COVID-19 Online Forecast Peru Statistics Forum


Peru / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 07.07.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 07-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-19 to 06-07-2020
a=90.137215945548 / b=115413.95684764 / c=0.00083795823970223

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-1932335.4511995.78
2020-3-2042305.4382300
2020-3-2153125.7432658.06
2020-3-2263575.8783068.42
2020-3-2373895.9643523.82
2020-3-2484086.0114040.03
2020-3-2594706.1534630.08
2020-3-26105576.3235311.26
2020-3-27116086.416060
2020-3-28126396.466924.12
2020-3-29138186.7077881.09
2020-3-30148736.7728960.63
2020-3-31156416.4631017139.56
2020-4-1168916.792115359.75
2020-4-2178226.7121305178.8
2020-4-3189976.9051473154.36
2020-4-4197596.6321662490.64
2020-4-52012097.0981870234.17
2020-4-62114727.2942102189.07
2020-4-72215467.3432358280.08
2020-4-82328887.968264122.92
2020-4-92436808.2112954178.39
2020-4-102541598.3333297225.03
2020-4-112649288.5033674427.33
2020-4-122755288.6184088506.87
2020-4-132869268.84345401252.68
2020-4-142972048.8825035934.24
2020-4-153081139.00155731156.85
2020-4-163160978.71661590.64
2020-4-173266488.80267953.21
2020-4-183373888.90874841.25
2020-4-193484179.03882304.25
2020-4-203589129.09590341.66
2020-4-2136103719.247990022.34
2020-4-2237116939.3671083168.45
2020-4-2338129209.46711830100.26
2020-4-2439135189.5121290029.58
2020-4-2540168349.73114042554.75
2020-4-2641187019.83615261775.39
2020-4-2742194929.87816557520.24
2020-4-2843211579.9617933579.55
2020-4-29442295110.04119391653.56
2020-4-30452552010.147209321005.46
2020-5-1462820610.247225581413.95
2020-5-2472890010.27224269883.31
2020-5-3483109210.34526067968.43
2020-5-4493160110.36127951476.48
2020-5-5503433210.44429921650.11
2020-5-6513575710.48531976446.92
2020-5-7523851110.55934115566.25
2020-5-8534112110.62436336629.85
2020-5-9544295510.66838638482.33
2020-5-10554406910.69441015227.25
2020-5-11564445510.7024346722.44
2020-5-12574667810.7514598810.35
2020-5-13584981310.8164857331.62
2020-5-14595318610.8825121875.57
2020-5-15605495610.9145391720.02
2020-5-16615774610.9645666220.71
2020-5-17626100411.0195944840.7
2020-5-18636183811.032622662.95
2020-5-19646004511.00365109393.94
2020-5-20655902810.986679671175.89
2020-5-21666203411.035708331093.05
2020-5-22676360611.06736951381.31
2020-5-23686446611.074765441906.09
2020-5-24696670811.108793712020.46
2020-5-25706940111.148821641982.78
2020-5-26717305711.199849131655.62
2020-5-27727575311.235876071604.19
2020-5-28737823811.268902361595.32
2020-5-29748126411.305927871431.15
2020-5-30758485311.349952511135.17
2020-5-31769276211.43897616241.45
2020-6-1779689811.4819987388.65
2020-6-2789614811.474102011337.01
2020-6-37910170111.5310402051.72
2020-6-48010193911.532105891147.52
2020-6-58110302411.543107615195.9
2020-6-68210372611.55109184272.9
2020-6-78310483111.56110591300.02
2020-6-88410456911.558111828471.22
2020-6-98510506911.562112889541.79
2020-6-108610488911.561113770693.32
2020-6-118710627111.574114466586.71
2020-6-128810156711.5281149731563.17
2020-6-138910271711.541152881370.94
2020-6-149010746911.585115412546.68
2020-6-159110672311.578115341644.06
2020-6-169210489511.561115078901.22
2020-6-179310502911.562114624803.19
2020-6-189410573711.569113979596.12
2020-6-199510474511.559113149624.27
2020-6-209610046011.5181121371215.98
