COVID-19 Online Forecast China Statistics Forum


China / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 10.07.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 10-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-1-22 to 09-07-2020
a=407.71721318858 / b=5.9734449090192 / c=-5.4180329400981E-5

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-1-2235036.2214269541695.32
2020-1-2345956.3894086539684.31
2020-1-2458586.7553911837421.37
2020-1-25613257.1893745034847.09
2020-1-26719707.5863585632025.14
2020-1-27827377.9153433529079.29
2020-1-28952778.5713288123174.34
2020-1-291058348.6713149220905.51
2020-1-301178358.9663016516530.97
2020-1-311293759.1462889813189.63
2020-2-113113579.338276869631.37
2020-2-214158069.668265284334.2
2020-2-315186779.835254221789.74
2020-2-4162237310.01624364162.78
2020-2-5172576210.15723353248.46
2020-2-6182847710.257223861657.1
2020-2-7193139310.354214614595.55
2020-2-8203341310.417205778006.03
2020-2-9213570510.4831973212929.83
2020-2-10223742410.531892318087.37
2020-2-11233863810.5621814923128.19
2020-2-12243856010.561740925695.07
2020-2-13255230910.8651670175915.51
2020-2-14265686010.94816023104069.43
2020-2-15275745210.95915375115147.62
2020-2-16285799210.96814754126701.59
2020-2-17295810810.9714160136387.91
2020-2-18305800210.96813592145101.12
2020-2-19315654110.94313047144979.82
2020-2-20325482510.91212526142829.58
2020-2-21335460810.90812027150747.33
2020-2-22345185910.85611549140686.69
2020-2-23355139010.84711091146411.32
2020-2-24364963110.81210653142610.61
2020-2-25374741310.76710233135083.25
2020-2-26384536510.7229830128440.82
2020-2-27394292410.6679445118665.38
2020-2-28403980910.5929075104070.95
2020-2-29413719910.524872192980.42
2020-3-1423489810.46838283874.91
2020-3-2433236810.385805773352.84
2020-3-3442986410.304774563164.62
2020-3-4452740210.218744653478.38
2020-3-5462523010.136715945605.9
2020-3-6472370210.073688541076.45
2020-3-7482215910.006662136459.76
2020-3-849203359.92636830628.01
2020-3-950189339.849612626772.79
2020-3-1051175679.774589323121.63
2020-3-1152161169.688567019242.03
2020-3-1253148599.606545616203.44
2020-3-1354135699.516525013177.3
2020-3-1455121249.40350539891.79
2020-3-1556107839.28648647201.21
2020-3-165799069.20146825826.1
2020-3-175890309.10845084534.9
2020-3-18598106943403265.51
2020-3-196073728.90541802437.06
2020-3-206167318.81440251817.69
2020-3-216261898.73138771377.77
2020-3-226357998.66537351140.24
2020-3-236454108.5963598911.93
2020-3-246550308.5233467704.5
2020-3-256646038.4343340476.78
2020-3-266743108.3693219369.27
2020-3-276838818.2643103195.01
2020-3-286936008.1892991123.95
2020-3-297032368.082288343.1
2020-3-307129677.995278012.58
2020-3-317227647.92426802.6
2020-4-17326407.87925841.17
2020-4-27425457.84224921.09
2020-4-37524257.79424040.17
2020-4-47622677.72623191.19
2020-4-57720627.631223713.81
2020-4-67820207.61121598.96
2020-4-77919737.58720835.86
2020-4-88019057.55220105.55
2020-4-98118657.53119402.95
2020-4-108218107.50118732.13
2020-4-118317947.49218080.11
2020-4-128418357.51517454.55
2020-4-138518297.512168512.16
2020-4-148617617.474162710.87
2020-4-158716997.438157210.21
2020-4-168816567.412151812.42
2020-4-178915727.3614677.51
2020-4-189015377.338141710.11
2020-4-199114797.29913698.77
2020-4-209214367.2713239.6
2020-4-219314187.257127815.14
2020-4-229413717.223123614.74
2020-4-239512657.14311944.13
2020-4-249611547.05111550
2020-4-259710987.00111160.31
2020-4-26989986.90610796.2
2020-4-27999076.81104418.04
2020-4-281008816.781100916.46
2020-4-291018336.72597621.19
2020-4-301027966.6894423.49
2020-5-11037496.61991429.87
2020-5-21047366.60188424.96
2020-5-31056436.46685653.01
2020-5-41065376.286828102.52
2020-5-51074616.133801144.87
2020-5-61084046.001776178.45
2020-5-71093615.889751202.84
2020-5-81103465.846727200.07
2020-5-91112265.421704324.96
2020-5-101122065.328682332.4
2020-5-111131765.17660355.6
2020-5-121141595.069639361.49
2020-5-131151414.949619370.04
2020-5-141161314.875600367.22
2020-5-151171204.787581366.73
2020-5-161181134.727563360.61
2020-5-171191104.7546348.71
