COVID-19 Online Forecast Hungary Statistics Forum


Hungary / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 14.07.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 14-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-25 to 13-07-2020
a=59.076808046794 / b=1757.6790621055 / c=0.00047495118967322

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-2531955.273394101.07
2020-3-2642235.40741689.64
2020-3-2752565.54543875.81
2020-3-2862985.69746157.73
2020-3-2973615.88948431.6
2020-3-3083985.98650924.25
2020-3-3194396.08453416.96
2020-4-1104656.14255916.09
2020-4-2115226.2585867.07
2020-4-3125546.3176135.77
2020-4-4135886.3776414.42
2020-4-5146336.456692
2020-4-6156396.466985.08
2020-4-7166996.557281.16
2020-4-8177436.6117580.3
2020-4-9188186.7077881.09
2020-4-101910016.90981940.11
2020-4-112011107.01285178.77
2020-4-122111937.084882108.97
2020-4-132212297.114914107.82
2020-4-142312687.145947108.59
2020-4-152412537.13397976.16
2020-4-162513117.179101287.97
2020-4-172614007.2441045120.31
2020-4-182714317.2661078115.43
2020-4-192814777.2981111120.54
2020-4-202915187.3251143122.43
2020-4-213015987.3771176151.11
2020-4-223116487.4071208159.62
2020-4-233216557.4121240138.24
2020-4-243317237.4521272159.44
2020-4-253417237.4521303134.74
2020-4-263517437.4631334124.94
2020-4-273618057.4981364141.92
2020-4-283718427.5191394143.63
2020-4-293818917.5451423153.66
2020-4-303918827.541451127.73
2020-5-14019317.5661478138.36
2020-5-24119827.5921505151.18
2020-5-34220297.6151530162.49
2020-5-44320547.6281554160.41
2020-5-54419937.5971577109.26
2020-5-64519797.59159989.88
2020-5-74619667.584162073.63
2020-5-84719217.561164048.13
2020-5-94819047.552165836.44
2020-5-104919177.559167434.99
2020-5-115019057.552169027.29
2020-5-125118817.54170418.37
2020-5-135218097.50117165
2020-5-145317757.48217271.33
2020-5-155416887.43117361.34
2020-5-165516547.41117434.63
2020-5-175616627.41617494.4
2020-5-185716737.42217543.75
2020-5-195816777.42517563.62
2020-5-205916747.42317573.98
2020-5-216016597.41417565.46
2020-5-226116157.387175411.11
2020-5-236215767.363175017.41
2020-5-246315657.356174418.54
2020-5-256415547.349173719.39
2020-5-266514367.27172849.54
2020-5-276614327.267171847.65
2020-5-286713117.179170691.48
2020-5-296813007.17169291
2020-5-306912017.0911677135.29
2020-5-317012037.0931660126.21
2020-6-17112097.0981642114.6
2020-6-27212297.114162395.92
2020-6-37312077.096160397.86
2020-6-47412107.098158187.17
2020-6-57511837.076155890.37
2020-6-67611667.061153488.34
2020-6-77711837.076150870.41
2020-6-87811827.075148261.01
2020-6-97911437.041145567.16
2020-6-108011217.022142765.89
2020-6-118110956.999139866.04
2020-6-128210516.957136974.06
2020-6-138310296.936133971.91
2020-6-148410256.932130861.47
2020-6-158510286.935127748.69
2020-6-16869966.904124550.06
2020-6-17879646.871121351.37
2020-6-18889476.853118146.5
2020-6-19899326.837114840.92
2020-6-20909316.836111630.69
2020-6-21919356.841108320.29
2020-6-22929406.846105011.6
2020-6-23939346.83910176.87
2020-6-24949206.8249844.27
2020-6-25959066.8099522.25
2020-6-26968866.7879191.25
