COVID-19 Online Forecast Japan Statistics Forum


Japan / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 24.09.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 24-09-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-2-27 to 23-09-2020
a=312.88064838113 / b=12204.221930008 / c=2.8114996225925E-5

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-2-2731925.257820481.31
2020-2-2842095.342834469.1
2020-2-2952075.333849485.82
2020-3-162215.398864478.7
2020-3-272405.481879464.72
2020-3-382495.517894465.75
2020-3-492835.645909431.89
2020-3-5103155.753925402.73
2020-3-6113675.905941350.47
2020-3-7123835.948957344.69
2020-3-8134156.028973320.65
2020-3-9144416.089990304.71
2020-3-10154716.1551007285.36
2020-3-11165076.2291024261.07
2020-3-12175596.3261041223.37
2020-3-13185946.3871058203.98
2020-3-14196556.4851076164.96
2020-3-15206846.5281094153.83
2020-3-16216696.5061112176.76
2020-3-17227196.5781130149.97
2020-3-18237526.6231149137.41
2020-3-19247856.6661168125.74
2020-3-20257976.6811187128.34
2020-3-21267916.6731206143.22
2020-3-22278296.721226128.72
2020-3-23288686.7661246114.75
2020-3-24298906.7911266111.79
2020-3-25309596.866128683.4
2020-3-263110106.918130767.55
2020-3-273211057.008132837.45
2020-3-283312687.14513494.88
2020-3-293414207.25813701.79
2020-3-303515127.321139210.33
2020-3-313617647.475141386.65
2020-4-13719917.5961436214.39
2020-4-23822717.7281458452.58
2020-4-33925597.8471481784.25
2020-4-44029247.98115041340.26
2020-4-54132698.09215271985.95
2020-4-64234398.14315502298.79
2020-4-74337958.24115743131
2020-4-84442938.36515984541.05
2020-4-94548698.49116226492.36
2020-4-104654408.60216478729.83
2020-4-114760518.708167211463.8
2020-4-124865648.789169713950.93
2020-4-134968338.83172215155.44
2020-4-145073088.897174817673.95
2020-4-155177968.961177420429.96
2020-4-165282939.023180023402.59
2020-4-175388069.083182726647.98
2020-4-185492439.132185429439.89
2020-4-195595009.159188130848.68
2020-4-205698249.193190832818.75
2020-4-2157100999.22193634401.88
2020-4-2258103589.246196435857.89
2020-4-2359106249.271199237379.1
2020-4-2460109649.302202139557.35
2020-4-2561111519.319205040391.21
2020-4-2662112019.324207940006.64
2020-4-2763112609.329210939703.03
2020-4-2864115259.352213841188.69
2020-4-2965112549.328216838053.41
2020-4-3066113439.336219938013.57
2020-5-167110739.312223035065.4
2020-5-268111209.317226134710.3
2020-5-369105209.261229229531.08
2020-5-470104919.258232328702.27
2020-5-571102659.236235526553.86
2020-5-672103549.245238726573.53
2020-5-773100189.212242023847.36
2020-5-87498609.196245322361.59
2020-5-97591959.126248618100.68
2020-5-107670318.85825198076.38
2020-5-117768838.83725537340.62
2020-5-127867108.81125876567.88
2020-5-137963528.75726215306.86
2020-5-148054868.6126563013.76
2020-5-158150508.52726912066.85
2020-5-168250868.53427262041.44
2020-5-178342868.3632762840.57
2020-5-188438998.2682798433.15
2020-5-198539188.2732834414.39
2020-5-208639398.2792870397.53
2020-5-218728647.9629070.65
2020-5-228825447.841294454.5
2020-5-238923217.752981146.51
2020-5-249021867.693019230.16
2020-5-259120037.6023057363.78
2020-5-269218297.5123095518.48
2020-5-279316857.433134670.35
2020-5-289416217.3913173759.48
2020-5-299515737.3613212836.86
2020-5-309615557.3493252885.7
2020-5-319715117.3213292963.54
2020-6-19814257.26233321091.53
2020-6-29913507.20833721212.93
2020-6-310012607.13934131358.37
2020-6-410112157.10234541451.61
2020-6-510211177.01834951618.48
2020-6-610311587.05435371600.25
2020-6-710411327.03235791673.07
2020-6-81051097736211759.54
2020-6-910610506.95736631864.62
2020-6-1010710076.91537061966.05
2020-6-1110810326.93937491969.55
2020-6-121099646.87137922109.86
