COVID-19 Online Forecast Ecuador Statistics Forum


Ecuador / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 07.07.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 07-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-20 to 06-07-2020
a=77.605135103771 / b=28878.332744499 / c=0.00062811754899386

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-2033625.892875301.18
2020-3-2144966.207960224.94
2020-3-2257726.649105375.14
2020-3-2369606.867115332.37
2020-3-24710526.958126034.63
2020-3-25811427.041137740.12
2020-3-26913667.22150112.3
2020-3-271015567.3516363.92
2020-3-281117727.4817790.04
2020-3-291218637.5319342.62
2020-3-301318997.549209819.05
2020-3-311421117.655227411.82
2020-4-11525977.86224627.33
2020-4-21629787.999266237.39
2020-4-31731588.058287427.87
2020-4-41831938.06931002.77
2020-4-51933668.12133390.21
2020-4-62034568.14835925.17
2020-4-72134568.148385942.17
2020-4-82240688.31141411.3
2020-4-92343548.37944381.59
2020-4-102464968.7794750641.61
2020-4-112565318.7845077415.81
2020-4-122666328.85421270.32
2020-4-132765778.7915780109.63
2020-4-142865388.785615623.65
2020-4-152966908.80865483.07
2020-4-163069848.85169560.11
2020-4-173171918.88173804.85
2020-4-183275588.9378208.79
2020-4-193379338.979827614.23
2020-4-203484719.04487478.75
2020-4-213586719.068923434.37
2020-4-223690519.111973548.19
2020-4-233792959.1371025189.32
2020-4-2438207779.942107819266.35
2020-4-2539207779.942113247889.84
2020-4-2640207779.942118796663.38
2020-4-2741210209.953124465905.33
2020-4-2842218309.991130245953.66
2020-4-29432223510.009136115463.46
2020-4-30442247610.02142074812.43
2020-5-1452336010.059148104935.13
2020-5-2462396110.084154204730.58
2020-5-3472467410.114160344654.86
2020-5-4482687910.199166526279.98
2020-5-5492687910.199172725342.47
2020-5-6502683010.197178934463.1
2020-5-7512521110.135185132423.08
2020-5-8522368110.072191301082.42
2020-5-9532392110.08319743883.94
2020-5-10542399910.08620350654.13
2020-5-11552393110.08320949424.24
2020-5-12562465910.11321539451.73
2020-5-13572471910.11522118305.76
2020-5-14582473110.11622684184.69
2020-5-15592544010.14423235209.22
2020-5-16602664210.1923769347.08
2020-5-17612701310.20424286306.2
2020-5-18622735010.21624782266.03
2020-5-19632785510.23525257267.21
2020-5-20642840910.25425708283.64
2020-5-21652881010.26826135273.71
2020-5-22662921510.28226535270.49
2020-5-23672960510.29626908270.18
2020-5-24683008810.31227252295.04
2020-5-2569161499.69275654728.53
2020-5-2670161499.69278484914.8
2020-5-2771164039.705280974867.52
2020-5-2872167339.725283144736.89
2020-5-2973160479.683284965438.71
2020-5-3074160479.683286435539.57
2020-5-3175161489.69287555527.6
2020-6-176161489.69288315579.8
2020-6-277169579.738288714916.92
2020-6-378174619.768288754512.16
2020-6-479174619.768288434491.59
2020-6-580174739.768287744438.78
2020-6-681181009.804286703896.95
2020-6-782184799.824285303540.98
2020-6-883187169.837283553276.8
2020-6-984192079.863281452838.97
2020-6-1085188589.845279032932.16
2020-6-1186188589.845276272783.82
2020-6-1287192719.866273202371.84
2020-6-1388196179.884269832011
2020-6-1489197919.893266161750.37
2020-6-1590200449.906262211455.49
2020-6-1691202899.918258001177.36
2020-6-1792206029.93325354890.66
2020-6-1893208879.94724884642.03
2020-6-1994211299.95824392436.52
2020-6-2095211299.95823879316.89
2020-6-2196214269.97223349158.38
2020-6-2297214269.9722280182.96
2020-6-23982237810.016222380.87
2020-6-24992237810.0162166223.64
2020-6-251002271610.03121074127.83
