COVID-19 Online Forecast Ireland Statistics Forum


Ireland / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 11.08.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 11-08-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-17 to 10-08-2020
a=-29.803820962405 / b=4170.52679109 / c=7.2921174054064E-5

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-1732165.37538553435.88
2020-3-1842855.65238373288.26
2020-3-1955496.30838172798.89
2020-3-2066756.51537982568.29
2020-3-2177776.65537782384.07
2020-3-2288976.79937572177.9
2020-3-23911147.01637361840.94
2020-3-241013177.18337151548.31
2020-3-251115507.34636931244.14
2020-3-261217957.4933671959.1
2020-3-271320947.6473648662.62
2020-3-281423747.7723625432.28
2020-3-291525647.8493602299.43
2020-3-301628517.9553578148.04
2020-3-311731598.058355444.07
2020-4-11833578.11935308.51
2020-4-21937468.228350516.49
2020-4-32041488.333480128.03
2020-4-42144428.3993455281.94
2020-4-52248118.4793429556.73
2020-4-62351658.553403912.05
2020-4-72454748.60833761302.39
2020-4-82558148.66833501811.88
2020-4-92662868.74633232641.2
2020-4-102777778.95932966091.44
2020-4-112885839.05832688640.07
2020-4-122992969.137324111312.09
2020-4-1330102579.236321315441.84
2020-4-1431110489.31318419412.11
2020-4-1532120269.395315624920.82
2020-4-1633127089.45312829339.11
2020-4-1734133739.501309934055.22
2020-4-1835141109.555307039692.83
2020-4-1936145649.586304143656.65
2020-4-2037148889.608301246825.18
2020-4-213860778.71229823210.37
2020-4-223966698.80529534675.97
2020-4-234075808.93329237417.68
2020-4-244179378.97928938790.89
2020-4-254282659.02286310188.34
2020-4-264389429.099283313168.32
2020-4-274493139.139280315115.33
2020-4-284594859.157277316244.09
2020-4-294656778.64427423138.58
2020-4-304759948.69927123969.62
2020-5-14861828.72926824566.84
2020-5-24965048.7826515596.52
2020-5-35068178.82726216716.28
2020-5-45170678.86325907734.42
2020-5-55272588.8925608620.55
2020-5-65337638.2332529601.39
2020-5-75438728.2622499754.28
2020-5-85540028.2952468952.63
2020-5-95642048.34424371279.24
2020-5-105744288.39624071695.71
2020-5-115845588.42523772001.06
2020-5-125946448.44323462249.16
2020-5-136024347.79723165.99
2020-5-146128517.9552285139.67
2020-5-156229687.9962255224.92
2020-5-166330458.0212225301.72
2020-5-176430998.0392195371.84
2020-5-186531838.0662165478.11
2020-5-196632208.0772135550.64
2020-5-206716847.429210584.49
2020-5-216817487.466207651.86
2020-5-226918547.525204618.12
2020-5-237019187.55920174.87
2020-5-247119717.58619870.14
2020-5-257220327.61719582.74
2020-5-267320607.6319298.8
2020-5-277410836.9871900351.88
2020-5-287511137.0151872307.83
2020-5-297611427.0411843267.01
2020-5-307711897.0811815216.06
2020-5-317812497.131787162.01
2020-6-17913237.1881759108.1
2020-6-28013197.185173198.16
2020-6-3817546.6251703529.33
2020-6-4827806.6591676479.15
2020-6-5837956.6781648442.24
2020-6-6848076.6931621409.46
2020-6-7858246.7141595372.78
2020-6-8868266.7171568351.5
2020-6-9878266.7171542332.56
2020-6-10888386.7311515303.21
2020-6-11898376.731490286.21
2020-6-12908476.7421464260.26
2020-6-13918926.7931438207.85
2020-6-14928996.8011413187.36
2020-6-15939176.8211388160.2
2020-6-16949276.8321363139.96
2020-6-17959336.8381339123.31
2020-6-18969436.8491315105.31
2020-6-19979566.863129186.99
2020-6-20989616.868126774.07
2020-6-21999666.873124362.08
2020-6-221009686.875122052.3
2020-6-231019736.88119742.15
2020-6-241023065.7241174642.66
2020-6-251033145.7491152610.06
2020-6-261043205.7681130580.91
2020-6-271053395.8261108534.08
2020-6-281063405.8291086513.11
2020-6-291073635.8941065463.03
2020-6-301083735.9221044431.46
2020-7-11093755.9271023410.79
2020-7-21103875.9581002378.15
2020-7-31113945.976982352.49
2020-7-41124046.001962324.03
2020-7-51134226.045942287.59
2020-7-61144266.054923267.75
2020-7-71154326.068903246.41
2020-7-81164406.087884223.75
2020-7-91174586.127866192.45
