COVID-19 Online Forecast Iran Statistics Forum


Iran / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 09.08.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 09-08-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-2-27 to 08-08-2020
a=109.91870569686 / b=31275.541915135 / c=0.00020711286897707

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-2-2731705.13629302600.45
2020-2-2842815.63830622526.44
2020-2-2954276.05731992402.35
2020-3-167496.61933402010.71
2020-3-2711447.04234871574.32
2020-3-3819687.5853638766.69
2020-3-4922787.7313794605.9
2020-3-51026677.8893955419.66
2020-3-61137108.219412141.12
2020-3-71240098.296429318.81
2020-3-81342388.352446912.04
2020-3-91445308.41846523.2
2020-3-101550208.52148396.72
2020-3-111656878.646503285.07
2020-3-121766878.8085231405.11
2020-3-131878918.97354351109.41
2020-3-141991599.12256452187.2
2020-3-152086249.06258601303.01
2020-3-162195489.16460811975.58
2020-3-172297929.18963081923.4
2020-3-1823108379.29165412821.1
2020-3-1924114139.34367793166.54
2020-3-2025114669.34770232809.44
2020-3-2126114199.34372732362.31
2020-3-2227120229.39475292680.46
2020-3-2328133069.49677913903.89
2020-3-2429139649.54480584328.24
2020-3-2530153159.63783315854.33
2020-3-2631167159.72486097630.11
2020-3-2732188219.843889411079.67
2020-3-2833212129.962918315752.98
2020-3-29342327810.055947920086.31
2020-3-30352482710.12978023149.94
2020-3-31362705110.2051008628533.93
2020-4-1372908410.2781039733581.92
2020-4-2383059710.3291071436896.1
2020-4-3393195410.3721103639648.08
2020-4-4403255510.3911136239525
2020-4-5413488710.461169445997.56
2020-4-6423252510.391203034914.08
2020-4-7433167810.3631237130131.33
2020-4-8443078110.3351271625663.27
2020-4-9452980110.3021306521436.55
2020-4-10462849510.2571341816938.35
2020-4-11472372510.074137757185.21
2020-4-12482331810.057141365962.78
2020-4-13492273510.032145014675.36
2020-4-14502206510.002148683483.1
2020-4-1551216799.984152392721.48
2020-4-1652208979.947156121788.83
2020-4-1753204729.927159881257.52
2020-4-1854198509.89616366741.61
2020-4-1955200709.90716746659.72
2020-4-2056190239.85317127209.67
2020-4-2157185409.8281751160.45
2020-4-2258174929.769178959.1
2020-4-2359167029.72318280136.35
2020-4-2460160219.68218666374.96
2020-4-2561154859.64819052668.06
2020-4-2662151149.62319438962.13
2020-4-2763147339.598198241307.53
2020-4-2864142689.566202091746.58
2020-4-2965139099.54205922169.42
2020-4-3066135099.511209752657.69
2020-5-167132379.491213553086.62
2020-5-268129429.468217343556.95
2020-5-369127999.457221103921.49
2020-5-470129919.472224834008.01
2020-5-571131559.485228544116.21
2020-5-672136459.521232203948.8
2020-5-773139059.54235833971.93
2020-5-874143139.569239413872.51
2020-5-975145679.587242953895.67
2020-5-1076148209.604246443916.58
2020-5-1177151799.628249883850.58
2020-5-1278156779.66253253676.15
2020-5-1379165149.712256573258.56
2020-5-1480171409.749259833009.63
2020-5-1581178979.792263012685.66
2020-5-1682183089.815266132591.73
2020-5-1783187469.839269172480.42
2020-5-1884197749.892272132033.64
2020-5-1985203119.919275011879.9
2020-5-2086209589.95277801675.65
2020-5-2187215289.977280511517.12
2020-5-22882207610.002283131374.07
2020-5-23892209010.003285651467.99
2020-5-24902248310.021288081388.81
2020-5-25912256010.024290401446.33
2020-5-26922256610.024292631532.8
2020-5-27932285110.037294751488.74
2020-5-28942323410.053296761398.58
2020-5-29952406010.088298661128.9
2020-5-30962438910.102300451064.91
2020-5-31972482110.11930212962.27
2020-6-1982556310.14930368760.5
2020-6-2992654310.18730512516.47
2020-6-31002747810.22130644327.24
2020-6-41012871410.26530764136.67
2020-6-51022928110.2853087181.99
2020-6-61032917810.28130967103.35
2020-6-71042915910.28131049115.1
2020-6-81052912110.27931119128.31
2020-6-91062904510.27731176145.69
2020-6-101072884210.2731220181.19
2020-6-111082890910.27231251175.61
2020-6-121092921710.28331270134.8
2020-6-131102947710.29131275103.42
2020-6-141112991610.3063126758.46
2020-6-151123033610.323124726.59
2020-6-161133069910.332312148.5
2020-6-171143105410.343311670.42
2020-6-181153138410.354311082.44
2020-6-191163167810.3633103613.24