2020-6-261012295710.04120477300.31
2020-6-271022323010.05319871567.58
2020-6-281032376810.076192591055.26
2020-6-291042373310.075186431389.48
2020-6-301052431110.099180232193.01
2020-7-11062579410.158174034045.42
2020-7-21072679710.196167825975.23
2020-7-31082756610.224161648042.29
2020-7-41092825910.2491554810389.39
2020-7-51102845510.2561493812230.41
2020-7-61112868710.2641433314373.32
2020-7-71120137360
2020-7-81130131460
2020-7-91140125670
2020-7-101150119980
2020-7-111160114400
2020-7-121170108940
2020-7-131180103620
2020-7-14119098430
2020-7-15120093380
2020-7-16121088480
2020-7-17122083740
2020-7-18123079140
2020-7-19124074710
2020-7-20125070430
2020-7-21126066320
2020-7-22127062370
2020-7-23128058580
2020-7-24129054950
2020-7-25130051480
2020-7-26131048170
2020-7-27132045020
2020-7-28133042020
2020-7-29134039170
2020-7-30135036470
2020-7-31136033910
2020-8-1137031490
2020-8-2138029210
2020-8-3139027060
2020-8-4140025030
2020-8-5141023130
2020-8-6142021350
2020-8-7143019670
2020-8-8144018110
2020-8-9145016650
2020-8-10146015290
2020-8-11147014020
2020-8-12148012840
2020-8-13149011750
2020-8-14150010730
2020-8-1515109790
2020-8-1615208920
2020-8-1715308120
2020-8-1815407380
2020-8-1915506700
2020-8-2015606080
2020-8-2115705500
2020-8-2215804980
2020-8-2315904500
2020-8-2416004060
2020-8-2516103650
2020-8-2616203290
2020-8-2716302960
2020-8-2816402650
2020-8-2916502380
2020-8-3016602130
2020-8-3116701900
2020-9-116801700
2020-9-216901520
2020-9-317001350
2020-9-417101200
2020-9-517201070
2020-9-61730950
2020-9-71740840
2020-9-81750740
2020-9-91760660
2020-9-101770580
2020-9-111780510
2020-9-121790450
2020-9-131800390
2020-9-141810350
2020-9-151820300
2020-9-161830260
2020-9-171840230
2020-9-181850200
2020-9-191860180
2020-9-201870150
2020-9-211880130
2020-9-221890110
2020-9-231900100
2020-9-24191080
2020-9-25192070
2020-9-26193060
2020-9-27194050
2020-9-28195050
2020-9-29196040
2020-9-30197030
2020-10-1198030
2020-10-2199020
2020-10-3200020
2020-10-4201020
2020-10-5202010
2020-10-6203010
2020-10-7204010
2020-10-8205010
2020-10-9206000
2020-10-10207000
2020-10-11208000
2020-10-12209000
2020-10-13210000
2020-10-14211000
2020-10-15212000
2020-10-16213000
2020-10-17214000
2020-10-18215000
2020-10-19216000
2020-10-20217000
2020-10-21218000
2020-10-22219000
2020-10-23220000
2020-10-24221000
2020-10-25222000
2020-10-26223000
2020-10-27224000
2020-10-28225000
2020-10-29226000
2020-10-30227000
2020-10-31228000
2020-11-1229000
2020-11-2230000
2020-11-3231000
2020-11-4232000
2020-11-5233000
2020-11-6234000
2020-11-7235000
2020-11-8236000
2020-11-9237000
2020-11-10238000
2020-11-11239000
2020-11-12240000
2020-11-13241000
2020-11-14242000
2020-11-15243000
2020-11-16244000
2020-11-17245000
2020-11-18246000
2020-11-19247000
2020-11-20248000
2020-11-21249000
2020-11-22250000
2020-11-23251000
2020-11-24252000
2020-11-25253000
2020-11-26254000
2020-11-27255000
2020-11-28256000
2020-11-29257000
2020-11-30258000
2020-12-1259000
2020-12-2260000
2020-12-3261000
2020-12-4262000
2020-12-5263000
2020-12-6264000
2020-12-7265000
2020-12-8266000
2020-12-9267000
2020-12-10268000
2020-12-11269000
2020-12-12270000
2020-12-13271000
2020-12-14272000
2020-12-15273000
2020-12-16274000
2020-12-17275000
2020-12-18276000
2020-12-19277000
2020-12-20278000
2020-12-21279000
2020-12-22280000
2020-12-23281000
2020-12-24282000
2020-12-25283000
2020-12-26284000
2020-12-27285000
2020-12-28286000
2020-12-29287000
2020-12-30288000
