COVID-19 Online Forecast New Zealand Statistics Forum


New Zealand / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 14.07.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 14-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-25 to 13-07-2020
a=86.569099604735 / b=2.4117514064503 / c=-0.0011879630244877

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-2531835.20996709308.03
2020-3-2642565.54579387434.73
2020-3-2753315.80265325886.89
2020-3-2864015.99453874615.54
2020-3-2974576.12544543587.23
2020-3-3085256.26336912716.11
2020-3-3195726.34930662029.18
2020-4-1106246.43625531457.88
2020-4-2117046.5572131955.75
2020-4-3127646.6391783582.41
2020-4-4138226.7121495303.19
2020-4-5148826.7821257111.88
2020-4-6159296.834105916
2020-4-7169186.8228940.61
2020-4-8179276.83275737.96
2020-4-9189216.825642120.41
2020-4-10199086.811546238.58
2020-4-11208866.787466377.86
2020-4-12218556.751398522.85
2020-4-13227986.682341610.49
2020-4-14237296.592293647.61
2020-4-15246496.475252623.06
2020-4-16256226.433217750.05
2020-4-17265826.366188822.35
2020-4-18275446.299163887.15
2020-4-19285076.229141938.8
2020-4-20294546.118123882.51
2020-4-21304266.054107936.68
2020-4-22314015.99494993.95
2020-4-23323445.84182822.06
2020-4-24333255.78472871.39
2020-4-25343105.73764939.23
2020-4-26352705.59856800.19
2020-4-27362395.47650707.64
2020-4-28372265.42144736.09
2020-4-29382165.37539781.38
2020-4-30392085.33835839.43
2020-5-1402025.30831914.45
2020-5-2412015.303281047.83
2020-5-3421915.252251072.09
2020-5-4431645.122864.47
2020-5-5441515.01720817
2020-5-6451364.91318731.32
2020-5-7461224.80417646.51
2020-5-8471034.63515494.27
2020-5-9481024.62514546.99
2020-5-1049904.512460.89
2020-5-1150784.35711370.93
2020-5-1251744.30410367.97
2020-5-1352654.1749303.57
2020-5-1453564.0259238.12
2020-5-1554493.8928192.86
2020-5-1655453.8077174.87
2020-5-1756453.8077194
2020-5-1857453.8076213.98
2020-5-1958353.5556128.98
2020-5-2059303.401597.23
2020-5-2160283.332590.11
2020-5-2261283.332598.76
2020-5-2362273.296498.5
2020-5-2463273.2964106.91
2020-5-2564223.091469.99
2020-5-2665213.045467.41
2020-5-276682.07934.04
2020-5-28671032.06
2020-5-29681031.91
2020-5-30691031.77
2020-5-31701031.64
2020-6-1711031.53
2020-6-2721031.43
2020-6-3731031.33
2020-6-4741021.25
2020-6-5751021.18
2020-6-6761021.12
2020-6-777020
2020-6-878020
2020-6-979020
2020-6-1080020
2020-6-1181020
2020-6-1282020
2020-6-1383020
2020-6-1484020
2020-6-158520.69320.07
2020-6-168620.69320.07
2020-6-178731.09920.14
2020-6-188831.09920.14
2020-6-198951.60922.72
2020-6-209071.94628.48
2020-6-219192.197217.28
2020-6-2292102.303222.53
2020-6-2393112.398228.3
2020-6-2494132.565242.2
2020-6-2595142.639249.31
2020-6-2696162.773266.18
2020-6-2797202.9962108.49
2020-6-2898223.0912130.65
2020-6-2999223.0912125.93
2020-6-30100223.0912120.96
2020-7-1101182.89371.99
2020-7-2102182.89368.44
2020-7-3103182.89364.81
2020-7-4104213.045388.91
2020-7-5105223.091393.66
2020-7-6106223.091387.93
2020-7-7107233.135391.55
2020-7-8108243.178494.56
2020-7-9109233.135479.04
2020-7-10110243.178481.04
2020-7-11111253.219482.43
2020-7-12112253.219575.39
2020-7-13113253.219568.54
2020-7-14114050
2020-7-15115060
2020-7-16116060
2020-7-17117070
2020-7-18118070
2020-7-19119080
2020-7-20120090
2020-7-21121090
2020-7-221220100
2020-7-231230110
2020-7-241240120
2020-7-251250130
2020-7-261260150
2020-7-271270160
2020-7-281280180
2020-7-291290200
2020-7-301300220
2020-7-311310250
2020-8-11320280
2020-8-21330310
2020-8-31340340
Goodness of fit x2 = 67094.17
Today = 14-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-25 to 13-07-2020
a=1.8107196152789 / b=172027.99396274 / c=0.78609267085734

