COVID-19 Online Forecast Poland Statistics Forum


Poland / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 08.08.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 08-08-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-17 to 07-08-2020
a=93.425365567687 / b=15172.309221519 / c=0.00035104905884384

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-1732205.394859476.16
2020-3-1842335.451915509.19
2020-3-1953495.855974401.86
2020-3-2064196.0381037368.3
2020-3-2175306.2731102297.1
2020-3-2286266.4391170253.51
2020-3-2397406.6071242203.38
2020-3-24108906.7911318139.08
2020-3-251110306.937139796.5
2020-3-261211987.088147953.7
2020-3-271313667.22156625.65
2020-3-281416137.38616561.16
2020-3-291518337.51417513.82
2020-3-301620177.609184915.13
2020-3-311722717.728195252
2020-4-11824647.81205979.54
2020-4-21928337.9492170202.2
2020-4-32032568.0882286411.44
2020-4-42134328.1412406437.27
2020-4-52238748.2622530712.79
2020-4-62341448.3292660827.78
2020-4-72445288.41827931076.23
2020-4-82548248.48129321220.07
2020-4-92651178.5430751354.74
2020-4-102754568.60432231545.8
2020-4-112857738.66133761701.1
2020-4-122960038.735331725.16
2020-4-133062028.73336961698.95
2020-4-143163218.75238631563.91
2020-4-153266288.79940341666.8
2020-4-163368308.82942111628.78
2020-4-173471818.87943921771.05
2020-4-183574148.91145771757.63
2020-4-193678878.97347672041.13
2020-4-203780808.99749611959.39
2020-4-213881589.00751601740.91
2020-4-223982309.01653631531.95
2020-4-234083179.02655701354.15
2020-4-244184549.04257811235.5
2020-4-254286239.06259961150.92
2020-4-264388179.08462141090.07
2020-4-274488749.0916435923.54
2020-4-284589679.1016660798.4
2020-4-294689919.1046888641.47
2020-4-304789979.1057119495.06
2020-5-14889639.1017352352.57
2020-5-24989499.0997588243.91
2020-5-35090709.1137826197.67
2020-5-45192139.1288065163.21
2020-5-55294359.1528306153.29
2020-5-65393529.143854875.48
2020-5-75494309.152879146.33
2020-5-85594069.149903515.2
2020-5-95694299.15292792.42
2020-5-105794989.15995220.07
2020-5-115896999.1897660.46
2020-5-125999519.205100080.33
2020-5-136099339.204102499.79
2020-5-1461100369.2141048919.61
2020-5-1562101919.2291072726.81
2020-5-1663101679.2271096257.76
2020-5-1764101539.2261119597.08
2020-5-1865103219.24211425106.72
2020-5-1966104179.25111651130.79
2020-5-2067105949.26811873137.94
2020-5-2168107199.2812091155.88
2020-5-2269109069.29712305159.14
2020-5-2370109619.30212513192.69
2020-5-2471111369.31812716196.53
2020-5-2572113489.33712914189.94
2020-5-2673110309.30813105328.63
2020-5-2774111159.31613289355.93
2020-5-2875112279.32613467372.79
2020-5-2976114129.34213638363.4
2020-5-3077114949.3513801385.73
2020-5-3178114519.34613956449.78
2020-6-179116429.36214103429.6
2020-6-280115779.35714242498.7
2020-6-381115589.35514371550.93
2020-6-482117049.36814492536.61
2020-6-583118639.38114604514.56
2020-6-684121929.40914706429.91
2020-6-785125499.43714798342.05
2020-6-886129969.47214881238.89
2020-6-987131819.48714954210.21
2020-6-1088132259.4915016213.69
2020-6-1189132909.49515068209.88
2020-6-1290135509.51415109161.05
2020-6-1391136769.52315141141.75
2020-6-1492139199.54115161101.82
2020-6-1593141499.5571517168.89
2020-6-1694142699.5661517053.58
2020-6-1795144949.5811515929.18
2020-6-1896143829.5741513737.66
2020-6-1997142849.5671510444.56
2020-6-2098140939.5531506162.25
2020-6-2199138929.5391500782.94
2020-6-22100137929.5321494388.78
2020-6-23101135799.51614869112.05
2020-6-24102132919.49514785151.1
2020-6-25103130539.47714691182.8
2020-6-26104127489.45314588232.14
2020-6-27105123079.41814475324.79
2020-6-28106119219.38614353412.1
2020-6-29107118139.37714221408.02
2020-6-30108116499.36314082420.38
2020-7-1109115079.35113933422.67
2020-7-2110114459.34513777394.87
2020-7-3111112479.32813613411.3
2020-7-4112110809.31313441414.92
2020-7-5113106879.27713262500.25
2020-7-6114106689.27513077443.83
2020-7-7115106469.27312885389.1
2020-7-8116102699.23712686460.82
2020-7-911799239.20312483525.02
2020-7-1011896069.1712273579.88
2020-7-1111993189.1412059623.28
2020-7-1212091729.12411840601.55
2020-7-1312190999.11611617546.13
2020-7-1412291139.11711391455.62
