COVID-19 Online Forecast Hungary Statistics Forum


Hungary / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 11.07.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 11-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-25 to 10-07-2020
a=58.522608988912 / b=1778.9592460872 / c=0.00049641461147186

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-2531955.27338593.83
2020-3-2642235.40740682.98
2020-3-2752565.54542969.84
2020-3-2862985.69745252.64
2020-3-2973615.88947627.9
2020-3-3083985.98650121.19
2020-3-3194396.08452614.55
2020-4-1104656.14255213.95
2020-4-2115226.2585795.76
2020-4-3125546.3176074.71
2020-4-4135886.3776353.61
2020-4-5146336.456641.54
2020-4-6156396.466944.46
2020-4-7166996.557250.93
2020-4-8177436.6117550.22
2020-4-9188186.7077871.2
2020-4-101910016.90981940.33
2020-4-112011107.01285178.41
2020-4-122111937.084884107.72
2020-4-132212297.114917105.78
2020-4-142312687.145950105.77
2020-4-152412537.13398473.22
2020-4-162513117.179101884.11
2020-4-172614007.2441052114.9
2020-4-182714317.2661086109.4
2020-4-192814777.2981120113.61
2020-4-202915187.3251154114.71
2020-4-213015987.3771187141.59
2020-4-223116487.4071221149
2020-4-233216557.4121254127.78
2020-4-243317237.4521287147.35
2020-4-253417237.4521319123.15
2020-4-263517437.4631351113.28
2020-4-273618057.4981382128.81
2020-4-283718427.5191413129.89
2020-4-293818917.5451443138.85
2020-4-303918827.541472114.01
2020-5-14019317.5661500123.59
2020-5-24119827.5921527135.26
2020-5-34220297.6151553145.54
2020-5-44320547.6281578143.3
2020-5-54419937.597160295.36
2020-5-64519797.59162477.32
2020-5-74619667.584164562.33
2020-5-84719217.561166539.2
2020-5-94819047.552168328.79
2020-5-104919177.559170027.52
2020-5-115019057.552171520.83
2020-5-125118817.54172913.24
2020-5-135218097.50117412.59
2020-5-145317757.48217520.3
2020-5-155416887.43117603.03
2020-5-165516547.41117687.36
2020-5-175616627.41617736.99
2020-5-185716737.42217766.08
2020-5-195816777.42517785.82
2020-5-205916747.42317786.17
2020-5-216016597.41417777.84
2020-5-226116157.387177314.17
2020-5-236215767.363176820.91
2020-5-246315657.356176121.89
2020-5-256415547.349175222.52
2020-5-266514367.27174253.85
2020-5-276614327.267173051.41
2020-5-286713117.179171695.84
2020-5-296813007.17170194.69
2020-5-306912017.0911684138.83
2020-5-317012037.0931666128.84
2020-6-17112097.0981646116.32
2020-6-27212297.114162596.75
2020-6-37312077.096160397.9
2020-6-47412107.098157986.44
2020-6-57511837.076155488.85
2020-6-67611667.061152886.04
2020-6-77711837.076150167.61
2020-6-87811827.075147357.7
2020-6-97911437.041144462.99
2020-6-108011217.022141461.04
2020-6-118110956.999138460.47
2020-6-128210516.957135367.46
2020-6-138310296.936132164.66
2020-6-148410256.932128854.04
2020-6-158510286.935125641.42
2020-6-16869966.904122242.1
2020-6-17879646.871118942.72
2020-6-18889476.853115537.68
2020-6-19899326.837112132.11
2020-6-20909316.836108722.6
2020-6-21919356.841105313.4
2020-6-22929406.84610196.26
2020-6-23939346.8399862.75
