COVID-19 Online Forecast Ireland Statistics Forum


Ireland / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 05.08.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 05-08-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-17 to 04-08-2020
a=18.898000005708 / b=3373.6435179271 / c=0.0001591422112924

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-1732165.37532402823.04
2020-3-1842855.65232562711.5
2020-3-1955496.30832712265.65
2020-3-2066756.51532852074.18
2020-3-2177776.65532981927.52
2020-3-2288976.79933101759.53
2020-3-23911147.01633211467.08
2020-3-241013177.18333311218.05
2020-3-251115507.3463340959.56
2020-3-261217957.4933348720.51
2020-3-271320947.6473355473.97
2020-3-281423747.7723360289.74
2020-3-291525647.8493365190.88
2020-3-301628517.955336979.68
2020-3-311731598.058337113.42
2020-4-11833578.11933730.08
2020-4-21937468.228337341.1
2020-4-32041488.333372178.07
2020-4-42144428.3993371340.07
2020-4-52248118.4793368617.74
2020-4-62351658.553364963.37
2020-4-72454748.60833591330.56
2020-4-82558148.66833531804.87
2020-4-92662868.74633462581.56
2020-4-102777778.95933385900.57
2020-4-112885839.05833298289.56
2020-4-122992969.137331910761.61
2020-4-1330102579.236330814596.54
2020-4-1431110489.31329518233.06
2020-4-1532120269.395328223286.98
2020-4-1633127089.45326827260.83
2020-4-1734133739.501325331476.85
2020-4-1835141109.555323736517.18
2020-4-1936145649.586322039960.55
2020-4-2037148889.608320242644.56
2020-4-213860778.71231832630.39
2020-4-223966698.80531633884.4
2020-4-234075808.93331426264.5
2020-4-244179378.97931217429.85
2020-4-254282659.0230988612.06
2020-4-264389429.099307511188.5
2020-4-274493139.139305112846.13
2020-4-284594859.157302613778.04
2020-4-294656778.64430012385
2020-4-304759948.69929753063
2020-5-14861828.72929483546.9
2020-5-24965048.7829204396.61
2020-5-35068178.82728925325.65
2020-5-45170678.86328636171.34
2020-5-55272588.8928336907.24
2020-5-65337638.2332803328.28
2020-5-75438728.2622772435.62
2020-5-85540028.2952741579.34
2020-5-95642048.3442709823.72
2020-5-105744288.39626771144.1
2020-5-115845588.42526441383.58
2020-5-125946448.44326111581.08
2020-5-136024347.79725788.08
2020-5-146128517.955254436.94
2020-5-156229687.996251083.51
2020-5-166330458.0212475130.99
2020-5-176430998.0392440177.58
2020-5-186531838.0662405251.31
2020-5-196632208.0772370304.79
2020-5-206716847.4292334181.23
2020-5-216817487.4662298131.89
2020-5-226918547.525226273.79
2020-5-237019187.559222642.73
2020-5-247119717.586219021.93
2020-5-257220327.61721536.89
2020-5-267320607.6321171.56
2020-5-277410836.9872080478.55
2020-5-287511137.0152044424.33
2020-5-297611427.0412007373.41
2020-5-307711897.0811971310.53
2020-5-317812497.131934243.2
2020-6-17913237.1881898174.52
2020-6-28013197.1851862158.53
2020-6-3817546.6251826629.51
2020-6-4827806.6591790570.03
2020-6-5837956.6781754524.57
2020-6-6848076.6931718483.54
2020-6-7858246.7141683438.49
2020-6-8868266.7171647409.84
2020-6-9878266.7171612383.77
2020-6-10888386.7311577346.93
2020-6-11898376.731543323.24
2020-6-12908476.7421509290.42
2020-6-13918926.7931475230.44
2020-6-14928996.8011441204.05
2020-6-15939176.8211407171.19
2020-6-16949276.8321374145.91
2020-6-17959336.8381342124.76
2020-6-18969436.8491309102.76
2020-6-19979566.863127781.1
2020-6-20989616.868124665.33
2020-6-21999666.873121551.09
2020-6-221009686.875118439.54
2020-6-231019736.88115428.4
2020-6-241023065.7241124595.38
2020-6-251033145.7491094556.64
2020-6-261043205.7681065521.59
2020-6-271053395.8261036469.68
2020-6-281063405.8291008443.26
2020-6-291073635.894980389.25
2020-6-301083735.922953353.54
2020-7-11093755.927926328.56
2020-7-21103875.958900292.81
2020-7-31113945.976874264.1
