COVID-19 Online Forecast Luxembourg Statistics Forum


Luxembourg / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 12.08.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 12-08-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-18 to 11-08-2020
a=80.774926501586 / b=123.7760793026 / c=-0.00064519492438946

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-1832015.30361315736.24
2020-3-1943315.80255494907.47
2020-3-2054806.17450294115.33
2020-3-2166626.49545633335.98
2020-3-2277846.66441462727.06
2020-3-2388616.75837722247.21
2020-3-24910856.98934361609.3
2020-3-251013197.18531341051.77
2020-3-261114387.2712863709.28
2020-3-271215507.3462618435.81
2020-3-281317737.482397162.62
2020-3-291418897.544219843.45
2020-3-301519267.56320174.18
2020-3-311620757.638185426.12
2020-4-11722107.7011707148.05
2020-4-21823777.7741573410.44
2020-4-31920817.6411451272.58
2020-4-42021987.6951341546.81
2020-4-52122687.7271241849.58
2020-4-62223027.74211491154.77
2020-4-72324267.79410661733.17
2020-4-82424887.8199902264.12
2020-4-92525637.8499212926.72
2020-4-102626697.8898573825.17
2020-4-112727087.9047994553.93
2020-4-122827157.9077465190.23
2020-4-132927237.9096975876.88
2020-4-143027407.9166536667.17
2020-4-153127787.9296127663.06
2020-4-163228237.9465748801.75
2020-4-173328297.9485399709.59
2020-4-183428647.9650710932.74
2020-4-193528507.95547811757.99
2020-4-203628467.95445112709.89
2020-4-213728707.96242614014.15
2020-4-223828637.9640315015.44
2020-4-233928547.95638116017.52
2020-4-24406036.402361160.75
2020-4-25415386.288343110.12
2020-4-26425316.275326128.04
2020-4-27435186.25310138.14
2020-4-28445296.271296182.97
2020-4-29455466.303282245.36
2020-4-30464816.176270164.73
2020-5-1474976.209258220.34
2020-5-2484025.99624796.39
2020-5-3493495.85523752.42
2020-5-4503275.7922842.94
2020-5-5513325.80521957.91
2020-5-6523015.70721138.21
2020-5-7532545.53720312.47
2020-5-8542455.50119611.93
2020-5-9552265.4211906.81
2020-5-10561995.2931831.24
2020-5-11571855.221780.26
2020-5-12581825.2041720.47
2020-5-13591725.1471680.09
2020-5-14601474.991631.67
2020-5-15611374.921593.12
2020-5-16621274.8441555.19
2020-5-17631364.9131511.64
2020-5-18641254.8281483.69
2020-5-19651314.8751451.41
2020-5-20661344.8981420.51
2020-5-21671304.8681390.7
2020-5-22681244.821371.33
2020-5-23691234.8121351.13
2020-5-24701154.7451332.54
2020-5-25711024.6251316.68
2020-5-26721024.6251306.06
2020-5-27731004.6051286.4
2020-5-2874954.5541278.28
2020-5-2975874.46612612.32
2020-5-3076914.5111259.54
2020-5-3177754.31712419.95
2020-6-178644.15912429.32
2020-6-279624.12712431.02
2020-6-380533.9712340.51
2020-6-481433.76112352.72
2020-6-582373.61112360.95
2020-6-683373.61112461.2
2020-6-784303.40112471.83
2020-6-885293.36712573.93
2020-6-986343.52612567.15
2020-6-1087353.55512666.56
2020-6-1188323.46612872.01
2020-6-1289273.29612980.94
2020-6-1390313.43413076.11
2020-6-1491313.43413277.67
2020-6-1592313.43413479.42
2020-6-1693323.46613679.82
2020-6-1794403.68913870.11
2020-6-1895413.71414170.96
2020-6-1996453.80714367.83
2020-6-2097443.78414671.89
2020-6-2198543.98914961.34
2020-6-2299523.95115366.99
2020-6-23100644.15915755.18
2020-6-24101654.17416157.38
2020-6-25102734.2916551.72
2020-6-26103954.55417033.25
2020-6-271041294.8617512.23
2020-6-281051545.0371803.96
2020-6-291061495.0041867.58