2020-6-131109086.81138362235.37
2020-6-141119286.83338802246.31
2020-6-151129436.84939242265.15
2020-6-161138986.839692376.21
2020-6-171148426.73640132506.42
2020-6-181159006.80240582458.38
2020-6-191168636.7641042559.58
2020-6-201178226.71241492668.51
2020-6-211188776.77741952624.84
2020-6-221199086.81142412620
2020-6-231208186.70742882808.05
2020-6-241218956.79743342729.44
2020-6-251229426.84843812700.06
2020-6-261239676.87444282705.84
2020-6-271249906.89844762715.07
2020-6-2812510676.97345232641.44
2020-6-2912611167.01845712612.12
2020-6-3012711857.07746192553.81
2020-7-112812997.16946682431.73
2020-7-212914637.28847162244.68
2020-7-313014877.30547652255.77
2020-7-413116527.4148142077.73
2020-7-513218217.50748641904
2020-7-613318637.5349131894.2
2020-7-713420177.60949631749.3
2020-7-813522227.70650131554.48
2020-7-913622237.70750631593.85
2020-7-1013725687.85151141267.87
2020-7-1113829547.9915165946.57
2020-7-1213930138.0115216930.48
2020-7-1314030838.0345267905.71
2020-7-1414133278.115318745.68
2020-7-1514240628.3095369318.58
2020-7-1614338848.2655421436.09
2020-7-1714441758.3375473308.06
2020-7-1814547498.4665525109.15
2020-7-1914652498.566557719.39
2020-7-2014751158.54563047.16
2020-7-2114854748.60856827.68
2020-7-2214956648.64257350.9
2020-7-2315062448.739578835.83
2020-7-2415167168.8125841130.86
2020-7-2515272248.8855894299.65
2020-7-2615379448.985948669.54
2020-7-2715481749.0096001786.1
2020-7-2815584799.0456055969.85
2020-7-2915690309.10861091396.19
2020-7-30157101139.22261632531.03
2020-7-31158104529.25562172884.06
2020-8-1159114459.34562714267.38
2020-8-2160123559.42263255746.01
2020-8-3161126059.44263806072.57
2020-8-4162131379.48364346980.22
2020-8-5163136389.52164897874.08
2020-8-6164142759.56665449132.03
2020-8-7165144819.58165999413.8
2020-8-8166150529.619665410598.74
2020-8-9167148689.60767099922.06
2020-8-10168151159.623676410309.74
2020-8-11169151089.623681910074.76
2020-8-12170152539.633687410211.58
2020-8-13171152079.6369299886.77
2020-8-14172172409.755698515055.53
2020-8-15173145199.58370407944.02
2020-8-16174144119.57670957541.35
2020-8-17175140149.54871516585.92
2020-8-18176135369.51372065558.73
2020-8-19177137949.53272625874.93
2020-8-20178136339.5273175450.29
2020-8-21179135109.51173735107.8
2020-8-22180133199.49774284670.53
2020-8-23181131519.48474844290.76
2020-8-24182128689.46275393765.55
2020-8-25183125779.4475953267.71
2020-8-26184121429.40476502636.73
2020-8-27185118709.38277062250
2020-8-28186115579.35577611856.14
2020-8-29187111999.32478161463.44
2020-8-30188109739.30378721221.49
2020-8-31189107609.28479271012.19
2020-9-1190102079.2317982619.89
2020-9-2191101849.2298037573.16
2020-9-3192107449.2828092868.61
2020-9-419394219.1518147199
2020-9-519490079.106820278.9
2020-9-619588229.085825738.62
2020-9-719686469.065831213.42
2020-9-819783909.03583660.07
2020-9-919881189.002842110.9
2020-9-1019980118.989847525.44
2020-9-1120078868.973852948.56
2020-9-1220178318.966858365.99
2020-9-1320276748.9468637107.49
2020-9-1420375588.938691147.79
2020-9-1520480828.997874450.26
2020-9-1620574068.918798220.36
2020-9-1720671718.8788851319.12
2020-9-1820770938.8678904368.64
2020-9-1920871078.8698957382.38
2020-9-2020970308.8589010435.3
2020-9-2121069748.859063481.51
2020-9-2221170408.8599115472.5
2020-9-2321269378.8459167542.67
2020-9-24213092190
2020-9-25214092700
2020-9-26215093220
2020-9-27216093730
2020-9-28217094240
2020-9-29218094750
2020-9-30219095250
2020-10-1220095750
2020-10-2221096250
2020-10-3222096750
2020-10-4223097240
2020-10-5224097730
2020-10-6225098220
2020-10-7226098700
2020-10-8227099180
2020-10-9228099660
2020-10-102290100130
2020-10-112300100600
