COVID-19 Online Forecast Philippines Statistics Forum


Philippines / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 09.08.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 09-08-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-18 to 08-08-2020
a=141.59274482115 / b=39331.438375858 / c=0.00021483376018508

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-1831785.182634328.68
2020-3-1941925.257673344.3
2020-3-2052045.318714364.69
2020-3-2162755.617757307.3
2020-3-2273385.823802269.05
2020-3-2384126.021850225.96
2020-3-2494976.209900180.72
2020-3-25105726.349952152.3
2020-3-26116346.4521008138.88
2020-3-27127186.5761066113.68
2020-3-28139726.879112621.3
2020-3-291413057.174119010.97
2020-3-301514267.263125722.57
2020-3-311619477.5741327289.04
2020-4-11721657.681400416.83
2020-4-21824757.8141477673.3
2020-4-31928307.94815571038.9
2020-4-42028937.971641953.67
2020-4-52130308.0161729978.1
2020-4-62234248.13918201411.12
2020-4-72335038.16119161313.1
2020-4-82435928.18620161231.26
2020-4-92537498.22921201250.88
2020-4-102638348.25222281155.99
2020-4-112740248.323411208.32
2020-4-122841548.33224591167.45
2020-4-132943758.38425811245.17
2020-4-143045938.43227091309.57
2020-4-153147518.46628411282.62
2020-4-163248638.48929791190.7
2020-4-173350048.51831221133.78
2020-4-183451748.55132701107.27
2020-4-193552788.57134241002.61
2020-4-203654188.5973584937.64
2020-4-213755088.6143750823.87
2020-4-223855718.6253921693.55
2020-4-233957978.6654099702.99
2020-4-244059538.6924283650.95
2020-4-254160088.7014473526.47
2020-4-264262168.7354669511.84
2020-4-274363348.7544873437.97
2020-4-284464538.7725082369.34
2020-4-294566318.85299334.6
2020-4-304668778.8365522332.07
2020-5-14771098.8695753319.57
2020-5-24872018.8825990244.63
2020-5-34974028.916234218.46
2020-5-45075478.9296486173.36
2020-5-55176398.9416745118.36
2020-5-65278408.967701197.84
2020-5-75380408.992728578.17
2020-5-85480338.991756628.78
2020-5-95580648.99578545.57
2020-5-105681519.00681500
2020-5-115783619.03184541.03
2020-5-125884939.04787658.47
2020-5-135985959.059908426.33
2020-5-146087499.077941046.46
2020-5-156188259.085974386.65
2020-5-166289279.09710085132.97
2020-5-176390549.11110433182.43
2020-5-186491589.12210789246.75
2020-5-196592629.13411153320.64
2020-5-206694479.15311523374.25
2020-5-216795889.16811901449.75
2020-5-226896489.17512286566.64
2020-5-236997379.18412678682.48
2020-5-247099189.20213077763.31
2020-5-2571101239.22313483837.36
2020-5-2672103719.24713895893.89
2020-5-2773106399.27214314943.53
2020-5-2874110699.31214738913.82
2020-5-2975119729.3915170674.2
2020-5-3076124669.43115607632.16
2020-5-3177132209.48916049498.9
2020-6-178136999.52516497474.81
2020-6-279139689.54516951525
2020-6-380146219.5917409446.64
2020-6-481151509.62617872414.73
2020-6-582153099.63618340500.93
2020-6-683159059.67418811449.12
2020-6-784163629.70319287443.63
2020-6-885168269.73119766437.32
2020-6-986172399.75520248447.23
2020-6-1087178109.78820733412.17
2020-6-1188179749.79721220496.77
2020-6-1289182819.81421710541.73
2020-6-1390186129.83222201580.46
2020-6-1491188889.84622694638.51
2020-6-1592190709.85623188731.46
2020-6-1693191269.85923682876.75
2020-6-1794193109.86824177979.84
2020-6-1895195939.883246711045.35
2020-6-1996199519.901251641080.26
2020-6-2097206009.93325657996.81
2020-6-2198209909.952261471017.45
2020-6-2299213629.969266361044.47
2020-6-231002219710.00827122894.55
2020-6-241012243510.01827605968.55
2020-6-251022294710.04128085940.14
2020-6-261032366710.07228561838.68
2020-6-271042413710.09229032825.5