2020-5-181201154.745529324.73
2020-5-191211154.745513309.29
2020-5-201221154.745497294.41
2020-5-211231154.745482280.1
2020-5-221241114.71468272.38
2020-5-231251114.71453259.06
2020-5-241261144.736440241.76
2020-5-251271124.718427232.4
2020-5-261281074.673414227.89
2020-5-271291014.615401225.29
2020-5-28130974.575389220.1
2020-5-291311034.635378200.47
2020-5-301321044.644367188.72
2020-5-311331194.779356158.21
2020-6-11341184.771346150.28
2020-6-21351234.812335134.99
2020-6-31361184.771326132.87
2020-6-41371184.771316124.7
2020-6-51381194.779307115.64
2020-6-61391244.82298102.22
2020-6-71401194.779290101
2020-6-81411134.727281101.21
2020-6-91421094.69127399.28
2020-6-101431154.74526685.83
2020-6-111441144.73625880.88
2020-6-121451184.77125170.75
2020-6-131461735.15324420.82
2020-6-141472155.3712372.13
2020-6-151482515.5252301.75
2020-6-161492915.67322419.7
2020-6-171503105.73721838.52
2020-6-181513415.83221278.02
2020-6-191523415.83220687.62
2020-6-201533805.94200159.78
2020-6-211543985.986195210.07
2020-6-221554386.082190323.23
2020-6-231564586.127184402.94
2020-6-241574716.155180470.35
2020-6-251584886.19175558.46
2020-6-261595046.223170652.07
2020-6-271605116.236166716.95
2020-6-281615076.229161738.07
2020-6-291625206.254157835.67
2020-6-301635126.238153839.93
2020-7-11645256.263149946.14
2020-7-21655246.261145986.36
2020-7-31665176.248141995.37
2020-7-41675106.2341371003.59
2020-7-51685126.2381341060.98
2020-7-61695236.261301173.71
2020-7-71705226.2581271218.8
2020-7-81715076.2291241177.06
2020-7-91725496.3081211509.34
2020-7-1017301180
2020-7-1117401150
2020-7-1217501120
2020-7-1317601090
2020-7-1417701060
2020-7-1517801040
2020-7-1617901010
2020-7-171800990
2020-7-181810960
2020-7-191820940
2020-7-201830920
2020-7-211840890
2020-7-221850870
2020-7-231860850
2020-7-241870830
2020-7-251880810
2020-7-261890790
2020-7-271900770
2020-7-281910760
2020-7-291920740
2020-7-301930720
2020-7-311940700
2020-8-11950690
2020-8-21960670
2020-8-31970660
2020-8-41980640
2020-8-51990630
2020-8-62000610
2020-8-72010600
2020-8-82020590
Goodness of fit x2 = 3141473.17
Today = 10-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-1-22 to 09-07-2020
a=3.9758121931691 / b=849541.69390847 / c=2.6657316302238

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-1-22215036.22140073064.7
2020-1-23225956.38947913675.53
2020-1-24238586.75556224037.77
2020-1-252413257.18964894109.64
2020-1-262519707.58673773963.88
2020-1-272627377.91582763707.76
2020-1-282752778.57191731655.04
2020-1-292858348.671100561773.23
2020-1-302978358.96610916869.98
2020-1-313093759.14611743477.79
2020-2-131113579.33812529109.8
2020-2-232158069.66813268485.26
2020-2-333186779.835139541598.4
2020-2-4342237310.016145824161.6
2020-2-5352576210.157151517431.2
2020-2-6362847710.2571565710496.34
2020-2-7373139310.3541610014525.39
2020-2-8383341310.4171648017397.84
2020-2-9393570510.4831679721282.82
2020-2-10403742410.531705324333.24
2020-2-11413863810.5621724926519.28
2020-2-12423856010.561738925774.82
2020-2-13435230910.8651747469444.22
2020-2-14445686010.9481750788455.54
2020-2-15455745210.9591749291284.11
2020-2-16465799210.9681743294371.39
2020-2-17475810810.971733095949.32
2020-2-18485800210.9681718996895.43
2020-2-19495654110.9431701491823.42
2020-2-20505482510.9121680785992.89
2020-2-21515460810.9081657187300.24
2020-2-22525185910.8561631177472.22
2020-2-23535139010.8471602778019.89
2020-2-24544963110.8121572473107.78
2020-2-25554741310.7671540566502.15
2020-2-26564536510.7221507160889.79
2020-2-27574292410.6671472553997.09
2020-2-28583980910.5921437045032.53
2020-2-29593719910.5241400738398.54
2020-3-1603489810.461363833138.82
2020-3-2613236810.3851326527505.95
2020-3-3622986410.3041289022348.02
2020-3-4632740210.2181251517708.46
2020-3-5642523010.1361213914115.7
2020-3-6652370210.0731176512109.16
2020-3-7662215910.0061139410168.98
2020-3-867203359.92110277856.71
2020-3-968189339.849106646411.78
2020-3-1069175679.774103065115.33
2020-3-1170161169.68899543814.34
2020-3-1271148599.60696082869.13
2020-3-1372135699.51692691994.06