2020-10-122310101070
2020-10-132320101530
Goodness of fit x2 = 1232800.64
Today = 24-09-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-2-27 to 23-09-2020
a=7.0242476368438 / b=4533769.5487667 / c=0.42998805236812

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-2-27211925.2572388.89
2020-2-28222095.34226612.27
2020-2-29232075.33329526.57
2020-3-1242215.39832634.03
2020-3-2252405.48135839.1
2020-3-3262495.51739151.89
2020-3-4272835.64542547.88
2020-3-5283155.75346146.29
2020-3-6293675.90549734.19
2020-3-7303835.94853443.02
2020-3-8314156.02857243.47
2020-3-9324416.08961147.68
2020-3-10334716.15565150.04
2020-3-11345076.22969249.5
2020-3-12355596.32673341.43
2020-3-13365946.38777542.34
2020-3-14376556.48581732.35
2020-3-15386846.52886036.27
2020-3-16396696.50690461.21
2020-3-17407196.57894855.46
2020-3-18417526.62399258.43
2020-3-19427856.666103761.57
2020-3-20437976.681108375.57
2020-3-21447916.6731128101.07
2020-3-22458296.721174101.75
2020-3-23468686.7661221102.06
2020-3-24478906.7911267112.45
2020-3-25489596.866131496.04
2020-3-264910106.918136190.63
2020-3-275011057.008140865.35
2020-3-285112687.145145524.2
2020-3-295214207.25815034.6
2020-3-305315127.32115500.96
2020-3-315417647.475159817.19
2020-4-15519917.596164572.33
2020-4-25622717.7281693196.78
2020-4-35725597.8471741383.8
2020-4-45829247.9811789719.68
2020-4-55932698.09218371116.26
2020-4-66034398.14318841281.67
2020-4-76137958.24119321795.09
2020-4-86242938.36519802701.46
2020-4-96348698.49120273981.14
2020-4-106454408.60220755455.42
2020-4-116560518.70821227269.81
2020-4-126665648.78921708897.19
2020-4-136768338.8322179608.99
2020-4-146873088.897226411234.65
2020-4-156977968.961231113015.55
2020-4-167082939.023235814937.44
2020-4-177188069.083240417040.09
2020-4-187292439.132245118818.84
2020-4-197395009.159249719633.58
2020-4-207498249.193254320837.81
2020-4-2175100999.22258921776.36
2020-4-2276103589.246263522630.97
2020-4-2377106249.271268023534.77
2020-4-2478109649.302272624892.36
2020-4-2579111519.319277125337.84
2020-4-2680112019.324281624964.25
2020-4-2781112609.329286024658.49
2020-4-2882115259.352290525573.28
2020-4-2983112549.328294923381.39
2020-4-3084113439.336299323288.53
2020-5-185110739.312303721260.83
2020-5-286111209.317308020979.22
2020-5-387105209.261312317510.79
2020-5-488104919.258316616938.72
2020-5-589102659.236320915509.5
2020-5-690103549.245325215509.76
2020-5-791100189.212329413723.96
2020-5-89298609.196333612757.71
2020-5-99391959.126337710018.61
2020-5-109470318.85834193815.51
2020-5-119568838.83734603385.76
2020-5-129667108.81135012941.27
2020-5-139763528.75735412230.22
2020-5-149854868.6135811012.29
2020-5-159950508.5273621563.17
2020-5-1610050868.5343661554.19
2020-5-1710142868.363370092.49
2020-5-1810238998.26837406.75
2020-5-1910339188.27337785.12
2020-5-2010439398.27938173.87
2020-5-2110528647.963855255.09
2020-5-2210625447.8413893467.87
2020-5-2310723217.753931659.68
2020-5-2410821867.693968800.87
2020-5-2510920037.60240051001.48
2020-5-2611018297.51240421212.26
2020-5-2711116857.4340791405.35
2020-5-2811216217.39141151512.07
2020-5-2911315737.36141511601.59
2020-5-3011415557.34941871654.75
2020-5-3111515117.32142221741.36
2020-6-111614257.26242571884.71
2020-6-211713507.20842922017.18
2020-6-311812607.13943272174.05
2020-6-411912157.10243612269.88
2020-6-512011177.01843952445.24
2020-6-612111587.05444292415.83
2020-6-712211327.03244622485.62
2020-6-81231097744952569.28
2020-6-912410506.95745282671.89
2020-6-1012510076.91545602769.32
2020-6-1112610326.93945932761.13
2020-6-121279646.87146252898.18
2020-6-131289086.81146563018.02
2020-6-141299286.83346883016.11
2020-6-151309436.84947193022.01