2020-7-41124046.001849233.41
2020-7-51134226.045824196.33
2020-7-61144266.054799174.73
2020-7-71154326.068775152.4
2020-7-81164406.087752129.69
2020-7-91174586.127729100.96
2020-7-101184816.17670672.15
2020-7-111195016.21768449.32
2020-7-121205186.2566331.79
2020-7-131215286.26964220.27
2020-7-141225606.3286216.08
2020-7-151235716.3476011.53
2020-7-161245856.3725810.02
2020-7-171256146.425624.74
2020-7-181266336.4554314.69
2020-7-191276436.46652526.36
2020-7-201286496.47550739.47
2020-7-211296856.52949077.53
2020-7-221307016.553473109.76
2020-7-231316996.55456128.67
2020-7-241327186.576440174.76
2020-7-251337416.608424235.18
2020-7-261347536.624409287.73
2020-7-271357646.639394345.06
2020-7-281368016.686380464.75
2020-7-291378146.702366546.37
2020-7-301389006.802352848
2020-7-311399386.8443391053.45
2020-8-11409826.893261312.38
2020-8-214110356.9423141650.22
2020-8-314210816.9863022003.48
2020-8-414311267.0262902398.29
2020-8-514402790
2020-8-614502680
2020-8-714602570
2020-8-814702470
2020-8-914802370
2020-8-1014902280
2020-8-1115002180
2020-8-1215102090
2020-8-1315202010
2020-8-1415301920
2020-8-1515401840
2020-8-1615501760
2020-8-1715601690
2020-8-1815701620
2020-8-1915801550
2020-8-2015901480
2020-8-2116001410
2020-8-2216101350
2020-8-2316201290
2020-8-2416301230
2020-8-2516401180
2020-8-2616501120
2020-8-2716601070
2020-8-2816701020
2020-8-291680980
2020-8-301690930
2020-8-311700890
2020-9-11710840
2020-9-21720800
2020-9-31730770
2020-9-41740730
2020-9-51750690
2020-9-61760660
2020-9-71770630
2020-9-81780600
2020-9-91790570
2020-9-101800540
2020-9-111810510
2020-9-121820480
2020-9-131830460
2020-9-141840440
2020-9-151850410
2020-9-161860390
2020-9-171870370
2020-9-181880350
2020-9-191890330
2020-9-201900310
2020-9-211910300
2020-9-221920280
2020-9-231930270
2020-9-241940250
2020-9-251950240
2020-9-261960220
2020-9-271970210
2020-9-281980200
2020-9-291990190
Goodness of fit x2 = 416830.91
Today = 05-08-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-17 to 04-08-2020
a=4.1864722684163 / b=295646.85835808 / c=2.4808195850716

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-17212165.375554206.27
2020-3-18222855.652684233.33
2020-3-19235496.30882995.04
2020-3-20246756.51598899.38
2020-3-21257776.6551159125.96
2020-3-22268976.7991340146.62
2020-3-232711147.0161530113.25
2020-3-242813177.183172797.44
2020-3-252915507.346192974.54
2020-3-263017957.493213453.95
2020-3-273120947.647234026
2020-3-283223747.772254611.69
2020-3-293325647.849275012.6
2020-3-303428517.95529493.32
2020-3-313531598.05831440.07
2020-4-13633578.11933320.18
2020-4-23737468.228351215.47
2020-4-33841488.33368458.27
2020-4-43944428.399384692.07
2020-4-54048118.4793998164.89
2020-4-64151658.554140253.54
2020-4-74254748.6084270338.98
2020-4-84358148.6684389462.03
2020-4-94462868.7464497711.31
2020-4-104577778.95945932206.4
2020-4-114685839.05846783259.71
2020-4-124792969.13747514347.3
2020-4-1348102579.23648136156.69
2020-4-1449110489.3148647860.2
2020-4-1550120269.395490510337.51
2020-4-1651127089.45493512239.76
2020-4-1752133739.501495614293.32
2020-4-1853141109.555496716825.78
2020-4-1954145649.586497018519.87
2020-4-2055148889.608496419839.64
2020-4-215660778.7124950256.53
2020-4-225766698.8054928614.45
2020-4-235875808.93349001465.22
2020-4-245979378.97948651938.82
2020-4-256082659.0248242452.99
2020-4-266189429.09947783627.81
2020-4-276293139.13947274449.13
2020-4-286394859.15746704961.4
2020-4-296456778.6444610246.56
2020-4-306559948.6994546460.65
2020-5-16661828.7294479647.16
2020-5-26765048.784409995.46
2020-5-36868178.82743351419.61
2020-5-46970678.86342601848.39
2020-5-57072588.8941832259.66
2020-5-67137638.233410428.41
