COVID-19 Online Forecast Germany Statistics Forum


Germany / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 09.08.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 09-08-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-4 to 08-08-2020
a=68.494095112585 / b=20910.82183391 / c=0.00022860399087869

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-432465.50578437359.14
2020-3-544666.14480797174.87
2020-3-656536.48283197065.15
2020-3-767816.66185637072.24
2020-3-8710226.9388096883.76
2020-3-9811567.05390586893.83
2020-3-10914377.2793106658.01
2020-3-111018807.53995646174.28
2020-3-121120507.62698216149.63
2020-3-131236228.195100814138.4
2020-3-141345308.418103423266.61
2020-3-151457388.655106052234.21
2020-3-161571888.88108701247.71
2020-3-171691669.12311137348.99
2020-3-1817121949.4091140554.52
2020-3-1918151639.627116741042.42
2020-3-2019196019.883119444908.01
2020-3-2120218969.994122147672.7
2020-3-22212451310.1071248511584.9
2020-3-23222866710.2641275719841.61
2020-3-24232958610.2951302821043.31
2020-3-25243357010.4211329930897.71
2020-3-26253799810.5451356943978.93
2020-3-27264387110.6891383865175.56
2020-3-28274878110.7951410685227.07
2020-3-29285235110.86614373100339.81
2020-3-30295274010.8731463999164.81
2020-3-31305493310.91414902107529.55
2020-4-1315825210.97315163122439.48
2020-4-2326124711.02315422136161.74
2020-4-3336530911.08715678157112.64
2020-4-4346824811.13115930171808.49
2020-4-5356983911.15416180177944.84
2020-4-6367286411.19616426193906.98
2020-4-7376956611.1516668167870.58
2020-4-8386464711.07716906134811.23
2020-4-9396316711.05417139123601.27
2020-4-10406549111.0917368133331.45
2020-4-11416477211.07917592126528.76
2020-4-12426453211.07517810122559.64
2020-4-13436257811.04418023110137.85
2020-4-144459865111823095081.05
2020-4-15455834910.9741843186446.45
2020-4-16465664610.9451862677601.78
2020-4-17475393110.8951881465540.15
2020-4-18485348310.8871899662607.7
2020-4-19495259810.871917058284.83
2020-4-20505070310.8341933850871.46
2020-4-21514805810.781949741834.48
2020-4-22524596910.7361964935251.69
2020-4-23534425410.6981979430225.3
2020-4-24543943910.5831993019095.97
2020-4-25554083610.6172005821523.08
2020-4-26563979410.5912017719070.34
2020-4-27573813210.5492028815692.6
2020-4-28583619810.4972039012253.6
2020-4-29593467210.454204849826.51
2020-4-30603288610.401205687375.97
2020-5-1613044110.324206444649.27
2020-5-2622915510.28207103443.47
2020-5-3632819810.247207672658.99
2020-5-4642645910.183208141530.68
2020-5-5652491410.12320852791.05
2020-5-666209879.952208810.54
2020-5-767203389.922090015.12
2020-5-868213789.972090910.49
2020-5-969204759.927209099.03
2020-5-1070199109.8992089946.89
2020-5-1171192989.86820880119.98
2020-5-1272182339.81120852328.98
2020-5-1373175379.77220813515.94
2020-5-1474162949.69920766963.21
2020-5-1575157399.664207091192.96
2020-5-1676152149.63206431427.9
2020-5-1777143969.575205671851.98
2020-5-1878135079.511204832376.02
2020-5-1979140169.548203891992.43
2020-5-2080133639.5202872363.44
2020-5-2181127319.452201762747.47
2020-5-2282124189.427200562909.29
2020-5-2383120099.393199283147.34
2020-5-2484117649.373197923256.63
2020-5-2585110929.314196483725.96
2020-5-2686108619.293194963824.54
2020-5-2787102769.238193364245.24
2020-5-2888103669.246191684042.52
2020-5-2989101739.227189944096.8
2020-5-309097519.185188124364.9
2020-5-319195189.161186244452.61
2020-6-19294079.149184294417.19
2020-6-29387079.072182284973.4
2020-6-39480668.995180215499.4
2020-6-49579288.978178085481.64
2020-6-59677868.96175895464.1
2020-6-69778198.964173655248.38
2020-6-79878418.967171375042.7
2020-6-89978588.969169034840.55
