COVID-19 Online Forecast Mexico Statistics Forum


Mexico / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 10.07.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 10-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-20 to 09-07-2020
a=99.575643700825 / b=24132.149559428 / c=0.00043603662363342

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-2031975.283413113.29
2020-3-2142455.50144993.07
2020-3-2253095.73348865.9
2020-3-2363595.88353055.26
2020-3-2473965.98157455.72
2020-3-2584656.14262340.1
2020-3-2695736.35167415.29
2020-3-27107016.5537291.13
2020-3-28118286.7197881.96
2020-3-29129696.87685116.18
2020-3-301310316.93891813.7
2020-3-311411517.04899026.04
2020-4-11513067.175106653.69
2020-4-21614257.262114766.93
2020-4-3179956.903123446.32
2020-4-41811787.072132516.44
2020-4-51914167.25614220.03
2020-4-62016817.427152515.81
2020-4-72120117.606163486.67
2020-4-82223747.7721749222.69
2020-4-92326147.8691871294.65
2020-4-102429787.9991999478.49
2020-4-112533138.1062135649.82
2020-4-122625937.861227743.68
2020-4-132728397.951242769.77
2020-4-142830298.016258476.29
2020-4-152932738.093275099.37
2020-4-163036868.2122923198.86
2020-4-173142048.3443105388.94
2020-4-183247228.463294618.03
2020-4-193349488.5073493605.61
2020-4-203454338.63700810.92
2020-4-213560178.70239161126.18
2020-4-223669478.84641411899.83
2020-4-233779378.97943762897.62
2020-4-243890249.10846194199.51
2020-4-253953888.592487254.6
2020-4-264049728.51251345.13
2020-4-274150098.519540529.11
2020-4-284237608.2325686652.7
2020-4-294346448.4435976297.19
2020-4-304459428.69627617.81
2020-5-14563908.76265855.78
2020-5-24676508.942690380.82
2020-5-34778708.971723056.63
2020-5-44891879.1267566347.29
2020-5-54967088.8117910182.84
2020-5-65071498.8758263150.38
2020-5-75188749.09186257.18
2020-5-85280488.993899499.58
2020-5-95382839.0229371126.39
2020-5-105497339.18397550.05
2020-5-115596549.1751014623.92
2020-5-125684639.04310544410.81
2020-5-135789769.10210947355.17
2020-5-145896439.17411357258.7
2020-5-155998149.19211771325.45
2020-5-1660102519.23512189308.41
2020-5-1761107139.27912612286.07
2020-5-1862109139.29813038346.44
2020-5-1963113559.33713466331.15
2020-5-2064120859.413897236.31
2020-5-2165129059.46514328141.48
2020-5-2266133479.49914761135.46
2020-5-2367142539.5651519358.16
2020-5-2468142479.56415623121.36
2020-5-2569140209.54816053257.51
2020-5-2670147189.59716479188.35
2020-5-2771155929.65516903101.68
2020-5-2872163159.71732158.54
2020-5-2973162099.69317735131.44
2020-5-3074164869.7118143151.47
2020-5-3175169629.73918544135.11
2020-6-176163039.69918938366.73
2020-6-277169409.73719323293.97
2020-6-378168299.73119698418.13
2020-6-479183779.81920064141.9
2020-6-580190159.8532041896.5
2020-6-681192789.86720761105.97
2020-6-782196299.88521091101.36
2020-6-883184169.82121407418.04
2020-6-984189049.84721709362.62
2020-6-1085198979.89821997200.49
2020-6-1186208329.9442226892.7
2020-6-1287218729.9932252418.88
2020-6-1388217409.9872276245.94
2020-6-14892239810.0172298314.92
2020-6-1590203929.92323186336.77
2020-6-1691211599.9623370209.28
2020-6-17922220910.0082353574.79
2020-6-18932352810.066236810.99
2020-6-19942365310.071238071
2020-6-20952356710.068239125
2020-6-21962422510.095239972.15
2020-6-22972315510.052406234.22
2020-6-23982438710.102241063.27
2020-6-24992403610.087241280.36
2020-6-251002552910.1482413081.08
2020-6-261012578610.15824110116.39
2020-6-271022570010.15424070110.33
2020-6-281032555810.1492400999.93
2020-6-291042338910.062392712.1
2020-6-301052378210.077238240.08
2020-7-11062473410.1162370144.96
2020-7-21072556510.14923559170.8
2020-7-31082606310.16823396303.83
2020-7-41092607510.16923215352.23
2020-7-51102629510.17723015467.34
2020-7-61112580510.15822797396.86
2020-7-71122655710.18722561707.65
2020-7-81132789110.236223081397
2020-7-91142912910.279220392280.73
2020-7-101150217540
2020-7-111160214540
2020-7-121170211390
2020-7-131180208110
2020-7-141190204710
2020-7-151200201180
2020-7-161210197540
2020-7-171220193800
2020-7-181230189970
2020-7-191240186040
2020-7-201250182040
2020-7-211260177970
2020-7-221270173840
2020-7-231280169660
2020-7-241290165440
2020-7-251300161170
2020-7-261310156890
2020-7-271320152580
2020-7-281330148260
2020-7-291340143940
Goodness of fit x2 = 31827.55
Today = 10-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-20 to 09-07-2020
a=6.4820697170184 / b=23345536.036736 / c=0.7206089990383

