10-15217000
2020-10-16218000
2020-10-17219000
2020-10-18220000
2020-10-19221000
2020-10-20222000
2020-10-21223000
2020-10-22224000
2020-10-23225000
2020-10-24226000
2020-10-25227000
2020-10-26228000
2020-10-27229000
2020-10-28230000
2020-10-29231000
2020-10-30232000
2020-10-31233000
2020-11-1234000
2020-11-2235000
2020-11-3236000
2020-11-4237000
2020-11-5238000
2020-11-6239000
2020-11-7240000
2020-11-8241000
2020-11-9242000
2020-11-10243000
2020-11-11244000
2020-11-12245000
2020-11-13246000
2020-11-14247000
2020-11-15248000
2020-11-16249000
2020-11-17250000
2020-11-18251000
2020-11-19252000
2020-11-20253000
2020-11-21254000
2020-11-22255000
2020-11-23256000
2020-11-24257000
2020-11-25258000
2020-11-26259000
2020-11-27260000
2020-11-28261000
2020-11-29262000
2020-11-30263000
2020-12-1264000
2020-12-2265000
2020-12-3266000
2020-12-4267000
2020-12-5268000
2020-12-6269000
2020-12-7270000
2020-12-8271000
2020-12-9272000
2020-12-10273000
2020-12-11274000
2020-12-12275000
2020-12-13276000
2020-12-14277000
2020-12-15278000
2020-12-16279000
2020-12-17280000
2020-12-18281000
2020-12-19282000
2020-12-20283000
2020-12-21284000
2020-12-22285000
2020-12-23286000
2020-12-24287000
2020-12-25288000
2020-12-26289000
2020-12-27290000
2020-12-28291000
2020-12-29292000
2020-12-30293000
2020-12-31294000
2021-1-1295000
2021-1-2296000
2021-1-3297000
2021-1-4298000
2021-1-5299000
2021-1-6300000
2021-1-7301000
2021-1-8302000
2021-1-9303000
2021-1-10304000
2021-1-11305000
2021-1-12306000
2021-1-13307000
2021-1-14308000
2021-1-15309000
2021-1-16310000
2021-1-17311000
2021-1-18312000
2021-1-19313000
2021-1-20314000
2021-1-21315000
2021-1-22316000
2021-1-23317000
2021-1-24318000
2021-1-25319000
2021-1-26320000
2021-1-27321000
2021-1-28322000
2021-1-29323000
2021-1-30324000
2021-1-31325000
2021-2-1326000
2021-2-2327000
2021-2-3328000
2021-2-4329000
2021-2-5330000
2021-2-6331000
2021-2-7332000
2021-2-8333000
2021-2-9334000
2021-2-10335000
2021-2-11336000
2021-2-12337000
2021-2-13338000
2021-2-14339000
2021-2-15340000
2021-2-16341000
2021-2-17342000
2021-2-18343000
2021-2-19344000
2021-2-20345000
2021-2-21346000
2021-2-22347000
2021-2-23348000
2021-2-24349000
2021-2-25350000
2021-2-26351000
2021-2-27352000
2021-2-28353000
2021-3-1354000
2021-3-2355000
2021-3-3356000
2021-3-4357000
2021-3-5358000
2021-3-6359000
2021-3-7360000
Goodness of fit x2 = 238192.07
Today = 14-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-15 to 13-07-2020
a=4.7093786353171 / b=3708802.5290363 / c=2.2957257654705

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-15212435.49330412.41
2020-3-16224025.9964120.28
2020-3-17234646.1454612.52
2020-3-18246406.4617096.84
2020-3-19257826.66290416.54
2020-3-20269226.827113339.37
2020-3-212712487.129139816.24
2020-3-222814387.271170241.13
2020-3-232920537.62720460.02
2020-3-243026547.884243120.36
2020-3-253130388.019285811.31
2020-3-263238208.248332673.08
2020-3-273343728.383383774.45
2020-3-283450498.527438999.16
2020-3-293557508.6574981118.61
2020-3-303668528.8325612273.8
2020-3-313768348.83628048.74
2020-4-13881279.0036984186.9
2020-4-23994109.157721369.3
2020-4-340100839.2198489299.3
2020-4-441101839.228928486.89
2020-4-542124859.43210105560.03
2020-4-643129689.4710949372.04
2020-4-744137069.52611812303.38
2020-4-845145809.58712692280.64
2020-4-946149899.61513585144.91
2020-4-1047156479.6581448992.45
2020-4-1148160739.6851540029.34
2020-4-1249164629.709163161.3
2020-4-1350171419.749172330.5
2020-4-1451179249.794181492.81
2020-4-1552182359.8111906235.9
2020-4-1653198529.896199680.67
2020-4-1754209139.948208640.11
2020-4-1855219919.998217502.66
2020-4-19562222110.009226227.14
2020-4-20572338810.06234790.36