2020-7-101184816.176847158.76
2020-7-111195016.217829130.26
2020-7-121205186.25811106.38
2020-7-131215286.26979489.27
2020-7-141225606.32877660.58
2020-7-151235716.34775946.95
2020-7-161245856.37274333.63
2020-7-171256146.4272617.43
2020-7-181266336.457108.41
2020-7-191276436.4666943.79
2020-7-201286496.4756781.28
2020-7-211296856.5296630.73
2020-7-221307016.5536474.37
2020-7-231316996.556326.92
2020-7-241327186.57661816.14
2020-7-251337416.60860331.25
2020-7-261347536.62458945.38
2020-7-271357646.63957561.74
2020-7-281368016.686561101.86
2020-7-291378146.702548128.72
2020-7-301389006.802535248.82
2020-7-311399386.844522331.22
2020-8-11409826.89509438.45
2020-8-214110356.942496582.7
2020-8-314210816.986484733.82
2020-8-414311267.026472903.29
2020-8-514411767.074601109.93
2020-8-614512407.1234491391.81
2020-8-714613347.1964371833.62
2020-8-814715087.3194262738.99
2020-8-914815767.3634153235.9
2020-8-1014916327.3984053713.89
2020-8-1115003940
2020-8-1215103840
2020-8-1315203740
2020-8-1415303640
2020-8-1515403550
2020-8-1615503450
2020-8-1715603360
2020-8-1815703270
2020-8-1915803180
2020-8-2015903090
2020-8-2116003010
2020-8-2216102930
2020-8-2316202850
2020-8-2416302770
2020-8-2516402690
2020-8-2616502620
2020-8-2716602540
2020-8-2816702470
2020-8-2916802400
2020-8-3016902330
2020-8-3117002260
2020-9-117102200
2020-9-217202140
2020-9-317302070
2020-9-417402010
2020-9-517501950
2020-9-617601900
2020-9-717701840
2020-9-817801780
2020-9-917901730
2020-9-1018001680
2020-9-1118101630
2020-9-1218201580
2020-9-1318301530
2020-9-1418401480
2020-9-1518501440
2020-9-1618601390
2020-9-1718701350
2020-9-1818801310
2020-9-1918901270
2020-9-2019001230
2020-9-2119101190
2020-9-2219201150
2020-9-2319301110
2020-9-2419401080
2020-9-2519501040
2020-9-2619601010
2020-9-271970970
2020-9-281980940
2020-9-291990910
2020-9-302000880
2020-10-12010850
2020-10-22020820
2020-10-32030800
2020-10-42040770
2020-10-52050740
2020-10-62060720
2020-10-72070690
2020-10-82080670
2020-10-92090650
2020-10-102100620
Goodness of fit x2 = 473104.3
Today = 11-08-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-17 to 10-08-2020
a=4.2216775853368 / b=271171.37783072 / c=2.1096925608537

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-17212165.375694329.3
2020-3-18222855.652830358.7
2020-3-19235496.308978188.52
2020-3-20246756.5151135186.65
2020-3-21257776.6551299210.39
2020-3-22268976.7991470223.88
2020-3-232711147.0161646172.1
2020-3-242813177.1831824141.28
2020-3-252915507.3462004103.1
2020-3-263017957.493218469.41
2020-3-273120947.647236230.55
2020-3-283223747.772253810.62
2020-3-293325647.84927097.83
2020-3-303428517.95528760.22
2020-3-313531598.05830364.94
2020-4-13633578.11931908.73
2020-4-23737468.228333650.31
2020-4-33841488.333474130.6
2020-4-43944428.3993603194.87
2020-4-54048118.4793724316.82
2020-4-64151658.553836460.17
2020-4-74254748.6083938598.43
2020-4-84358148.6684031787.8
2020-4-94462868.74641151144.63
2020-4-104577778.95941903070.58
2020-4-114685839.05842554400.75
2020-4-124792969.13743115760.87
2020-4-1348102579.23643597977.09
2020-4-1449110489.31439910049.68
2020-4-1550120269.395443013023.57
2020-4-1651127089.45445315299.89
2020-4-1752133739.501446917738.43
2020-4-1853141109.555447720719.61
2020-4-1954145649.586447922701.78
2020-4-2055148889.608447424230.98
2020-4-215660778.7124464582.69
2020-4-225766698.80544471109.39
2020-4-235875808.93344252247.85
2020-4-245979378.97943992845.48
2020-4-256082659.0243673477.97
2020-4-266189429.09943314906.6
2020-4-276293139.13942925873.72
2020-4-286394859.15742486453.66
2020-4-296456778.6444201517.8
2020-4-306559948.6994152816.94
2020-5-16661828.72940991057.53
2020-5-26765048.7840441495.06
2020-5-36868178.82739872007.26
2020-5-46970678.86339282506.83
2020-5-57072588.8938682971.06
2020-5-67137638.23338050.48
2020-5-77238728.26237424.49
2020-5-87340028.295367728.58
2020-5-97442048.344361296.89
