COVID-19 Online Forecast Estonia Statistics Forum


Estonia / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 12.08.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 12-08-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-16 to 11-08-2020
a=-4.6351567370702 / b=865.291109958 / c=0.00014145668133373

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-1632045.318858498.68
2020-3-1742245.412856466.81
2020-3-1852575.549854417.34
2020-3-1962665.583851402.65
2020-3-2072825.642848378.56
2020-3-2183055.72845345.93
2020-3-2293245.781842319.38
2020-3-23103505.858839285.39
2020-3-24113625.892835268.65
2020-3-25123955.979832229.59
2020-3-26135296.271828108
2020-3-27145636.33382382.57
2020-3-28156246.43681946.58
2020-3-29166566.48681430.92
2020-3-30176926.5480917.15
2020-3-31187156.57280410.02
2020-4-1197416.6087994.29
2020-4-2208026.6877940.08
2020-4-3219016.80478816.06
2020-4-4229676.87478243.41
2020-4-52310206.92877676.22
2020-4-62410276.93477085.37
2020-4-72510596.965764113.72
2020-4-82610896.993757144.84
2020-4-92711007.003751162.11
2020-4-102811417.04744211.47
2020-4-112911877.079737274.24
2020-4-123011867.078730284.45
2020-4-133112027.092723317.31
2020-4-143212277.112715365.34
2020-4-153312487.129708411.47
2020-4-163412657.143700454.71
2020-4-173512767.151692490.77
2020-4-183613127.179685573.78
2020-4-193713247.188677617.98
2020-4-203813307.193669652.8
2020-4-213913407.2660697.54
2020-4-224013317.194652704.65
2020-4-234113557.212644783.26
2020-4-244213537.21636807.82
2020-4-254313617.216627856.61
2020-4-264413617.216619888.58
2020-4-274513647.218610929.29
2020-4-284613707.223602979.46
2020-4-294713807.235931042.58
2020-4-304813887.2365841103.45
2020-5-14913897.2365761147.44
2020-5-25013907.2375671193.28
2020-5-35113867.2345581226.16
2020-5-45213897.2365491281.57
2020-5-55313957.2415401348.84
2020-5-65413947.245321396.44
2020-5-75513917.2385231439.26
2020-5-8569656.872514394.74
2020-5-9579266.831505349.63
2020-5-10589296.834496376.1
2020-5-11599296.834487398.61
2020-5-12609086.811479383.72
2020-5-13619136.817470416.32
2020-5-14627876.668461229.15
2020-5-15637806.659453235.98
2020-5-16647736.65444243
2020-5-17657736.65435260.95
2020-5-18667826.662427294.63
2020-5-19677896.671418327.48
2020-5-20687746.652410322.53
2020-5-21692485.51340158.9
2020-5-22702355.4639363.85
2020-5-23712315.44238561.75
2020-5-24722275.42537759.69
2020-5-25732215.39836859.28
2020-5-26742175.3836057.32
2020-5-27752135.36135255.42
2020-5-28762115.35234452
2020-5-29771825.20433771.36
2020-5-30781765.1732971.4
2020-5-31791775.17632165.08
2020-6-1801775.17631459.86
2020-6-2811705.13630660.89
2020-6-3821615.08129963.88
2020-6-4831585.06329161.48
2020-6-5841745.15928443.1
2020-6-6851875.23127729.62
2020-6-7861895.24227024.66
2020-6-8871885.23626321.79
2020-6-9881945.26825715.46
2020-6-10891995.29325010.53
2020-6-11901995.2932438.22
2020-6-12911985.2882376.51
2020-6-13921995.2932304.41
2020-6-14931995.2932242.93
2020-6-15941885.2362184.26
2020-6-16951785.1822125.59
2020-6-17961655.1062068.35
2020-6-18971605.0752008.26
2020-6-19981555.0431948.2
2020-6-20991545.0371896.61
2020-6-211001484.9971837
2020-6-221011474.991785.56
2020-6-231021424.9561735.63
2020-6-241031314.8751688.17
2020-6-251041254.8281628.85
2020-6-261051204.7871589.15
2020-6-271061054.65415315.15
2020-6-281071004.60514815.81
2020-6-291081004.60514313.34
2020-6-30109914.51113916.73
2020-7-1110844.43113419.17
2020-7-2111794.36913020.34
2020-7-3112634.14312631.73
2020-7-4113543.98912238.06
2020-7-5114503.91211839.33
2020-7-6115503.91211436.14
2020-7-7116463.82911037.6
2020-7-8117523.95110628.06
2020-7-9118533.9710324.34