2020-12-31289000
2021-1-1290000
2021-1-2291000
2021-1-3292000
2021-1-4293000
2021-1-5294000
2021-1-6295000
2021-1-7296000
2021-1-8297000
2021-1-9298000
2021-1-10299000
2021-1-11300000
2021-1-12301000
2021-1-13302000
2021-1-14303000
2021-1-15304000
2021-1-16305000
2021-1-17306000
2021-1-18307000
2021-1-19308000
2021-1-20309000
2021-1-21310000
2021-1-22311000
2021-1-23312000
2021-1-24313000
2021-1-25314000
2021-1-26315000
2021-1-27316000
2021-1-28317000
2021-1-29318000
2021-1-30319000
2021-1-31320000
2021-2-1321000
2021-2-2322000
2021-2-3323000
2021-2-4324000
2021-2-5325000
2021-2-6326000
2021-2-7327000
2021-2-8328000
2021-2-9329000
2021-2-10330000
2021-2-11331000
2021-2-12332000
2021-2-13333000
2021-2-14334000
2021-2-15335000
2021-2-16336000
2021-2-17337000
2021-2-18338000
2021-2-19339000
2021-2-20340000
2021-2-21341000
2021-2-22342000
2021-2-23343000
2021-2-24344000
2021-2-25345000
2021-2-26346000
2021-2-27347000
2021-2-28348000
2021-3-1349000
2021-3-2350000
2021-3-3351000
2021-3-4352000
2021-3-5353000
2021-3-6354000
2021-3-7355000
2021-3-8356000
2021-3-9357000
2021-3-10358000
2021-3-11359000
2021-3-12360000
2021-3-13361000
2021-3-14362000
2021-3-15363000
2021-3-16364000
2021-3-17365000
2021-3-18366000
2021-3-19367000
2021-3-20368000
2021-3-21369000
2021-3-22370000
2021-3-23371000
2021-3-24372000
2021-3-25373000
2021-3-26374000
2021-3-27375000
2021-3-28376000
2021-3-29377000
2021-3-30378000
2021-3-31379000
2021-4-1380000
2021-4-2381000
2021-4-3382000
Goodness of fit x2 = 239086.05
Today = 07-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-20 to 06-07-2020
a=4.8565846868703 / b=2747394.688616 / c=2.2824436712465

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-20273625.8923912.25
2020-3-21284966.2074870.13
2020-3-22297726.64959949.5
2020-3-23309606.86772873.88
2020-3-243110526.95887336.28
2020-3-253211427.041103810.4
2020-3-263313667.22122117.18
2020-3-273415567.35142312.29
2020-3-283517727.4816469.63
2020-3-293618637.5318880.34
2020-3-303718997.549215029.49
2020-3-313821117.655243342.67
2020-4-13925977.86227356.99
2020-4-24029787.99930562.03
2020-4-34131588.058339616.81
2020-4-44231938.069375584.21
2020-4-54333668.1214131141.75
2020-4-64434568.1484523252.02
2020-4-74534568.1484931441.67
2020-4-84640688.3115354309.2
2020-4-94743548.3795791356.67
2020-4-104864968.779624010.49
2020-4-114965318.78467004.28
2020-4-125066328.8717040.46
2020-4-135165778.7917649150.46
2020-4-145265388.7858136314.09
2020-4-155366908.8088629436.03
2020-4-165469848.8519128503.63
2020-4-175571918.8819630617.85
2020-4-185675588.9310135655.3
2020-4-195779338.97910641689.33
2020-4-205884719.04411147642.82
2020-4-215986719.06811653763.4
2020-4-226090519.11112157793.75
2020-4-236192959.13712658893.56
2020-4-2462207779.942131544416.4
2020-4-2563207779.942136463725.76
2020-4-2664207779.942141323124.24
2020-4-2765210209.953146112811.06
2020-4-2866218309.991150823018.69
2020-4-29672223510.009155452878.77
2020-4-30682247610.02159992622.05
2020-5-1692336010.059164432909.7
2020-5-2702396110.084168762973.87
2020-5-3712467410.114172993143.98
2020-5-4722687910.199177104746.74
2020-5-5732687910.199181094246.75
2020-5-6742683010.197184963754.98
2020-5-7752521110.135188702130.64
2020-5-8762368110.072192311029.61
2020-5-9772392110.08319578962.98
2020-5-10782399910.08619912838.42
2020-5-11792393110.08320233675.75
2020-5-12802465910.11320539826.11
2020-5-13812471910.11520832725.19
2020-5-14822473110.11621110620.92
2020-5-15832544010.14421374773.2
