COVID-19 Online Forecast Ecuador Statistics Forum


Ecuador / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 14.07.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 14-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-20 to 13-07-2020
a=83.826952069513 / b=29947.459465617 / c=0.00052064027888779

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-2033625.892998405.4
2020-3-2144966.2071085319.89
2020-3-2257726.6491178140.29
2020-3-2369606.867127879.47
2020-3-24710526.958138680.49
2020-3-25811427.041150085.72
2020-3-26913667.22162340.73
2020-3-271015567.35175322.29
2020-3-281117727.4818927.72
2020-3-291218637.53204015.51
2020-3-301318997.549219840.74
2020-3-311421117.655236527.34
2020-4-11525977.86225421.17
2020-4-21629787.999272922.56
2020-4-31731588.058292818.05
2020-4-41831938.06931370.98
2020-4-51933668.12133580.02
2020-4-62034568.14835905.07
2020-4-72134568.148383537.59
2020-4-82240688.31140920.15
2020-4-92343548.37943620.02
2020-4-102464968.7794645736.97
2020-4-112565318.7844941511.13
2020-4-122666328.85251363.11
2020-4-132765778.7915574180.42
2020-4-142865388.785591066.54
2020-4-152966908.808626129.34
2020-4-163069848.851662519.36
2020-4-173171918.88170044.99
2020-4-183275588.9373963.53
2020-4-193379338.97978022.19
2020-4-203484719.04482227.53
2020-4-213586719.06886550.03
2020-4-223690519.11191020.29
2020-4-233792959.13795627.46
2020-4-2438207779.9421003411500
2020-4-2539207779.9421051910001.71
2020-4-2640207779.942110168647.6
2020-4-2741210209.953115247822.7
2020-4-2842218309.991120447950.75
2020-4-29432223510.009125737423.14
2020-4-30442247610.02131136685.21
2020-5-1452336010.059136616885.61
2020-5-2462396110.084142176677.44
2020-5-3472467410.114147806621.52
2020-5-4482687910.199153508657.54
2020-5-5492687910.199159257532.9
2020-5-6502683010.197165056458.13
2020-5-7512521110.135170883860.94
2020-5-8522368110.072176732042.14
2020-5-9532392110.083182591755.47
2020-5-10542399910.086188451409.46
2020-5-11552393110.083194291042.89
2020-5-12562465910.113200111079.5
2020-5-13572471910.11520588828.53
2020-5-14582473110.11621161602.27
2020-5-15592544010.14421726634.71
2020-5-16602664210.1922283852.32
2020-5-17612701310.20422831765.7
2020-5-18622735010.21623368678.24
2020-5-19632785510.23523893656.77
2020-5-20642840910.25424404657.01
2020-5-21652881010.26824900613.7
2020-5-22662921510.28225380579.29
2020-5-23672960510.29625842547.74
2020-5-24683008810.31226285549.99
2020-5-2569161499.69267084174.91
2020-5-2670161499.69271104431.76
2020-5-2771164039.705274884470.81
2020-5-2872167339.725278444433.81
2020-5-2973160479.683281745220.12
2020-5-3074160479.683284785426.96
2020-5-3175161489.69287565528.58
2020-6-176161489.69290075700.73
2020-6-277169579.738292295152.82
2020-6-378174619.768294224863
2020-6-479174619.768295864969.34
2020-6-580174739.768297195046.72
2020-6-681181009.804298234608.22
2020-6-782184799.824298954359.71
2020-6-883187169.837299364205.74
2020-6-984192079.863299463851.72
2020-6-1085188589.845299264093.46
2020-6-1186188589.845298734062.09
2020-6-1287192719.866297903714.83
2020-6-1388196179.884296773410.26
2020-6-1489197919.893295333213.64
2020-6-1590200449.906293592955.54
2020-6-1691202899.918291552696.59
2020-6-1792206029.933289232394.33
2020-6-1893208879.947286632109.93
2020-6-1994211299.958283761851.07
2020-6-2095211299.958280621713.27
2020-6-2196214269.972277231430.66
2020-6-2297214269.972273601287.17
2020-6-23982237810.01626973782.99
2020-6-24992237810.01626564659.83
2020-6-251002271610.03126134447.19
2020-6-261012295710.04125684289.71
2020-6-271022323010.05325216156.49
2020-6-281032376810.0762473037.49
2020-6-291042373310.0752422910.17
2020-6-301052431110.0992371315.06
2020-7-11062579410.15823184293.76
2020-7-21072679710.19622643761.94
2020-7-31082756610.224220911356.36
2020-7-41092825910.249215312101.89
2020-7-51102845510.256209632677.01
2020-7-61112868710.264203893376.73
2020-7-71122930110.285198104546.81
2020-7-81132930110.285192275277.53
2020-7-91143013710.314186427087.13
2020-7-101153050210.326180568578.04
2020-7-111163207110.3761747012201.42
2020-7-121173254010.391688614510.95
2020-7-131183302710.4051630417151.16
2020-7-141190157260
2020-7-151200151520
2020-7-161210145850
2020-7-171220140240
2020-7-181230134700
2020-7-191240129250
2020-7-201250123890
2020-7-211260118630
2020-7-221270113470
2020-7-231280108430
2020-7-241290103500
2020-7-25130098690
2020-7-26131094010
2020-7-27132089460
2020-7-28133085040
2020-7-29134080750
2020-7-30135076600
2020-7-31136072590
2020-8-1137068710
2020-8-2138064980
2020-8-3139061380
Goodness of fit x2 = 319002.47
Today = 14-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-20 to 13-07-2020
a=4.9964931327882 / b=3127856.7819041 / c=1.5654599650946

