COVID-19 Online Forecast Japan Statistics Forum


Japan / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 11.07.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 11-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-2-27 to 10-07-2020
a=73.735386844294 / b=5249.7310078424 / c=0.00064551779785142

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-2-2731925.2572071.19
2020-2-2842095.3422271.49
2020-2-2952075.3332486.98
2020-3-162215.3982719.42
2020-3-272405.48129610.66
2020-3-382495.51732216.81
2020-3-492835.64535013.17
2020-3-5103155.75338111.54
2020-3-6113675.9054135.29
2020-3-7123835.9484489.54
2020-3-8134156.02848510.18
2020-3-9144416.08952413.3
2020-3-10154716.15556616.02
2020-3-11165076.22961017.53
2020-3-12175596.32665714.69
2020-3-13185946.38770617.99
2020-3-14196556.48575814.25
2020-3-15206846.52881420.77
2020-3-16216696.50687147.24
2020-3-17227196.57893249
2020-3-18237526.62399660.02
2020-3-19247856.666106372.86
2020-3-20257976.681113399.71
2020-3-21267916.6731205142.77
2020-3-22278296.721281159.93
2020-3-23288686.7661360178.35
2020-3-24298906.7911442211.57
2020-3-25309596.8661527211.41
2020-3-263110106.9181614226.57
2020-3-273211057.0081705211.36
2020-3-283312687.1451798156.54
2020-3-293414207.2581894118.86
2020-3-303515127.3211992116.07
2020-3-313617647.475209351.95
2020-4-13719917.596219619.3
2020-4-23822717.72823020.42
2020-4-33925597.84724099.3
2020-4-44029247.981251865.41
2020-4-54132698.0922628156.04
2020-4-64234398.1432740178.17
2020-4-74337958.2412853311.01
2020-4-84442938.3652966593.06
2020-4-94548698.49130801038.07
2020-4-104654408.60231951577.33
2020-4-114760518.70833092271.17
2020-4-124865648.78934232881.07
2020-4-134968338.8335363071.96
2020-4-145073088.89736493668.38
2020-4-155177968.96137604331.13
2020-4-165282939.02338695055.54
2020-4-175388069.08339775861.9
2020-4-185492439.13240826522.35
2020-4-195595009.15941856748.66
2020-4-205698249.19342857159.75
2020-4-2157100999.2243817460.99
2020-4-2258103589.24644747737.15
2020-4-2359106249.27145638050.09
2020-4-2460109649.30246478583.52
2020-4-2561111519.31947278726.14
2020-4-2662112019.32448038521.91
2020-4-2763112609.32948738369.86
2020-4-2864115259.35249388785.88
2020-4-2965112549.32849977833.05
2020-4-3066113439.33650507838.62
2020-5-167110739.31250987002.03
2020-5-268111209.31751396959.36
2020-5-369105209.26151745522.81
2020-5-470104919.25852025375.43
2020-5-571102659.23652244863.16
2020-5-672103549.24552394992.38
2020-5-773100189.21252474335.81
2020-5-87498609.19652494049.3
2020-5-97591959.12652442976.16
2020-5-107670318.8585232618.27
2020-5-117768838.8375213534.44
2020-5-127867108.8115188446.2
2020-5-137963528.7575156277.1
2020-5-148054868.61511826.4
2020-5-158150508.52750730.11
2020-5-168250868.53450230.78
2020-5-178342868.363496693.31
2020-5-188438998.2684904206.16
2020-5-198539188.2734836174.56
2020-5-208639398.2794763142.85
2020-5-218728647.964686708.48
2020-5-228825447.8414603921.41
2020-5-238923217.7545161067.34
2020-5-249021867.6944251133.39
2020-5-259120037.60243301251.25
2020-5-269218297.51242321365.01
2020-5-279316857.4341311448.6
2020-5-289416217.39140271437.74
2020-5-299515737.36139201405.84
2020-5-309615557.34938121336.42
2020-5-319715117.32137011296.49
2020-6-19814257.26235891305.52
2020-6-29913507.20834761301.08
2020-6-310012607.13933631315.21
