COVID-19 Online Forecast Iceland Statistics Forum


Iceland / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 09.07.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 09-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-17 to 08-07-2020
a=101.25960703195 / b=5.6674897336303 / c=-0.00068308973160335

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-1732195.38941463719.75
2020-3-1842445.49736273156.23
2020-3-1953245.78131782563.62
2020-3-2064046.00127882039.34
2020-3-2174506.10924501632.82
2020-3-2285316.27521551224.39
2020-3-2395516.3121899956.89
2020-3-24105956.3891675696.6
2020-3-25116796.5211479433.45
2020-3-26127186.5761309266.92
2020-3-27137916.6731159117.18
2020-3-28148476.742102832.06
2020-3-29158836.7839131.03
2020-3-30169276.83281216.1
2020-3-31179356.84172361.65
2020-4-1189936.901645187.07
2020-4-21910316.938576358.32
2020-4-32010516.957515556.06
2020-4-42110176.925461667.83
2020-4-52210546.96414989.13
2020-4-62310966.9993711410.56
2020-4-72410216.9293341410.3
2020-4-8259776.8843011517.72
2020-4-9269546.8612711716.26
2020-4-10279176.8212451841.99
2020-4-11288406.7332211725.73
2020-4-12298046.692001814.55
2020-4-13307706.6461811901.47
2020-4-14317236.5831651884.61
2020-4-15326426.4651501611.63
2020-4-16335876.3751361483.97
2020-4-17345216.2561241261.44
2020-4-18354606.1311131054.43
2020-4-19364716.1551031296.08
2020-4-20374015.99495983.17
2020-4-21383515.86187797.9
2020-4-22393135.74680677.98
2020-4-23402705.59873524.49
2020-4-24412375.46867423.29
2020-4-25422105.34762349.14
2020-4-26431745.15957235.34
2020-4-27441585.06353206.32
2020-4-28451495.00449202.07
2020-4-29461314.87545159.69
2020-4-30471174.76242131.62
2020-5-148994.5953990.44
2020-5-249824.4073656.28
2020-5-350724.2773442.09
2020-5-451664.193136.7
2020-5-552564.0252923.2
2020-5-653393.664274.5
2020-5-754363.584263.79
2020-5-855263.258240.1
2020-5-956182.89221.07
2020-5-1057182.89210.6
2020-5-1158182.89200.27
2020-5-1259152.708190.92
2020-5-1360122.485182.07
2020-5-1461122.485171.55
2020-5-1562102.303162.4
2020-5-166361.792155.74
2020-5-176461.792145.09
2020-5-186561.792134.5
2020-5-196631.099137.93
2020-5-206741.386125.9
2020-5-216831.099126.81
2020-5-226920.693117.88
2020-5-237031.099115.86
2020-5-247131.099105.44
2020-5-257231.099105.06
2020-5-267320.69396.19
2020-5-277431.09994.37
2020-5-287531.09994.07
2020-5-29761086.88
2020-5-307720.69384.94
2020-5-317820.69384.69
2020-6-17920.69374.45
2020-6-28020.69374.24
2020-6-38120.69374.03
2020-6-48220.69373.85
2020-6-58320.69373.68
2020-6-68420.69363.52
2020-6-78531.09962.11
2020-6-88631.09962
2020-6-98731.09961.89
2020-6-108831.09961.8
2020-6-118931.09961.71
2020-6-129031.09961.64
2020-6-139141.38660.72
2020-6-149241.38660.67
2020-6-159341.38650.63
2020-6-169461.79250
2020-6-179582.07950.82
2020-6-189651.60950.1
2020-6-199782.07950.89
2020-6-209871.94650.29
2020-6-219982.07950.94
2020-6-2210082.07950.95
2020-6-2310182.07950.96
2020-6-2410282.07950.96
2020-6-2510392.19751.94
2020-6-2610492.19751.92
2020-6-27105122.48556.89
2020-6-28106122.48556.78
2020-6-29107122.48556.64
2020-6-30108132.56558.75
2020-7-1109142.639511.1
2020-7-2110122.48556.09
2020-7-3111132.56567.99
2020-7-4112172.833619.26
2020-7-5113202.996630.46
2020-7-6114162.773614.76
2020-7-7115162.773614.15
2020-7-8116202.996627.42
2020-7-9117060
2020-7-10118060
2020-7-11119070
2020-7-12120070
2020-7-13121070
2020-7-14122070
2020-7-15123070
2020-7-16124080
2020-7-17125080
2020-7-18126080
2020-7-19127080
2020-7-20128090
2020-7-21129090
2020-7-22130090
2020-7-231310100
2020-7-241320100
2020-7-251330110
2020-7-261340110
2020-7-271350120
2020-7-281360120
2020-7-291370130
Goodness of fit x2 = 46862.56
Today = 09-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-17 to 08-07-2020
a=2.8129022622039 / b=34288.220353886 / c=1.1101082534244

