COVID-19 Online Forecast China Statistics Forum


China / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 27.09.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 27-09-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-1-22 to 26-09-2020
a=173.85476735167 / b=409.67988562419 / c=-0.00016554281469043

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-1-2235036.2215142050419.54
2020-1-2345956.3894860047417.95
2020-1-2458586.7554595044250.6
2020-1-25613257.1894345940849.77
2020-1-26719707.5864111637271.23
2020-1-27827377.9153891333631.96
2020-1-28952778.5713684027042.22
2020-1-291058348.6713488924196.76
2020-1-301178358.9663305219239.65
2020-1-311293759.1463132215378.59
2020-2-113113579.3382969311323
2020-2-214158069.668281575418.33
2020-2-315186779.835267102416.31
2020-2-4162237310.01625346348.82
2020-2-5172576210.15724059120.44
2020-2-6182847710.257228451387.95
2020-2-7193139310.354217004329.09
2020-2-8203341310.417206197937.96
2020-2-9213570510.4831959813236.42
2020-2-10223742410.531863418945.68
2020-2-11233863810.5621772324679.1
2020-2-12243856010.561686327916.51
2020-2-13255230910.8651604981918.82
2020-2-14265686010.94815280113145.15
2020-2-15275745210.95914552126462.33
2020-2-16285799210.96813864140451.53
2020-2-17295810810.9713212152546.56
2020-2-18305800210.96812596163675.09
2020-2-19315654110.94312012165064.03
2020-2-20325482510.91211459164109.84
2020-2-21335460810.90810935174415.92
2020-2-22345185910.85610438164351.05
2020-2-23355139010.8479968172125.62
2020-2-24364963110.8129521168953.66
2020-2-25374741310.7679098161345.32
2020-2-26384536510.7228696154601.45
2020-2-27394292410.6678315144031.75
2020-2-28403980910.5927953127577.56
2020-2-29413719910.5247610115037.97
2020-3-1423489810.467284104683.63
2020-3-2433236810.385697492463.25
2020-3-3442986410.304667980472.77
2020-3-4452740210.218639968928.09
2020-3-5462523010.136613359460.64
2020-3-6472370210.073588054017.56
2020-3-7482215910.006563948395.59
2020-3-849203359.92540941176.84
2020-3-950189339.849519136371.06
2020-3-1051175679.774498331769.49
2020-3-1152161169.688478626821.64
2020-3-1253148599.606459722903.15
2020-3-1354135699.516441718955.07
2020-3-1455121249.403424614611.42
2020-3-1556107839.286408310991.04
2020-3-165799069.20139279098.23
2020-3-175890309.10837797294.04
2020-3-18598106936375487.88
2020-3-196073728.90535024274.23
2020-3-206167318.81433733341.01
2020-3-216261898.73132502656.46
2020-3-226357998.66531322269
2020-3-236454108.59630201890.45
2020-3-246550308.52329131538.43
2020-3-256646038.43428101143.42
2020-3-266743108.3692712941.21
2020-3-276838818.2642618608.82
2020-3-286936008.1892528453.92
2020-3-297032368.0822442257.58
2020-3-307129677.9952360155.78
2020-3-317227647.9242281101.83
2020-4-17326407.879220685.11
2020-4-27425457.842213478.94
2020-4-37524257.794206562.59
2020-4-47622677.726199935.85
2020-4-57720627.63119358.22
2020-4-67820207.611187511.2
2020-4-77919737.587181613.43
2020-4-88019057.552176011.79
2020-4-98118657.531170714.56
2020-4-108218107.501165514.34
2020-4-118317947.492160621.86
2020-4-128418357.515155948.77
2020-4-138518297.512151365.64
2020-4-148617617.474147057.55
2020-4-158716997.438142851.33
2020-4-168816567.412138751.76
2020-4-178915727.36134936.76
2020-4-189015377.338131238.54
2020-4-199114797.299127632.15
2020-4-209214367.27124230.27
2020-4-219314187.257120936.1
