COVID-19 Online Forecast China Statistics Forum


China / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 11.07.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 11-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-1-22 to 10-07-2020
a=359.45655857914 / b=14.193097912616 / c=-6.323563251414E-5

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-1-2235036.2214380742807.09
2020-1-2345956.3894187840697.37
2020-1-2458586.7554004038342.86
2020-1-25613257.1893828735683.43
2020-1-26719707.5863661632782.03
2020-1-27827377.9153502129761.82
2020-1-28952778.5713350123778.64
2020-1-291058348.6713205121444.93
2020-1-301178358.9663066716998.98
2020-1-311293759.1462934613591.85
2020-2-113113579.338280879965.27
2020-2-214158069.668268844565.3
2020-2-315186779.835257361936.64
2020-2-4162237310.01624641208.82
2020-2-5172576210.15723595198.93
2020-2-6182847710.257225961530.19
2020-2-7193139310.354216434392.23
2020-2-8203341310.417207327756.11
2020-2-9213570510.4831986212636.63
2020-2-10223742410.531903117775.79
2020-2-11233863810.5621823722821
2020-2-12243856010.561747825426.92
2020-2-13255230910.8651675375457.54
2020-2-14265686010.94816060103642.79
2020-2-15275745210.95915398114849.02
2020-2-16285799210.96814765126548.77
2020-2-17295810810.9714160136398.47
2020-2-18305800210.96813581145286.75
2020-2-19315654110.94313027145333
2020-2-20325482510.91212498143337.65
2020-2-21335460810.90811992151438.02
2020-2-22345185910.85611508141484.26
2020-2-23355139010.84711044147378.9
2020-2-24364963110.81210601143692.05
2020-2-25374741310.76710176136240.62
2020-2-26384536510.7229770129664.02
2020-2-27394292410.6679382119912.47
2020-2-28403980910.5929010105277.39
2020-2-29413719910.524865394155.87
2020-3-1423489810.46831285021.31
2020-3-2433236810.385798674437.14
2020-3-3442986410.304767364172.9
2020-3-4452740210.218737354399.97
2020-3-5462523010.136708646450.41
2020-3-6472370210.073681141881.46
2020-3-7482215910.006654837216.25
2020-3-849203359.92629531307.93
2020-3-950189339.849605327401.48
2020-3-1051175679.774582123696.62
2020-3-1152161169.688559919752.89
2020-3-1253148599.606538616660.89
2020-3-1354135699.516518113576.42
2020-3-1455121249.403498510220.85
2020-3-1556107839.28647977467.4
2020-3-165799069.20146176057.99
2020-3-175890309.10844444731.83
2020-3-18598106942783424.7
2020-3-196073728.90541182569.1
2020-3-206167318.81439661927.4
2020-3-216261898.73138191469.99
2020-3-226357998.66536781222.09
2020-3-236454108.5963543983.1
2020-3-246550308.5233413765.16
2020-3-256646038.4343289524.76
2020-3-266743108.3693169410.33
2020-3-276838818.2643054223.53
2020-3-286936008.1892944146.02
2020-3-297032368.082283855.73
2020-3-307129677.995273619.43
2020-3-317227647.92426385.96
2020-4-17326407.87925443.58
2020-4-27425457.84224543.36
2020-4-37524257.79423671.41
2020-4-47622677.72622830.12
2020-4-57720627.63122039.09
2020-4-67820207.61121265.32
2020-4-77919737.58720523.05
2020-4-88019057.55219802.89
2020-4-98118657.53119121.16
2020-4-108218107.50118450.7
2020-4-118317947.49217820.07
2020-4-128418357.51517217.51
2020-4-138518297.512166216.68