2020-4-21582430410.098243180.01
2020-4-22592513110.132251380
2020-4-23602629710.177259384.96
2020-4-24612736810.2172671515.94
2020-4-25622778710.232274693.68
2020-4-26632846310.256281972.49
2020-4-27642850710.258289005.37
2020-4-28652893610.2732957713.9
2020-4-29662938310.2883022623.51
2020-4-30672972310.33084640.94
2020-5-1683004210.313143862.06
2020-5-2693042810.3233200177.39
2020-5-3703178810.3673253517.17
2020-5-4713192410.3713303937.64
2020-5-5723201910.3743351366.64
2020-5-6733214410.3783395796.89
2020-5-7743240010.38634372113.2
2020-5-8753273810.39634757117.37
2020-5-9763283310.39935113148.12
2020-5-10773299110.40435440169.27
2020-5-11783314210.40935738188.61
2020-5-12793306410.40636007240.69
2020-5-13803296610.40336249297.44
2020-5-14813308510.40736463313.11
2020-5-15823337210.41536651293.42
2020-5-16833357410.42236812284.89
2020-5-17843386610.4336947257.06
2020-5-18853420010.4437058220.43
2020-5-19863439610.44637143203.3
2020-5-20873463210.45337206178.08
2020-5-21883474410.45637245167.94
2020-5-22893497910.46337261139.83
2020-5-23903536710.4743725695.83
2020-5-24913557410.4793723073.71
2020-5-25923581310.4863718450.58
2020-5-26933598510.4913711834.63
2020-5-27943586510.4883703436.92
2020-5-28953603310.4923693121.88
2020-5-29963594110.493681220.62
2020-5-30973600510.4913667512.27
2020-5-31983589210.4883652310.93
2020-6-1993579310.486363568.73
2020-6-21003575710.485361744.83
2020-6-31013555610.479359794.98
2020-6-41023536810.474357704.54
2020-6-51033509510.466355505.83
2020-6-61043453810.453531717.2
2020-6-71053462610.452350735.72
2020-6-81063452610.449348192.48
2020-6-91073415410.439345554.67
2020-6-101083346710.4183428219.39
2020-6-111093295710.4033400032.02
2020-6-121103243610.3873371048.17
2020-6-131113200910.3743341258.97
2020-6-141123151810.3583310776.36
2020-6-151133106910.3443279691.03
2020-6-161143091710.3393247975.18
2020-6-171152989910.30632157158.55
2020-6-181162973410.331829137.93
2020-6-191172958810.29531496115.7
2020-6-201182947010.2913116091.71
2020-6-211192934710.2873082070.43
2020-6-221202920310.2823047653.24
2020-6-231212912010.2793013033.88
2020-6-241222901010.2752978119.97
2020-6-251232902710.276294305.52
2020-6-261242887610.271290761.39
2020-6-271252885710.27287220.63
2020-6-281262892210.2722836610.88
2020-6-291272850410.258280098.72
2020-6-301282832710.2522765216.45
2020-7-11292821310.2482729430.88
2020-7-21302807110.2422693747.73
2020-7-31312800810.242657976.76
2020-7-41322794610.23826222113.28
2020-7-51332788310.23625866157.28
2020-7-61342792610.23725510228.74
2020-7-71352784010.23425155286.4
2020-7-81362774310.23124802348.6
2020-7-91372776410.23124450448.97
2020-7-101382770710.22924100539.68
2020-7-111392754810.22423752606.64
2020-7-121402756510.22423405739.16
2020-7-131412776710.23223061960.25
2020-7-141420227190
2020-7-151430223790
2020-7-161440220410
2020-7-171450217070
2020-7-181460213740
2020-7-191470210450
2020-7-201480207190
2020-7-211490203950
2020-7-221500200750
2020-7-231510197570
2020-7-241520194430
2020-7-251530191320
2020-7-261540188240
2020-7-271550185200
2020-7-281560182190
2020-7-291570179210
2020-7-301580176270
2020-7-311590173360
2020-8-11600170490
2020-8-21610167650
2020-8-31620164850
2020-8-41630162080
2020-8-51640159350
2020-8-61650156650
2020-8-71660153990
2020-8-81670151370
2020-8-91680148780
2020-8-101690146230
2020-8-111700143710
2020-8-121710141220
2020-8-131720138780
2020-8-141730136360
2020-8-151740133990
2020-8-161750131640
2020-8-171760129340
2020-8-181770127060
2020-8-191780124820
2020-8-201790122620
2020-8-211800120450
2020-8-221810118310
2020-8-231820116200
2020-8-241830114130
2020-8-251840112090
2020-8-261850110080