2020-6-24949206.8249521.1
2020-6-25959066.8099180.18
2020-6-26968866.7878850
2020-6-27978796.7798530.79
2020-6-28988766.7758203.73
2020-6-29998756.7747889.43
2020-6-301008786.77875719.24
2020-7-11018576.75372623.48
2020-7-21028586.75569637.68
2020-7-31038326.72466641.2
2020-7-41048016.68663742.1
2020-7-51057836.66360849.86
2020-7-61067406.60758143.49
2020-7-71077426.60955463.79
2020-7-81087366.60152782.21
2020-7-91097426.609502114.54
2020-7-101106896.53547793.8
2020-7-1111104530
2020-7-1211204300
2020-7-1311304070
2020-7-1411403860
2020-7-1511503650
2020-7-1611603450
2020-7-1711703250
2020-7-1811803070
2020-7-1911902890
2020-7-2012002720
2020-7-2112102560
2020-7-2212202400
2020-7-2312302250
2020-7-2412402110
2020-7-2512501980
2020-7-2612601850
2020-7-2712701730
2020-7-2812801610
2020-7-2912901510
2020-7-3013001400
2020-7-3113101310
2020-8-113201210
2020-8-213301130
2020-8-313401050
2020-8-41350970
2020-8-51360900
2020-8-61370830
2020-8-71380770
2020-8-81390710
2020-8-91400650
2020-8-101410600
2020-8-111420550
2020-8-121430510
2020-8-131440470
2020-8-141450430
2020-8-151460390
2020-8-161470360
2020-8-171480330
2020-8-181490300
2020-8-191500270
2020-8-201510250
2020-8-211520230
2020-8-221530210
2020-8-231540190
2020-8-241550170
2020-8-251560150
2020-8-261570140
2020-8-271580130
2020-8-281590110
2020-8-291600100
2020-8-30161090
2020-8-31162080
2020-9-1163070
2020-9-2164070
2020-9-3165060
2020-9-4166050
2020-9-5167050
2020-9-6168040
2020-9-7169040
2020-9-8170030
2020-9-9171030
2020-9-10172020
2020-9-11173020
2020-9-12174020
2020-9-13175020
2020-9-14176010
2020-9-15177010
2020-9-16178010
2020-9-17179010
2020-9-18180010
2020-9-19181010
2020-9-20182000
2020-9-21183000
2020-9-22184000
2020-9-23185000
2020-9-24186000
2020-9-25187000
2020-9-26188000
2020-9-27189000
2020-9-28190000
2020-9-29191000
2020-9-30192000
2020-10-1193000
2020-10-2194000
2020-10-3195000
2020-10-4196000
2020-10-5197000
2020-10-6198000
2020-10-7199000
2020-10-8200000
2020-10-9201000
2020-10-10202000
2020-10-11203000
2020-10-12204000
2020-10-13205000
2020-10-14206000
2020-10-15207000
2020-10-16208000
2020-10-17209000
2020-10-18210000
2020-10-19211000
2020-10-20212000
2020-10-21213000
2020-10-22214000
2020-10-23215000
2020-10-24216000
2020-10-25217000
2020-10-26218000
2020-10-27219000
2020-10-28220000
2020-10-29221000
2020-10-30222000
2020-10-31223000
2020-11-1224000
2020-11-2225000
2020-11-3226000
2020-11-4227000
2020-11-5228000
2020-11-6229000
2020-11-7230000
2020-11-8231000
2020-11-9232000
2020-11-10233000
2020-11-11234000
2020-11-12235000
2020-11-13236000
2020-11-14237000
2020-11-15238000
2020-11-16239000
2020-11-17240000
2020-11-18241000
2020-11-19242000
2020-11-20243000
2020-11-21244000
2020-11-22245000
2020-11-23246000
2020-11-24247000
2020-11-25248000
2020-11-26249000
2020-11-27250000
2020-11-28251000
2020-11-29252000
2020-11-30253000
2020-12-1254000
2020-12-2255000
2020-12-3256000
2020-12-4257000
2020-12-5258000
2020-12-6259000
2020-12-7260000
2020-12-8261000