2020-4-229413717.223117731.86
2020-4-239512657.143114612.18
2020-4-249611547.05111171.2
2020-4-259710987.00110890.07
2020-4-26989986.90610613.86
2020-4-27999076.81103516.02
2020-4-281008816.781101016.63
2020-4-291018336.72598623.85
2020-4-301027966.6896328.97
2020-5-11037496.61994039.01
2020-5-21047366.60191836.4
2020-5-31056436.46689872.43
2020-5-41065376.286877132.4
2020-5-51074616.133858184.11
2020-5-61084046.001839226.25
2020-5-71093615.889821258.5
2020-5-81103465.846804261.4
2020-5-91112265.421787400.74
2020-5-101122065.328771414.8
2020-5-111131765.17756445.25
2020-5-121141595.069741457.43
2020-5-131151414.949726472.26
2020-5-141161314.875712475.07
2020-5-151171204.787699480.17
2020-5-161181134.727686479.25
2020-5-171191104.7674472.13
2020-5-181201154.745662452.13
2020-5-191211154.745650440.89
2020-5-201221154.745639430.07
2020-5-211231154.745628419.64
2020-5-221241114.71618416.14
2020-5-231251114.71608406.45
2020-5-241261144.736598392.25
2020-5-251271124.718589386.51
2020-5-261281074.673580385.98
2020-5-271291014.615571387.45
2020-5-28130974.575563385.97
2020-5-291311034.635555368.35
2020-5-301321044.644547359.26
2020-5-311331194.779540328.28
2020-6-11341184.771532323.02
2020-6-21351234.812525308.76
2020-6-31361184.771519310.17
2020-6-41371184.771512304.12
2020-6-51381194.779506296.78
2020-6-61391244.82500283.63
2020-6-71401194.779495285.87
2020-6-81411134.727489289.9
2020-6-91421094.691484291.13
2020-6-101431154.745479277.19
2020-6-111441144.736474274.19
2020-6-121451184.771470263.83
2020-6-131461735.153465184.08
2020-6-141472155.371461131.76
2020-6-151482515.52545793.29
2020-6-161492915.67345358.4
2020-6-171503105.73745043.63
2020-6-181513415.83244625
2020-6-191523415.83244323.64
2020-6-201533805.944408.25
2020-6-211543985.9864373.53
2020-6-221554386.0824340.03
2020-6-231564586.1274311.58
2020-6-241574716.1554294.03
2020-6-251584886.194278.69
2020-6-261595046.22342414.72
2020-6-271605116.23642218.35
2020-6-281615076.22942117.55
2020-6-291625206.25441924.17
2020-6-301635126.23841721.26
2020-7-11645256.26341628.37
2020-7-21655246.26141528.61
2020-7-31665176.24841325.69
2020-7-41675106.23441222.85
2020-7-51685126.23841224.27
2020-7-61695236.2641130.35
2020-7-71705226.25841030.17
2020-7-81715076.22941022.83
2020-7-91725496.30840947.19
2020-7-101735496.30840947.34
2020-7-111745546.31740950.84
2020-7-121755696.34440961.88
2020-7-131765696.34440961.67
2020-7-141776176.425410104.07
2020-7-151785976.39241084.35
2020-7-161796456.469411132.53
2020-7-171806936.541412191.2
2020-7-181816806.522413172.34
2020-7-191827206.579414225.76
2020-7-201838146.702415382.5
2020-7-211848566.752416463.06
2020-7-2218510146.922418848.86
2020-7-2318610997.0024191098.85
2020-7-2418712117.0994211478.3
2020-7-2518813207.1854231897.99
2020-7-2618914597.2864252509.9
2020-7-2719016617.4154273555.66
2020-7-2819118167.5044304465.6
2020-7-2919219617.5814325399.35
2020-7-3019321507.6734356754.22
2020-7-3119422077.6994387141.03
2020-8-119522537.724417441.36
2020-8-219622987.744447733.28
2020-8-319723147.7474477780.69
2020-8-419822967.7394517543.02
2020-8-519922347.7124546958.34
2020-8-620021887.6914586518.06
2020-8-720121117.6554625869.26
2020-8-820220227.6124675176.27
2020-8-920319827.5924714838.45
2020-8-1020419707.5864764686.14
2020-8-1120518257.5094813754.8
2020-8-1220617157.4474863106.65
2020-8-1320716407.4024912684.82