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-20213625.8923821.1
2020-3-21224966.2074830.32
2020-3-22237726.64960148.62
2020-3-23249606.86773668.16
2020-3-242510526.95888929.83
2020-3-252611427.04110606.19
2020-3-262713667.22125110.42
2020-3-272815567.3514616.04
2020-3-282917727.4816913.83
2020-3-293018637.5319403.08
2020-3-303118997.549220843.29
2020-3-313221117.655249459.01
2020-4-13325977.862279914.62
2020-4-23429787.99931216.6
2020-4-33531588.058346026.47
2020-4-43631938.0693815101.65
2020-4-53733668.1214186160.69
2020-4-63834568.1484570271.91
2020-4-73934568.1484968460.59
2020-4-84040688.3115379319.56
2020-4-94143548.3795800360.77
2020-4-104264968.779623211.16
2020-4-114365318.78466733.03
2020-4-124466328.8712233.71
2020-4-134565778.7917577132.18
2020-4-144665388.7858039280.43
2020-4-154766908.8088506387.71
2020-4-164869848.8518976442.19
2020-4-174971918.8819449539.75
2020-4-185075588.939924564.19
2020-4-195179338.97910399585.19
2020-4-205284719.04410875531.66
2020-4-215386719.06811350632.46
2020-4-225490519.11111823649.99
2020-4-235592959.13712293731.34
2020-4-2456207779.942127605036.46
2020-4-2557207779.942132234315.22
2020-4-2658207779.942136813680.3
2020-4-2759210209.953141333355.1
2020-4-2860218309.991145803604.68
2020-4-29612223510.009150203465.38
2020-4-30622247610.02154533191.52
2020-5-1632336010.059158783525.03
2020-5-2642396110.084162953605.53
2020-5-3652467410.114167043801.96
2020-5-4662687910.199171045585.44
2020-5-5672687910.199174955032.61
2020-5-6682683010.197178774483.71
2020-5-7692521110.135182482656.19
2020-5-8702368110.072186101381.41
2020-5-9712392110.083189621296.73
2020-5-10722399910.086193031142.1
2020-5-11732393110.08319634940.18
2020-5-12742465910.113199541109
2020-5-13752471910.11520264979.25
2020-5-14762473110.11620563844.75
2020-5-15772544010.144208511009.89
2020-5-16782664210.19211281438.86
2020-5-17792701310.204213941475.43
2020-5-18802735010.216216501500.67
2020-5-19812785510.235218941622.58
2020-5-20822840910.254221281782.55
2020-5-21832881010.268223511866.15
2020-5-22842921510.282225631960.46
2020-5-23852960510.296227652054.57
2020-5-24863008810.312229572214.9
2020-5-2587161499.69231382111.2
2020-5-2688161499.69233082199.38
2020-5-2789164039.705234692127.72
2020-5-2890167339.725236202008.19
2020-5-2991160479.683237612504.35
2020-5-3092160479.683238922575.97
2020-5-3193161489.69240132576.37
2020-6-194161489.69241252638.04
2020-6-295169579.738242282182.45
2020-6-396174619.768243221935.72
2020-6-497174619.768244071977.08
2020-6-598174739.768244842007.6
2020-6-699181009.804245511695.45
2020-6-7100184799.824246111527.99
2020-6-8101187169.837246621433.9
2020-6-9102192079.863247061224.03
2020-6-10103188589.845247411399.25
2020-6-11104188589.845247691411.05
2020-6-12105192719.866247901228.98
2020-6-13106196179.884248041084.8
2020-6-14107197919.893248101015.62
2020-6-15108200449.90624810915.73
2020-6-16109202899.91824803821.73
2020-6-17110206029.93324790707.6
2020-6-18111208879.94724770608.91
2020-6-19112211299.95824745528.41
2020-6-20113211299.95824713519.9
2020-6-21114214269.97224676428.1
2020-6-22115214269.97224633417.63
2020-6-231162237810.01624585198.17
2020-6-241172237810.01624531189.12
2020-6-251182271610.03124473126.23
2020-6-261192295710.0412441086.54
2020-6-271202323010.0532434250.86
2020-6-281212376810.0762427010.4
2020-6-291222373310.075241938.77
2020-6-301232431110.099241121.63
2020-7-11242579410.15824027129.82
2020-7-21252679710.19623939341.19
2020-7-31262756610.22423846580.14
2020-7-41272825910.24923750855.85
2020-7-51282845510.25623650975.82
2020-7-61292868710.264235481121.46
2020-7-71302930110.285234421464.3
2020-7-81312930110.285233331526.4
2020-7-91323013710.314232212059.66
2020-7-101333050210.326231062366.96
2020-7-111343207110.376229893587.66
2020-7-121353254010.39228694089.26
2020-7-131363302710.405227474645.52
2020-7-141370226220
2020-7-151380224960
2020-7-161390223670
2020-7-171400222360
2020-7-181410221040
2020-7-191420219700
2020-7-201430218340
2020-7-211440216970
2020-7-221450215580
2020-7-231460214180
2020-7-241470212760
2020-7-251480211340
2020-7-261490209900
2020-7-271500208450
2020-7-281510207000
2020-7-291520205530
2020-7-301530204060
2020-7-311540202580
2020-8-11550201100
2020-8-21560199610
2020-8-31570198110
Goodness of fit x2 = 155715.22