COVID-19 Online Forecast Colombia Statistics Forum


Colombia / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 06.07.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 06-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-22 to 05-07-2020
a=143.87772887821 / b=72350.669425785 / c=0.00025730609991936

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-2232265.421438102.75
2020-3-2342715.60247184.93
2020-3-2453695.91150637.11
2020-3-2564586.12754313.42
2020-3-2674776.16858319.34
2020-3-2785236.2662516.82
2020-3-2895926.3846709.24
2020-3-29106826.5257181.88
2020-3-30117716.6487690
2020-3-31128596.7568241.48
2020-4-11310096.91788118.37
2020-4-21410876.99194222.02
2020-4-31511877.079100731.85
2020-4-41612897.162107641.87
2020-4-51713627.217114939.24
2020-4-61814457.276122638.79
2020-4-71916307.396130878.92
2020-4-82018777.5371395166.44
2020-4-92119807.5911486163.78
2020-4-102221967.6941583237.19
2020-4-112323957.7811685298.91
2020-4-122423977.7821792203.5
2020-4-132524217.7921906138.81
2020-4-142624987.8232026109.8
2020-4-152725227.833215263.44
2020-4-162825397.84228528.16
2020-4-172926527.883242521.22
2020-4-183026527.88325722.48
2020-4-193129027.973272611.27
2020-4-203229848.00128893.12
2020-4-213331498.05530592.62
2020-4-223432808.09632380.54
2020-4-233534198.13734250.01
2020-4-243636538.20336220.26
2020-4-253738428.25438280.05
2020-4-263840028.29540430.42
2020-4-273941348.32742684.26
2020-4-284044128.39245041.89
2020-4-294145188.416475011.38
2020-4-304247758.471500710.79
2020-5-14351418.54552753.44
2020-5-24452958.575555512.2
2020-5-34556068.63258469.92
2020-5-44658088.667615019.06
2020-5-54762228.73664669.24
2020-5-64864148.766679521.39
2020-5-74967498.817713721.11
2020-5-85071998.882749211.48
2020-5-95174818.92786118.38
2020-5-105278958.974824314.76
2020-5-115383099.025864012.74
2020-5-125488089.08390526.59
2020-5-135592889.13694783.82
2020-5-145697279.18399193.73
2020-5-1557102109.231103752.64
2020-5-1658107909.286108470.3
2020-5-1759112499.328113340.64
2020-5-1860118009.376118370.12
2020-5-1961122729.415123560.57
2020-5-2062128019.457128910.63
2020-5-2163132479.492134422.85
2020-5-2264138749.538140101.33
2020-5-2365147549.599145941.74
2020-5-2466154329.644151953.69
2020-5-2567159669.678158121.49
2020-5-2668167169.724164464.42
2020-5-2769171909.752170960.51
2020-5-2870171769.7511776319.46
2020-5-2971178649.7911844718.46
2020-5-3072189089.847191473
2020-5-3173192719.8661986317.7
2020-6-174200379.9052059615.2
2020-6-275198909.8982134599.21
2020-6-376197079.88922109261.1
2020-6-477200489.90622889352.8
2020-6-578218859.99423685136.82
2020-6-679218859.99424495278.22
2020-6-7802247010.0225320320.94
2020-6-8812301510.04426160378.13
2020-6-9822301510.04427013591.86
2020-6-10832420110.09427880485.57
2020-6-11842493910.12428760507.71
2020-6-12852595910.16429652460.09
2020-6-13862662210.18930556506.72
2020-6-14872776610.23231472436.55
2020-6-15883137510.3543239932.37
2020-6-16893141710.35533335110.44
2020-6-17903279610.3983428164.39
2020-6-18913388610.4313523651.76
2020-6-19923561510.481361999.43
2020-6-20933727110.526371690.28
2020-6-21943907110.5733814522.47
2020-6-22953991710.5953912615.95
2020-6-23964071910.614401139.15
2020-6-24974071910.614411033.59
2020-6-25984297310.6684209618.27
2020-6-26994461510.7064309053.92
2020-6-271004671510.75244086156.76
2020-6-281015039410.82845081626.09
2020-6-291025039410.82846075404.81
2020-6-301035187210.85747066490.57
2020-7-11045245910.86848055403.59
2020-7-21055513010.91749038756.59
2020-7-31065793510.967500161253.49
2020-7-41076038311.008509881730.98
2020-7-51086286411.049519512292.03
2020-7-61090529060
2020-7-71100538500
2020-7-81110547830
2020-7-91120557040
2020-7-101130566100
2020-7-111140575020
2020-7-121150583780
2020-7-131160592370
2020-7-141170600770
2020-7-151180608990
2020-7-161190616990
2020-7-171200624780
2020-7-181210632340
2020-7-191220639670
2020-7-201230646740
2020-7-211240653560
2020-7-221250660110
2020-7-231260666380
2020-7-241270672370
2020-7-251280678060
2020-7-261290683450
Goodness of fit x2 = 15623.64
Today = 06-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-22 to 05-07-2020
a=-14.200761903277 / b=9.3754914900485E-13 / c=-0.11920101888337

