COVID-19 Online Forecast Luxembourg Statistics Forum


Luxembourg / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 14.07.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 14-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-18 to 13-07-2020
a=91.518177889179 / b=114.05251606866 / c=-0.00048129452944388

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-1832015.30349534559.54
2020-3-1943315.80245503913.07
2020-3-2054806.17441853280.37
2020-3-2166626.49538522642.48
2020-3-2277846.66435492155.14
2020-3-2388616.75832741778.6
2020-3-24910856.98930221242.18
2020-3-251013197.1852793778.1
2020-3-261114387.2712583508.04
2020-3-271215507.3462392296.48
2020-3-281317737.48221688.9
2020-3-291418897.544205613.65
2020-3-301519267.56319090.14
2020-3-311620757.638177450.75
2020-4-11722107.7011651189.1
2020-4-21823777.7741537458.15
2020-4-31920817.6411433292.7
2020-4-42021987.6951337553.95
2020-4-52122687.7271248831.5
2020-4-62223027.74211671102.34
2020-4-72324267.79410921627.71
2020-4-82424887.81910232096.75
2020-4-92525637.8499592680.83
2020-4-102626697.8899003475.07
2020-4-112727087.9048454101.49
2020-4-122827157.9077954635.9
2020-4-132927237.9097485211.01
2020-4-143027407.9167045874.94
2020-4-153127787.9296646718.44
2020-4-163228237.9466277683.32
2020-4-173328297.9485928436.37
2020-4-183428647.965609465.11
2020-4-193528507.95553010137.98
2020-4-203628467.95450210920.87
2020-4-213728707.96247612010.82
2020-4-223828637.9645212833.97
2020-4-233928547.95643013657.92
2020-4-24406036.40240991.85
2020-4-25415386.28838956.58
2020-4-26425316.27537168.76
2020-4-27435186.2535475.84
2020-4-28445296.271338107.75
2020-4-29455466.303323153.66
2020-4-30464816.17630995.52
2020-5-1474976.209296136.4
2020-5-2484025.99628349.26
2020-5-3493495.85527221.63
2020-5-4503275.7926116.43
2020-5-5513325.80525125.88
2020-5-6523015.70724114.47
2020-5-7532545.5372321.91
2020-5-8542455.5012241.86
2020-5-9552265.4212160.4
2020-5-10561995.2932090.51
2020-5-11571855.222021.49
2020-5-12581825.2041950.98
2020-5-13591725.1471891.66
2020-5-14601474.991837.43
2020-5-15611374.921789.67
2020-5-16621274.84417312.45
2020-5-17631364.9131686.34
2020-5-18641254.8281649.36
2020-5-19651314.8751595.25
2020-5-20661344.8981563.11
2020-5-21671304.8681523.27
2020-5-22681244.821484.15
2020-5-23691234.8121453.5
2020-5-24701154.7451425.32
2020-5-25711024.62513910.16
2020-5-26721024.6251378.94
2020-5-27731004.6051348.86
2020-5-2874954.55413210.47
2020-5-2975874.46613014.26
2020-5-3076914.51112810.73
2020-5-3177754.31712620.79
2020-6-178644.15912429.43
2020-6-279624.12712230.24
2020-6-380533.9712138.68
2020-6-481433.76112049.66
2020-6-582373.61111956.63
2020-6-683373.61111855.7
2020-6-784303.40111764.88
2020-6-885293.36711665.63
2020-6-986343.52611557.72
2020-6-1087353.55511555.81
2020-6-1188323.46611459.66
2020-6-1289273.29611466.77
2020-6-1390313.43411460.6
2020-6-1491313.43411460.49
2020-6-1592313.43411460.49
2020-6-1693323.46611459.14
2020-6-1794403.68911448.38
2020-6-1895413.71411447.37
2020-6-1996453.80711542.74
2020-6-2097443.78411544.44
2020-6-2198543.98911633.44
2020-6-2299523.95111736.25
2020-6-23100644.15911824.76
2020-6-24101654.17411924.57
2020-6-25102734.2912018.56
2020-6-26103954.5541215.79
2020-6-271041294.861220.3
2020-6-281051545.0371247
2020-6-291061495.0041264.13
2020-6-301071915.25212731.01
2020-7-11082325.44712980.07
2020-7-21092735.609132150.2
2020-7-31103215.771134258.92
2020-7-41113505.858136331.65
2020-7-51123965.981139471.14
2020-7-61134166.031142525.55
2020-7-71144376.08145584.3
2020-7-81154846.182148755.9
2020-7-91165536.3151521055.58
2020-7-101175816.3651551159.22
2020-7-111186466.4711591478.65
2020-7-121197286.591641938.72
2020-7-131206626.4951681444.97
2020-7-1412101730
2020-7-1512201780
2020-7-1612301830
2020-7-1712401890
2020-7-1812501950
2020-7-1912602020
2020-7-2012702090
2020-7-2112802160
2020-7-2212902240
2020-7-2313002320
2020-7-2413102410
2020-7-2513202500
2020-7-2613302610
2020-7-2713402710
2020-7-2813502830
2020-7-2913602950
2020-7-3013703080
2020-7-3113803220
2020-8-113903370
2020-8-214003530
2020-8-314103700
2020-8-414203880
2020-8-514304080
2020-8-614404290
2020-8-714504510
2020-8-814604750
2020-8-914705010
2020-8-1014805290
2020-8-1114905590
2020-8-1215005910
2020-8-1315106260
2020-8-1415206630
2020-8-1515307030
2020-8-1615407460
2020-8-1715507930
2020-8-1815608430
2020-8-1915708980
2020-8-2015809570
2020-8-21159010200
2020-8-22160010890
Goodness of fit x2 = 158855.78
Today = 14-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-18 to 13-07-2020
a=3.4424910057394 / b=43793.831220948 / c=0.74918271734972