2020-6-27978796.7798870.09
2020-6-28988766.7758550.47
2020-6-29998756.7748243.1
2020-6-301008786.7787939.02
2020-7-11018576.75376211.63
2020-7-21028586.75573221.44
2020-7-31038326.72470323.64
2020-7-41048016.68667423.92
2020-7-51057836.66364529.26
2020-7-61067406.60761724.21
2020-7-71077426.60959038.87
2020-7-81087366.60156352.49
2020-7-91097426.60953877.28
2020-7-101106896.53551260.45
2020-7-111116606.49248860.24
2020-7-121126036.40246441.13
2020-7-131135796.36144142.65
2020-7-1411404190
2020-7-1511503970
2020-7-1611603770
2020-7-1711703570
2020-7-1811803370
2020-7-1911903190
2020-7-2012003010
2020-7-2112102840
2020-7-2212202680
2020-7-2312302520
2020-7-2412402370
2020-7-2512502230
2020-7-2612602090
2020-7-2712701960
2020-7-2812801840
2020-7-2912901720
2020-7-3013001610
2020-7-3113101500
2020-8-113201400
2020-8-213301310
2020-8-313401220
2020-8-413501130
2020-8-513601050
2020-8-61370980
2020-8-71380910
2020-8-81390840
2020-8-91400780
2020-8-101410720
2020-8-111420670
2020-8-121430610
2020-8-131440570
2020-8-141450520
2020-8-151460480
2020-8-161470440
2020-8-171480410
2020-8-181490370
2020-8-191500340
2020-8-201510310
2020-8-211520290
2020-8-221530260
2020-8-231540240
2020-8-241550220
2020-8-251560200
2020-8-261570180
2020-8-271580160
2020-8-281590150
2020-8-291600130
2020-8-301610120
2020-8-311620110
2020-9-11630100
2020-9-2164090
2020-9-3165080
2020-9-4166070
2020-9-5167060
2020-9-6168060
2020-9-7169050
2020-9-8170050
2020-9-9171040
2020-9-10172040
2020-9-11173030
2020-9-12174030
2020-9-13175020
2020-9-14176020
2020-9-15177020
2020-9-16178020
2020-9-17179010
2020-9-18180010
2020-9-19181010
2020-9-20182010
2020-9-21183010
2020-9-22184010
2020-9-23185000
2020-9-24186000
2020-9-25187000
2020-9-26188000
2020-9-27189000
2020-9-28190000
2020-9-29191000
2020-9-30192000
2020-10-1193000
2020-10-2194000
2020-10-3195000
2020-10-4196000
2020-10-5197000
2020-10-6198000
2020-10-7199000
2020-10-8200000
2020-10-9201000
2020-10-10202000
2020-10-11203000
2020-10-12204000
2020-10-13205000
2020-10-14206000
2020-10-15207000
2020-10-16208000
2020-10-17209000
2020-10-18210000
2020-10-19211000
2020-10-20212000
2020-10-21213000
2020-10-22214000
2020-10-23215000
2020-10-24216000
2020-10-25217000
2020-10-26218000
2020-10-27219000
2020-10-28220000
2020-10-29221000
2020-10-30222000
2020-10-31223000
2020-11-1224000
2020-11-2225000
2020-11-3226000
2020-11-4227000
2020-11-5228000
2020-11-6229000
2020-11-7230000
2020-11-8231000
2020-11-9232000
2020-11-10233000
2020-11-11234000
2020-11-12235000
2020-11-13236000
2020-11-14237000
2020-11-15238000
2020-11-16239000
2020-11-17240000
2020-11-18241000
2020-11-19242000
2020-11-20243000
2020-11-21244000
2020-11-22245000
2020-11-23246000
2020-11-24247000
2020-11-25248000
2020-11-26249000
2020-11-27250000
2020-11-28251000
2020-11-29252000
2020-11-30253000
2020-12-1254000
2020-12-2255000
2020-12-3256000
2020-12-4257000
2020-12-5258000
2020-12-6259000
2020-12-7260000
2020-12-8261000
2020-12-9262000
2020-12-10263000
2020-12-11264000
2020-12-12265000
2020-12-13266000
2020-12-14267000
2020-12-15268000
2020-12-16269000
2020-12-17270000