2020-8-271860108110
2020-8-281870106160
2020-8-291880104250
2020-8-301890102370
2020-8-311900100520
2020-9-1191098700
2020-9-2192096910
2020-9-3193095150
2020-9-4194093420
2020-9-5195091720
2020-9-6196090040
2020-9-7197088400
2020-9-8198086780
2020-9-9199085190
2020-9-10200083630
2020-9-11201082090
2020-9-12202080590
2020-9-13203079100
2020-9-14204077640
2020-9-15205076210
2020-9-16206074810
2020-9-17207073420
2020-9-18208072070
2020-9-19209070730
2020-9-20210069420
2020-9-21211068130
2020-9-22212066870
2020-9-23213065630
2020-9-24214064410
2020-9-25215063210
2020-9-26216062040
2020-9-27217060880
2020-9-28218059750
2020-9-29219058630
2020-9-30220057540
2020-10-1221056470
2020-10-2222055410
2020-10-3223054380
2020-10-4224053360
2020-10-5225052370
2020-10-6226051390
2020-10-7227050430
2020-10-8228049480
2020-10-9229048560
2020-10-10230047650
2020-10-11231046760
2020-10-12232045880
2020-10-13233045020
2020-10-14234044180
2020-10-15235043350
2020-10-16236042540
2020-10-17237041740
2020-10-18238040960
2020-10-19239040190
2020-10-20240039440
2020-10-21241038700
2020-10-22242037970
2020-10-23243037260
2020-10-24244036560
2020-10-25245035880
2020-10-26246035200
2020-10-27247034540
2020-10-28248033900
2020-10-29249033260
2020-10-30250032640
2020-10-31251032030
2020-11-1252031430
2020-11-2253030840
2020-11-3254030260
2020-11-4255029690
2020-11-5256029140
2020-11-6257028590
2020-11-7258028060
2020-11-8259027530
2020-11-9260027020
2020-11-10261026510
2020-11-11262026020
2020-11-12263025530
2020-11-13264025050
2020-11-14265024580
2020-11-15266024120
2020-11-16267023670
2020-11-17268023230
2020-11-18269022800
2020-11-19270022370
2020-11-20271021960
2020-11-21272021550
2020-11-22273021150
2020-11-23274020750
2020-11-24275020370
2020-11-25276019990
2020-11-26277019610
2020-11-27278019250
2020-11-28279018890
2020-11-29280018540
2020-11-30281018200
2020-12-1282017860
2020-12-2283017530
2020-12-3284017200
2020-12-4285016880
2020-12-5286016570
2020-12-6287016260
2020-12-7288015960
2020-12-8289015670
2020-12-9290015380
2020-12-10291015090
2020-12-11292014810
2020-12-12293014540
2020-12-13294014270
2020-12-14295014010
2020-12-15296013750
2020-12-16297013500
2020-12-17298013250
2020-12-18299013010
2020-12-19300012770
2020-12-20301012530
2020-12-21302012300
2020-12-22303012080
2020-12-23304011850
2020-12-24305011640
2020-12-25306011420
2020-12-26307011210
2020-12-27308011010
2020-12-28309010810
2020-12-29310010610
2020-12-30311010420
2020-12-31312010230
2021-1-1313010040
2021-1-231409860
2021-1-331509680
2021-1-431609500
2021-1-531709330
2021-1-631809160
2021-1-731908990
2021-1-832008830
2021-1-932108670
2021-1-1032208510
2021-1-1132308360
2021-1-1232408200
2021-1-1332508060
2021-1-1432607910
2021-1-1532707770
2021-1-1632807630
2021-1-1732907490
2021-1-1833007350
2021-1-1933107220
2021-1-2033207090
2021-1-2133306960
2021-1-2233406840
2021-1-2333506710
2021-1-2433606590
2021-1-2533706480
2021-1-2633806360
2021-1-2733906250
2021-1-2834006130
2021-1-2934106020
2021-1-3034205920
2021-1-3134305810
2021-2-134405710
2021-2-234505600
2021-2-334605500
2021-2-434705410
2021-2-534805310
2021-2-634905220
2021-2-735005120
2021-2-835105030
2021-2-935204940
2021-2-1035304850
2021-2-1135404770
2021-2-1235504680
2021-2-1335604600
2021-2-1435704520
2021-2-1535804440
2021-2-1635904360
2021-2-1736004280
2021-2-1836104210
2021-2-1936204130
2021-2-2036304060
2021-2-2136403990
2021-2-2236503920
2021-2-2336603850
2021-2-2436703780
2021-2-2536803720
2021-2-2636903650
2021-2-2737003590
2021-2-2837103530
2021-3-137203460
2021-3-237303400
2021-3-337403340
2021-3-437503290
2021-3-537603230
2021-3-637703170
2021-3-737803120
Goodness of fit x2 = 13569.63