2020-6-201173169310.3643095217.72
2020-6-211183173810.3653085525.25
2020-6-221193135610.3533074512.11
2020-6-231203094710.34306243.4
2020-6-241213040910.322304900.22
2020-6-251222986310.304303447.63
2020-6-261232963310.2973018610.15
2020-6-271242915510.283001724.76
2020-6-281252885110.272983632.55
2020-6-291262835510.2532964456.09
2020-6-301272808710.2432944162.32
2020-7-11282776610.2322922773.12
2020-7-21292765910.2282900362.36
2020-7-31302772310.232876938.07
2020-7-41312752110.2232852535.36
2020-7-51322753710.2232827119.08
2020-7-61332723710.2122800821.24
2020-7-71342675710.1952773534.55
2020-7-81352683210.1972745414.14
2020-7-91362597710.1652716552.01
2020-7-101372525810.1372686896.49
2020-7-111382481610.11926562114.88
2020-7-121392448110.10626250119.25
2020-7-131402408110.08925930131.93
2020-7-141412369210.07325604142.81
2020-7-151422359010.06925271111.87
2020-7-161432284510.03624932174.8
2020-7-171442277610.03324588133.57
2020-7-181452232710.01424238150.75
2020-7-19146218129.9923883179.73
2020-7-20147217109.98623524139.99
2020-7-21148218429.9922316175.15
2020-7-22149217209.9862279450.62
2020-7-23150217309.9862242321.45
2020-7-241512202210220490.03
2020-7-251522203610216736.08
2020-7-261532225910.0112129443.71
2020-7-271542255010.02320913128.1
2020-7-281552310710.04820530323.32
2020-7-291562345010.06320146541.65
2020-7-301572376110.07619761809.41
2020-7-311582391910.082193751065.22
2020-8-11592394010.083189891290.35
2020-8-21602414510.092186031650.42
2020-8-31612440210.102182182099.02
2020-8-41622463410.112178332593.71
2020-8-51632474910.117174483054.26
2020-8-61642467810.114170653395.44
2020-8-71652471110.115166843861.62
2020-8-81662430610.098163043926.73
2020-8-91670159260
2020-8-101680155510
2020-8-111690151780
2020-8-121700148080
2020-8-131710144410
2020-8-141720140770
2020-8-151730137170
2020-8-161740133610
2020-8-171750130080
2020-8-181760126590
2020-8-191770123150
2020-8-201780119750
2020-8-211790116390
2020-8-221800113090
2020-8-231810109830
2020-8-241820106620
2020-8-251830103460
2020-8-261840100360
2020-8-27185097300
2020-8-28186094300
Goodness of fit x2 = 629907.87
Today = 09-08-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-2-27 to 08-08-2020
a=5.0622955009703 / b=3652808.6271575 / c=1.3408702794825

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-2-27211705.136740439.48
2020-2-28222815.638906431.58
2020-2-29234276.0571093406.52
2020-3-1247496.6191302235.5
2020-3-22511447.042153399.12
2020-3-32619687.585178618.37
2020-3-42722787.731206122.75
2020-3-52826677.889235740.68
2020-3-62937108.2192674401.31
2020-3-73040098.2963010330.81
2020-3-83142388.3523367225.17
2020-3-93245308.4183742165.92
2020-3-103350208.5214134189.7
2020-3-113456878.6464543287.92
2020-3-123566878.8084967595.14
2020-3-133678918.97354061142.08
2020-3-143791599.12258571860.24
2020-3-153886249.0626321838.57
2020-3-163995489.16467961114.4
2020-3-174097929.1897279866.8
2020-3-1841108379.29177721208.47
2020-3-1942114139.34382711192.91
2020-3-2043114669.3478777823.67
2020-3-2144114199.3439287489.15
2020-3-2245120229.3949801502.96
2020-3-2346133069.49610318864.98
2020-3-2447139649.54410836902.34
2020-3-2548153159.637113561380.18
2020-3-2649167159.724118741972.83
2020-3-2750188219.843123923334.8
2020-3-2851212129.962129075342.2
2020-3-29522327810.055134207240.28
2020-3-30532482710.12139298525.44
2020-3-31542705110.2051443411028.66
2020-4-1552908410.2781493313408.73
2020-4-2563059710.3291542714916.98
2020-4-3573195410.3721591416165.73
2020-4-4583255510.3911639415928.88
2020-4-5593488710.461686719249.15
2020-4-6603252510.391733213315.7
2020-4-7613167810.3631778910842.57
2020-4-8623078110.335182378626.87
2020-4-9632980110.302186766625.99
2020-4-10642849510.257191064613.69
2020-4-11652372510.07419526902.97
2020-4-12662331810.05719935573.77
2020-4-13672273510.03220335283.11
2020-4-14682206510.0022072486.65
2020-4-1569216799.9842110315.69
2020-4-1670208979.9472147115.38
2020-4-1771204729.9272182884.36
2020-4-1872198509.89622175243.84
2020-4-1973200709.90722510264.65
2020-4-2074190239.85322835636.42
2020-4-2175185409.82823148917.49
2020-4-2276174929.769234501514.14