2020-6-301071915.2521920.02
2020-7-11082325.4471995.23
2020-7-21092735.60920621.08
2020-7-31103215.77121452.55
2020-7-41113505.85822372.09
2020-7-51123965.981232115.57
2020-7-61134166.031241125.32
2020-7-71144376.08252135.17
2020-7-81154846.182263184.41
2020-7-91165536.315275279.14
2020-7-101175816.365288296.17
2020-7-111186466.471302389.58
2020-7-121197286.59317529.76
2020-7-131206626.495334322.07
2020-7-141217506.62351451.5
2020-7-151227646.639370417.77
2020-7-161238996.801391659.81
2020-7-171249656.872413736.84
2020-7-1812510396.946437828.39
2020-7-1912611617.0574631051.37
2020-7-2012710646.97491667.51
2020-7-2112811357.034521720.4
2020-7-2212912137.101555780.1
2020-7-2313012497.13591732.52
2020-7-2413112977.168630705.57
2020-7-2513214307.265672852.13
2020-7-2613315137.322719875.95
2020-7-2713413847.233769489.84
2020-7-2813514077.249825410.27
2020-7-2913614607.286885372.66
2020-7-3013714757.296951287.94
2020-7-3113813897.2361023130.25
2020-8-113914857.3031102132.3
2020-8-214015467.3431189106.62
2020-8-314112487.12912851.07
2020-8-414212627.14138911.77
2020-8-514312667.144150538
2020-8-614412047.0931632112.26
2020-8-714511467.0441771221.1
2020-8-814612017.0911926273.07
2020-8-914712377.122096352.53
2020-8-101489256.832285809.69
2020-8-111498986.824931021.33
2020-8-12150027250
2020-8-13151029810
2020-8-14152032660
2020-8-15153035830
2020-8-16154039360
2020-8-17155043280
2020-8-18156047670
2020-8-19157052560
2020-8-20158058030
2020-8-21159064150
2020-8-22160071010
2020-8-23161078710
2020-8-24162087350
2020-8-25163097070
2020-8-261640108000
2020-8-271650120320
2020-8-281660134230
2020-8-291670149930
2020-8-301680167680
2020-8-311690187780
Goodness of fit x2 = 190347.61
Today = 12-08-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-18 to 11-08-2020
a=5.2212976824421 / b=28879.653736479 / c=-18.424839664677

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-181202015.30377137316.74
2020-3-191213315.80267076062.2
2020-3-201224806.17458544934.06
2020-3-211236626.49551283889.82
2020-3-221247846.66445073076.23
2020-3-231258616.75839762440.5
2020-3-2412610856.98935181683.29
2020-3-2512713197.18531241043.1
2020-3-2612814387.2712782649.94
2020-3-2712915507.3462486352.8
2020-3-2813017737.48222893.2
2020-3-2913118897.54420036.56
2020-3-3013219267.56318067.89
2020-3-3113320757.6381633119.25
2020-4-113422107.7011481358.33
2020-4-213523777.7741347787.37
2020-4-313620817.6411228591.93
2020-4-413721987.69511221029.13
2020-4-513822687.72710291490.5
2020-4-613923027.7429451943.94
2020-4-714024267.7948712772.85
2020-4-814124887.8198043519.79
2020-4-914225637.8497454435.07
2020-4-1014326697.8896915655.81
2020-4-1114427087.9046436629.59
2020-4-1214527157.9075997464.18
2020-4-1314627237.9095608350.81
2020-4-1414727407.9165249357.85
2020-4-1514827787.92949210615.59
2020-4-1614928237.94646212035.43
2020-4-1715028297.94843613128.96
2020-4-1815128647.9641114602.88
2020-4-1915228507.95538915538.47
2020-4-2015328467.95436916609.59
2020-4-2115428707.96235018094.44
2020-4-2215528637.9633319167.06
2020-4-2315628547.95631820210.73
2020-4-241576036.402303294.48
2020-4-251585386.288290210.33
2020-4-261595316.275278228.59
2020-4-271605186.25267234.57
2020-4-281615296.271257287.05
2020-4-291625466.303247358.81
2020-4-301634816.176239244.73
2020-5-11644976.209231306.06
2020-5-21654025.996223142.21