2020-6-219710492411.561110947327.05
2020-6-229810390411.551109587294.72
2020-6-239910396911.552108061155.02
2020-6-2410010451411.55710637932.72
2020-6-2510110861611.596104547158.29
2020-6-2610210361911.54810257510.61
2020-6-2710310283011.54110047255.32
2020-6-2810410210411.53498247151.38
2020-6-2910510170211.5395910349.68
2020-6-3010610100111.52393472606.3
2020-7-110710037211.51790944977.28
2020-7-21089986211.512883361503.84
2020-7-31099952111.508856592243.21
2020-7-41109904711.503829243134.78
2020-7-51119817211.494801414056.35
2020-7-61129731211.486773235167.17
2020-7-71130744790
2020-7-81140716190
2020-7-91150687530
2020-7-101160658920
2020-7-111170630440
2020-7-121180602190
2020-7-131190574230
2020-7-141200546660
2020-7-151210519540
2020-7-161220492930
2020-7-171230466910
2020-7-181240441520
2020-7-191250416810
2020-7-201260392830
2020-7-211270369600
2020-7-221280347170
2020-7-231290325550
2020-7-241300304770
2020-7-251310284830
2020-7-261320265760
2020-7-271330247540
2020-7-281340230190
2020-7-291350213700
2020-7-301360198050
2020-7-311370183250
2020-8-11380169260
2020-8-21390156080
2020-8-31400143690
2020-8-41410132060
2020-8-51420121170
2020-8-61430110990
2020-8-71440101490
2020-8-8145092650
2020-8-9146084440
2020-8-10147076830
2020-8-11148069790
2020-8-12149063290
2020-8-13150057290
2020-8-14151051780
2020-8-15152046720
2020-8-16153042080
2020-8-17154037840
2020-8-18155033970
2020-8-19156030450
2020-8-20157027240
2020-8-21158024330
2020-8-22159021700
2020-8-23160019320
2020-8-24161017170
2020-8-25162015230
2020-8-26163013490
2020-8-27164011930
2020-8-28165010530
2020-8-2916609280
2020-8-3016708170
2020-8-3116807170
2020-9-116906290
2020-9-217005500
2020-9-317104810
2020-9-417204200
2020-9-517303660
2020-9-617403180
2020-9-717502760
2020-9-817602390
2020-9-917702070
2020-9-1017801780
2020-9-1117901540
2020-9-1218001320
2020-9-1318101140
2020-9-141820970
2020-9-151830830
2020-9-161840710
2020-9-171850610
2020-9-181860520
2020-9-191870440
2020-9-201880370
2020-9-211890320
2020-9-221900270
2020-9-231910220
2020-9-241920190
2020-9-251930160
2020-9-261940130
2020-9-271950110
2020-9-28196090
2020-9-29197080
2020-9-30198060
2020-10-1199050
2020-10-2200040
2020-10-3201030
2020-10-4202030
2020-10-5203020
2020-10-6204020
2020-10-7205010
2020-10-8206010
2020-10-9207010
2020-10-10208010
2020-10-11209000
2020-10-12210000
2020-10-13211000
2020-10-14212000
2020-10-15213000
2020-10-16214000
2020-10-17215000
2020-10-18216000
2020-10-19217000
2020-10-20218000
2020-10-21219000
2020-10-22220000
2020-10-23221000
2020-10-24222000
2020-10-25223000
2020-10-26224000
2020-10-27225000
2020-10-28226000
2020-10-29227000
2020-10-30228000
2020-10-31229000
2020-11-1230000
2020-11-2231000
2020-11-3232000
2020-11-4233000
2020-11-5234000
2020-11-6235000
2020-11-7236000
2020-11-8237000
2020-11-9238000
2020-11-10239000
2020-11-11240000
2020-11-12241000
2020-11-13242000
2020-11-14243000
2020-11-15244000
2020-11-16245000
2020-11-17246000
2020-11-18247000
2020-11-19248000
2020-11-20249000
2020-11-21250000
2020-11-22251000
2020-11-23252000
2020-11-24253000
2020-11-25254000
2020-11-26255000
2020-11-27256000
2020-11-28257000
2020-11-29258000
2020-11-30259000
2020-12-1260000
2020-12-2261000
2020-12-3262000
2020-12-4263000
2020-12-5264000
Goodness of fit x2 = 66546.33
Today = 07-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-19 to 06-07-2020