2020-3-1473121249.40389381135.59
2020-3-1574107839.2868614546.1
2020-3-167599069.2018297311.63
2020-3-177690309.1087989135.43
2020-3-187781069768922.52
2020-3-197873728.90573980.09
2020-3-207967318.814711420.72
2020-3-218061898.731684061.97
2020-3-228157998.665657391.27
2020-3-238254108.5966315129.82
2020-3-248350308.5236065176.83
2020-3-258446038.4345824256
2020-3-268543108.3695590293.32
2020-3-278638818.2645365410.52
2020-3-288736008.1895147465.19
2020-3-298832368.0824937586.34
2020-3-308929677.9954735660.22
2020-3-319027647.9244540694.81
2020-4-19126407.8794352673.66
2020-4-29225457.8424171634.2
2020-4-39324257.7943997618.62
2020-4-49422677.7263830638.04
2020-4-59520627.6313669704.17
2020-4-69620207.6113514635.78
2020-4-79719737.5873366576.74
2020-4-89819057.5523223539.49
2020-4-99918657.5313086483.65
2020-4-1010018107.5012955443.95
2020-4-1110117947.4922829378.88
2020-4-1210218357.5152708281.65
2020-4-1310318297.5122592224.8
2020-4-1410417617.4742481209.03
2020-4-1510516997.4382374192.19
2020-4-1610616567.4122272167.18
2020-4-1710715727.362174166.91
2020-4-1810815377.3382080142.04
2020-4-1910914797.2991990131.56
2020-4-2011014367.271904115.33
2020-4-2111114187.257182289.69
2020-4-2211213717.223174379.54
2020-4-2311312657.143166797.3
2020-4-2411411547.0511595122.18
2020-4-2511510987.0011526120.2
2020-4-261169986.9061460146.25
2020-4-271179076.811396171.71
2020-4-281188816.7811336155.01
2020-4-291198336.7251278154.99
2020-4-301207966.681222148.84
2020-5-11217496.6191169151.18
2020-5-21227366.6011118130.92
2020-5-31236436.4661070170.49
2020-5-41245376.2861023231.38
2020-5-51254616.133979274.28
2020-5-61264046.001936303.01
2020-5-71273615.889896319.57
2020-5-81283465.846857304.94
2020-5-91292265.421820430.43
2020-5-101302065.328784426.71
2020-5-111311765.17750439.93
2020-5-121321595.069718435.39
2020-5-131331414.949687434.08
2020-5-141341314.875657421.56
2020-5-151351204.787629411.97
2020-5-161361134.727601397.15
2020-5-171371104.7575377
2020-5-181381154.745551345.18
2020-5-191391154.745527322.54
2020-5-201401154.745504300.99
2020-5-211411154.745483280.48
2020-5-221421114.71462267.02
2020-5-231431114.71442248.4
2020-5-241441144.736423226.28
2020-5-251451124.718405212.42
2020-5-261461074.673388203.65
2020-5-271471014.615371197.04
2020-5-28148974.575355188.19
2020-5-291491034.635340165.74
2020-5-301501044.644326151.26
2020-5-311511194.779312119.59
2020-6-11521184.771298109.56
2020-6-21531234.81228693.16
2020-6-31541184.77127488.98
2020-6-41551184.77126279.62
2020-6-51561194.77925169.81
2020-6-61571244.8224056.73
2020-6-71581194.77923054.13
2020-6-81591134.72722152.82
2020-6-91601094.69121149.87
2020-6-101611154.74520238.07
2020-6-111621144.73619433.24
2020-6-121631184.77118625.01
2020-6-131641735.1531780.17
2020-6-141652155.37117111.31
2020-6-151662515.52516346.28
2020-6-161672915.673157114.16
2020-6-171683105.737150168.83
2020-6-181693415.832144268.04
2020-6-191703415.832138296.87
2020-6-201713805.94132461.43
2020-6-211723985.986127576.99
2020-6-221734386.082121819.63
2020-6-231744586.127116995.49
2020-6-241754716.1551121149.35
2020-6-251764886.191071347.14
2020-6-261775046.2231031559.38
2020-6-271785116.236981718.15
2020-6-281795076.229941791.66
2020-6-291805206.254902023.84
2020-6-301815126.238872067.71
2020-7-11825256.263832326.54
2020-7-21835246.261802451.4
2020-7-31845176.248772512
2020-7-41855106.234732571.93
2020-7-51865126.238702741.86
2020-7-61875236.26683039.51
2020-7-71885226.258653191.35
2020-7-81895076.229623147.29
2020-7-91905496.308603968.92
2020-7-101910570
2020-7-111920550
2020-7-121930530
2020-7-131940510
2020-7-141950490
2020-7-151960470
2020-7-161970450
2020-7-171980430
2020-7-181990410
2020-7-192000400
2020-7-202010380
2020-7-212020370
2020-7-222030350
2020-7-232040340
2020-7-242050320
2020-7-252060310
2020-7-262070300
2020-7-272080290
2020-7-282090270
2020-7-292100260
2020-7-302110250
2020-7-312120240
2020-8-12130230
2020-8-22140220
2020-8-32150220
2020-8-42160210
2020-8-52170200
2020-8-62180190
2020-8-72190180
2020-8-82200180
Goodness of fit x2 = 1707793.2