2020-8-1420815577.3514962261.68
2020-8-1520914687.2925021854.13
2020-8-1621014727.2945081824.92
2020-8-1721114557.2835141717.1
2020-8-1821213817.2315211418.01
2020-8-1921312557.1355271001.13
2020-8-2021411957.086534814.41
2020-8-2121511147.016542603.03
2020-8-2221610196.927549400.6
2020-8-232179966.904557344.81
2020-8-242189496.855565259.79
2020-8-252198726.771574154.61
2020-8-262208206.70958296.52
2020-8-272217646.63959150.05
2020-8-282226996.5560115.87
2020-8-292236586.4896113.6
2020-8-302246276.4416210.05
2020-8-312255976.3926311.91
2020-9-12265576.32364211.4
2020-9-22275316.27565323.1
2020-9-32285216.25666531.42
2020-9-42294986.21167747.68
2020-9-52304606.13169076.87
2020-9-62314556.1270387.74
2020-9-72324466.1716102.42
2020-9-82334226.045731130.65
2020-9-92344106.016745151.07
2020-9-102353895.964760181.66
2020-9-112363875.958776195.32
2020-9-122373805.94792214.86
2020-9-132383775.932809231.14
2020-9-142393835.948827238.45
2020-9-152403705.914845267.23
2020-9-162413625.892864291.78
2020-9-172423775.932883290.54
2020-9-182433705.914904315.45
2020-9-192443715.916925331.89
2020-9-202453935.974946324.09
2020-9-212463875.958969350.17
2020-9-222473875.958993370.11
2020-9-232483675.9051017416.18
2020-9-242493635.8941043443.62
2020-9-252503595.8831069472.26
2020-9-262513575.8781097499.43
2020-9-27252011250
2020-9-28253011550
2020-9-29254011860
2020-9-30255012180
2020-10-1256012510
2020-10-2257012860
2020-10-3258013220
2020-10-4259013600
2020-10-5260013990
2020-10-6261014400
2020-10-7262014820
2020-10-8263015260
2020-10-9264015720
2020-10-10265016200
2020-10-11266016700
2020-10-12267017220
2020-10-13268017760
2020-10-14269018330
2020-10-15270018920
2020-10-16271019540
Goodness of fit x2 = 3847501.45
Today = 27-09-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-1-22 to 26-09-2020
a=5.6620825984634 / b=153356.68089265 / c=-5.1514243806008

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-1-221205036.2216573564733.83
2020-1-231215956.3896051659332.82
2020-1-241228586.7555578954086.53
2020-1-2512313257.1895150048884.78
2020-1-2612419707.5864760443746.32
2020-1-2712527377.9154406038756.84
2020-1-2812652778.5714083230960.61
2020-1-2912758348.6713788827118.54
2020-1-3012878358.9663519921273.17
2020-1-3112993759.1463274016674.69
2020-2-1130113579.3383048812005.3
2020-2-2131158069.668284255602.13
2020-2-3132186779.835265302325.02
2020-2-41332237310.01624790235.77
2020-2-51342576210.15723189285.35
2020-2-61352847710.257217152105.54
2020-2-71363139310.354203555984.48
2020-2-81373341310.4171910110723.27
2020-2-91383570510.4831794217585.72
2020-2-101393742410.531686925042.91
2020-2-111403863810.5621587732628.45
2020-2-121413856010.561495737244.96
2020-2-131425230910.86514103103490.76
2020-2-141435686010.94813311142468.99
2020-2-151445745210.95912574160156.06
2020-2-161455799210.96811889178761.62
2020-2-171465810810.9711251195128.95
2020-2-181475800210.96810656210337.29
2020-2-191485654110.94310102213474.13
2020-2-201495482510.9129584213549.59
2020-2-211505460810.9089100227568.31
2020-2-221515185910.8568647215919.36
2020-2-231525139010.8478224226564.59
2020-2-241534963110.8127827223263.23
2020-2-251544741310.7677455214158.47
2020-2-261554536510.7227106205975.91
2020-2-271564292410.6676778192736.38
2020-2-281573980910.5926470171763.95
2020-2-291583719910.5246181155648.85
2020-3-11593489810.465908142223.53