a=5.3995381941985 / b=23744410.137944 / c=19.267285721352

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-191202335.45114553.16
2020-3-201212305.43817417.4
2020-3-211223125.74320949.86
2020-3-221233575.87825045.2
2020-3-231243895.96429827.67
2020-3-241254086.0113538.43
2020-3-251264706.1534176.65
2020-3-261275576.3234908.88
2020-3-271286086.415751.84
2020-3-281296396.466721.63
2020-3-291308186.7077821.64
2020-3-301318736.7729071.29
2020-3-311326416.4631048158.55
2020-4-11338916.792120883.35
2020-4-21348226.7121387230.62
2020-4-31359976.9051588220.36
2020-4-41367596.6321813612.83
2020-4-513712097.0982062353.47
2020-4-613814727.2942340322.09
2020-4-713915467.3432646457.92
2020-4-814028887.96829853.17
2020-4-914136808.211335730.97
2020-4-1014241598.333376541.07
2020-4-1114349288.5034212121.68
2020-4-1214455288.6184698146.3
2020-4-1314569268.8435228551.29
2020-4-1414672048.8825802338.56
2020-4-1514781139.0016423444.4
2020-4-1614860978.7167093139.97
2020-4-1714966488.8027814174.09
2020-4-1815073888.9088588167.7
2020-4-1915184179.0389416106.08
2020-4-2015289129.09510301187.31
2020-4-21153103719.2471124367.7
2020-4-22154116939.3671224424.88
2020-4-23155129209.4671330611.24
2020-4-24156135189.5121442957.6
2020-4-25157168349.7311561495.21
2020-4-26158187019.83616862200.5
2020-4-27159194929.8781817295.78
2020-4-28160211579.9619546132.77
2020-4-291612295110.04120982184.74
2020-4-301622552010.14722480410.95
2020-5-11632820610.24724040721.76
2020-5-21642890010.27225661408.83
2020-5-31653109210.34527340514.66
2020-5-41663160110.36129078218.85
2020-5-51673433210.44430871387.82
2020-5-61683575710.48532719282.06
2020-5-71693851110.55934617437.85
2020-5-81704112110.62436565567.62
2020-5-91714295510.66838558501.29
2020-5-101724406910.69440594297.38
2020-5-111734445510.7024266974.68
2020-5-121744667810.7514478080.37
2020-5-131754981310.81646923177.91
2020-5-141765318610.88249094341.01
2020-5-151775495610.91451288262.24
2020-5-161785774610.96453502336.64
2020-5-171796100411.01955730499.06
2020-5-181806183811.03257968258.31
2020-5-191816004511.003602110.46
2020-5-201825902810.98662455188.12
2020-5-211836203411.03564695109.46
2020-5-221846360611.0666925164.61
2020-5-231856446611.07469140316.08
2020-5-241866670811.10871337300.38
2020-5-251876940111.14873509229.58
2020-5-261887305711.1997565189.01
2020-5-271897575311.2357776051.84
2020-5-281907823811.2687983031.78
2020-5-291918126411.305818574.3
2020-5-301928485311.3498383612.33
2020-5-311939276211.43885762571.2
2020-6-11949689811.48187632979.56
2020-6-21959614811.47489442502.73
2020-6-319610170111.53911871212.17
2020-6-419710193911.53292864886.75
2020-6-519810302411.54394469774.55
2020-6-619910372611.5596000621.66
2020-6-720010483111.5697453558.44
2020-6-820110456911.55898826333.67
2020-6-920210506911.562100116245.01
2020-6-1020310488911.561101320125.66
2020-6-1120410627111.574102438143.4
2020-6-1220510156711.52810346634.89
2020-6-1320610271711.5410440527.3
2020-6-1420710746911.58510525246.69
2020-6-1520810672311.5781060064.84
2020-6-1620910489511.56110666729.47
2020-6-1721010502911.56210723545.41
2020-6-1821110573711.56910770936.14
2020-6-1921210474511.559108090103.56
2020-6-2021310046011.518108378578.51
2020-6-2121410492411.561108573122.64
2020-6-2221510390411.551108676209.55
2020-6-2321610396911.552108688204.92
2020-6-2421710451411.557108610154.54
2020-6-2521810861611.5961084450.27