2020-5-16842664210.19216241164.12
2020-5-17852701310.204218601214.44
2020-5-18862735010.216220821256.64
2020-5-19872785510.235222891389.42
2020-5-20882840910.254224831561.55
2020-5-21892881010.268226631666.9
2020-5-22902921510.282228291785.81
2020-5-23912960510.296229821908.23
2020-5-24923008810.312231212098.66
2020-5-2593161499.69232482167.87
2020-5-2694161499.69233612226.76
2020-5-2795164039.705234622123.89
2020-5-2896167339.725235501973.41
2020-5-2997160479.683236262431.31
2020-5-3098160479.683236892465.81
2020-5-3199161489.69237422429.06
2020-6-1100161489.69237822450.99
2020-6-2101169579.738238121973.66
2020-6-3102174619.768238311702.79
2020-6-4103174619.768238391706.56
2020-6-5104174739.768238371699.16
2020-6-6105181009.804238251375.71
2020-6-7106184799.824238031190.92
2020-6-8107187169.837237721075.36
2020-6-9108192079.86323731862.69
2020-6-10109188589.84523682982.88
2020-6-11110188589.84523625961.9
2020-6-12111192719.86623559780.56
2020-6-13112196179.88423485637.25
2020-6-14113197919.89323404557.86
2020-6-15114200449.90623315459.11
2020-6-16115202899.91823220370.02
2020-6-17116206029.93323117273.8
2020-6-18117208879.94723009195.72
2020-6-19118211299.95822894136.1
2020-6-20119211299.95822773118.73
2020-6-21120214269.9722264665.81
2020-6-22121214269.9722251552.67
2020-6-231222237810.016223780
2020-6-241232237810.016222360.9
2020-6-251242271610.0312208917.75
2020-6-261252295710.0412193947.23
2020-6-271262323010.0532178495.95
2020-6-281272376810.07621625212.28
2020-6-291282373310.07521463240.08
2020-6-301292431110.09921297426.51
2020-7-11302579410.158211281030.45
2020-7-21312679710.196209551628.11
2020-7-31322756610.224207802215.33
2020-7-41332825910.249206032844.57
2020-7-51342845510.256204233158.42
2020-7-61352868710.264202413524.03
2020-7-71360200560
2020-7-81370198700
2020-7-91380196830
2020-7-101390194930
2020-7-111400193020
2020-7-121410191100
2020-7-131420189170
2020-7-141430187230
2020-7-151440185280
2020-7-161450183330
2020-7-171460181370
2020-7-181470179400
2020-7-191480177440
2020-7-201490175470
2020-7-211500173500
2020-7-221510171530
2020-7-231520169560
2020-7-241530167590
2020-7-251540165630
2020-7-261550163670
2020-7-271560161720
2020-7-281570159770
2020-7-291580157830
2020-7-301590155890
2020-7-311600153970
2020-8-11610152050
2020-8-21620150140
2020-8-31630148240
2020-8-41640146350
2020-8-51650144470
2020-8-61660142610
2020-8-71670140750
2020-8-81680138910
2020-8-91690137080
2020-8-101700135260
2020-8-111710133460
2020-8-121720131670
2020-8-131730129900
2020-8-141740128130
2020-8-151750126390
2020-8-161760124660
2020-8-171770122940
2020-8-181780121240
2020-8-191790119560
2020-8-201800117890
2020-8-211810116240
2020-8-221820114600
2020-8-231830112980
2020-8-241840111380
2020-8-251850109790
2020-8-261860108220
2020-8-271870106660
2020-8-281880105130
2020-8-291890103610
2020-8-301900102100
2020-8-311910100620
2020-9-1192099150
2020-9-2193097690
2020-9-3194096260
2020-9-4195094840
2020-9-5196093430
2020-9-6197092050
2020-9-7198090680
2020-9-8199089330
2020-9-9200087990
2020-9-10201086670
2020-9-11202085370
2020-9-12203084090
2020-9-13204082820
2020-9-14205081560
2020-9-15206080330
2020-9-16207079100
2020-9-17208077900
2020-9-18209076710
2020-9-19210075540
2020-9-20211074380
2020-9-21212073240
2020-9-22213072110
2020-9-23214071000
2020-9-24215069910
2020-9-25216068820
2020-9-26217067760
2020-9-27218066710
2020-9-28219065670
2020-9-29220064650
2020-9-30221063640
2020-10-1222062650
2020-10-2223061670
