COVID-19 Online Forecast Mexico Statistics Forum


Mexico / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 12.08.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 12-08-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-20 to 11-08-2020
a=131.86200689929 / b=39425.873767412 / c=0.00025799726531321

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-2031975.283543220.9
2020-3-2142455.501580194.08
2020-3-2253095.733620156.12
2020-3-2363595.883661138.64
2020-3-2473965.981706136.24
2020-3-2584656.142752110.14
2020-3-2695736.35180265.62
2020-3-27107016.55385427.66
2020-3-28118286.7199107.39
2020-3-29129696.8769680
2020-3-301310316.93810290
2020-3-311411517.04810942.9
2020-4-11513067.175116317.58
2020-4-21614257.262123429.23
2020-4-3179956.903131076.06
2020-4-41811787.072139032.45
2020-4-51914167.25614742.3
2020-4-62016817.42715629.04
2020-4-72120117.606165476.79
2020-4-82223747.7721751221.23
2020-4-92326147.8691853312.34
2020-4-102429787.9991959529.04
2020-4-112533138.1062071744.21
2020-4-122625937.861218874.86
2020-4-132728397.9512310120.88
2020-4-142830298.0162438143.07
2020-4-152932738.0932571191.1
2020-4-163036868.2122711350.29
2020-4-173142048.3442857635.05
2020-4-183247228.463008975.39
2020-4-193349488.50731671001.34
2020-4-203454338.633321324.7
2020-4-213560178.70235031802.8
2020-4-223669478.84636822894.34
2020-4-233779378.97938684280.21
2020-4-243890249.10840616065.07
2020-4-253953888.5924261297.78
2020-4-264049728.512446956.49
2020-4-274150098.519468522.37
2020-4-284237608.2324908268.89
2020-4-294346448.443514047.96
2020-4-304459428.69538058.63
2020-5-14563908.7625628103.05
2020-5-24676508.9425884529.41
2020-5-34778708.9716149481.09
2020-5-44891879.12664231188.86
2020-5-54967088.81167050
2020-5-65071498.87569973.3
2020-5-75188749.0917297340.81
2020-5-85280488.993760525.69
2020-5-95382839.022792316.28
2020-5-105497339.1838250266.25
2020-5-115596549.1758586132.62
2020-5-125684639.043893124.62
2020-5-135789769.102928610.36
2020-5-145896439.17496490
2020-5-155998149.192100214.3
2020-5-1660102519.235104022.22
2020-5-1761107139.279107930.59
2020-5-1862109139.298111926.96
2020-5-1963113559.337116005.17
2020-5-2064120859.4120160.39
2020-5-2165129059.4651244117.27
2020-5-2266133479.4991287417.31
2020-5-2367142539.5651331665.85
2020-5-2468142479.5641376616.79
2020-5-2569140209.548142232.92
2020-5-2670147189.597146880.06
2020-5-2771155929.6551516112.23
2020-5-2872163159.71564129.04
2020-5-2973162099.693161270.41
2020-5-3074164869.71166201.09
2020-5-3175169629.739171191.46
2020-6-176163039.6991762599.18
2020-6-277169409.7371813578.86
2020-6-378168299.73118651178.14
2020-6-479183779.8191917233.01
2020-6-580190159.8531969723.65
2020-6-681192789.8672022644.49
2020-6-782196299.8852075961.52
2020-6-883184169.82121294389.14
2020-6-984189049.84721832392.87
2020-6-1085198979.89822372273.98
2020-6-1186208329.94422914189.26
2020-6-1287218729.99323457107.12
2020-6-1388217409.98724000212.88
2020-6-14892239810.01724543187.53
2020-6-1590203929.92325085878.25
2020-6-1691211599.9625626778.96
2020-6-17922220910.00826166598.47
2020-6-18932352810.06626703377.54
2020-6-19942365310.07127236471.59
2020-6-20952356710.06827767635.33
2020-6-21962422510.09528293584.92
2020-6-22972315510.05288141111.43
2020-6-23982438710.10229329832.89
2020-6-24992403610.087298381128.46
2020-6-251002552910.14830341763.23
2020-6-261012578610.15830836827.1
2020-6-271022570010.154313231009.46
2020-6-281032555810.149318011225.69
2020-6-291042338910.06322702444.18
2020-6-301052378210.077327282445.78
2020-7-11062473410.116331772148.69