2020-6-910076418.941166654886.95
2020-6-1010171408.873164235247.6
2020-6-1110269588.848161775254.22
2020-6-1210369088.84159275108
2020-6-1310465048.78156755365.77
2020-6-1410566288.799154195012.23
2020-6-1510661838.73151605316.12
2020-6-1610765908.793148994634.08
2020-6-1710861548.725146354915.53
2020-6-1810970958.867143703683.58
2020-6-1911074408.915141033148.5
2020-6-2011171668.877138353215.06
2020-6-2111276378.941135662591.32
2020-6-2211377268.952132952333.32
2020-6-2311477418.954130252143.67
2020-6-2411575218.925127532147.09
2020-6-2511676678.945124821857.9
2020-6-2611779228.977122111506.93
2020-6-2711879728.984119411319.35
2020-6-2811980688.996116711112.45
2020-6-2912082969.02411402846.23
2020-6-3012183289.02711134707.33
2020-7-112277988.96210867867.1
2020-7-212375648.93110602870.88
2020-7-312474708.91910339796.31
2020-7-412571788.87910077834.48
2020-7-512667818.8229818939.81
2020-7-612768828.8379561751.01
2020-7-712866508.8029307758.64
2020-7-812965008.789055721.1
2020-7-913062168.7358806761.9
2020-7-1013162418.7398560628.3
2020-7-1113263738.768317454.41
2020-7-1213364348.7698077334.28
2020-7-1313460068.7017840429.29
2020-7-1413562788.7457607232.37
2020-7-1513658108.6677378333.25
2020-7-1613759638.6937152197.72
2020-7-1713860578.7096930109.98
2020-7-1813961358.722671149.56
2020-7-1914062438.73964979.96
2020-7-2014161618.72662862.52
2020-7-2114263978.764608016.47
2020-7-2214365468.787587875.86
2020-7-2314466318.85680159.2
2020-7-2414568078.8265486318.05
2020-7-2514672358.8875296709.67
2020-7-2614774888.92151101105.81
2020-7-2714876738.94549291527.03
2020-7-2814978658.9747522038.7
2020-7-2915081329.00445792755.7
2020-7-3015188409.08744114446.98
2020-7-3115292609.13342465918.05
2020-8-115392159.12940866435.19
2020-8-215491589.12239306950.45
2020-8-315593639.14537798249.17
2020-8-415694929.15836319454.78
2020-8-5157103669.246348813556.86
2020-8-6158105779.266334915594.22
2020-8-7159110669.312321419176.56
2020-8-8160111529.319308321111.68
2020-8-9161029560
2020-8-10162028330
2020-8-11163027140
2020-8-12164025980
2020-8-13165024870
2020-8-14166023790
2020-8-15167022750
2020-8-16168021740
2020-8-17169020770
2020-8-18170019830
2020-8-19171018930
2020-8-20172018060
2020-8-21173017220
2020-8-22174016410
2020-8-23175015630
2020-8-24176014890
2020-8-25177014170
2020-8-26178013480
2020-8-27179012820
2020-8-28180012180
2020-8-29181011570
2020-8-30182010990
2020-8-31183010430
2020-9-118409900
2020-9-218509390
2020-9-318608900
2020-9-418708430
2020-9-518807980
2020-9-618907560
2020-9-719007150
2020-9-819106760
2020-9-919206390
2020-9-1019306040
2020-9-1119405700
2020-9-1219505380
2020-9-1319605080
2020-9-1419704790
2020-9-1519804520
2020-9-1619904260
2020-9-1720004010
2020-9-1820103770
2020-9-1920203550
2020-9-2020303340
2020-9-2120403140
2020-9-2220502950
2020-9-2320602770
2020-9-2420702600
2020-9-2520802440
2020-9-2620902290
2020-9-2721002140
2020-9-2821102010
2020-9-2921201880
2020-9-3021301760
2020-10-121401650
2020-10-221501540
2020-10-321601440
2020-10-421701350
2020-10-521801260
2020-10-621901170
2020-10-722001100
2020-10-822101020
2020-10-92220950
2020-10-102230890
2020-10-112240830
2020-10-122250770
2020-10-132260720
2020-10-142270660
2020-10-152280620
2020-10-162290570
2020-10-172300530
2020-10-182310490
2020-10-192320460
2020-10-202330430
2020-10-212340390
2020-10-222350360
2020-10-232360340
2020-10-242370310
2020-10-252380290
2020-10-262390270
2020-10-272400250
2020-10-282410230
2020-10-292420210
2020-10-302430190
2020-10-312440180
2020-11-12450160
2020-11-22460150
2020-11-32470140
2020-11-42480130
2020-11-52490120
2020-11-62500110
2020-11-72510100