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-25211835.20924752123.15
2020-3-26222565.54521551673.92
2020-3-27233315.80218821278.6
2020-3-28244015.9941648944.13
2020-3-29254576.1251447678.04
2020-3-30265256.2631274441
2020-3-31275726.3491125272.04
2020-4-1286246.436995138.77
2020-4-2297046.55788336.33
2020-4-3307646.6397850.56
2020-4-4318226.71269921.53
2020-4-5328826.782624106.45
2020-4-6339296.834558246.11
2020-4-7349186.822500348.69
2020-4-8359276.832449508.3
2020-4-9369216.825403661.72
2020-4-10379086.811363813.32
2020-4-11388866.787328946.65
2020-4-12398556.7512961049.57
2020-4-13407986.6822681042.63
2020-4-14417296.592243967.23
2020-4-15426496.475221827.69
2020-4-16436226.433201881.25
2020-4-17445826.366183869.56
2020-4-18455446.299166852.47
2020-4-19465076.229152826.17
2020-4-20474546.118139712.21
2020-4-21484266.054127700.56
2020-4-22494015.994116693.31
2020-4-23503445.841106525.36
2020-4-24513255.78498523.93
2020-4-25523105.73790535.23
2020-4-26532705.59883421.2
2020-4-27542395.47676345.68
2020-4-28552265.42170343.32
2020-4-29562165.37565350.65
2020-4-30572085.33860364.62
2020-5-1582025.30855386.73
2020-5-2592015.30351436.2
2020-5-3601915.25247432.87
2020-5-4611645.144326.5
2020-5-5621515.01740296.82
2020-5-6631364.91337253.54
2020-5-7641224.80435213.63
2020-5-8651034.63532150.61
2020-5-9661024.62530167.84
2020-5-1067904.528133.83
2020-5-1168784.35726100.56
2020-5-1269744.3042498.81
2020-5-1370654.1742276.72
2020-5-1471564.0252155.53
2020-5-1572493.8922041.76
2020-5-1673453.8071836.75
2020-5-1774453.8071743
2020-5-1875453.8071649.78
2020-5-1976353.5551525.06
2020-5-2077303.4011416.88
2020-5-2178283.3321315.55
2020-5-2279283.3321218.54
2020-5-2380273.2961119.19
2020-5-2481273.2961122.43
2020-5-2582223.0911012.61
2020-5-2683213.045912.56
2020-5-278482.07990.18
2020-5-28851086.85
2020-5-29861086.35
2020-5-30871075.88
2020-5-31881075.44
2020-6-1891065.03
2020-6-2901064.65
2020-6-3911064.29
2020-6-4921053.96
2020-6-5931053.65
2020-6-6941053.36
2020-6-795040
2020-6-896040
2020-6-997040
2020-6-1098040
2020-6-1199030
2020-6-12100030
2020-6-13101030
2020-6-14102030
2020-6-1510320.69330.43
2020-6-1610420.69330.33
2020-6-1710531.09920.01
2020-6-1810631.09920.03
2020-6-1910751.60922.3
2020-6-2010871.94628.52
2020-6-2110992.197219.25
2020-6-22110102.303227.57
2020-6-23111112.398237.81
2020-6-24112132.565160.73
2020-6-25113142.639177.17
2020-6-26114162.7731111.5
2020-6-27115202.9961194.23
2020-6-28116223.0911253
2020-6-29117223.0911267.56
2020-6-30118223.0911282.75
2020-7-1119182.891193.81
2020-7-2120182.891204.85
2020-7-3121182.891216.36
2020-7-4122213.0451317.37
2020-7-5123223.0911369
2020-7-6124223.0911388.49
2020-7-7125233.1351448.78
2020-7-8126243.1781515.8
2020-7-9127233.1350495.93
2020-7-10128243.1780569.24
2020-7-11129253.2190650.44
2020-7-12130253.2190682.44
2020-7-13131253.2190715.72
2020-7-14132000
2020-7-15133000
2020-7-16134000
2020-7-17135000
2020-7-18136000
2020-7-19137000
2020-7-20138000
2020-7-21139000
2020-7-22140000
2020-7-23141000
2020-7-24142000
2020-7-25143000
2020-7-26144000
2020-7-27145000
2020-7-28146000
2020-7-29147000
2020-7-30148000
2020-7-31149000
2020-8-1150000
2020-8-2151000
2020-8-3152000
Goodness of fit x2 = 34677.31