2020-7-21072556510.149336141927.46
2020-7-31082606310.168340391869.11
2020-7-41092607510.169344522036.98
2020-7-51102629510.177348522100.99
2020-7-61112580510.158352382525.33
2020-7-71122655710.187356102301.76
2020-7-81132789110.236359681813.83
2020-7-91142912910.279363101420.37
2020-7-101152962710.296366371341.37
2020-7-111163068210.331369471062.62
2020-7-121172983910.304372411471.56
2020-7-131182884310.27375182006.25
2020-7-141192932910.286377781889.83
2020-7-151202836110.253380202454.01
2020-7-161212878610.268382432338.97
2020-7-171222878610.268384482428.45
2020-7-181232878610.268386352510.78
2020-7-191245009910.822388023288.97
2020-7-201254682010.754389491590.25
2020-7-211264844810.788390772246.77
2020-7-221275093710.838391863523.75
2020-7-231285335010.885392745044.53
2020-7-241295225810.864393424239.84
2020-7-251305284310.875393904594.15
2020-7-261315161410.852394183773.24
2020-7-271324765710.772394251718.54
2020-7-281334967910.813394122674.18
2020-7-291344855010.79393792135.63
2020-7-301355007910.821393252940.32
2020-7-311365083410.836392523417.42
2020-8-11375185410.856391584116.16
2020-8-21384877310.795390442423.99
2020-8-31394235910.65438911305.54
2020-8-41404364810.68438757616.97
2020-8-51414463810.70638585949.36
2020-8-61424686210.755383941867.58
2020-8-71434799810.779381832522.38
2020-8-81444677110.753379552047.54
2020-8-91454354810.68237708904.24
2020-8-101463967310.58837444132.66
2020-8-111474131510.62937162464
2020-8-121480368630
2020-8-131490365480
2020-8-141500362170
2020-8-151510358700
2020-8-161520355090
2020-8-171530351330
2020-8-181540347430
2020-8-191550343390
2020-8-201560339230
2020-8-211570334940
2020-8-221580330540
2020-8-231590326030
2020-8-241600321410
2020-8-251610316700
2020-8-261620311890
2020-8-271630307000
2020-8-281640302030
2020-8-291650296980
2020-8-301660291870
2020-8-311670286700
Goodness of fit x2 = 138598.83
Today = 12-08-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-20 to 11-08-2020
a=7.5621090499308 / b=161727423.83402 / c=0.50653844151139

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-20211975.28324911.02
2020-3-21222455.5012948.25
2020-3-22233095.7333433.54
2020-3-23243595.8833983.92
2020-3-24253965.9814588.45
2020-3-25264656.1425236.47
2020-3-26275736.3515930.71
2020-3-27287016.5536691.5
2020-3-28298286.7197507.99
2020-3-29309696.87683720.64
2020-3-303110316.93893010.94
2020-3-313211517.048102814.6
2020-4-13313067.175113226.54
2020-4-23414257.262124226.78
2020-4-3359956.903135897.2
2020-4-43611787.072148061.63
2020-4-53714167.256160722.83
2020-4-63816817.42717402.07
2020-4-73920117.60618809.09
2020-4-84023747.772202560.02
2020-4-94126147.869217688.02
2020-4-104229787.9992333178.26
2020-4-114333138.1062495267.68
2020-4-124425937.86126631.89
2020-4-134528397.95128380
2020-4-144630298.01630170.04
2020-4-154732738.09332031.53
2020-4-164836868.212339325.13
2020-4-174942048.3443590104.87
2020-4-185047228.463792227.93
2020-4-195149488.5073999224.89
2020-4-205254338.64212353.78
2020-4-215360178.7024430568.35
2020-4-225469478.84646531130.51
2020-4-235579378.97948811912.19
2020-4-245690249.10851152987.08
2020-4-255753888.59253530.22
2020-4-265849728.512559669.78
2020-4-275950098.5195845119.62
2020-4-286037608.2326098896.55
2020-4-296146448.4436356461.14
2020-4-306259428.69661869.14
2020-5-16363908.762688535.65
2020-5-26476508.942715633.97
2020-5-36578708.971743225.71
2020-5-46691879.1267713281.64
2020-5-56767088.8117997207.96
2020-5-66871498.8758286156.12
2020-5-76988749.091857910.13
2020-5-87080488.993887677.26
2020-5-97182839.022917687.08