2020-6-161318986.847503124.24
2020-6-171328426.73647813245.39
2020-6-181339006.80248113179.8
2020-6-191348636.7648413269.36
2020-6-201358226.71248713366.04
2020-6-211368776.77749003303.81
2020-6-221379086.81149303281.37
2020-6-231388186.70749593458.07
2020-6-241398956.79749873358.47
2020-6-251409426.84850163309.25
2020-6-261419676.87450443295.93
2020-6-271429906.89850723285.73
2020-6-2814310676.97351003189.43
2020-6-2914411167.01851273138.53
2020-6-3014511857.07751543057.22
2020-7-114612997.16951812909.38
2020-7-214714637.28852082693.34
2020-7-314814877.30552342683.21
2020-7-414916527.4152602475.72
2020-7-515018217.50752862272.11
2020-7-615118637.5353122239.86
2020-7-715220177.60953372066.11
2020-7-815322227.70653631839.73
2020-7-915422237.70753881859.23
2020-7-1015525687.85154121495.1
2020-7-1115629547.99154371134.09
2020-7-1215730138.01154611097.65
2020-7-1315830838.03454851052.14
2020-7-1415933278.115509864.31
2020-7-1516040628.3095532390.9
2020-7-1616138848.2655555503.1
2020-7-1716241758.3375578353.28
2020-7-1816347498.4665601129.8
2020-7-1916452498.566562425.04
2020-7-2016551158.54564650.05
2020-7-2116654748.60856686.69
2020-7-2216756648.64256900.12
2020-7-2316862448.739571249.49
2020-7-2416967168.8125733168.26
2020-7-2517072248.8855755374.97
2020-7-2617179448.985776813.73
2020-7-2717281749.0095796974.84
2020-7-2817384799.04558171217.74
2020-7-2917490309.10858371745.58
2020-7-30175101139.22258573090.78
2020-7-31176104529.25558773559.53
2020-8-1177114459.34558975217.93
2020-8-2178123559.42259177004.34
2020-8-3179126059.44259367490.81
2020-8-4180131379.48359558659.47
2020-8-5181136389.52159749829.87
2020-8-6182142759.566599311444.14
2020-8-7183144819.581601111931.28
2020-8-8184150529.619603013498.17
2020-8-9185148689.607604812861.48
2020-8-10186151159.623606613498.25
2020-8-11187151089.623608313385.43
2020-8-12188152539.633610113726.65
2020-8-13189152079.63611813498.9
2020-8-14190172409.755613520094.99
2020-8-15191145199.583615211375.51
2020-8-16192144119.576616911008.68
2020-8-17193140149.54861869904.81
2020-8-18194135369.51362028670.11
2020-8-19195137949.53262189227.08
2020-8-20196136339.5262348778.15
2020-8-21197135109.51162508430.24
2020-8-22198133199.49762667937.09
2020-8-23199131519.48462827510.82
2020-8-24200128689.46262976855.83
2020-8-25201125779.4463126216.85
2020-8-26202121429.40463275343.11
2020-8-27203118709.38263424817.71
2020-8-28204115579.35563564253.69
2020-8-29205111999.32463713657.81
2020-8-30206109739.30363853295.32
2020-8-31207107609.28463992970.48
2020-9-1208102079.23164132243.27
2020-9-2209101849.22964272195.21
2020-9-3210107449.28264412874.13
2020-9-421194219.15164541363.08
2020-9-521290079.1066468996.57
2020-9-621388229.0856481845.35
2020-9-721486469.0656494712.91
2020-9-821583909.0356507544.81
2020-9-921681189.0026519391.74
2020-9-1021780118.9896532334.69
2020-9-1121878868.9736544274.86
2020-9-1221978318.9666557247.53
2020-9-1322076748.9466569185.84
2020-9-1422175588.936581145.03
2020-9-1522280828.9976592336.37
2020-9-1622374068.91660497.28
2020-9-1722471718.878661546.56
2020-9-1822570938.867662732.72
2020-9-1922671078.869663833.06
2020-9-2022770308.858664921.76
2020-9-2122869748.85666014.75
2020-9-2222970408.859667120.38
2020-9-2323069378.84566819.74
2020-9-24231066920
2020-9-25232067020
2020-9-26233067130
2020-9-27234067230
2020-9-28235067330
2020-9-29236067420
2020-9-30237067520
2020-10-1238067620
2020-10-2239067710
2020-10-3240067810
2020-10-4241067900
2020-10-5242067990
2020-10-6243068080
2020-10-7244068170
2020-10-8245068250
2020-10-9246068340
2020-10-10247068420
2020-10-11248068510
2020-10-12249068590
2020-10-13250068670
Goodness of fit x2 = 995663.31