COVID-19 Online Forecast Estonia Statistics Forum


Estonia / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 11.07.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 11-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-16 to 10-07-2020
a=41.018806642869 / b=920.41219174306 / c=0.00056435000169141

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-1632045.318407101.34
2020-3-1742245.41242494.86
2020-3-1852575.54944277.83
2020-3-1962665.58346082.28
2020-3-2072825.64247981.02
2020-3-2183055.7249774.47
2020-3-2293245.78151671.49
2020-3-23103505.85853463.84
2020-3-24113625.89255366.26
2020-3-25123955.97957254.91
2020-3-26135296.2715906.5
2020-3-27145636.3336093.57
2020-3-28156246.4366280.03
2020-3-29166566.4866460.14
2020-3-30176926.546641.13
2020-3-31187156.5726821.55
2020-4-1197416.6087002.39
2020-4-2208026.68771710
2020-4-3219016.80473437.94
2020-4-4229676.87475062.48
2020-4-52310206.92876683.98
2020-4-62410276.93478177.04
2020-4-72510596.96579686.65
2020-4-82610896.99381095.78
2020-4-92711007.00382392.61
2020-4-102811417.04836110.88
2020-4-112911877.079848135.18
2020-4-123011867.078859124.07
2020-4-133112027.092869126.95
2020-4-143212277.112879137.66
2020-4-153312487.129887146.33
2020-4-163412657.143895152.79
2020-4-173512767.151901155.29
2020-4-183613127.179907180.38
2020-4-193713247.188912186.06
2020-4-203813307.193915187.46
2020-4-213913407.2918193.65
2020-4-224013317.194919183.75
2020-4-234113557.212920205.2
2020-4-244213537.21919203.89
2020-4-254313617.216918213.33
2020-4-264413617.216915216.42
2020-4-274513647.218912223.75
2020-4-284613707.223907235.56
2020-4-294713807.23902253.29
2020-4-304813887.236895270.94
2020-5-14913897.236887282.79
2020-5-25013907.237879296.39
2020-5-35113867.234870305.9
2020-5-45213897.236859325.62
2020-5-55313957.241848351.5
2020-5-65413947.24836370.82
2020-5-75513917.238824389.65
2020-5-8569656.87281029.28
2020-5-9579266.83179620.93
2020-5-10589296.83478227.56
2020-5-11599296.83476634.26
2020-5-12609086.81175132.79
2020-5-13619136.81773443.25
2020-5-14627876.6687176.64
2020-5-15637806.6597008.96
2020-5-16647736.6568311.81
2020-5-17657736.6566517.43
2020-5-18667826.66264728.08
2020-5-19677896.67162840.79
2020-5-20687746.65261043.9
2020-5-21692485.513591199.63
2020-5-22702355.46572199.35
2020-5-23712315.442554188.49
2020-5-24722275.425535177.7
2020-5-25732215.398516169.29
2020-5-26742175.38498158.7
2020-5-27752135.361479148.28
2020-5-28762115.352461135.88
2020-5-29771825.204443154
2020-5-30781765.17425146.21
2020-5-31791775.176407130.6
2020-6-1801775.176390116.68
2020-6-2811705.136373110.81
2020-6-3821615.081356107.4
2020-6-4831585.06334097.76
2020-6-5841745.15932469.79
2020-6-6851875.23130848.14
2020-6-7861895.24229337.39
2020-6-8871885.23627929.75
2020-6-9881945.26826418.95
2020-6-10891995.29325110.78
2020-6-11901995.2932376.29
2020-6-12911985.2882243.18
2020-6-13921995.2932120.83
2020-6-14931995.2932000.01
2020-6-15941885.2361880
2020-6-16951785.1821770
2020-6-17961655.1061670.03
2020-6-18971605.0751560.06
2020-6-19981555.0431470.4