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-17212195.38915381131.55
2020-3-18222445.4971430983.92
2020-3-19233245.7811328759.19
2020-3-20244046.0011232556.58
2020-3-21254506.1091142419.5
2020-3-22265316.2751058262.74
2020-3-23275516.312980187.97
2020-3-24285956.389907107.76
2020-3-25296796.52184031.05
2020-3-26307186.5767784.68
2020-3-27317916.6737206.84
2020-3-28328476.74266748.2
2020-3-29338836.783618113.13
2020-3-30349276.832573218.48
2020-3-31359356.841531306.79
2020-4-1369936.901492508.17
2020-4-23710316.938457720.94
2020-4-33810516.957424926.65
2020-4-43910176.925393986.56
2020-4-54010546.963651295.38
2020-4-64110966.9993391682.54
2020-4-74210216.9293151573.5
2020-4-8439776.8842931588.2
2020-4-9449546.8612731693.8
2020-4-10459176.8212541723.68
2020-4-11468406.7332371532.77
2020-4-12478046.692201538.21
2020-4-13487706.6462061543.72
2020-4-14497236.5831921466.01
2020-4-15506426.4651791193.21
2020-4-16515876.3751671050.81
2020-4-17525216.256156849.33
2020-4-18534606.131146673.22
2020-4-19544716.155136817.06
2020-4-20554015.994127582.89
2020-4-21563515.861119446.66
2020-4-22573135.746112359.87
2020-4-23582705.598105259.03
2020-4-24592375.46898194.95
2020-4-25602105.34792149.99
2020-4-26611745.1598688.17
2020-4-27621585.0638172.38
2020-4-28631495.0047669.19
2020-4-29641314.8757149.04
2020-4-30651174.7626736.53
2020-5-166994.5956320.06
2020-5-267824.407598.43
2020-5-368724.277564.52
2020-5-469664.19523.31
2020-5-570564.025490.8
2020-5-671393.664461.31
2020-5-772363.584441.5
2020-5-873263.258415.86
2020-5-974182.893911.51
2020-5-1075182.89379.79
2020-5-1176182.89348.23
2020-5-1277152.708339.83
2020-5-1378122.4853111.81
2020-5-1479122.4852910.36
2020-5-1580102.3032711.45
2020-5-168161.7922615.71
2020-5-178261.7922414.37
2020-5-188361.7922313.11
2020-5-198431.0992216.73
2020-5-208541.3862113.9
2020-5-218631.0992014.48
2020-5-228720.6931815.19
2020-5-238831.0991712.49
2020-5-248931.0991711.59
2020-5-259031.0991610.74
2020-5-269120.6931511.61
2020-5-279231.099149.19
2020-5-289331.099138.48
2020-5-2994101311.21
2020-5-309520.693128.8
2020-5-319620.693118.19
2020-6-19720.693117.62
2020-6-29820.693107.09
2020-6-39920.693106.58
2020-6-410020.69396.11
2020-6-510120.69395.66
2020-6-610220.69385.24
2020-6-710331.09983.44
2020-6-810431.09973.09
2020-6-910531.09972.77
2020-6-1010631.09972.47
2020-6-1110731.09962.19
2020-6-1210831.09961.94
2020-6-1310941.38660.82
2020-6-1411041.38650.65
2020-6-1511141.38650.5
2020-6-1611261.79250.06
2020-6-1711382.07951.52
2020-6-1811451.60940
2020-6-1911582.07942.26
2020-6-2011671.94641.36
2020-6-2111782.07943.14
2020-6-2211882.07943.64
2020-6-2311982.07934.18
2020-6-2412082.07934.75
2020-6-2512192.19738.08
2020-6-2612292.19738.95
2020-6-27123122.485322.97
2020-6-28124122.485324.8
2020-6-29125122.485326.71
2020-6-30126132.565235.36
2020-7-1127142.639245.59
2020-7-2128122.485232.99
2020-7-3129132.565243.11
2020-7-4130172.833287.27
2020-7-5131202.9962133.98
2020-7-6132162.773284.86
2020-7-7133162.773289.72
2020-7-8134202.9962156.93
2020-7-9135010
2020-7-10136010
2020-7-11137010
2020-7-12138010
2020-7-13139010
2020-7-14140010
2020-7-15141010
2020-7-16142010
2020-7-17143010
2020-7-18144010
2020-7-19145010
2020-7-20146010
2020-7-21147010
2020-7-22148010
2020-7-23149010
2020-7-24150010
2020-7-25151010
2020-7-26152000
2020-7-27153000
2020-7-28154000
2020-7-29155000
Goodness of fit x2 = 32003.76