2020-5-31663495.85521680.58
2020-5-41673275.7921064.47
2020-5-51683325.80520479.19
2020-5-61693015.70719951.87
2020-5-71702545.53719418.29
2020-5-81712455.50118916.04
2020-5-91722265.4211858.78
2020-5-101731995.2931811.63
2020-5-111741855.221780.26
2020-5-121751825.2041750.28
2020-5-131761725.1471720
2020-5-141771474.991692.96
2020-5-151781374.921665.38
2020-5-161791274.8441648.67
2020-5-171801364.9131624.42
2020-5-181811254.8281618.09
2020-5-191821314.8751595.11
2020-5-201831344.8981583.71
2020-5-211841304.8681574.67
2020-5-221851244.821566.6
2020-5-231861234.8121556.73
2020-5-241871154.74515410.19
2020-5-251881024.62515417.71
2020-5-261891024.62515317.55
2020-5-271901004.60515318.86
2020-5-28191954.55415322.54
2020-5-29192874.46615429.21
2020-5-30193914.51115426.06
2020-5-31194754.31715441.24
2020-6-1195644.15915553.91
2020-6-2196624.12715656.96
2020-6-3197533.9715769.18
2020-6-4198433.76115884.09
2020-6-5199373.61115994.25
2020-6-6200373.61116195.57
2020-6-7201303.401162108.17
2020-6-8202293.367164111.47
2020-6-9203343.526166105.18
2020-6-10204353.555168105.54
2020-6-11205323.466170112.47
2020-6-12206273.296172123.05
2020-6-13207313.434175118.85
2020-6-14208313.434178121.49
2020-6-15209313.434180124.31
2020-6-16210323.466184125.65
2020-6-17211403.689187115.91
2020-6-18212413.714190117.67
2020-6-19213453.807194114.96
2020-6-20214443.784198120.21
2020-6-21215543.989202108.98
2020-6-22216523.951206116.01
2020-6-23217644.159211102.91
2020-6-24218654.174216105.92
2020-6-25219734.2922199.56
2020-6-26220954.55422676.66
2020-6-272211294.8623246.11
2020-6-282221545.03723829.94
2020-6-292231495.00424437.47
2020-6-302241915.25225114.49
2020-7-12252325.4472582.67
2020-7-22262735.6092650.21
2020-7-32273215.7712738.37
2020-7-42283505.85828116.84
2020-7-52293965.98128939.07
2020-7-62304166.03129846.28
2020-7-72314376.0830754.27
2020-7-82324846.18231787.28
2020-7-92335536.315327154.76
2020-7-102345816.365338173.65
2020-7-112356466.471349250.71
2020-7-122367286.59361370.91
2020-7-132376626.495374221.38
2020-7-142387506.62387339.71
2020-7-152397646.639401328.49
2020-7-162408996.801415562.65
2020-7-172419656.872430662.9
2020-7-1824210396.946446785.63
2020-7-1924311617.0574631050.12
2020-7-2024410646.97481706.5
2020-7-2124511357.034499808.26
2020-7-2224612137.101519927.81
2020-7-2324712497.13539932.94
2020-7-2424812977.168561965.28
2020-7-2524914307.2655831226.88
2020-7-2625015137.3226071349.3
2020-7-2725113847.233632892.29
2020-7-2825214077.249659848.82
2020-7-2925314607.286686870.32
2020-7-3025414757.296716804.27
2020-7-3125513897.236746552.01
2020-8-125614857.303779638.95
2020-8-225715467.343813659.54
2020-8-325812487.129849186.93
2020-8-425912627.14887158.09
2020-8-526012667.144927123.6
2020-8-626112047.09396956.68
2020-8-726211467.044101417.18
2020-8-826312017.091106018.51
2020-8-926412377.12111014.46
2020-8-102659256.83116248.5
2020-8-112668986.8121783.82
2020-8-12267012750
2020-8-13268013360
2020-8-14269014010
2020-8-15270014690
2020-8-16271015410
2020-8-17272016180
2020-8-18273016980
2020-8-19274017830
2020-8-20275018730
2020-8-21276019680
2020-8-22277020690
2020-8-23278021750
2020-8-24279022880
2020-8-25280024070
2020-8-26281025330
2020-8-27282026660
2020-8-28283028070
2020-8-29284029570
2020-8-30285031150
2020-8-31286032820
Goodness of fit x2 = 249797.5