2020-6-20991545.0371381.84
2020-6-211001484.9971292.73
2020-6-221011474.991205.67
2020-6-231021424.9561127.52
2020-6-241031314.8751056.27
2020-6-251041254.828987.36
2020-6-261051204.787918.99
2020-6-271061054.654844.74
2020-6-281071004.605785.66
2020-6-291081004.605739.83
2020-6-30109914.511677.93
2020-7-1110844.431627.18
2020-7-2111794.369587.58
2020-7-3112634.143531.65
2020-7-4113543.989490.42
2020-7-5114503.912450.43
2020-7-6115503.912411.55
2020-7-7116463.829381.44
2020-7-8117523.951357.78
2020-7-9118533.973212.97
2020-7-10119503.9122913.78
2020-7-111200270
2020-7-121210240
2020-7-131220220
2020-7-141230200
2020-7-151240180
2020-7-161250170
2020-7-171260150
2020-7-181270140
2020-7-191280120
2020-7-201290110
2020-7-211300100
2020-7-22131090
2020-7-23132080
2020-7-24133070
2020-7-25134060
2020-7-26135060
2020-7-27136050
2020-7-28137050
2020-7-29138040
2020-7-30139040
2020-7-31140030
2020-8-1141030
2020-8-2142020
2020-8-3143020
2020-8-4144020
2020-8-5145020
2020-8-6146010
2020-8-7147010
2020-8-8148010
2020-8-9149010
2020-8-10150010
2020-8-11151000
2020-8-12152000
2020-8-13153000
2020-8-14154000
2020-8-15155000
2020-8-16156000
2020-8-17157000
2020-8-18158000
2020-8-19159000
2020-8-20160000
2020-8-21161000
2020-8-22162000
2020-8-23163000
2020-8-24164000
2020-8-25165000
2020-8-26166000
2020-8-27167000
2020-8-28168000
2020-8-29169000
2020-8-30170000
2020-8-31171000
2020-9-1172000
2020-9-2173000
2020-9-3174000
2020-9-4175000
2020-9-5176000
2020-9-6177000
2020-9-7178000
2020-9-8179000
2020-9-9180000
2020-9-10181000
2020-9-11182000
Goodness of fit x2 = 10430.95
Today = 11-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-16 to 10-07-2020
a=4.3933655663476 / b=93109.558104033 / c=5.9445658995547

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-16422045.3181725.91
2020-3-17432245.4122012.57
2020-3-18442575.5492332.46
2020-3-19452665.5832670.01
2020-3-20462825.6423041.59
2020-3-21473055.723424.17
2020-3-22483245.7813839.25
2020-3-23493505.85842513.55
2020-3-24503625.89246924.72
2020-3-25513955.97951427.8
2020-3-26525296.2715601.74
2020-3-27535636.3336063.08
2020-3-28546246.4366521.23
2020-3-29556566.4866982.54
2020-3-30566926.547433.54
2020-3-31577156.5727876.69
2020-4-1587416.6088309.68
2020-4-2598026.6878725.65
2020-4-3609016.8049120.13
2020-4-4619676.8749490.31
2020-4-56210206.9289851.21
2020-4-66310276.93410180.07
2020-4-76410596.96510490.09
2020-4-86510896.99310770.13
2020-4-96611007.00311020
2020-4-106711417.0411240.24
2020-4-116811877.07911441.61
2020-4-126911867.07811600.56
2020-4-137012027.09211740.66
2020-4-147112277.11211841.5
2020-4-157212487.12911922.57
2020-4-167312657.14311973.79
2020-4-177412767.15111994.82
2020-4-187513127.179119910.51
2020-4-197613247.188119613.5
2020-4-207713307.193119116.05
2020-4-217813407.2118420.49
2020-4-227913317.194117420.82
2020-4-238013557.212116231.7
2020-4-248113537.21114936.03
2020-4-258213617.216113445.32
2020-4-268313617.216111753.07
2020-4-278413647.218109963.77
2020-4-288513707.223107978.05
2020-4-298613807.23105897.3