2020-4-148617617.474160514.99
2020-4-158716997.438155114.05
2020-4-168816567.412149816.46
2020-4-178915727.36144810.54
2020-4-189015377.338139913.44
2020-4-199114797.299135311.73
2020-4-209214367.27130712.54
2020-4-219314187.257126418.63
2020-4-229413717.223122217.99
2020-4-239512657.14311825.77
2020-4-249611547.05111430.1
2020-4-259710987.00111060.06
2020-4-26989986.90610704.86
2020-4-27999076.81103515.92
2020-4-281008816.781100114.58
2020-4-291018336.72596919.24
2020-4-301027966.6893821.63
2020-5-11037496.61990827.99
2020-5-21047366.60187923.42
2020-5-31056436.46685151.11
2020-5-41065376.286824100.37
2020-5-51074616.133798142.81
2020-5-61084046.001773176.65
2020-5-71093615.889749201.39
2020-5-81103465.846726199.05
2020-5-91112265.421703324.27
2020-5-101122065.328681332.19
2020-5-111131765.17660355.85
2020-5-121141595.069640362.2
2020-5-131151414.949621371.21
2020-5-141161314.875602368.82
2020-5-151171204.787584368.75
2020-5-161181134.727566363.04
2020-5-171191104.7549351.52
2020-5-181201154.745533327.88
2020-5-191211154.745517312.77
2020-5-201221154.745501298.22
2020-5-211231154.745487284.2
2020-5-221241114.71472276.79
2020-5-231251114.71458263.74
2020-5-241261144.736445246.68
2020-5-251271124.718432237.58
2020-5-261281074.673420233.33
2020-5-271291014.615407230.98
2020-5-28130974.575396226.03
2020-5-291311034.635384206.53
2020-5-301321044.644374194.95
2020-5-311331194.779363164.41
2020-6-11341184.771353156.63
2020-6-21351234.812343141.37
2020-6-31361184.771333139.44
2020-6-41371184.771324131.35
2020-6-51381194.779315122.35
2020-6-61391244.82306108.89
2020-6-71401194.779298107.81
2020-6-81411134.727290108.2
2020-6-91421094.691282106.39
2020-6-101431154.74527492.82
2020-6-111441144.73626787.89
2020-6-121451184.77126077.63
2020-6-131461735.15325325.38
2020-6-141472155.3712464.01
2020-6-151482515.5252390.51
2020-6-161492915.67323314.11
2020-6-171503105.73722729.94
2020-6-181513415.83222164.42
2020-6-191523415.83221572.65
2020-6-201533805.94210137.13
2020-6-211543985.986204182.23
2020-6-221554386.082199284.86
2020-6-231564586.127194357.04
2020-6-241574716.155189417.86
2020-6-251584886.19184497.59
2020-6-261595046.223180582.23
2020-6-271605116.236175640.3
2020-6-281615076.229171658.04
2020-6-291625206.254167745.78
2020-6-301635126.238162747.83
2020-7-11645256.263158843.03
2020-7-21655246.261155877.68
2020-7-31665176.248151883.73
2020-7-41675106.234147889.04
2020-7-51685126.238144938.96
2020-7-61695236.261401038.91
2020-7-71705226.2581371077.23
2020-7-81715076.2291341036.88
2020-7-91725496.3081301334.52
2020-7-101735496.3081271386.53
2020-7-1117401240
2020-7-1217501220
2020-7-1317601190
2020-7-1417701160
2020-7-1517801130
2020-7-1617901110
2020-7-1718001080
2020-7-1818101060
2020-7-1918201030
2020-7-2018301010
2020-7-211840990
2020-7-221850970
2020-7-231860950
2020-7-241870930
2020-7-251880910
2020-7-261890890
2020-7-271900870
2020-7-281910850
2020-7-291920830
2020-7-301930810
2020-7-311940800
2020-8-11950780
2020-8-21960760
2020-8-31970750
2020-8-41980730
2020-8-51990720
2020-8-62000700
2020-8-72010690
2020-8-82020680