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-18212015.30318521471.91
2020-3-19223315.80218141213.06
2020-3-20234806.1741774944.13
2020-3-21246626.4951731660.69
2020-3-22257846.6641687483.62
2020-3-23268616.7581642371.48
2020-3-242710856.9891596163.65
2020-3-252813197.185154934.39
2020-3-262914387.27115032.87
2020-3-273015507.34614575.81
2020-3-283117737.48141291.93
2020-3-293218897.5441368198.42
2020-3-303319267.5631324273.51
2020-3-313420757.6381281491.68
2020-4-13522107.7011239760.16
2020-4-23623777.77411981158.82
2020-4-33720817.6411158734.07
2020-4-43821987.69511201037.37
2020-4-53922687.72710821298.14
2020-4-64023027.74210461507.52
2020-4-74124267.79410101980.79
2020-4-84224887.8199762337.86
2020-4-94325637.8499432777.72
2020-4-104426697.8899113385.3
2020-4-114527087.9048813787.52
2020-4-124627157.9078514079.07
2020-4-134727237.9098224389.32
2020-4-144827407.9167954758.43
2020-4-154927787.9297685257.02
2020-4-165028237.9467425829.23
2020-4-175128297.9487176211.14
2020-4-185228647.966936789.36
2020-4-195328507.9556707081.96
2020-4-205428467.9546487448.14
2020-4-215528707.9626268024.7
2020-4-225628637.966068399.57
2020-4-235728547.9565868768.97
2020-4-24586036.4025672.26
2020-4-25595386.2885480.21
2020-4-26605316.2755300
2020-4-27615186.255130.04
2020-4-28625296.2714972.04
2020-4-29635466.3034818.72
2020-4-30644816.1764650.49
2020-5-1654976.2094514.68
2020-5-2664025.9964362.76
2020-5-3673495.85542212.94
2020-5-4683275.7940916.69
2020-5-5693325.80539610.61
2020-5-6703015.70738418.15
2020-5-7712545.53737237.77
2020-5-8722455.50136137.35
2020-5-9732265.42135043.96
2020-5-10741995.29333958.05
2020-5-11751855.2232963.05
2020-5-12761825.20431958.89
2020-5-13771725.14730961.06
2020-5-14781474.9930078.17
2020-5-15791374.9229181.67
2020-5-16801274.84428285.64
2020-5-17811364.91327469.66
2020-5-18821254.82826674.84
2020-5-19831314.87525862.76
2020-5-20841344.89825054.39
2020-5-21851304.86824352.91
2020-5-22861244.8223653.5
2020-5-23871234.81222949.55
2020-5-24881154.74522352.38
2020-5-25891024.62521660.74
2020-5-26901024.62521055.99
2020-5-27911004.60520453.51
2020-5-2892954.55419854.27
2020-5-2993874.46619358.48
2020-5-3094914.51118750
2020-5-3195754.31718263.51
2020-6-196644.15917772.74
2020-6-297624.12717271.05
2020-6-398533.9716878.79
2020-6-499433.76116388.81
2020-6-5100373.61115993.67
2020-6-6101373.61115489.62
2020-6-7102303.40115096.59
2020-6-8103293.36714694.32
2020-6-9104343.52614282.78
2020-6-10105353.55513877.72
2020-6-11106323.46613578.8
2020-6-12107273.29613183.21
2020-6-13108313.43412873.73
2020-6-14109313.43412470.59
2020-6-15110313.43412167.55
2020-6-16111323.46611863.15
2020-6-17112403.68911549.32
2020-6-18113413.71411245.45
2020-6-19114453.80710938.11
2020-6-20115443.78410636.97
2020-6-21116543.98910424.15
2020-6-22117523.95110124.16
2020-6-23118644.1599812.36
2020-6-24119654.1749610.29
2020-6-25120734.29944.74
2020-6-26121954.554910.11
2020-6-271221294.868917.42
2020-6-281231545.0378750.92
2020-6-291241495.0048547.81
2020-6-301251915.25283140.07
2020-7-11262325.44781280.84
2020-7-21272735.60979474.98
2020-7-31283215.77177769.5
2020-7-41293505.858751000.58
2020-7-51303965.981731412.94
2020-7-61314166.031711649.21
2020-7-71324376.08701919.42
2020-7-81334846.182682521.77
2020-7-91345536.315663534.69
2020-7-101355816.365654073.06
2020-7-111366466.471635315.59
2020-7-121377286.59627114.47
2020-7-131386626.495605938.93
2020-7-141390590
2020-7-151400580
2020-7-161410560
2020-7-171420550
2020-7-181430540
2020-7-191440520
2020-7-201450510
2020-7-211460500
2020-7-221470490
2020-7-231480480
2020-7-241490470
2020-7-251500460
2020-7-261510450
2020-7-271520440
2020-7-281530430
2020-7-291540420
2020-7-301550410
2020-7-311560400
2020-8-11570390
2020-8-21580380
2020-8-31590370
2020-8-41600370
2020-8-51610360
2020-8-61620350
2020-8-71630340
2020-8-81640340
2020-8-91650330
2020-8-101660320
2020-8-111670320
2020-8-121680310
2020-8-131690300
2020-8-141700300
2020-8-151710290
2020-8-161720280
2020-8-171730280
2020-8-181740270
2020-8-191750270
2020-8-201760260
2020-8-211770260
2020-8-221780250
Goodness of fit x2 = 143551.99