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-22302265.42134239.42
2020-3-23312715.60237931.26
2020-3-24323695.9114206.36
2020-3-25334586.1274640.09
2020-3-26344776.1685112.31
2020-3-27355236.265612.65
2020-3-28365926.3846150.87
2020-3-29376826.5256720.14
2020-3-30387716.6487331.95
2020-3-31398596.7567974.67
2020-4-14010096.91786623.39
2020-4-24110876.99193923.17
2020-4-34211877.079101628.57
2020-4-44312897.162109833.18
2020-4-54413627.217118426.67
2020-4-64514457.276127522.62
2020-4-74616307.396137048.95
2020-4-84718777.5371471111.55
2020-4-94819807.5911577102.47
2020-4-104921967.6941689151.93
2020-4-115023957.7811806191.77
2020-4-125123977.7821929113.44
2020-4-135224217.792205764.08
2020-4-145324987.823219242.53
2020-4-155425227.833233315.21
2020-4-165525397.8424811.35
2020-4-175626527.88326350.11
2020-4-185726527.88327957.41
2020-4-195829027.97329631.29
2020-4-205929848.00131387.63
2020-4-216031498.05533218.91
2020-4-226132808.096351015.19
2020-4-236234198.137370822.6
2020-4-246336538.203391417.41
2020-4-256438428.254412719.78
2020-4-266540028.295434927.8
2020-4-276641348.327458043.48
2020-4-286744128.392481934.46
2020-4-296845188.416506759.63
2020-4-306947758.471532556.82
2020-5-17051418.545559136.34
2020-5-27152958.575586855.97
2020-5-37256068.632615448.83
2020-5-47358088.667645063.95
2020-5-57462228.736675642.29
2020-5-67564148.766707361.45
2020-5-77667498.817740057.39
2020-5-87771998.882773937.69
2020-5-97874818.92808845.63
2020-5-107978958.974844936.36
2020-5-118083099.025882129.79
2020-5-128188089.083920517.19
2020-5-138292889.136960210.28
2020-5-148397279.183100108.04
2020-5-1584102109.231104314.71
2020-5-1685107909.286108650.53
2020-5-1786112499.328113120.36
2020-5-1887118009.376117720.06
2020-5-1988122729.415122460.05
2020-5-2089128019.457127330.36
2020-5-2190132479.492132350.01
2020-5-2291138749.538137501.1
2020-5-2392147549.5991428115.65
2020-5-2493154329.6441482624.74
2020-5-2594159669.6781538621.83
2020-5-2695167169.7241596135.62
2020-5-2796171909.7521655324.51
2020-5-2897171769.751171590.02
2020-5-2998178649.791177820.37
2020-5-3099189089.8471842212.8
2020-5-31100192719.866190781.94
2020-6-1101200379.905197514.12
2020-6-2102198909.8982044214.91
2020-6-3103197079.8892114998.44
2020-6-4104200489.90621875152.68
2020-6-5105218859.9942261923.84
2020-6-6106218859.9942338195.78
2020-6-71072247010.0224162118.52
2020-6-81082301510.04424962151.87
2020-6-91092301510.04425781296.78
2020-6-101102420110.09426619219.76
2020-6-111112493910.12427478234.63
2020-6-121122595910.16428356202.74
2020-6-131132662210.18929255237.11
2020-6-141142776610.23230175192.41
2020-6-151153137510.354311162.15
2020-6-161163141710.3553207813.65
2020-6-171173279610.398330622.15
2020-6-181183388610.431340680.98
2020-6-191193561510.481350977.64
2020-6-201203727110.5263614834.88
2020-6-211213907110.5733722291.85
2020-6-221223991710.5953831966.62
2020-6-231234071910.6143944041.47
2020-6-241244071910.614405840.44
2020-6-251254297310.6684175335.59
2020-6-261264461510.7064294764.73
2020-6-271274671510.75244166147.08
2020-6-281285039410.82845410546.98
2020-6-291295039410.82846679295.54
2020-6-301305187210.85747975316.51
2020-7-11315245910.86849297202.81
2020-7-21325513010.91750645397.09
2020-7-31335793510.96752020672.35
2020-7-41346038311.00853423906.56
2020-7-51356286411.049548541169.59
2020-7-61360563120
2020-7-71370577990
2020-7-81380593150
2020-7-91390608600
2020-7-101400624340
2020-7-111410640380
2020-7-121420656730
2020-7-131430673380
2020-7-141440690340
2020-7-151450707610
2020-7-161460725200
2020-7-171470743110
2020-7-181480761350
2020-7-191490779920
2020-7-201500798810
2020-7-211510818050
2020-7-221520837620
2020-7-231530857540
2020-7-241540877810
2020-7-251550898430
2020-7-261560919400
Goodness of fit x2 = 9169.25