2020-6-281052452510.10729498838.69
2020-6-291062522710.13629960747.71
2020-6-301072601510.16630415636.57
2020-7-11082680310.19630863534.33
2020-7-21092685810.19831305631.97
2020-7-31102798310.23931740444.85
2020-7-41112908710.27832167295.01
2020-7-51123101510.3423258675.75
2020-7-61133284510.4329960.69
2020-7-71143417810.4393339618.28
2020-7-81153645710.50433787210.87
2020-7-91163762710.53534168350.02
2020-7-101173832410.55434539414.76
2020-7-111183881310.56734898439.08
2020-7-121193867910.56335246334.28
2020-7-131203503610.464355828.4
2020-7-141213548310.477359065
2020-7-151223626010.498362170.05
2020-7-161233818310.553651676.07
2020-7-171243959310.58636801211.78
2020-7-181254146410.63337072520.2
2020-7-191264316010.67337329910.58
2020-7-201274399110.692375721096.42
2020-7-211284564610.729378001628.19
2020-7-221294680310.754380142032.02
2020-7-231304813610.782382122577.29
2020-7-241315006310.821383943546.07
2020-7-251325076310.835385613860.74
2020-7-261335240610.867387124843.73
2020-7-271345364910.89388475639.77
2020-7-281355510910.917389656687.9
2020-7-291365652810.942390687803.07
2020-7-301372232710.014391537231.38
2020-7-311382615310.172392224354.96
2020-8-11393092810.339392741773.84
2020-8-21403556910.47939310356.02
2020-8-31413840510.5563932821.68
2020-8-41424442910.70239330661.06
2020-8-51434758710.77393141740.59
2020-8-61445047310.829392823187.86
2020-8-71455373410.892392335359.34
2020-8-81465755910.961391678635.74
2020-8-91470390850
2020-8-101480389860
2020-8-111490388700
2020-8-121500387380
2020-8-131510385900
2020-8-141520384260
2020-8-151530382470
2020-8-161540380510
2020-8-171550378410
2020-8-181560376160
2020-8-191570373750
2020-8-201580371210
2020-8-211590368520
2020-8-221600365700
2020-8-231610362740
2020-8-241620359650
2020-8-251630356430
2020-8-261640353090
2020-8-271650349630
2020-8-281660346060
Goodness of fit x2 = 140519.58
Today = 09-08-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-18 to 08-08-2020
a=7.8467467692101 / b=219441760.7717 / c=0.45699325588546

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-18211785.18227635.25
2020-3-19221925.25732353.59
2020-3-20232045.31837578.19
2020-3-21242755.61743156.85
2020-3-22253385.82349248.65
2020-3-23264126.02155938.67
2020-3-24274976.20963028.16
2020-3-25285726.34970625.62
2020-3-26296346.45278830.1
2020-3-27307186.57687428.07
2020-3-28319726.8799660.03
2020-3-293213057.174106354.65
2020-3-303314267.263116657.77
2020-3-313419477.5741274355.17
2020-4-13521657.681387435.77
2020-4-23624757.8141505623.58
2020-4-33728307.9481629883.9
2020-4-43828937.971758731.23
2020-4-53930308.0161893682.4
2020-4-64034248.1392033951.68
2020-4-74135038.1612177806.12
2020-4-84235928.1862328686.12
2020-4-94337498.2292483644.91
2020-4-104438348.2522643535.67
2020-4-114540248.32809525.01
2020-4-124641548.3322980462.39
2020-4-134743758.3843155471.05
2020-4-144845938.4323336473.32
2020-4-154947518.4663521428.98
2020-4-165048638.4893712356.75
2020-4-175150048.5183907307.79
2020-4-185251748.5514107277.07
2020-4-195352788.5714311216.5
2020-4-205454188.5974520177.97
2020-4-215555088.6144734126.29
2020-4-225655718.625495277.11
2020-4-235757978.665517574.59
2020-4-245859538.692540256.05
2020-4-255960088.701563424.82
2020-4-266062168.735586920.44
2020-4-276163348.75461098.26
2020-4-286264538.77263531.57
2020-4-296366318.866010.13
2020-4-306468778.83668530.08
2020-5-16571098.86971080
2020-5-26672018.88273683.81
2020-5-36774028.9176316.92
2020-5-46875478.929789915.69
2020-5-56976398.941816934.48
2020-5-67078408.967844443.22
2020-5-77180408.992872153.32
