COVID-19 Online Forecast Indonesia Statistics Forum


Indonesia / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 11.07.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 11-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-18 to 10-07-2020
a=103.28816079778 / b=26915.493426474 / c=0.00040832259778427

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-1831975.283443136.64
2020-3-1942755.61748087.99
2020-3-2053225.77552176.04
2020-3-2163975.98456449.63
2020-3-2274376.0861049.44
2020-3-2385016.21766038.51
2020-3-2496016.39971317.78
2020-3-25107016.5537706.26
2020-3-26117806.6598313.14
2020-3-27129136.8178950.33
2020-3-28139946.9029640.89
2020-3-291411077.00910384.57
2020-3-301512177.10411169.11
2020-3-311613117.179119910.44
2020-4-11714177.256128713.09
2020-4-21815087.319138011.75
2020-4-31916717.421147924.76
2020-4-42017517.468158417.52
2020-4-52119117.555169527.47
2020-4-62220907.645181242.55
2020-4-72323137.746193573.45
2020-4-82424947.822206688.55
2020-4-92527617.9232203141.01
2020-4-102629247.9812348141.25
2020-4-112732298.082500212.54
2020-4-122835098.1632659271.22
2020-4-132937788.2372827319.77
2020-4-143039548.2823002301.33
2020-4-153142218.3483186335.71
2020-4-163244728.4063379353.48
2020-4-173347968.4763580412.88
2020-4-183450828.5333790440.32
2020-4-193553078.5774009420.13
2020-4-203654238.5984237331.75
2020-4-213756778.6444474322.92
2020-4-223858708.6784721279.16
2020-4-233961688.7274978284.23
2020-4-244065208.7835244310.12
2020-4-254168458.8315520317.73
2020-4-264270328.8585806258.74
2020-4-274371808.8796101190.51
2020-4-284474848.9216407180.99
2020-4-294575968.9356722113.57
2020-4-304678048.962704781.3
2020-5-14781609.007738182.08
2020-5-24883479.03772549.97
2020-5-34984719.044807919
2020-5-45087699.079844112.67
2020-5-55190029.10588134.02
2020-5-65292269.1391940.11
2020-5-75394659.15595841.48
2020-5-85496759.17799819.42
2020-5-955100799.218103879.16
2020-5-1056103619.2461080017.91
2020-5-1157103939.2491122161.17
2020-5-1258106799.2761164980.78
2020-5-1359111239.3171208376.28
2020-5-1460114459.3451252292.78
2020-5-1561116179.3612968140.79
2020-5-1662120259.39513418144.7
2020-5-1763122379.41213872192.91
2020-5-1864124959.43314331235.24
2020-5-1965128089.45814792266.19
2020-5-2066133729.50115255232.64
2020-5-2167140469.5515721178.5
2020-5-2268144139.57616187194.51
2020-5-2369151459.62516653136.72
2020-5-2470154979.64817119153.84
2020-5-2571157179.66217584198.32
2020-5-2672158709.67218046262.59
2020-5-2773163219.718506258.08
2020-5-2874168029.72918962246.08
2020-5-2975172049.75319413251.41
2020-5-3076171859.75219858360
2020-5-3177175529.77320298371.5
2020-6-178176629.77920730454.07
2020-6-279179519.79521153484.96
2020-6-380181299.80521568548.61
2020-6-481182059.80921974646.48
2020-6-582183089.81522368737.11
2020-6-683188069.84222751684.23
2020-6-784188379.84423122794.16
2020-6-885192469.86523479763.39
2020-6-986197399.8923823700.21
2020-6-1087202289.91524152637.57
2020-6-1188206599.93624465592.25
2020-6-1289211459.95924762528.55
2020-6-1390215539.97825043486.42
2020-6-1491216129.98125306539.25
2020-6-1592219739.99825550501.01
2020-6-16932246610.0225777425.29
2020-6-17942291210.03925983363.16
2020-6-18952362510.0726171247.69
2020-6-19962408110.08926338193.41
2020-6-20972471710.11526484117.95
2020-6-21982502210.1282660994.76
2020-6-22992561010.1512671445.64
2020-6-231002612010.172679617.1
2020-6-241012677810.195268580.24
2020-6-251022711810.208268971.81
2020-6-261032741110.219269149.16
2020-6-271042818310.2462690960.23
2020-6-281052832010.2512688376.78
2020-6-291062848710.25726834101.73
2020-6-301072870310.26526764140.4
2020-7-11082924110.28326672247.32
2020-7-21092974010.326559380.91
2020-7-31103009110.31226424508.62
2020-7-41113083410.33626269793.02
2020-7-51123147310.357260941108.75
2020-7-61133179810.367258981343.81
2020-7-71143213210.378256831619.05
2020-7-81153313510.408254492320.99
2020-7-91163466810.454251963560.03
2020-7-101173534910.473249264357.95
2020-7-111180246380
2020-7-121190243340
2020-7-131200240140
2020-7-141210236790
2020-7-151220233290
2020-7-161230229660
2020-7-171240225900
2020-7-181250222020
2020-7-191260218030
2020-7-201270213940
2020-7-211280209750
2020-7-221290205470
2020-7-231300201120
2020-7-241310196700
2020-7-251320192220
2020-7-261330187690
2020-7-271340183120
2020-7-281350178510
2020-7-291360173870
2020-7-301370169220
2020-7-311380164560
Goodness of fit x2 = 38385.49
Today = 11-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-18 to 10-07-2020
a=6.6180120255709 / b=31674057.037173 / c=0.68719842391329