Goodness of fit x2 = 6600.59
Today = 14-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-25 to 13-07-2020
a=4.3923788173046 / b=125854.37567153 / c=1.9663670360644

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-25211955.2731684.22
2020-3-26222235.4072041.62
2020-3-27232565.5452440.5
2020-3-28242985.6972880.3
2020-3-29253615.8893351.91
2020-3-30263985.9863850.4
2020-3-31274396.0844380
2020-4-1284656.1424931.59
2020-4-2295226.2585491.39
2020-4-3305546.3176074.76
2020-4-4315886.3776669.35
2020-4-5326336.4572612.11
2020-4-6336396.4678627.82
2020-4-7346996.5584725.88
2020-4-8357436.61190629.57
2020-4-9368186.70796522.59
2020-4-103710016.90910230.5
2020-4-113811107.01210800.81
2020-4-123911937.08411352.91
2020-4-134012297.11411881.35
2020-4-144112687.14512400.61
2020-4-154212537.13312891.06
2020-4-164313117.17913370.51
2020-4-174414007.24413820.23
2020-4-184514317.26614240.03
2020-4-194614777.29814640.11
2020-4-204715187.32515020.17
2020-4-214815987.37715362.42
2020-4-224916487.40715693.95
2020-4-235016557.41215991.96
2020-4-245117237.45216265.77
2020-4-255217237.45216503.16
2020-4-265317437.46316722.94
2020-4-275418057.49816927.49
2020-4-285518427.519170910.25
2020-4-295618917.545172416.09
2020-4-305718827.54173612.12
2020-5-15819317.566174719.33
2020-5-25919827.592175529.26
2020-5-36020297.615176140.65
2020-5-46120547.628176547.15
2020-5-56219937.597176728.73
2020-5-66319797.59176725.19
2020-5-76419667.584176622.52
2020-5-86519217.561176314.07
2020-5-96619047.552175811.98
2020-5-106719177.559175215.4
2020-5-116819057.552174514.64
2020-5-126918817.54173612.06
2020-5-137018097.50117263.97
2020-5-147117757.48217142.1
2020-5-157216887.43117020.12
2020-5-167316547.41116890.73
2020-5-177416627.41616740.1
2020-5-187516737.42216590.11
2020-5-197616777.42516430.68
2020-5-207716747.42316261.36
2020-5-217816597.41416091.52
2020-5-227916157.38715910.35
2020-5-238015767.36315720.01
2020-5-248115657.35615530.08
2020-5-258215547.34915340.26
2020-5-268314367.2715144.04
2020-5-278414327.26714932.57
2020-5-288513117.179147317.88
2020-5-298613007.17145215.99
2020-5-308712017.091143137.06
2020-5-318812037.093141030.39
2020-6-18912097.098138823.22
2020-6-29012297.114136713.93
2020-6-39112077.096134514.23
2020-6-49212107.09813239.76
2020-6-59311837.076130110.87
2020-6-69411667.061128010.19
2020-6-79511837.07612584.54
2020-6-89611827.07512362.44
2020-6-99711437.04112154.31
2020-6-109811217.02211934.45
2020-6-119910956.99911725.13
2020-6-1210010516.95711518.74
2020-6-1310110296.93611309.07
2020-6-1410210256.93211096.41
2020-6-1510310286.93510883.37
2020-6-161049966.90410684.86
2020-6-171059646.87110476.69
2020-6-181069476.85310276.32
2020-6-191079326.83710075.68
2020-6-201089316.8369873.29
2020-6-211099356.8419681.16
2020-6-221109406.8469490.09
2020-6-231119346.8399300.01
2020-6-241129206.8249110.08
2020-6-251139066.8098930.18
2020-6-261148866.7878750.14
2020-6-271158796.7798570.56
2020-6-281168766.7758391.59
2020-6-291178756.7748223.41
2020-6-301188786.7788046.63
2020-7-11198576.7537886.02
2020-7-21208586.7557719.68
2020-7-31218326.7247557.79