2020-7-10119503.9129924.67
2020-7-11120503.9129622.14
2020-7-12121503.9129219.73
2020-7-13122503.9128917.46
2020-7-14123493.8928616.17
2020-7-15124463.8298316.7
2020-7-16125433.7618017.33
2020-7-17126413.7147717.12
2020-7-18127403.6897416.04
2020-7-19128403.6897114.12
2020-7-20129403.6896912.32
2020-7-21130413.714669.85
2020-7-22131443.784646.31
2020-7-23132463.829613.99
2020-7-24133443.784593.97
2020-7-25134493.892571.14
2020-7-26135433.761542.57
2020-7-27136423.738522.19
2020-7-28137453.807500.63
2020-7-29138473.85480.06
2020-7-30139564.025461.83
2020-7-31140654.174449.03
2020-8-1141694.2344315.61
2020-8-2142824.4074140.03
2020-8-3143824.4073945.26
2020-8-4144914.5113873.86
2020-8-51451024.62536117.93
2020-8-61461074.67334148.72
2020-8-71471144.73633193.8
2020-8-81481234.81232258.01
2020-8-91491284.85230308.43
2020-8-101501334.8929365.32
2020-8-111511364.91328413.76
2020-8-121520260
2020-8-131530250
2020-8-141540240
2020-8-151550230
2020-8-161560220
2020-8-171570210
2020-8-181580200
2020-8-191590190
2020-8-201600180
2020-8-211610170
2020-8-221620170
2020-8-231630160
2020-8-241640150
2020-8-251650140
2020-8-261660140
2020-8-271670130
2020-8-281680120
2020-8-291690120
2020-8-301700110
2020-8-311710110
2020-9-11720100
2020-9-2173090
2020-9-3174090
2020-9-4175090
2020-9-5176080
2020-9-6177080
2020-9-7178070
2020-9-8179070
2020-9-9180060
2020-9-10181060
2020-9-11182060
2020-9-12183050
2020-9-13184050
2020-9-14185050
2020-9-15186050
2020-9-16187040
2020-9-17188040
2020-9-18189040
2020-9-19190040
2020-9-20191030
2020-9-21192030
2020-9-22193030
2020-9-23194030
2020-9-24195030
2020-9-25196020
2020-9-26197020
2020-9-27198020
2020-9-28199020
2020-9-29200020
2020-9-30201020
2020-10-1202020
2020-10-2203010
2020-10-3204010
2020-10-4205010
2020-10-5206010
2020-10-6207010
2020-10-7208010
2020-10-8209010
2020-10-9210010
2020-10-10211010
Goodness of fit x2 = 34994.69
Today = 12-08-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-16 to 11-08-2020
a=4.1042574516372 / b=54926.54725256 / c=2.3090083629504

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-16212045.3181950.36
2020-3-17222245.4122330.37
2020-3-18232575.5492730.99
2020-3-19242665.5833157.83
2020-3-20252825.64235916.73
2020-3-21263055.7240424.44
2020-3-22273245.78144935.2
2020-3-23283505.85849542.64
2020-3-24293625.89254058.92
2020-3-25303955.97958461.59
2020-3-26315296.27162715.58
2020-3-27325636.33366916.96
2020-3-28336246.43670910.28
2020-3-29346566.48674711.12
2020-3-30356926.5478210.5
2020-3-31367156.57281512.44
2020-4-1377416.60884613.1
2020-4-2388026.6878745.96
2020-4-3399016.8048990
2020-4-4409676.8749212.2
2020-4-54110206.9289416.5
2020-4-64210276.9349584.84
2020-4-74310596.9659737.53
2020-4-84410896.99398510.9
2020-4-94511007.00399411.11
2020-4-104611417.04100119.3
2020-4-114711877.079100632.26
2020-4-124811867.078100930.89
2020-4-134912027.092101036.49
2020-4-145012277.112100847.25
2020-4-155112487.129100558.47
2020-4-165212657.143100069.81
2020-4-175312767.15199479.82
2020-4-185413127.179986107.46
2020-4-195513247.188977123.05
2020-4-205613307.193966136.42
2020-4-215713407.2955154.9
2020-4-225813317.194942159.82
2020-4-235913557.212929194.87
2020-4-246013537.21915209.39
2020-4-256113617.216900235.69
2020-4-266213617.216884256.23
2020-4-276313647.218868282.24
2020-4-286413707.223852314.4
2020-4-296513807.23835354.89
2020-4-306613887.236818396.58
2020-5-16713897.236800431.79
2020-5-26813907.237783469.82
2020-5-36913867.234765502.64
2020-5-47013897.236747549.64
2020-5-57113957.241730605.64
2020-5-67213947.24712652.51
2020-5-77313917.238694698.41
2020-5-8749656.872676122.63