2020-10-3224060710
2020-10-4225059760
2020-10-5226058820
2020-10-6227057900
2020-10-7228056990
2020-10-8229056090
2020-10-9230055200
2020-10-10231054330
2020-10-11232053480
2020-10-12233052630
2020-10-13234051800
2020-10-14235050980
2020-10-15236050170
2020-10-16237049370
2020-10-17238048590
2020-10-18239047820
2020-10-19240047060
2020-10-20241046310
2020-10-21242045570
2020-10-22243044840
2020-10-23244044130
2020-10-24245043420
2020-10-25246042730
2020-10-26247042050
2020-10-27248041380
2020-10-28249040710
2020-10-29250040060
2020-10-30251039420
2020-10-31252038790
2020-11-1253038170
2020-11-2254037550
2020-11-3255036950
2020-11-4256036360
2020-11-5257035770
2020-11-6258035200
2020-11-7259034630
2020-11-8260034080
2020-11-9261033530
2020-11-10262032990
2020-11-11263032460
2020-11-12264031940
2020-11-13265031420
2020-11-14266030920
2020-11-15267030420
2020-11-16268029930
2020-11-17269029450
2020-11-18270028970
2020-11-19271028500
2020-11-20272028050
2020-11-21273027590
2020-11-22274027150
2020-11-23275026710
2020-11-24276026280
2020-11-25277025860
2020-11-26278025440
2020-11-27279025030
2020-11-28280024620
2020-11-29281024230
2020-11-30282023840
2020-12-1283023450
2020-12-2284023070
2020-12-3285022700
2020-12-4286022340
2020-12-5287021980
2020-12-6288021620
2020-12-7289021270
2020-12-8290020930
2020-12-9291020590
2020-12-10292020260
2020-12-11293019930
2020-12-12294019610
2020-12-13295019300
2020-12-14296018990
2020-12-15297018680
2020-12-16298018380
2020-12-17299018080
2020-12-18300017790
2020-12-19301017510
2020-12-20302017220
2020-12-21303016950
2020-12-22304016670
2020-12-23305016410
2020-12-24306016140
2020-12-25307015880
2020-12-26308015630
2020-12-27309015380
2020-12-28310015130
2020-12-29311014890
2020-12-30312014650
2020-12-31313014410
2021-1-1314014180
2021-1-2315013950
2021-1-3316013730
2021-1-4317013510
2021-1-5318013290
2021-1-6319013080
2021-1-7320012870
2021-1-8321012660
2021-1-9322012460
2021-1-10323012260
2021-1-11324012070
2021-1-12325011870
2021-1-13326011680
2021-1-14327011500
2021-1-15328011310
2021-1-16329011130
2021-1-17330010960
2021-1-18331010780
2021-1-19332010610
2021-1-20333010440
2021-1-21334010270
2021-1-22335010110
2021-1-2333609950
2021-1-2433709790
2021-1-2533809640
2021-1-2633909480
2021-1-2734009330
2021-1-2834109180
2021-1-2934209040
2021-1-3034308900
2021-1-3134408750
2021-2-134508620
2021-2-234608480
2021-2-334708340
2021-2-434808210
2021-2-534908080
2021-2-635007960
2021-2-735107830
2021-2-835207710
2021-2-935307580
2021-2-1035407460
2021-2-1135507350
2021-2-1235607230
2021-2-1335707120
2021-2-1435807010
2021-2-1535906900
2021-2-1636006790
2021-2-1736106680
2021-2-1836206580
2021-2-1936306470
2021-2-2036406370
2021-2-2136506270
2021-2-2236606170
2021-2-2336706080
2021-2-2436805980
2021-2-2536905890
2021-2-2637005790
2021-2-2737105700
2021-2-2837205620
2021-3-137305530
2021-3-237405440
2021-3-337505360
2021-3-437605270
2021-3-537705190
2021-3-637805110
2021-3-737905030
2021-3-838004950
2021-3-938104880
2021-3-1038204800
2021-3-1138304730
2021-3-1238404650
2021-3-1338504580
2021-3-1438604510
2021-3-1538704440
2021-3-1638804370
2021-3-1738904300
2021-3-1839004240
2021-3-1939104170
2021-3-2039204110
2021-3-2139304040
2021-3-2239403980
2021-3-2339503920
2021-3-2439603860
2021-3-2539703800
2021-3-2639803740
2021-3-2739903680
2021-3-2840003630
2021-3-2940103570
2021-3-3040203520
2021-3-3140303460
2021-4-140403410
2021-4-240503360
2021-4-340603310
Goodness of fit x2 = 126302.37