2020-6-2621910361911.548108193193.4
2020-6-2722010283011.541107856234.25
2020-6-2822110210411.534107436264.71
2020-6-2922210170211.53106936256.23
2020-6-3022310100111.523106357269.79
2020-7-122410037211.517105702268.85
2020-7-22259986211.512104974248.98
2020-7-32269952111.508104175207.93
2020-7-42279904711.503103307175.71
2020-7-52289817211.494102374172.52
2020-7-62299731211.486101378163.15
2020-7-723001003230
2020-7-82310992110
2020-7-92320980460
2020-7-102330968300
2020-7-112340955660
2020-7-122350942580
2020-7-132360929090
2020-7-142370915210
2020-7-152380900980
2020-7-162390886430
2020-7-172400871590
2020-7-182410856480
2020-7-192420841140
2020-7-202430825590
2020-7-212440809860
2020-7-222450793990
2020-7-232460777980
2020-7-242470761880
2020-7-252480745710
2020-7-262490729480
2020-7-272500713230
2020-7-282510696980
2020-7-292520680740
2020-7-302530664540
2020-7-312540648400
2020-8-12550632330
2020-8-22560616360
2020-8-32570600500
2020-8-42580584760
2020-8-52590569170
2020-8-62600553730
2020-8-72610538460
2020-8-82620523380
2020-8-92630508480
2020-8-102640493790
2020-8-112650479310
2020-8-122660465060
2020-8-132670451030
2020-8-142680437240
2020-8-152690423700
2020-8-162700410400
2020-8-172710397360
2020-8-182720384580
2020-8-192730372060
2020-8-202740359800
2020-8-212750347820
2020-8-222760336100
2020-8-232770324650
2020-8-242780313480
2020-8-252790302580
2020-8-262800291950
2020-8-272810281590
2020-8-282820271500
2020-8-292830261680
2020-8-302840252120
2020-8-312850242830
2020-9-12860233810
2020-9-22870225040
2020-9-32880216530
2020-9-42890208270
2020-9-52900200260
2020-9-62910192500
2020-9-72920184980
2020-9-82930177700
2020-9-92940170650
2020-9-102950163830
2020-9-112960157230
2020-9-122970150860
2020-9-132980144700
2020-9-142990138750
2020-9-153000133010
2020-9-163010127460
2020-9-173020122120
2020-9-183030116970
2020-9-193040112000
2020-9-203050107210
2020-9-213060102600
2020-9-22307098170
2020-9-23308093900
2020-9-24309089790
2020-9-25310085840
2020-9-26311082040
2020-9-27312078390
2020-9-28313074880
2020-9-29314071520
2020-9-30315068290
2020-10-1316065180
2020-10-2317062210
2020-10-3318059350
2020-10-4319056620
2020-10-5320054000
2020-10-6321051480
2020-10-7322049080
2020-10-8323046770
2020-10-9324044570
2020-10-10325042450
2020-10-11326040430
2020-10-12327038500
2020-10-13328036650
2020-10-14329034890
2020-10-15330033200
2020-10-16331031590
2020-10-17332030050
2020-10-18333028580
2020-10-19334027170
2020-10-20335025830
2020-10-21336024550
2020-10-22337023330
2020-10-23338022170
2020-10-24339021060
2020-10-25340020000
2020-10-26341018990
2020-10-27342018030
2020-10-28343017120
2020-10-29344016250
2020-10-30345015420
2020-10-31346014630
2020-11-1347013870
2020-11-2348013160
2020-11-3349012480
2020-11-4350011830
2020-11-5351011220
2020-11-6352010630
2020-11-7353010070
2020-11-835409550
2020-11-935509040
2020-11-1035608570
2020-11-1135708110
2020-11-1235807680
2020-11-1335907270
2020-11-1436006890
2020-11-1536106520
2020-11-1636206170
2020-11-1736305840
2020-11-1836405520
2020-11-1936505220
2020-11-2036604940
2020-11-2136704670
2020-11-2236804420
2020-11-2336904180
2020-11-2437003950
2020-11-2537103730
2020-11-2637203530
2020-11-2737303330
2020-11-2837403150
2020-11-2937502970
2020-11-3037602810
2020-12-137702650
2020-12-237802510
2020-12-337902370
2020-12-438002230
2020-12-538102110
Goodness of fit x2 = 25272.12