2020-4-2377167029.723237422087.58
2020-4-2478160219.682240222665.12
2020-4-2579154859.648242913192.78
2020-4-2680151149.623245503626.87
2020-4-2781147339.598247974084.96
2020-4-2882142689.566250344630.28
2020-4-2983139099.54252605101.16
2020-4-3084135099.511254765621.43
2020-5-185132379.491256816030.06
2020-5-286129429.468258766465.03
2020-5-387127999.457260606748.52
2020-5-488129919.472262356685.98
2020-5-589131559.485263996644.9
2020-5-690136459.521265546276.05
2020-5-791139059.54266996131.43
2020-5-892143139.569268355843.59
2020-5-993145679.587269625698.34
2020-5-1094148209.604270795550.17
2020-5-1195151799.628271875304.37
2020-5-1296156779.66272874940.2
2020-5-1397165149.712273784311.42
2020-5-1498171409.749274613879.25
2020-5-1599178979.792275353373.96
2020-5-16100183089.815276023129.43
2020-5-17101187469.839276602872.96
2020-5-18102197749.892277112273.41
2020-5-19103203119.919277541996.23
2020-5-20104209589.95277901679.72
2020-5-21105215289.977278181422.63
2020-5-221062207610.002278401193.63
2020-5-231072209010.003278551193.37
2020-5-241082248310.021278631039.12
2020-5-251092256010.024278651010.22
2020-5-261102256610.024278611006.41
2020-5-271112285110.03727850897.54
2020-5-281122323410.05327834760.3
2020-5-291132406010.08827811506.17
2020-5-301142438910.10227784414.88
2020-5-311152482110.11927750309.33
2020-6-11162556310.14927712166.7
2020-6-21172654310.1872766845.8
2020-6-31182747810.221276200.73
2020-6-41192871410.2652756647.75
2020-6-51202928110.28527508114.19
2020-6-61212917810.28127446109.28
2020-6-71222915910.28127379115.68
2020-6-81232912110.27927308120.33
2020-6-91242904510.27727233120.55
2020-6-101252884210.2727154104.92
2020-6-111262890910.27227071124.75
2020-6-121272921710.28326984184.63
2020-6-131282947710.29126894247.88
2020-6-141292991610.30626801361.88
2020-6-151303033610.3226705493.66
2020-6-161313069910.33226605629.84
2020-6-171323105410.34326502781.56
2020-6-181333138410.35426397942.07
2020-6-191343167810.363262881104.74
2020-6-201353169310.364261771161.89
2020-6-211363173810.365260641234.99
2020-6-221373135610.353259481126.89
2020-6-231383094710.34258301013.59
2020-6-241393040910.32225709858.94
2020-6-251402986310.30425587714.54
2020-6-261412963310.29725462683.08
2020-6-271422915510.2825335575.66
2020-6-281432885110.2725207526.6
2020-6-291442835510.25325077428.36
2020-6-301452808710.24324945395.57
2020-7-11462776610.23224812351.6
2020-7-21472765910.22824677360.2
2020-7-31482772310.2324541412.48
2020-7-41492752110.22324403398.16
2020-7-51502753710.22324265441.19
2020-7-61512723710.21224125401.39
2020-7-71522675710.19523984320.58
2020-7-81532683210.19723842374.95
2020-7-91542597710.16523699218.94
2020-7-101552525810.13723555123.09
2020-7-111562481610.1192341084.37
2020-7-121572448110.1062326563.54
2020-7-131582408110.0892311940.03
2020-7-141592369210.0732297222.55
2020-7-151602359010.0692282425.64
2020-7-161612284510.036226771.24
2020-7-171622277610.033225282.71
2020-7-181632232710.014223800.13
2020-7-19164218129.99222317.9
2020-7-20165217109.986220816.26
2020-7-21166218429.992219320.37
2020-7-22167217209.986217820.18
2020-7-23168217309.986216320.44
2020-7-2416922022102148213.56
2020-7-2517022036102133223.23
2020-7-261712225910.0112118154.78
2020-7-271722255010.02321031109.63
2020-7-281732310710.04820881237.22
2020-7-291742345010.06320731356.54
2020-7-301752376110.07620581491.26
2020-7-311762391910.08220431595.33
2020-8-11772394010.08320281659.85
2020-8-21782414510.09220132799.81
2020-8-31792440210.10219983977.18
2020-8-41802463410.112198341161.58
2020-8-51812474910.117196851302.46
2020-8-61822467810.114195371352.73
2020-8-71832471110.115193891460.7
2020-8-81842430610.098192411332.95
2020-8-91850190940
2020-8-101860189470
2020-8-111870188010
2020-8-121880186550
2020-8-131890185100
2020-8-141900183650
2020-8-151910182210
2020-8-161920180770
2020-8-171930179340
2020-8-181940177910
2020-8-191950176490
2020-8-201960175080
2020-8-211970173670
2020-8-221980172270
2020-8-231990170880
2020-8-242000169490
2020-8-252010168110
2020-8-262020166740
2020-8-272030165370
2020-8-282040164010
Goodness of fit x2 = 349476.26