2020-8-92030660
2020-8-102040650
Goodness of fit x2 = 3168442.84
Today = 11-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-1-22 to 10-07-2020
a=3.9737122917154 / b=833537.56057748 / c=2.6050151769877

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-1-22215036.22141873241.5
2020-1-23225956.38949783859.24
2020-1-24238586.75558114222.39
2020-1-252413257.18966754288.61
2020-1-262519707.58675574130.89
2020-1-272627377.91584443857.78
2020-1-282752778.57193251757.87
2020-1-292858348.671101901862.23
2020-1-302978358.96611027924.35
2020-1-313093759.14611829509.42
2020-2-131113579.33812589120.61
2020-2-232158069.66813299472.29
2020-2-333186779.835139561596.61
2020-2-4342237310.016145554198.16
2020-2-5352576210.157150957537.49
2020-2-6362847710.2571557310692.23
2020-2-7373139310.3541598814840.93
2020-2-8383341310.4171634217830.57
2020-2-9393570510.4831663521860.06
2020-2-10403742410.531686825047.91
2020-2-11413863810.5621704427357.28
2020-2-12423856010.561716426667.73
2020-2-13435230910.8651723371392.7
2020-2-14445686010.9481725190935.39
2020-2-15455745210.9591722493952.52
2020-2-16465799210.9681715397225
2020-2-17475810810.971704398942.66
2020-2-18485800210.96816896100001.39
2020-2-19495654110.9431671694877.13
2020-2-20505482510.9121650688955.28
2020-2-21515460810.9081626990344.91
2020-2-22525185910.8561600880285.98
2020-2-23535139010.8471572680873.89
2020-2-24544963110.8121542675840.08
2020-2-25554741310.7671511069053.25
2020-2-26564536510.7221478163277.95
2020-2-27574292410.6671444156175.46
2020-2-28583980910.5921409246928.64
2020-2-29593719910.5241373640074.59
2020-3-1603489810.461337534631.75
2020-3-2613236810.3851301128798.15
2020-3-3622986410.3041264423449.56
2020-3-4632740210.2181227718631.61
2020-3-5642523010.1361191114892.94
2020-3-6652370210.0731154612796.47
2020-3-7662215910.0061118410767.78
2020-3-867203359.92108268350.77
2020-3-968189339.849104726834.21
2020-3-1069175679.774101245471.36
2020-3-1170161169.68897814102.27
2020-3-1271148599.60694443103.53
2020-3-1372135699.51691152176.42
2020-3-1473121249.40387921262.61
2020-3-1574107839.2868476627.49
2020-3-167599069.2018168369.43
2020-3-177690309.1087868171.37
2020-3-187781069757636.99
2020-3-197873728.90572920.87
2020-3-207967318.814701611.62
2020-3-218061898.731674846.41
2020-3-228157998.665648873.35
2020-3-238254108.5966237109.71
2020-3-248350308.5235993154.9
2020-3-258446038.4345757231.62
2020-3-268543108.3695529269.12
2020-3-278638818.2645309384.45
2020-3-288736008.1895097439.76
2020-3-298832368.0824892560.61
2020-3-308929677.9954694635.52
2020-3-319027647.9244503671.9
2020-4-19126407.8794319653.19
2020-4-29225457.8424142616.25
2020-4-39324257.7943972602.82
2020-4-49422677.7263808623.97
2020-4-59520627.6313650691.51
2020-4-69620207.6113499625.38
2020-4-79719737.5873353568.37
2020-4-89819057.5523213532.87
2020-4-99918657.5313079478.73
2020-4-1010018107.5012949440.51
2020-4-1110117947.4922825376.83
2020-4-1210218357.5152706280.86
2020-4-1310318297.5122592224.96
2020-4-1410417617.4742483210.01
2020-4-1510516997.4382378193.9
2020-4-1610616567.4122277169.49