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-18211975.2832335.57
2020-3-19222755.6172790.06
2020-3-20233225.7753300.23
2020-3-21243975.9843880.21
2020-3-22254376.084510.45
2020-3-23265016.2175200.74
2020-3-24276016.3995960.04
2020-3-25287016.5536780.77
2020-3-26297806.6597660.23
2020-3-27309136.8178613.07
2020-3-28319946.9029630.99
2020-3-293211077.00910711.19
2020-3-303312177.10411860.8
2020-3-313413117.17913070.01
2020-4-13514177.25614360.26
2020-4-23615087.31915712.55
2020-4-33716717.42117131.03
2020-4-43817517.46818616.55
2020-4-53919117.55520165.5
2020-4-64020907.64521773.54
2020-4-74123137.74623450.46
2020-4-84224947.82225200.27
2020-4-94327617.92327001.34
2020-4-104429247.98128870.45
2020-4-114532298.0830807.13
2020-4-124635098.163327916.01
2020-4-134737788.237348424.66
2020-4-144839548.282369518.06
2020-4-154942218.348391224.38
2020-4-165044728.406413427.59
2020-4-175147968.476436143.23
2020-4-185250828.533459451.69
2020-4-195353078.577483246.54
2020-4-205454238.598507523.74
2020-4-215556778.644532323.41
2020-4-225658708.678557615.41
2020-4-235761688.727583419.06
2020-4-245865208.783609629.4
2020-4-255968458.831636336.48
2020-4-266070328.858663423.87
2020-4-276171808.879690910.63
2020-4-286274848.921718812.19
2020-4-296375968.93574702.09
2020-4-306478048.96277570.28
2020-5-16581609.00780471.56
2020-5-26683479.0383410
2020-5-36784719.04486383.25
2020-5-46887699.07989383.23
2020-5-56990029.10592426.25
2020-5-67092269.13954810.91
2020-5-77194659.155985715.66
2020-5-87296759.1771016924.08
2020-5-973100799.2181048415.68
2020-5-1074103619.2461080117.97
2020-5-1175103939.2491112047.65
2020-5-1276106799.2761144250.96
2020-5-1377111239.3171176635.18
2020-5-1478114459.3451209234.64
2020-5-1579116179.361241951.91
2020-5-1680120259.3951274941.16
2020-5-1781122379.4121308054.41
2020-5-1882124959.4331341362.89
2020-5-1983128089.4581374764.24
2020-5-2084133729.5011408335.94
2020-5-2185140469.55144209.72
2020-5-2286144139.576147588.09
2020-5-2387151459.625150970.15
2020-5-2488154979.648154380.22
2020-5-2589157179.662157790.25
2020-5-2690158709.672161213.91
2020-5-2791163219.7164631.24
2020-5-2892168029.729168070
2020-5-2993172049.753171510.16
2020-5-3094171859.752174955.51
2020-5-3195175529.773178404.66
2020-6-196176629.7791818515.07
2020-6-297179519.7951853018.14
2020-6-398181299.8051887629.59
2020-6-499182059.8091922153.8
2020-6-5100183089.8151956781.09
2020-6-6101188069.8421991361.57
2020-6-7102188379.8442025899.78
2020-6-8103192469.8652060489.52
2020-6-9104197399.892094969.91
2020-6-10105202289.9152129453.37
2020-6-11106206599.9362163844.33
2020-6-12107211459.9592198231.91
2020-6-13108215539.9782232626.77
2020-6-14109216129.9812266949.29
2020-6-15110219739.9982301146.87
2020-6-161112246610.022335333.71
2020-6-171122291210.0392369425.84
2020-6-181132362510.07240346.99
2020-6-191142408110.089243743.53
2020-6-201152471710.115247130
2020-6-211162502210.128250510.03
2020-6-221172561010.151253871.94
2020-6-231182612010.17257236.1
2020-6-241192677810.1952605819.84
2020-6-251202711810.2082639219.92
2020-6-261212741110.2192672517.57
2020-6-271222818310.2462705746.82
2020-6-281232832010.2512738831.71
2020-6-291242848710.2572771721.37
2020-6-301252870310.2652804515.41
2020-7-11262924110.2832837226.59
2020-7-21272974010.32869737.83
2020-7-31283009110.3122902239.36
2020-7-41293083410.3362934575.54
2020-7-51303147310.35729666109.98
2020-7-61313179810.36729986109.4
2020-7-71323213210.37830305110.09
2020-7-81333313510.40830622206.11
2020-7-91343466810.45430938449.6
2020-7-101353534910.47331252536.93
2020-7-111360315650
2020-7-121370318760
2020-7-131380321850
2020-7-141390324930
2020-7-151400328000
2020-7-161410331040
2020-7-171420334070
2020-7-181430337090
2020-7-191440340080
2020-7-201450343060
2020-7-211460346030
2020-7-221470348970
2020-7-231480351900
2020-7-241490354810
2020-7-251500357700
2020-7-261510360580
2020-7-271520363430
2020-7-281530366270
2020-7-291540369090
2020-7-301550371900
2020-7-311560374680
Goodness of fit x2 = 3826.87