2020-5-87280338.9919003104.55
2020-5-97380648.9959287161.27
2020-5-107481519.0069575212
2020-5-117583619.0319867229.87
2020-5-127684939.04710161273.94
2020-5-137785959.05910458332.18
2020-5-147887499.07710759375.68
2020-5-157988259.08511063452.76
2020-5-168089279.09711369524.74
2020-5-178190549.11111678589.96
2020-5-188291589.12211991669.35
2020-5-198392629.13412305752.94
2020-5-208494479.15312623799.34
2020-5-218595889.16812943870.01
2020-5-228696489.17513266986.98
2020-5-238797379.184135911093.28
2020-5-248899189.202139191150.36
2020-5-2589101239.223142491195.09
2020-5-2690103719.247145821216.14
2020-5-2791106399.272149161226.83
2020-5-2892110699.312152531148.12
2020-5-2993119729.3915593840.88
2020-5-3094124669.43115934754.92
2020-5-3195132209.48916277574.35
2020-6-196136999.52516622514.32
2020-6-297139689.54516970531.13
2020-6-398146219.5917319420.43
2020-6-499151509.62617670359.52
2020-6-5100153099.63618023408.79
2020-6-6101159059.67418378332.78
2020-6-7102163629.70318734300.41
2020-6-8103168269.73119092269.02
2020-6-9104172399.75519451251.76
2020-6-10105178109.78819813202.52
2020-6-11106179749.79720175240.29
2020-6-12107182819.81420540248.45
2020-6-13108186129.83220905251.64
2020-6-14109188889.84621272267.32
2020-6-15110190709.85621640305.44
2020-6-16111191269.85922010378.05
2020-6-17112193109.86822381421.53
2020-6-18113195939.88322753439.05
2020-6-19114199519.90123126436.15
2020-6-20115206009.93323501358.21
2020-6-21116209909.95223876349.07
2020-6-22117213629.96924253344.75
2020-6-231182219710.00824631240.57
2020-6-241192243510.01825009265.09
2020-6-251202294710.04125389234.95
2020-6-261212366710.07225769171.6
2020-6-271222413710.09226151155.14
2020-6-281232452510.10726533152.02
2020-6-291242522710.13626916106.03
2020-6-301252601510.1662730060.5
2020-7-11262680310.1962768428.07
2020-7-21272685810.1982806952.31
2020-7-31282798310.239284557.85
2020-7-41292908710.278288422.08
2020-7-51303101510.34229229109.1
2020-7-61313284510.429616351.84
2020-7-71323417810.43930005580.33
2020-7-81333645710.504303931209.51
2020-7-91343762710.535307831521.59
2020-7-101353832410.554311721640.55
2020-7-111363881310.567315621665.41
2020-7-121373867910.563319531415.65
2020-7-131383503610.46432344224.03
2020-7-141393548310.47732735230.62
2020-7-151403626010.49833126296.33
2020-7-161413818310.5533518649.07
2020-7-171423959310.58633910952.15
2020-7-181434146410.633343031494.89
2020-7-191444316010.673346952065.01
2020-7-201454399110.692350882258.84
2020-7-211464564610.729354812912.11
2020-7-221474680310.754358743329.43
2020-7-231484813610.782362673884.16
2020-7-241495006310.821366604899.79
2020-7-251505076310.835370535072.22
2020-7-261515240610.867374475975.65
2020-7-271525364910.89378406604.37
2020-7-281535510910.917382337448.24
2020-7-291545652810.942386278295.8
2020-7-301552232710.014390207141.63
2020-7-311562615310.172394134461.51
2020-8-11573092810.339398061980.39
2020-8-21583556910.47940199533.46
2020-8-31593840510.55640592117.92
2020-8-41604442910.70240985289.29
2020-8-51614758710.7741378931.6
2020-8-61625047310.829417701812.96
2020-8-71635373410.892421633175.45
2020-8-81645755910.961425555289.97
2020-8-91650429470
2020-8-101660433380
2020-8-111670437290
2020-8-121680441210
2020-8-131690445110
2020-8-141700449020
2020-8-151710452920
2020-8-161720456820
2020-8-171730460710
2020-8-181740464600
2020-8-191750468490
2020-8-201760472370
2020-8-211770476250
2020-8-221780480130
2020-8-231790484000
2020-8-241800487870
2020-8-251810491730
2020-8-261820495580
2020-8-271830499430
2020-8-281840503280
Goodness of fit x2 = 128578.97