2020-5-107297339.18394816.66
2020-5-117396549.17597901.89
2020-5-127484639.04310102266.04
2020-5-137589769.10210418199.67
2020-5-147696439.17410737111.62
2020-5-157798149.19211060140.53
2020-5-1678102519.23511387113.36
2020-5-1779107139.2791171686.01
2020-5-1880109139.29812049107.27
2020-5-1981113559.3371238685.84
2020-5-2082120859.41272532.24
2020-5-2183129059.465130672.03
2020-5-2284133479.499134130.33
2020-5-2385142539.5651376117.55
2020-5-2486142479.564141121.28
2020-5-2587140209.5481446613.79
2020-5-2688147189.597148230.75
2020-5-2789155929.6551518211.04
2020-5-2890163159.71554438.2
2020-5-2991162099.693159085.66
2020-5-3092164869.71162752.72
2020-5-3193169629.739166446.05
2020-6-194163039.6991701629.89
2020-6-295169409.7371738911.64
2020-6-396168299.7311776549.4
2020-6-497183779.819181433
2020-6-598190159.8531852313.02
2020-6-699192789.867189057.32
2020-6-7100196299.885192895.96
2020-6-8101184169.8211967580.67
2020-6-9102189049.8472006367.01
2020-6-10103198979.8982045315.12
2020-6-11104208329.944208440.01
2020-6-12105218729.9932123718.99
2020-6-13106217409.987216310.55
2020-6-141072239810.017220276.24
2020-6-15108203929.92322424184.28
2020-6-16109211599.9622823121.42
2020-6-171102220910.0082322344.36
2020-6-181112352810.066236250.4
2020-6-191122365310.071240285.87
2020-6-201132356710.0682443230.66
2020-6-211142422510.0952483715.12
2020-6-221152315510.0525244172.92
2020-6-231162438710.1022565162.36
2020-6-241172403610.08726060157.26
2020-6-251182552910.1482646933.45
2020-6-261192578610.1582688044.56
2020-6-271202570010.1542729192.85
2020-6-281212555810.14927704166.26
2020-6-291222338910.0628117795.11
2020-6-301232378210.07728531790.52
2020-7-11242473410.11628945612.83
2020-7-21252556510.14929361490.79
2020-7-31262606310.16829777463.24
2020-7-41272607510.16930193561.81
2020-7-51282629510.17730610608.48
2020-7-61292580510.15831028879.34
2020-7-71302655710.18731446760.3
2020-7-81312789110.23631865495.69
2020-7-91322912910.27932284308.41
2020-7-101332962710.29632703289.49
2020-7-111343068210.33133123180
2020-7-121352983910.30433543409.21
2020-7-131362884310.2733964772.23
2020-7-141372932910.28634385743.46
2020-7-151382836110.253348051193.41
2020-7-161392878610.268352271177.73
2020-7-171402878610.268356481321.03
2020-7-181412878610.268360691470.86
2020-7-191425009910.822364915074.34
2020-7-201434682010.754369122658.99
2020-7-211444844810.788373343308.21
2020-7-221455093710.838377564601.54
2020-7-231465335010.885381776029.66
2020-7-241475225810.864385994833.29
2020-7-251485284310.875390204896.24
2020-7-261495161410.852394423756.26
2020-7-271504765710.772398631523.72
2020-7-281514967910.813402842190.85
2020-7-291524855010.79407051511.79
2020-7-301535007910.821411261948.99
2020-7-311545083410.836415462076.12
2020-8-11555185410.856419662329.36
2020-8-21564877310.79542386962.17
2020-8-31574235910.654428064.68
2020-8-41584364810.684432254.12
2020-8-51594463810.7064364422.6
2020-8-61604686210.75544063177.74
2020-8-71614799810.77944481277.96
2020-8-81624677110.7534489978
2020-8-91634354810.6824531769.06
2020-8-101643967310.58845733803.24
2020-8-111654131510.62946150506.65
2020-8-121660465660
2020-8-131670469820
2020-8-141680473970
2020-8-151690478110
2020-8-161700482250
2020-8-171710486380
2020-8-181720490510
2020-8-191730494630
2020-8-201740498750
2020-8-211750502850
2020-8-221760506960
2020-8-231770511050
2020-8-241780515140
2020-8-251790519220
2020-8-261800523300
2020-8-271810527360
2020-8-281820531420
2020-8-291830535470
2020-8-301840539520
2020-8-311850543550
Goodness of fit x2 = 77668.88