2020-4-1710715727.362180169.87
2020-4-1810815377.3382087145.4
2020-4-1910914797.2991999135.36
2020-4-2011014367.271914119.42
2020-4-2111114187.257183293.79
2020-4-2211213717.223175483.81
2020-4-2311312657.1431679102.35
2020-4-2411411547.0511607128.16
2020-4-2511510987.0011539126.52
2020-4-261169986.9061473153.49
2020-4-271179076.811410179.81
2020-4-281188816.7811350163.15
2020-4-291198336.7251292163.46
2020-4-301207966.681237157.48
2020-5-11217496.6191184160.16
2020-5-21227366.6011133139.67
2020-5-31236436.4661085180.41
2020-5-41245376.2861039242.68
2020-5-51254616.133994286.45
2020-5-61264046.001952315.75
2020-5-71273615.889911332.68
2020-5-81283465.846872318.02
2020-5-91292265.421835444.79
2020-5-101302065.328800441.12
2020-5-111311765.17766454.46
2020-5-121321595.069733449.9
2020-5-131331414.949702448.56
2020-5-141341314.875672435.94
2020-5-151351204.787643426.24
2020-5-161361134.727616411.27
2020-5-171371104.7590390.93
2020-5-181381154.745565358.82
2020-5-191391154.745541335.94
2020-5-201401154.745518314.13
2020-5-211411154.745496293.35
2020-5-221421114.71475279.67
2020-5-231431114.71455260.76
2020-5-241441144.736436238.31
2020-5-251451124.718418224.18
2020-5-261461074.673400215.2
2020-5-271471014.615383208.39
2020-5-28148974.575367199.31
2020-5-291491034.635352176.44
2020-5-301501044.644337161.64
2020-5-311511194.779323129.28
2020-6-11521184.771310118.92
2020-6-21531234.812297102.02
2020-6-31541184.77128497.64
2020-6-41551184.77127287.93
2020-6-51561194.77926177.72
2020-6-61571244.8225064.06
2020-6-71581194.77924061.28
2020-6-81591134.72723059.85
2020-6-91601094.69122056.7
2020-6-101611154.74521144.25
2020-6-111621144.73620339.09
2020-6-121631184.77119430.25
2020-6-131641735.1531861.01
2020-6-141652155.3711797.19
2020-6-151662515.52517136.54
2020-6-161672915.67316496.73
2020-6-171683105.737158146.12
2020-6-181693415.832151236.63
2020-6-191703415.832145262.99
2020-6-201713805.94139414.47
2020-6-211723985.986133521.17
2020-6-221734386.082128746.03
2020-6-231744586.127123909.16
2020-6-241754716.1551181051.89
2020-6-251764886.191131235.52
2020-6-261775046.2231081432.62
2020-6-271785116.2361041579.81
2020-6-281795076.2291001647.41
2020-6-291805206.254961862.82
2020-6-301815126.238921902.62
2020-7-11825256.263882142.61
2020-7-21835246.261852257.63
2020-7-31845176.248812312.71
2020-7-41855106.234782367.11
2020-7-51865126.238752523.75
2020-7-61875236.26722798.98
2020-7-71885226.258692938.42
2020-7-81895076.229662895.74
2020-7-91905496.308643657.05
2020-7-101915496.308613846.67
2020-7-111920590
2020-7-121930560
2020-7-131940540
2020-7-141950520
2020-7-151960500
2020-7-161970480
2020-7-171980460
2020-7-181990440
2020-7-192000430
2020-7-202010410
2020-7-212020390
2020-7-222030380
2020-7-232040360
2020-7-242050350
2020-7-252060340
2020-7-262070320
2020-7-272080310
2020-7-282090300
2020-7-292100290
2020-7-302110280
2020-7-312120260
2020-8-12130250
2020-8-22140240
2020-8-32150240
2020-8-42160230
2020-8-52170220
2020-8-62180210
2020-8-72190200
2020-8-82200190
2020-8-92210190
2020-8-102220180
Goodness of fit x2 = 1767234.77