2020-3-21603236810.3855652126272.31
2020-3-31612986410.3045410110518.57
2020-3-41622740210.218518295259.88
2020-3-51632523010.136496782648.74
2020-3-61642370210.073476475270.39
2020-3-71652215910.006457267636.41
2020-3-8166203359.92439157887.86
2020-3-9167189339.849421951302.65
2020-3-10168175679.774405744984.24
2020-3-11169161169.688390338209.38
2020-3-12170148599.606375732797.63
2020-3-13171135699.516361927351.77
2020-3-14172121249.403348821380.27
2020-3-15173107839.286336316365.54
2020-3-1617499069.201324513670.47
2020-3-1717590309.108313211100.45
2020-3-181768106930258528.57
2020-3-1917773728.90529246765.16
2020-3-2017867318.81428275389.53
2020-3-2117961898.73127354361.39
2020-3-2218057998.66526473752.31
2020-3-2318154108.59625633160.77
2020-3-2418250308.52324832610.85
2020-3-2518346038.43424072002.63
2020-3-2618443108.36923341671.65
2020-3-2718538818.26422641152.98
2020-3-2818636008.1892198893.36
2020-3-2918732368.0822135567.75
2020-3-3018829677.9952074384.22
2020-3-3118927647.9242016277.41
2020-4-119026407.8791960235.52
2020-4-219125457.8421907213.28
2020-4-319224257.7941856174.32
2020-4-419322677.7261807116.96
2020-4-519420627.631176051.69
2020-4-619520207.611171554.11
2020-4-719619737.587167254.11
2020-4-819719057.552163046.12
2020-4-919818657.531159047.2
2020-4-1019918107.501155242.61
2020-4-1120017947.492151650.96
2020-4-1220118357.515148084.74
2020-4-1320218297.5121446100.94
2020-4-1420317617.474141485.04
2020-4-1520416997.438138272.3
2020-4-1620516567.412135268.06
2020-4-1720615727.36132346.66
2020-4-1820715377.338129545.03
2020-4-1920814797.299126834.94
2020-4-2020914367.27124230.14
2020-4-2121014187.257121733.05
2020-4-2221113717.223119326.48
2020-4-2321212657.14311697.72
2020-4-2421311547.05111470.04
2020-4-2521410987.00111250.68
2020-4-262159986.906110410.33
2020-4-272169076.81108429.09
2020-4-282178816.781106531.82
2020-4-292188336.725104643.47
2020-4-302197966.68102852.37
2020-5-12207496.619101067.65
2020-5-22217366.60199366.71
2020-5-32226436.466977114.18
2020-5-42235376.286961187.15
2020-5-52244616.133945248.45
2020-5-62254046.001930298.21
2020-5-72263615.889916336.68
2020-5-82273465.846902343.21
2020-5-92282265.421889494.55
2020-5-102292065.328876512.5
2020-5-112301765.17863547.32
2020-5-122311595.069851562.92
2020-5-132321414.949839581.07
2020-5-142331314.875827586.66
2020-5-152341204.787816594.45
2020-5-162351134.727806595.91
2020-5-172361104.7795590.86
2020-5-182371154.745785572.39
2020-5-192381154.745775562.81
2020-5-202391154.745766553.54
2020-5-212401154.745757544.55
2020-5-222411114.71748542.64
2020-5-232421114.71739534.19
2020-5-242431144.736731520.93
2020-5-252441124.718723516.38
2020-5-262451074.673715517.17
2020-5-272461014.615707519.94
2020-5-28247974.575700519.55
2020-5-292481034.635692502.24
2020-5-302491044.644685493.73
2020-5-312501194.779679462.06
2020-6-12511184.771672457.36
2020-6-22521234.812666443.01
2020-6-32531184.771660445.23
2020-6-42541184.771654439.45
2020-6-52551194.779648432.21
2020-6-62561244.82642418.67
2020-6-72571194.779637421.51
2020-6-82581134.727632426.21
2020-6-92591094.691626427.84
2020-6-102601154.745621413.18
2020-6-112611144.736617410.16
2020-6-122621184.771612399.17
2020-6-132631735.153607311.14
2020-6-142642155.371603250.12
2020-6-152652515.525599202.41
2020-6-162662915.673595155.45
2020-6-172673105.737591133.74