2020-11-8252090
2020-11-9253080
2020-11-10254080
Goodness of fit x2 = 3568031.17
Today = 09-08-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-4 to 08-08-2020
a=4.4172983657496 / b=2560120.2959052 / c=2.7122176270897

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-4212465.505734325.31
2020-3-5224666.144986274.39
2020-3-6236536.4821291315.93
2020-3-7247816.6611656462.49
2020-3-82510226.932082540.1
2020-3-92611567.0532573780.58
2020-3-102714377.273129915.36
2020-3-112818807.5393751933.65
2020-3-122920507.62644381285.2
2020-3-133036228.1955188472.71
2020-3-143145308.4185997359.16
2020-3-153257388.6556863184.61
2020-3-163371888.88778145.25
2020-3-173491669.123874520.19
2020-3-1835121949.4099751611.92
2020-3-1936151639.627107911770.52
2020-3-2037196019.883118615050.44
2020-3-2138218969.994129536174.41
2020-3-22392451310.107140607769.87
2020-3-23402866710.2641517711988.09
2020-3-24412958610.2951629810833.09
2020-3-25423357010.4211741514983.91
2020-3-26433799810.5451852420471.07
2020-3-27444387110.6891961829979.68
2020-3-28454878110.7952069338122.88
2020-3-29465235110.8662174443082.55
2020-3-30475274010.8732276539465.95
2020-3-31485493310.9142375440923.48
2020-4-1495825210.9732470645546.09
2020-4-2506124711.0232561949545.64
2020-4-3516530911.0872648956887.4
2020-4-4526824811.1312731561337.83
2020-4-5536983911.1542809462026.11
2020-4-6547286411.1962882567280.31
2020-4-7556956611.152950754384.17
2020-4-8566464711.0773013839512.4
2020-4-9576316711.0543071934274.19
2020-4-10586549111.093124837522.75
2020-4-11596477211.0793172734416.5
2020-4-12606453211.0753215532599.07
2020-4-13616257811.0443253327746.01
2020-4-146259865113286222188.41
2020-4-15635834910.9743314219171.3
2020-4-16645664610.9453337516225.8
2020-4-17655393110.8953356112362.55
2020-4-18665348310.8873370311607.87
2020-4-19675259810.873380210451.67
2020-4-20685070310.834338588379.81
2020-4-21694805810.78338755938.03
2020-4-22704596910.736338534336.22
2020-4-23714425410.698337943237.47
2020-4-24723943910.58333700977.27
2020-4-25734083610.617335721571.34
2020-4-26743979410.591334131218.27
2020-4-27753813210.54933224724.72
2020-4-28763619810.49733008308.28
2020-4-29773467210.45432764111.02
2020-4-30783288610.401324964.66
2020-5-1793044110.3243220596.72
2020-5-2802915510.2831893235.17
2020-5-3812819810.24731561358.49
2020-5-4822645910.18331211723.65
2020-5-5832491410.123308441140.31
2020-5-684209879.952304622947.41
2020-5-785203389.92300663147.87
2020-5-886213789.97296582311.74
2020-5-987204759.927292382626.73
2020-5-1088199109.899288092749
2020-5-1189192989.868283712901.57
2020-5-1290182339.811279253364.03
2020-5-1391175379.772274733593.57
2020-5-1492162949.699270154254.94
2020-5-1593157399.664265534404.29
2020-5-1694152149.63260874532.2
2020-5-1795143969.575256194916.59
2020-5-1896135079.511251485389.24
2020-5-1997140169.548246774606.14
2020-5-2098133639.5242054856.97
2020-5-2199127319.452237345101.28
2020-5-22100124189.427232645056.59
2020-5-23101120099.393227955103.8
2020-5-24102117649.373223284998.46
2020-5-25103110929.314218645307.43
2020-5-26104108619.293214035192.69
2020-5-27105102769.238209455435.24
2020-5-28106103669.246204925003.94
2020-5-29107101739.227200434860.46
2020-5-3010897519.185195984947.99
2020-5-3110995189.161191584851.35
2020-6-111094079.149187244636.45
2020-6-211187079.072182955025.28
2020-6-311280668.995178725380.61
2020-6-411379288.978174555199.88
2020-6-511477868.96170435028.62
2020-6-611578198.964166384675.15
2020-6-711678418.967162404343.93
2020-6-811778588.969158484028.32
2020-6-911876418.941154623956.41
2020-6-1011971408.873150834183.42
2020-6-1112069588.848147114086.35