2020-5-9759266.831659107.82
2020-5-10769296.834641128.3
2020-5-11779296.834624148.09
2020-5-12789086.811607148.24
2020-5-13799136.817591175.35
2020-5-14807876.66857478.56
2020-5-15817806.65955888.06
2020-5-16827736.6554298.15
2020-5-17837736.65526115.31
2020-5-18847826.662511143.49
2020-5-19857896.671496172.99
2020-5-20867746.652481178.07
2020-5-21872485.513466102.54
2020-5-22882355.46452104.62
2020-5-23892315.44243898.38
2020-5-24902275.42542592.42
2020-5-25912215.39841288.58
2020-5-26922175.3839983.15
2020-5-27932135.36138677.98
2020-5-28942115.35237471.33
2020-5-29951825.20436289.89
2020-5-30961765.1735087.21
2020-5-31971775.17633977.91
2020-6-1981775.17632870.03
2020-6-2991705.13631868.93
2020-6-31001615.08130769.96
2020-6-41011585.06329765.54
2020-6-51021745.15928745.08
2020-6-61031875.23127830.04
2020-6-71041895.24226923.93
2020-6-81051885.23626020.11
2020-6-91061945.26825113.24
2020-6-101071995.2932438.08
2020-6-111081995.2932355.58
2020-6-121091985.2882273.79
2020-6-131101995.2932191.96
2020-6-141111995.2932120.84
2020-6-151121885.2362051.44
2020-6-161131785.1821982.08
2020-6-171141655.1061913.7
2020-6-181151605.0751853.41
2020-6-191161555.0431783.18
2020-6-201171545.0371722.04
2020-6-211181484.9971662.15
2020-6-221191474.991611.26
2020-6-231201424.9561551.22
2020-6-241211314.8751502.52
2020-6-251221254.8281452.85
2020-6-261231204.7871402.96
2020-6-271241054.6541356.9
2020-6-281251004.6051307.32
2020-6-291261004.6051265.55
2020-6-30127914.5111227.95
2020-7-1128844.4311179.79
2020-7-2129794.36911310.72
2020-7-3130634.14311020.12
2020-7-4131543.98910625.73
2020-7-5132503.91210227.01
2020-7-6133503.9129924.36
2020-7-7134463.8299525.85
2020-7-8135523.9519217.72
2020-7-9136533.978914.76
2020-7-10137503.9128615.24
2020-7-11138503.9128313.32
2020-7-12139503.9128011.53
2020-7-13140503.912779.88
2020-7-14141493.892759.05
2020-7-15142463.829729.68
2020-7-16143433.7617010.43
2020-7-17144413.7146710.49
2020-7-18145403.689659.82
2020-7-19146403.689638.46
2020-7-20147403.689607.2
2020-7-21148413.714585.43
2020-7-22149443.784562.91
2020-7-23150463.829541.45
2020-7-24151443.784531.55
2020-7-25152493.892510.1
2020-7-26153433.761490.86
2020-7-27154423.738470.72
2020-7-28155453.807460.03
2020-7-29156473.85440.12
2020-7-30157564.025433.82
2020-7-31158654.1744113.02
2020-8-1159694.2344020.45
2020-8-2160824.4073847.63
2020-8-3161824.4073752.34
2020-8-4162914.5113682.11
2020-8-51631024.62535127.23
2020-8-61641074.67333157.11
2020-8-71651144.73632200.81
2020-8-81661234.81231262.69
2020-8-91671284.85230309.08
2020-8-101681334.8929360.57
2020-8-111691364.91328402.38
2020-8-121700270
2020-8-131710260
2020-8-141720250
2020-8-151730250
2020-8-161740240
2020-8-171750230
2020-8-181760220
2020-8-191770210
2020-8-201780210
2020-8-211790200
2020-8-221800190
2020-8-231810190
2020-8-241820180
2020-8-251830170
2020-8-261840170
2020-8-271850160
2020-8-281860160
2020-8-291870150
2020-8-301880150
2020-8-311890140
2020-9-11900140
2020-9-21910130
2020-9-31920130
2020-9-41930120
2020-9-51940120
2020-9-61950120
2020-9-71960110
2020-9-81970110
2020-9-91980100
2020-9-101990100
2020-9-112000100
2020-9-12201090
2020-9-13202090
2020-9-14203090
2020-9-15204080
2020-9-16205080
2020-9-17206080
2020-9-18207080
2020-9-19208070
2020-9-20209070
2020-9-21210070
2020-9-22211070
2020-9-23212060
2020-9-24213060
2020-9-25214060
2020-9-26215060
2020-9-27216060
2020-9-28217050
2020-9-29218050
2020-9-30219050
2020-10-1220050
2020-10-2221050
2020-10-3222050
2020-10-4223040
2020-10-5224040
2020-10-6225040
2020-10-7226040
2020-10-8227040
2020-10-9228040
2020-10-10229040
Goodness of fit x2 = 13105.09