2020-6-182683415.832587103.31
2020-6-192693415.832583100.84
2020-6-202703805.9457968.95
2020-6-212713985.98657655.25
2020-6-222724386.08257331.84
2020-6-232734586.12756921.94
2020-6-242744716.15556616.15
2020-6-252754886.1956310.14
2020-6-262765046.2235605.72
2020-6-272775116.2365573.92
2020-6-282785076.2295554.16
2020-6-292795206.2545521.9
2020-6-302805126.2385492.6
2020-7-12815256.2635470.91
2020-7-22825246.2615440.81
2020-7-32835176.2485421.21
2020-7-42845106.2345401.72
2020-7-52855126.2385381.29
2020-7-62865236.265360.33
2020-7-72875226.2585340.29
2020-7-82885076.2295321.22
2020-7-92895496.3085300.63
2020-7-102905496.3085280.76
2020-7-112915546.3175271.35
2020-7-122925696.3445253.55
2020-7-132935696.3445243.81
2020-7-142946176.42552216.95
2020-7-152955976.39252110.93
2020-7-162966456.46952029.92
2020-7-172976936.54151958.32
2020-7-182986806.52251750.75
2020-7-192997206.57951679.89
2020-7-203008146.702515172.42
2020-7-213018566.752514226.07
2020-7-2230210146.922513486.51
2020-7-2330310997.002513668.92
2020-7-2430412117.099512952.6
2020-7-2530513207.1855111277
2020-7-2630614597.2865111758.52
2020-7-2730716617.4155102593.38
2020-7-2830818167.5045093345.32
2020-7-2930919617.5815094135.78
2020-7-3031021507.6735095289.8
2020-7-3131122077.6995085669.98
2020-8-131222537.725085986.85
2020-8-231322987.745086304.42
2020-8-331423147.7475076421.37
2020-8-431522967.7395076296.65
2020-8-531622347.7125075869.1
2020-8-631721887.6915075561.01
2020-8-731821117.6555075062.66
2020-8-831920227.6125074515.09
2020-8-932019827.5925074277.92
2020-8-1032119707.5865084206.09
2020-8-1132218257.5095083410.42
2020-8-1232317157.4475082861.52
2020-8-1332416407.4025082513.73
2020-8-1432515577.3515092155.22
2020-8-1532614687.2925091801.52
2020-8-1632714727.2945101813.14
2020-8-1732814557.2835101745.91
2020-8-1832913817.2315111479.41
2020-8-1933012557.1355111078.72
2020-8-2033111957.086512908.61
2020-8-2133211147.016513703.09
2020-8-2233310196.927514496.08
2020-8-233349966.904514449.71
2020-8-243359496.855515364.12
2020-8-253368726.771516244.55
2020-8-263378206.709517176.8
2020-8-273387646.639518116.24
2020-8-283396996.5551961.99
2020-8-293406586.48952036.26
2020-8-303416276.44152121.24
2020-8-313425976.39252210.5
2020-9-13435576.3235242.06
2020-9-23445316.2755250.06
2020-9-33455216.2565260.06
2020-9-43464986.2115281.71
2020-9-53474606.1315299.11
2020-9-63484556.1253010.84
2020-9-73494466.153214.01
2020-9-83504226.04553323.45
2020-9-93514106.01653529.4
2020-9-103523895.96453740.83
2020-9-113533875.95853842.74
2020-9-123543805.9454047.64
2020-9-133553775.93254250.34
2020-9-143563835.94854447.66
2020-9-153573705.91454556.66
2020-9-163583625.89254762.99
2020-9-173593775.93254954.25
2020-9-183603705.91455159.82
2020-9-193613715.91655360.28
2020-9-203623935.97455547.67
2020-9-213633875.95855752.34
2020-9-223643875.95856053.47
2020-9-233653675.90556267.81
2020-9-243663635.89456471.94
2020-9-253673595.88356676.2
2020-9-263683575.87856979.09
2020-9-2736905710
2020-9-2837005740
2020-9-2937105760
2020-9-3037205790
2020-10-137305810
2020-10-237405840
2020-10-337505860
2020-10-437605890
2020-10-537705920
2020-10-637805950
2020-10-737905980
2020-10-838006010
2020-10-938106040
2020-10-1038206070
2020-10-1138306100
2020-10-1238406130
2020-10-1338506160
2020-10-1438606190
2020-10-1538706220
2020-10-1638806260
Goodness of fit x2 = 4992149.4