2020-5-107544288.3963546219.23
2020-5-117645588.4253479334.19
2020-5-127746448.4433412444.32
2020-5-137824347.7973345248.28
2020-5-147928517.955327855.62
2020-5-158029687.996321018.34
2020-5-168130458.02131433.08
2020-5-178230998.03930760.16
2020-5-188331838.06630099.96
2020-5-198432208.077294325.94
2020-5-208516847.4292877495.34
2020-5-218617487.4662812403.11
2020-5-228718547.5252748291.04
2020-5-238819187.5592684218.89
2020-5-248919717.5862621161.43
2020-5-259020327.6172559108.65
2020-5-269120607.63249776.78
2020-5-279210836.9872437752.64
2020-5-289311137.0152377672.82
2020-5-299411427.0412319597.56
2020-5-309511897.0812261508.67
2020-5-319612497.132204414.41
2020-6-19713237.1882149317.62
2020-6-29813197.1852094287.17
2020-6-3997546.6252040811.5
2020-6-41007806.6591988734.35
2020-6-51017956.6781936673.15
2020-6-61028076.6931886617.59
2020-6-71038246.7141836558.54
2020-6-81048266.7171788517.99
2020-6-91058266.7171741481.02
2020-6-101068386.7311694433.2
2020-6-111078376.731649400.28
2020-6-121088476.7421605358.22
2020-6-131098926.7931562287.45
2020-6-141108996.8011519253.62
2020-6-151119176.8211478213.32
2020-6-161129276.8321438181.81
2020-6-171139336.8381399155.27
2020-6-181149436.8491360128.26
2020-6-191159566.8631323101.99
2020-6-201169616.868128682.55
2020-6-211179666.873125165.09
2020-6-221189686.875121650.86
2020-6-231199736.88118237.28
2020-6-241203065.7241150619.52
2020-6-251213145.7491118578.24
2020-6-261223205.7681086541.07
2020-6-271233395.8261056487.24
2020-6-281243405.8291026459.44
2020-6-291253635.894998404.08
2020-6-301263735.922970367.45
2020-7-11273755.927942341.89
2020-7-21283875.958916305.64
2020-7-31293945.976890276.69
2020-7-41304046.001865245.84
2020-7-51314226.045840208.56
2020-7-61324266.054816187.09
2020-7-71334326.068793164.92
2020-7-81344406.087771142.33
2020-7-91354586.127749113.35
2020-7-101364816.17672883.92
2020-7-111375016.21770760.29
2020-7-121385186.2568741.76
2020-7-131395286.26966729.3
2020-7-141405606.32864812.18
2020-7-151415716.3476305.61
2020-7-161425856.3726121.24
2020-7-171436146.425950.6
2020-7-181446336.455785.2
2020-7-191456436.46656111.76
2020-7-201466496.47554519.54
2020-7-211476856.52953045.19
2020-7-221487016.55351567.07
2020-7-231496996.5550078.76
2020-7-241507186.576486110.48
2020-7-251517416.608472152.72
2020-7-261527536.624458188.37
2020-7-271537646.639445226.9
2020-7-281548016.686433312.17
2020-7-291558146.702420367.05
2020-7-301569006.802408589.53
2020-7-311579386.844397735.57
2020-8-11589826.89386919.78
2020-8-215910356.9423751160.72
2020-8-316010816.9863641408.46
2020-8-416111267.0263541682.06
2020-8-516211767.073442010.85
2020-8-616312407.1233342452.59
2020-8-716413347.1963243133.66
2020-8-816515087.3193154502
2020-8-916615767.3633065250.01
2020-8-1016716327.3982985967.1
2020-8-1116802890
2020-8-1216902810
2020-8-1317002730
2020-8-1417102650
2020-8-1517202580
2020-8-1617302510
2020-8-1717402440
2020-8-1817502370
2020-8-1917602300
2020-8-2017702240
2020-8-2117802170
2020-8-2217902110
2020-8-2318002050
2020-8-2418102000
2020-8-2518201940
2020-8-2618301890
2020-8-2718401830
2020-8-2818501780
2020-8-2918601730
2020-8-3018701680
2020-8-3118801640
2020-9-118901590
2020-9-219001550
2020-9-319101510
2020-9-419201460
2020-9-519301420
2020-9-619401380
2020-9-719501350
2020-9-819601310
2020-9-919701270
2020-9-1019801240
2020-9-1119901200
2020-9-1220001170
2020-9-1320101140
2020-9-1420201110
2020-9-1520301080
2020-9-1620401050
2020-9-1720501020
2020-9-182060990
2020-9-192070960
2020-9-202080940
2020-9-212090910
2020-9-222100890
2020-9-232110860
2020-9-242120840
2020-9-252130820
2020-9-262140800
2020-9-272150770
2020-9-282160750
2020-9-292170730
2020-9-302180710
2020-10-12190690
2020-10-22200670
2020-10-32210660
2020-10-42220640
2020-10-52230620
2020-10-62240610
2020-10-72250590
2020-10-82260570
2020-10-92270560
2020-10-102280540
Goodness of fit x2 = 240587.71