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-20211975.2832222.98
2020-3-21222455.5012671.87
2020-3-22233095.7333170.22
2020-3-23243595.8833720.52
2020-3-24253965.9814343.37
2020-3-25264656.1425012.67
2020-3-26275736.3515750.01
2020-3-27287016.5536543.28
2020-3-28298286.71974010.32
2020-3-29309696.87683222.25
2020-3-303110316.93893110.61
2020-3-313211517.048103612.58
2020-4-13313067.175114821.6
2020-4-23414257.262126619.79
2020-4-3359956.9031391112.92
2020-4-43611787.072152277.96
2020-4-53714167.256166035.9
2020-4-63816817.42718048.4
2020-4-73920117.60619541.64
2020-4-84023747.772211032.77
2020-4-94126147.869227350.92
2020-4-104229787.9992442117.36
2020-4-114333138.1062617184.84
2020-4-124425937.861279815.05
2020-4-134528397.95129847.12
2020-4-144630298.01631776.9
2020-4-154732738.09333743.07
2020-4-164836868.21235783.25
2020-4-174942048.344378645.99
2020-4-185047228.464000130.13
2020-4-195149488.5074219125.84
2020-4-205254338.64443220.53
2020-4-215360178.7024671387.39
2020-4-225469478.8464904850.14
2020-4-235579378.97951421518.23
2020-4-245690249.10853842459.28
2020-4-255753888.592563110.51
2020-4-265849728.5125881140.74
2020-4-275950098.5196136207.1
2020-4-286037608.23263941085.48
2020-4-296146448.4436656608.52
2020-4-306259428.696922138.79
2020-5-16363908.762719189.25
2020-5-26476508.94274634.67
2020-5-36578708.97177382.23
2020-5-46691879.1268017170.69
2020-5-56767088.8118298304.82
2020-5-66871498.8758582239.42
2020-5-76988749.09188690
2020-5-87080488.9939158134.59
2020-5-97182839.0229449144.05
2020-5-107297339.18397430.01
2020-5-117396549.1751003914.79
2020-5-127484639.04310337339.77
2020-5-137589769.10210636259.32
2020-5-147696439.17410938153.39
2020-5-157798149.19211241181.25
2020-5-1678102519.23511546145.27
2020-5-1779107139.27911852109.49
2020-5-1880109139.29812159127.8
2020-5-1981113559.3371246899.39
2020-5-2082120859.41277737.58
2020-5-2183129059.465130882.58
2020-5-2284133479.499134000.21
2020-5-2385142539.5651371221.28
2020-5-2486142479.564140263.48
2020-5-2587140209.548143397.14
2020-5-2688147189.597146540.28
2020-5-2789155929.6551496925.92
2020-5-2890163159.71528469.51
2020-5-2991162099.6931559923.8
2020-5-3092164869.711591520.46
2020-5-3193169629.7391623132.91
2020-6-194163039.699165473.6
2020-6-295169409.737168620.35
2020-6-396168299.731171787.11
2020-6-497183779.8191749444.56
2020-6-598190159.8531780981.62
2020-6-699192789.8671812473.43
2020-6-7100196299.8851843876.81
2020-6-8101184169.821187536.06
2020-6-9102189049.847190661.39
2020-6-10103198979.8981937913.8
2020-6-11104208329.9441969265.96
2020-6-12105218729.99320004174.42
2020-6-13106217409.9872031599.93
2020-6-141072239810.01720625152.34
2020-6-15108203929.9232093414.08
2020-6-16109211599.96212430.34
2020-6-171102220910.0082155120.09
2020-6-181112352810.06621857127.64
2020-6-191122365310.07122163100.13
2020-6-201132356710.0682246753.77
2020-6-211142422510.0952277192.81
2020-6-221152315510.05230730.29
2020-6-231162438710.1022337443.85
2020-6-241172403610.087236745.52
2020-6-251182552910.14823973100.99
2020-6-261192578610.1582427094.66
2020-6-271202570010.1542456652.33
2020-6-281212555810.1492486019.55
2020-6-291222338910.0625153123.84
2020-6-301232378210.07725445108.77
2020-7-11242473410.1162573539.01
2020-7-21252556510.149260248.12
2020-7-31262606310.168263112.36
2020-7-41272607510.1692659710.27
2020-7-51282629510.1772688112.81
2020-7-61292580510.1582716468.03
2020-7-71302655710.1872744528.76
2020-7-81312789110.236277241
2020-7-91322912910.2792800245.33
2020-7-101330282780
2020-7-111340285520
2020-7-121350288250
2020-7-131360290960
2020-7-141370293650
2020-7-151380296320
2020-7-161390298970
2020-7-171400301610
2020-7-181410304230
2020-7-191420306830
2020-7-201430309420
2020-7-211440311980
2020-7-221450314530
2020-7-231460317050
2020-7-241470319560
2020-7-251480322050
2020-7-261490324530
2020-7-271500326980
2020-7-281510329410
2020-7-291520331830
Goodness of fit x2 = 13439.92