2020-7-41228016.6867395.15
2020-7-51237836.6637234.89
2020-7-61247406.6077081.44
2020-7-71257426.6096923.48
2020-7-81267366.6016774.96
2020-7-91277426.6096639.33
2020-7-101286896.5356482.47
2020-7-111296606.4926340.99
2020-7-121306036.4026210.52
2020-7-131315796.3616071.33
2020-7-1413205940
2020-7-1513305810
2020-7-1613405680
2020-7-1713505550
2020-7-1813605430
2020-7-1913705310
2020-7-2013805190
2020-7-2113905080
2020-7-2214004960
2020-7-2314104850
2020-7-2414204740
2020-7-2514304640
2020-7-2614404530
2020-7-2714504430
2020-7-2814604330
2020-7-2914704230
2020-7-3014804140
2020-7-3114904040
2020-8-115003950
2020-8-215103860
2020-8-315203770
2020-8-415303690
2020-8-515403610
2020-8-615503520
2020-8-715603440
2020-8-815703360
2020-8-915803290
2020-8-1015903210
2020-8-1116003140
2020-8-1216103070
2020-8-1316203000
2020-8-1416302930
2020-8-1516402860
2020-8-1616502800
2020-8-1716602730
2020-8-1816702670
2020-8-1916802610
2020-8-2016902550
2020-8-2117002490
2020-8-2217102440
2020-8-2317202380
2020-8-2417302330
2020-8-2517402270
2020-8-2617502220
2020-8-2717602170
2020-8-2817702120
2020-8-2917802070
2020-8-3017902020
2020-8-3118001980
2020-9-118101930
2020-9-218201890
2020-9-318301850
2020-9-418401800
2020-9-518501760
2020-9-618601720
2020-9-718701680
2020-9-818801640
2020-9-918901610
2020-9-1019001570
2020-9-1119101530
2020-9-1219201500
2020-9-1319301470
2020-9-1419401430
2020-9-1519501400
2020-9-1619601370
2020-9-1719701340
2020-9-1819801310
2020-9-1919901280
2020-9-2020001250
2020-9-2120101220
2020-9-2220201190
2020-9-2320301170
2020-9-2420401140
2020-9-2520501110
2020-9-2620601090
2020-9-2720701060
2020-9-2820801040
2020-9-2920901020
2020-9-302100990
2020-10-12110970
2020-10-22120950
2020-10-32130930
2020-10-42140910
2020-10-52150890
2020-10-62160870
2020-10-72170850
2020-10-82180830
2020-10-92190810
2020-10-102200790
2020-10-112210770
2020-10-122220760
2020-10-132230740
2020-10-142240720
2020-10-152250710
2020-10-162260690
2020-10-172270680
2020-10-182280660
2020-10-192290650
2020-10-202300630
2020-10-212310620
2020-10-222320600
2020-10-232330590
2020-10-242340580
2020-10-252350570
2020-10-262360550
2020-10-272370540
2020-10-282380530
2020-10-292390520
2020-10-302400510
2020-10-312410490
2020-11-12420480
2020-11-22430470
2020-11-32440460
2020-11-42450450
2020-11-52460440
2020-11-62470430
2020-11-72480420
2020-11-82490410
2020-11-92500410
2020-11-102510400
2020-11-112520390
2020-11-122530380
2020-11-132540370
2020-11-142550360
2020-11-152560360
2020-11-162570350
2020-11-172580340
2020-11-182590330
2020-11-192600330
2020-11-202610320
2020-11-212620310
2020-11-222630300
2020-11-232640300
2020-11-242650290
2020-11-252660290
2020-11-262670280
2020-11-272680270
2020-11-282690270
2020-11-292700260
2020-11-302710260
2020-12-12720250
2020-12-22730250
2020-12-32740240
2020-12-42750240
2020-12-52760230
2020-12-62770230
2020-12-72780220
2020-12-82790220
2020-12-92800210
2020-12-102810210
2020-12-112820200
2020-12-122830200
2020-12-132840190
2020-12-142850190
2020-12-152860190
2020-12-162870180
2020-12-172880180
Goodness of fit x2 = 848.21