2020-6-410112157.10232481273.3
2020-6-510211177.01831341298.58
2020-6-610311587.05430201148.25
2020-6-710411327.03229061083.3
2020-6-81051097727931030.06
2020-6-910610506.9572680992.23
2020-6-1010710076.9152569950.54
2020-6-1110810326.9392460829.21
2020-6-121099646.8712352819.4
2020-6-131109086.8112246797.25
2020-6-141119286.8332142688.11
2020-6-151129436.8492040590.02
2020-6-161138986.81940560.11
2020-6-171148426.7361843544.03
2020-6-181159006.8021748412.08
2020-6-191168636.761657380.57
2020-6-201178226.7121568355.01
2020-6-211188776.7771481246.97
2020-6-221199086.8111398172.18
2020-6-231208186.7071318189.99
2020-6-241218956.797124196.59
2020-6-251229426.848116743.39
2020-6-261239676.874109515.14
2020-6-271249906.89810271.38
2020-6-2812510676.97396211.36
2020-6-2912611167.01890051.72
2020-6-3012711857.077840140.77
2020-7-112812997.169784337.34
2020-7-212914637.288730733.02
2020-7-313014877.305680956.9
2020-7-413116527.416321645.33
2020-7-513218217.5075862596.53
2020-7-613318637.535433199.64
2020-7-713420177.6095034549.96
2020-7-813522227.7064656628.28
2020-7-913622237.7074297481.37
2020-7-1013725687.85139611898.63
2020-7-1113803650
2020-7-1213903350
2020-7-1314003080
2020-7-1414102820
2020-7-1514202590
2020-7-1614302370
2020-7-1714402160
2020-7-1814501970
2020-7-1914601800
2020-7-2014701640
2020-7-2114801490
2020-7-2214901350
2020-7-2315001220
2020-7-2415101110
2020-7-2515201000
2020-7-261530900
2020-7-271540820
2020-7-281550730
2020-7-291560660
2020-7-301570590
2020-7-311580530
2020-8-11590480
2020-8-21600430
2020-8-31610380
2020-8-41620340
2020-8-51630300
2020-8-61640270
2020-8-71650240
2020-8-81660210
2020-8-91670190
Goodness of fit x2 = 256391.22
Today = 11-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-2-27 to 10-07-2020
a=5.0873342315855 / b=836841.01847629 / c=15.679179579087

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-2-27951925.25710180.29
2020-2-28962095.34211966.73
2020-2-29972075.33314031.93
2020-3-1982215.39816320.41
2020-3-2992405.48118913.55
2020-3-31002495.5172184.24
2020-3-41012835.6452514.04
2020-3-51023155.7532872.67
2020-3-61033675.9053274.83
2020-3-71043835.9483710.37
2020-3-81054156.0284190.04
2020-3-91064416.0894712.01
2020-3-101074716.1555286.32
2020-3-111085076.22959011.8
2020-3-121095596.32665614.58
2020-3-131105946.38772824.7
2020-3-141116556.48580427.69
2020-3-151126846.52888545.76
2020-3-161136696.50697194.06
2020-3-171147196.5781062110.84
2020-3-181157526.6231157142.21
2020-3-191167856.6661258177.92
2020-3-201177976.6811363235.06
2020-3-211187916.6731472315.29
2020-3-221198296.721585361.17
2020-3-231208686.7661703409.54
2020-3-241218906.7911824478.43
2020-3-251229596.8661948502.56
2020-3-2612310106.9182075547.34
2020-3-2712411057.0082205549.46
2020-3-2812512687.1452338489.83
2020-3-2912614207.2582472447.88
2020-3-3012715127.3212607460.42
2020-3-3112817647.4752744350.1
2020-4-112919917.5962881274.99
2020-4-213022717.7283018184.91
2020-4-313125597.8473154112.43
2020-4-413229247.981329040.74
2020-4-513332698.09234247.04
2020-4-613434398.14335563.88
2020-4-713537958.24136863.2
2020-4-813642938.365381360.28
2020-4-913748698.4913937220.41
2020-4-1013854408.6024057470.98
2020-4-1113960518.7084173844.43
2020-4-1214065648.78942851211.73
2020-4-1314168338.8343921356.64
2020-4-1414273088.89744931762.73