Goodness of fit x2 = 6298.3
Today = 11-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-25 to 10-07-2020
a=4.3931289729726 / b=125871.68550424 / c=1.9635412455073

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-25211955.2731684.15
2020-3-26222235.4072041.58
2020-3-27232565.5452450.48
2020-3-28242985.6972880.29
2020-3-29253615.8893351.88
2020-3-30263985.9863850.39
2020-3-31274396.0844380
2020-4-1284656.1424931.6
2020-4-2295226.2585491.4
2020-4-3305546.3176074.76
2020-4-4315886.3776669.34
2020-4-5326336.4572612.08
2020-4-6336396.4678627.76
2020-4-7346996.5584625.8
2020-4-8357436.61190629.46
2020-4-9368186.70796522.48
2020-4-103710016.90910230.48
2020-4-113811107.01210790.84
2020-4-123911937.08411342.97
2020-4-134012297.11411881.39
2020-4-144112687.14512390.64
2020-4-154212537.13312891.02
2020-4-164313117.17913360.48
2020-4-174414007.24413810.25
2020-4-184514317.26614230.04
2020-4-194614777.29814630.12
2020-4-204715187.32515010.19
2020-4-214815987.37715352.5
2020-4-224916487.40715684.05
2020-4-235016557.41215982.03
2020-4-245117237.45216255.89
2020-4-255217237.45216493.25
2020-4-265317437.46316713.03
2020-4-275418057.49816917.63
2020-4-285518427.519170810.41
2020-4-295618917.545172316.29
2020-4-305718827.54173512.28
2020-5-15819317.566174619.54
2020-5-25919827.592175429.51
2020-5-36020297.615176040.93
2020-5-46120547.628176447.44
2020-5-56219937.597176628.94
2020-5-66319797.59176725.38
2020-5-76419667.584176522.68
2020-5-86519217.561176214.19
2020-5-96619047.552175812.08
2020-5-106719177.559175215.51
2020-5-116819057.552174414.73
2020-5-126918817.54173512.14
2020-5-137018097.50117254.01
2020-5-147117757.48217142.13
2020-5-157216887.43117020.12
2020-5-167316547.41116880.72
2020-5-177416627.41616740.1
2020-5-187516737.42216590.11
2020-5-197616777.42516430.68
2020-5-207716747.42316261.36
2020-5-217816597.41416091.52
2020-5-227916157.38715910.35
2020-5-238015767.36315730.01
2020-5-248115657.35615530.08
2020-5-258215547.34915340.25
2020-5-268314367.2715144.07
2020-5-278414327.26714942.6
2020-5-288513117.179147317.97
2020-5-298613007.17145216.09
2020-5-308712017.091143137.21
2020-5-318812037.093141030.55
2020-6-18912097.098138923.37
2020-6-29012297.114136714.06
2020-6-39112077.096134614.37
2020-6-49212107.09813249.88
2020-6-59311837.076130211.01
2020-6-69411667.061128110.33
2020-6-79511837.07612594.64
2020-6-89611827.07512372.52
2020-6-99711437.04112164.42
2020-6-109811217.02211944.57
2020-6-119910956.99911735.26
2020-6-1210010516.95711528.91
2020-6-1310110296.93611319.25
2020-6-1410210256.93211106.57
2020-6-1510310286.93510893.5
2020-6-161049966.90410695.01
2020-6-171059646.87110486.87
2020-6-181069476.85310286.5
2020-6-191079326.83710085.86
2020-6-201089316.8369893.42
2020-6-211099356.8419691.25
2020-6-221109406.8469500.12
2020-6-231119346.8399310.01
2020-6-241129206.8249120.05
2020-6-251139066.8098940.15
2020-6-261148866.7878760.11
2020-6-271158796.7798580.49
2020-6-281168766.7758401.48
2020-6-291178756.7748233.24