2020-4-308713887.2361037118.6
2020-5-18813897.2361014138.13
2020-5-28913907.237991160.43
2020-5-39013867.234967181.38
2020-5-49113897.236942211.44
2020-5-59213957.241917248.45
2020-5-69313947.24892282.23
2020-5-79413917.238866317.28
2020-5-8959656.87284018.31
2020-5-9969266.83181515.07
2020-5-10979296.83478924.67
2020-5-11989296.83476335.72
2020-5-12999086.81173838.97
2020-5-131009136.81771356.01
2020-5-141017876.66868814.18
2020-5-151027806.65966320.42
2020-5-161037736.6563927.93
2020-5-171047736.6561540.26
2020-5-181057826.66259260.82
2020-5-191067896.67156984.74
2020-5-201077746.65254694.21
2020-5-211082485.513525146.28
2020-5-221092355.46503143.48
2020-5-231102315.442483131.61
2020-5-241112275.425463120.31
2020-5-251122215.398443111.6
2020-5-261132175.38424101.43
2020-5-271142135.36140691.83
2020-5-281152115.35238880.98
2020-5-291161825.20437196.39
2020-5-301171765.1735489.9
2020-5-311181775.17633877.05
2020-6-11191775.17632366.03
2020-6-21201705.13630861.95
2020-6-31211615.08129360.06
2020-6-41221585.06328053.2
2020-6-51231745.15926632.3
2020-6-61241875.23125417.73
2020-6-71251895.24224111.58
2020-6-81261885.2362307.75
2020-6-91271945.2682192.86
2020-6-101281995.2932080.41
2020-6-111291995.2931980
2020-6-121301985.2881880.51
2020-6-131311995.2931782.28
2020-6-141321995.2931695.02
2020-6-151331885.2361614.44
2020-6-161341785.1821534.06
2020-6-171351655.1061452.68
2020-6-181361605.0751373.57
2020-6-191371555.0431304.51
2020-6-201381545.0371237.29
2020-6-211391484.9971177.91
2020-6-221401474.9911111.39
2020-6-231411424.95610512.6
2020-6-241421314.875999.62
2020-6-251431254.828949.69
2020-6-261441204.7878910.24
2020-6-271451054.654844.75
2020-6-281461004.605804.78
2020-6-291471004.605767.51
2020-6-30148914.511725.01
2020-7-1149844.431683.7
2020-7-2150794.369643.28
2020-7-3151634.143600.07
2020-7-4152543.989570.23
2020-7-5153503.912540.37
2020-7-6154503.912510.05
2020-7-7155463.829480.15
2020-7-8156523.951460.77
2020-7-9157533.97432.07
2020-7-10158503.912411.92
2020-7-111590380
2020-7-121600360
2020-7-131610340
2020-7-141620320
2020-7-151630300
2020-7-161640290
2020-7-171650270
2020-7-181660260
2020-7-191670240
2020-7-201680230
2020-7-211690210
2020-7-221700200
2020-7-231710190
2020-7-241720180
2020-7-251730170
2020-7-261740160
2020-7-271750150
2020-7-281760140
2020-7-291770130
2020-7-301780120
2020-7-311790120
2020-8-11800110
2020-8-21810100
2020-8-31820100
2020-8-4183090
2020-8-5184090
2020-8-6185080
2020-8-7186080
2020-8-8187070
2020-8-9188070
2020-8-10189060
2020-8-11190060
2020-8-12191060
2020-8-13192050
2020-8-14193050
2020-8-15194050
2020-8-16195040
2020-8-17196040
2020-8-18197040
2020-8-19198040
2020-8-20199030
2020-8-21200030
2020-8-22201030
2020-8-23202030
2020-8-24203020
2020-8-25204020
2020-8-26205020
2020-8-27206020
2020-8-28207020
2020-8-29208020
2020-8-30209020
2020-8-31210010
2020-9-1211010
2020-9-2212010
2020-9-3213010
2020-9-4214010
2020-9-5215010
2020-9-6216010
2020-9-7217010
2020-9-8218010
2020-9-9219010
2020-9-10220010
2020-9-11221010
Goodness of fit x2 = 4454.91