2020-6-1212169088.84143463856.46
2020-6-1312265048.78139874003.78
2020-6-1412366288.799136353601.46
2020-6-1512461838.73132903801.23
2020-6-1612565908.793129523125.59
2020-6-1712661548.725126213314.11
2020-6-1812770958.867122972200.68
2020-6-1912874408.915119791720.16
2020-6-2012971668.877116681737.38
2020-6-2113076378.941113641222.48
2020-6-2213177268.952110661008.44
2020-6-2313277418.95410775854.61
2020-6-2413375218.92510491840.86
2020-6-2513476678.94510213634.71
2020-6-2613579228.9779941410.17
2020-6-2713679728.9849675300.04
2020-6-2813780688.9969416193.15
2020-6-2913882969.024916382.13
2020-6-3013983289.027891638.83
2020-7-114077988.962867588.72
2020-7-214175648.931843990.92
2020-7-314274708.919821066.77
2020-7-414371788.879798681.85
2020-7-514467818.8227768125.44
2020-7-614568828.837755559.99
2020-7-714666508.802734766.24
2020-7-814765008.78714558.28
2020-7-914862168.735694877.15
2020-7-1014962418.739675639.26
2020-7-1115063738.7665685.84
2020-7-1215164348.76963860.35
2020-7-1315260068.70162086.63
2020-7-1415362788.74560359.7
2020-7-1515458108.66758670.57
2020-7-1615559638.693570311.8
2020-7-1715660578.709554347.47
2020-7-1815761358.7225388103.38
2020-7-1915862438.7395237193.08
2020-7-2015961618.7265090225.24
2020-7-2116063978.7644947424.98
2020-7-2216165468.7874807628.52
2020-7-2316266318.84672821.29
2020-7-2416368078.82645401131.68
2020-7-2516472358.88744111806.32
2020-7-2616574888.92142872389.68
2020-7-2716676738.94541652952.57
2020-7-2816778658.9740473599.58
2020-7-2916881329.00439334482.66
2020-7-3016988409.08738216590.34
2020-7-3117092609.13337138286.71
2020-8-117192159.12936078715.96
2020-8-217291589.12235059117.23
2020-8-317393639.145340510422.9
2020-8-417494929.158330811557.08
2020-8-5175103669.246321415912.4
2020-8-6176105779.266312217793.84
2020-8-7177110669.312303321265.87
2020-8-8178111529.319294722839.69
2020-8-9179028630
2020-8-10180027810
2020-8-11181027020
2020-8-12182026250
2020-8-13183025500
2020-8-14184024770
2020-8-15185024060
2020-8-16186023380
2020-8-17187022710
2020-8-18188022060
2020-8-19189021430
2020-8-20190020820
2020-8-21191020230
2020-8-22192019650
2020-8-23193019090
2020-8-24194018540
2020-8-25195018010
2020-8-26196017500
2020-8-27197017000
2020-8-28198016520
2020-8-29199016050
2020-8-30200015590
2020-8-31201015140
2020-9-1202014710
2020-9-2203014290
2020-9-3204013890
2020-9-4205013490
2020-9-5206013110
2020-9-6207012740
2020-9-7208012370
2020-9-8209012020
2020-9-9210011680
2020-9-10211011350
2020-9-11212011030
2020-9-12213010720
2020-9-13214010410
2020-9-14215010120
2020-9-1521609830
2020-9-1621709550
2020-9-1721809280
2020-9-1821909020
2020-9-1922008770
2020-9-2022108520
2020-9-2122208280
2020-9-2222308040
2020-9-2322407820
2020-9-2422507600
2020-9-2522607380
2020-9-2622707180
2020-9-2722806980
2020-9-2822906780
2020-9-2923006590
2020-9-3023106400
2020-10-123206230
2020-10-223306050
2020-10-323405880
2020-10-423505720
2020-10-523605560
2020-10-623705400
2020-10-723805250
2020-10-823905110
2020-10-924004960
2020-10-1024104830
2020-10-1124204690
2020-10-1224304560
2020-10-1324404430
2020-10-1424504310
2020-10-1524604190
2020-10-1624704080
2020-10-1724803960
2020-10-1824903850
2020-10-1925003750
2020-10-2025103640
2020-10-2125203540
2020-10-2225303450
2020-10-2325403350
2020-10-2425503260
2020-10-2525603170
2020-10-2625703080
2020-10-2725803000
2020-10-2825902920
2020-10-2926002840
2020-10-3026102760
2020-10-3126202680
2020-11-126302610
2020-11-226402540
2020-11-326502470
2020-11-426602400
2020-11-526702340
2020-11-626802270
2020-11-726902210
2020-11-827002150
2020-11-927102090
2020-11-1027202040
Goodness of fit x2 = 1350640.49