2020-5-77238728.26240245.75
2020-5-87340028.29539420.89
2020-5-97442048.344386030.56
2020-5-107544288.3963777111.97
2020-5-117645588.4253694201.9
2020-5-127746448.4433610295.59
2020-5-137824347.7973527338.93
2020-5-147928517.9553444102.13
2020-5-158029687.996336145.98
2020-5-168130458.021327816.64
2020-5-178230998.03931962.98
2020-5-188331838.06631151.46
2020-5-198432208.077303511.27
2020-5-208516847.4292955547.09
2020-5-218617487.4662877443.14
2020-5-228718547.5252799319.49
2020-5-238819187.5592723238.27
2020-5-248919717.5862648173.34
2020-5-259020327.6172574114.45
2020-5-269120607.63250278.22
2020-5-279210836.9872431747.74
2020-5-289311137.0152361660.17
2020-5-299411427.0412293578.01
2020-5-309511897.0812226483.42
2020-5-319612497.132161384.9
2020-6-19713237.1882097285.7
2020-6-29813197.1852034251.63
2020-6-3997546.6251973753.5
2020-6-41007806.6591913671.7
2020-6-51017956.6781855606.22
2020-6-61028076.6931798546.92
2020-6-71038246.7141743485.02
2020-6-81048266.7171689441.51
2020-6-91058266.7171637401.99
2020-6-101068386.7311586352.93
2020-6-111078376.731536318.46
2020-6-121088476.7421488276.25
2020-6-131098926.7931441209.27
2020-6-141108996.8011395176.64
2020-6-151119176.8211351139.47
2020-6-161129276.8321307110.96
2020-6-171139336.838126687.62
2020-6-181149436.849122565.08
2020-6-191159566.863118544.58
2020-6-201169616.868114730.35
2020-6-211179666.873111018.79
2020-6-221189686.875107410.54
2020-6-231199736.8810394.25
2020-6-241203065.7241005486.68
2020-6-251213145.749972446.07
2020-6-261223205.768940409.7
2020-6-271233395.826910358.3
2020-6-281243405.829880331.47
2020-6-291253635.894851279.98
2020-6-301263735.922823246.15
2020-7-11273755.927795222.64
2020-7-21283875.958769190.26
2020-7-31293945.976744164.81
2020-7-41304046.001719138.4
2020-7-51314226.045695107.7
2020-7-61324266.05467290.45
2020-7-71334326.06865073.29
2020-7-81344406.08762856.64
2020-7-91354586.12760736.92
2020-7-101364816.17658719.34
2020-7-111375016.2175687.91
2020-7-121385186.255491.76
2020-7-131395286.2695300.01
2020-7-141405606.3285134.28
2020-7-151415716.34749611.34
2020-7-161425856.37247923.23
2020-7-171436146.4246348.89
2020-7-181446336.4544876.38
2020-7-191456436.466433101.77
2020-7-201466496.475418126.8
2020-7-211476856.529404194.25
2020-7-221487016.553391245.47
2020-7-231496996.55378272.38
2020-7-241507186.576365340.03
2020-7-251517416.608353425.5
2020-7-261527536.624341495.83
2020-7-271537646.639330570.26
2020-7-281548016.686319727.68
2020-7-291558146.702308828.41
2020-7-301569006.8022981214.45
2020-7-311579386.8442881464.36
2020-8-11589826.892781774.99
2020-8-215910356.9422692175.59
2020-8-316010816.9862602585.11
2020-8-416111267.0262513035.12
2020-8-516202430
2020-8-616302350
2020-8-716402270
2020-8-816502190
2020-8-916602120
2020-8-1016702050
2020-8-1116801980
2020-8-1216901920
2020-8-1317001850
2020-8-1417101790
2020-8-1517201730
2020-8-1617301680
2020-8-1717401620
2020-8-1817501570
2020-8-1917601520
2020-8-2017701470
2020-8-2117801420
2020-8-2217901370
2020-8-2318001330
2020-8-2418101280
2020-8-2518201240
2020-8-2618301200
2020-8-2718401160
2020-8-2818501120
2020-8-2918601090
2020-8-3018701050
2020-8-3118801020
2020-9-11890980
2020-9-21900950
2020-9-31910920
2020-9-41920890
2020-9-51930860
2020-9-61940830
2020-9-71950810
2020-9-81960780
2020-9-91970750
2020-9-101980730
2020-9-111990710
2020-9-122000680
2020-9-132010660
2020-9-142020640
2020-9-152030620
2020-9-162040600
2020-9-172050580
2020-9-182060560
2020-9-192070540
2020-9-202080530
2020-9-212090510
2020-9-222100490
2020-9-232110480
2020-9-242120460
2020-9-252130450
2020-9-262140430
2020-9-272150420
2020-9-282160410
2020-9-292170390
Goodness of fit x2 = 179588.92