2020-6-301188786.7788066.38
2020-7-11198576.7537895.78
2020-7-21208586.7557729.37
2020-7-31218326.7247567.51
2020-7-41228016.6867404.92
2020-7-51237836.6637244.66
2020-7-61247406.6077091.32
2020-7-71257426.6096943.28
2020-7-81267366.6016794.73
2020-7-91277426.6096648.99
2020-7-101286896.5356502.3
2020-7-1112906360
2020-7-1213006220
2020-7-1313106080
2020-7-1413205950
2020-7-1513305820
2020-7-1613405690
2020-7-1713505570
2020-7-1813605440
2020-7-1913705320
2020-7-2013805200
2020-7-2113905090
2020-7-2214004980
2020-7-2314104860
2020-7-2414204760
2020-7-2514304650
2020-7-2614404540
2020-7-2714504440
2020-7-2814604340
2020-7-2914704240
2020-7-3014804150
2020-7-3114904060
2020-8-115003960
2020-8-215103870
2020-8-315203790
2020-8-415303700
2020-8-515403620
2020-8-615503530
2020-8-715603450
2020-8-815703380
2020-8-915803300
2020-8-1015903220
2020-8-1116003150
2020-8-1216103080
2020-8-1316203010
2020-8-1416302940
2020-8-1516402870
2020-8-1616502810
2020-8-1716602740
2020-8-1816702680
2020-8-1916802620
2020-8-2016902560
2020-8-2117002500
2020-8-2217102440
2020-8-2317202390
2020-8-2417302330
2020-8-2517402280
2020-8-2617502230
2020-8-2717602180
2020-8-2817702130
2020-8-2917802080
2020-8-3017902030
2020-8-3118001990
2020-9-118101940
2020-9-218201900
2020-9-318301850
2020-9-418401810
2020-9-518501770
2020-9-618601730
2020-9-718701690
2020-9-818801650
2020-9-918901610
2020-9-1019001580
2020-9-1119101540
2020-9-1219201510
2020-9-1319301470
2020-9-1419401440
2020-9-1519501410
2020-9-1619601370
2020-9-1719701340
2020-9-1819801310
2020-9-1919901280
2020-9-2020001250
2020-9-2120101230
2020-9-2220201200
2020-9-2320301170
2020-9-2420401140
2020-9-2520501120
2020-9-2620601090
2020-9-2720701070
2020-9-2820801050
2020-9-2920901020
2020-9-3021001000
2020-10-12110980
2020-10-22120950
2020-10-32130930
2020-10-42140910
2020-10-52150890
2020-10-62160870
2020-10-72170850
2020-10-82180830
2020-10-92190810
2020-10-102200800
2020-10-112210780
2020-10-122220760
2020-10-132230740
2020-10-142240730
2020-10-152250710
2020-10-162260700
2020-10-172270680
2020-10-182280670
2020-10-192290650
2020-10-202300640
2020-10-212310620
2020-10-222320610
2020-10-232330600
2020-10-242340580
2020-10-252350570
2020-10-262360560
2020-10-272370540
2020-10-282380530
2020-10-292390520
2020-10-302400510
2020-10-312410500
2020-11-12420490
2020-11-22430480
2020-11-32440470
2020-11-42450460
2020-11-52460450
2020-11-62470440
2020-11-72480430
2020-11-82490420
2020-11-92500410
2020-11-102510400
2020-11-112520390
2020-11-122530380
2020-11-132540370
2020-11-142550370
2020-11-152560360
2020-11-162570350
2020-11-172580340
2020-11-182590340
2020-11-192600330
2020-11-202610320
2020-11-212620310
2020-11-222630310
2020-11-232640300
2020-11-242650290
2020-11-252660290
2020-11-262670280
2020-11-272680280
2020-11-282690270
2020-11-292700260
2020-11-302710260
2020-12-12720250
2020-12-22730250
2020-12-32740240
2020-12-42750240
2020-12-52760230
2020-12-62770230
2020-12-72780220
2020-12-82790220
Goodness of fit x2 = 848.69