2020-4-1514377968.96145892240.01
2020-4-1614482939.02346792789.52
2020-4-1714588069.08347643429.22
2020-4-1814692439.13248424000.16
2020-4-1914795009.15949134281.42
2020-4-2014898249.19349784716.81
2020-4-21149100999.2250365089.39
2020-4-22150103589.24650875460.47
2020-4-23151106249.27151315878.75
2020-4-24152109649.30251686497.82
2020-4-25153111519.31951986814.56
2020-4-26154112019.32452226845.69
2020-4-27155112609.32952386922.59
2020-4-28156115259.35252477509.61
2020-4-29157112549.32852506866.17
2020-4-30158113439.33652457086.49
2020-5-1159110739.31252356509.78
2020-5-2160111209.31752186675.15
2020-5-3161105209.26151945458.55
2020-5-4162104919.25851655489.89
2020-5-5163102659.23651305137.96
2020-5-6164103549.24550905443.51
2020-5-7165100189.21250444904.11
2020-5-816698609.19649934743.03
2020-5-916791959.12649373670.63
2020-5-1016870318.8584877950.81
2020-5-1116968838.8374813890.23
2020-5-1217067108.8114744814.14
2020-5-1317163528.7574672603.7
2020-5-1417254868.614596171.94
2020-5-1517350508.527451862.57
2020-5-1617450868.534443695
2020-5-1717542868.36343521.02
2020-5-1817638998.268426631.62
2020-5-1917739188.273417716.17
2020-5-2017839398.27940875.41
2020-5-2117928647.963996320.68
2020-5-2218025447.8413903473.22
2020-5-2318123217.753809581.34
2020-5-2418221867.693714628.85
2020-5-2518320037.6023618721.6
2020-5-2618418297.5123523814.79
2020-5-2718516857.433427885.89
2020-5-2818616217.3913331878.44
2020-5-2918715737.3613236854.83
2020-5-3018815557.3493141800.95
2020-5-3118915117.3213046774.04
2020-6-119014257.2622952790.55
2020-6-219113507.2082859797.21
2020-6-319212607.1392768821.61
2020-6-419312157.1022677798.7
2020-6-519411177.0182587835.94
2020-6-619511587.0542499720.11
2020-6-719611327.0322412680
2020-6-8197109772327650.73
2020-6-919810506.9572244635.44
2020-6-1019910076.9152162617.24
2020-6-1120010326.9392082529.61
2020-6-122019646.8712003539.5
2020-6-132029086.8111927538.96
2020-6-142039286.8331852461.34
2020-6-152049436.8491779393.32
2020-6-162058986.81708384.67
2020-6-172068426.7361639388.12
2020-6-182079006.8021572287.76
2020-6-192088636.761507275.64
2020-6-202098226.7121444268.26
2020-6-212108776.7771383185.3
2020-6-222119086.8111324130.71
2020-6-232128186.7071266158.9
2020-6-242138956.797121182.53
2020-6-252149426.848115740.14
2020-6-262159676.874110517.42
2020-6-272169906.89810554.11
2020-6-2821710676.97310073.49
2020-6-2921811167.01896124.87
2020-6-3021911857.07791678.51
2020-7-122012997.169873206.95
2020-7-222114637.288832477.58
2020-7-322214877.305792607.9
2020-7-422316527.417541066.9
2020-7-522418217.5077181693.79
2020-7-622518637.536832038.32
2020-7-722620177.6096492879.75
2020-7-822722227.7066174172.21
2020-7-922822237.7075864567.48
2020-7-1022925687.8515567262.3
2020-7-1123005280
2020-7-1223105010
2020-7-1323204750
2020-7-1423304510
2020-7-1523404270
2020-7-1623504050
2020-7-1723603840
2020-7-1823703630
2020-7-1923803440
2020-7-2023903250
2020-7-2124003080
2020-7-2224102910
2020-7-2324202750
2020-7-2424302600
2020-7-2524402460
2020-7-2624502320
2020-7-2724602190
2020-7-2824702070
2020-7-2924801950
2020-7-3024901840
2020-7-3125001740
2020-8-125101640
2020-8-225201550
2020-8-325301460
2020-8-425401370
2020-8-525501290
2020-8-625601220
2020-8-725701150
2020-8-825801080
2020-8-925901010
Goodness of fit x2 = 195540.83