2020-7-1512386359.06411160571.69
2020-7-1612485219.0510927530.08
2020-7-1712582909.02310691539.6
2020-7-1812682049.01210453484.21
2020-7-1912781889.0110213401.83
2020-7-2012882179.0149972309.01
2020-7-2112983759.0339729188.66
2020-7-2213083819.0349486128.83
2020-7-2313183889.035924279.05
2020-7-2413283869.034899841.75
2020-7-2513385399.05287555.35
2020-7-2613486419.06485121.94
2020-7-2713588709.09827043.45
2020-7-2813691799.1258029164.47
2020-7-2913795329.1627790389.25
2020-7-3013896799.1787553598.28
2020-7-3113999859.2097317972.04
2020-8-1140102519.23570841414.78
2020-8-2141104549.25568541890.01
2020-8-3142108569.29266272698.49
2020-8-4143113559.33764023830.48
2020-8-5144117129.36861814948.06
2020-8-6145120999.40159636311.64
2020-8-7146124969.43357497915.8
2020-8-8147055390
2020-8-9148053320
2020-8-10149051300
2020-8-11150049320
2020-8-12151047380
2020-8-13152045490
2020-8-14153043640
2020-8-15154041840
2020-8-16155040080
2020-8-17156038370
2020-8-18157036710
2020-8-19158035100
2020-8-20159033530
2020-8-21160032010
2020-8-22161030540
2020-8-23162029110
2020-8-24163027730
2020-8-25164026400
2020-8-26165025110
2020-8-27166023880
2020-8-28167022680
2020-8-29168021530
2020-8-30169020430
2020-8-31170019360
2020-9-1171018340
2020-9-2172017360
2020-9-3173016430
2020-9-4174015530
2020-9-5175014670
2020-9-6176013850
2020-9-7177013060
2020-9-8178012310
2020-9-9179011600
2020-9-10180010920
2020-9-11181010270
2020-9-1218209650
2020-9-1318309070
2020-9-1418408510
2020-9-1518507980
2020-9-1618607480
2020-9-1718707010
2020-9-1818806560
2020-9-1918906140
2020-9-2019005740
2020-9-2119105360
2020-9-2219205000
2020-9-2319304670
2020-9-2419404350
2020-9-2519504050
2020-9-2619603770
2020-9-2719703510
2020-9-2819803260
2020-9-2919903030
2020-9-3020002810
2020-10-120102610
2020-10-220202410
2020-10-320302240
2020-10-420402070
2020-10-520501910
2020-10-620601770
2020-10-720701630
2020-10-820801510
2020-10-920901390
2020-10-1021001280
2020-10-1121101180
2020-10-1221201090
2020-10-1321301000
2020-10-142140920
2020-10-152150840
2020-10-162160770
2020-10-172170710
2020-10-182180650
2020-10-192190590
2020-10-202200540
2020-10-212210500
2020-10-222220450
2020-10-232230410
2020-10-242240380
2020-10-252250340
2020-10-262260310
2020-10-272270280
2020-10-282280260
2020-10-292290230
2020-10-302300210
2020-10-312310190
2020-11-12320170
2020-11-22330160
2020-11-32340140
2020-11-42350130
2020-11-52360120
2020-11-62370100
2020-11-7238090
2020-11-8239080
2020-11-9240080
2020-11-10241070
2020-11-11242060
2020-11-12243050
2020-11-13244050
2020-11-14245040
2020-11-15246040
2020-11-16247030
2020-11-17248030
2020-11-18249030
2020-11-19250020
2020-11-20251020
2020-11-21252020
2020-11-22253010
2020-11-23254010
2020-11-24255010
2020-11-25256010
2020-11-26257010
2020-11-27258010
2020-11-28259010
2020-11-29260000
2020-11-30261000
2020-12-1262000
2020-12-2263000
2020-12-3264000
2020-12-4265000
2020-12-5266000
2020-12-6267000
2020-12-7268000
2020-12-8269000
2020-12-9270000
2020-12-10271000
2020-12-11272000
2020-12-12273000
2020-12-13274000
2020-12-14275000
2020-12-15276000
2020-12-16277000
2020-12-17278000
2020-12-18279000
2020-12-19280000
2020-12-20281000
2020-12-21282000
2020-12-22283000
2020-12-23284000
2020-12-24285000
2020-12-25286000
2020-12-26287000
2020-12-27288000
2020-12-28289000
2020-12-29290000
2020-12-30291000
2020-12-31292000
2021-1-1293000
2021-1-2294000
2021-1-3295000
2021-1-4296000
2021-1-5297000
2021-1-6298000
2021-1-7299000
2021-1-8300000
2021-1-9301000
2021-1-10302000
2021-1-11303000
2021-1-12304000
2021-1-13305000
2021-1-14306000
2021-1-15307000
2021-1-16308000
2021-1-17309000
2021-1-18310000
2021-1-19311000
2021-1-20312000
2021-1-21313000
2021-1-22314000
2021-1-23315000
2021-1-24316000
2021-1-25317000
2021-1-26318000
2021-1-27319000
2021-1-28320000
2021-1-29321000
2021-1-30322000
2021-1-31323000
2021-2-1324000
2021-2-2325000
2021-2-3326000
2021-2-4327000
2021-2-5328000
2021-2-6329000
2021-2-7330000
2021-2-8331000
2021-2-9332000
2021-2-10333000
2021-2-11334000
2021-2-12335000
2021-2-13336000
2021-2-14337000
2021-2-15338000
2021-2-16339000
2021-2-17340000
2021-2-18341000
2021-2-19342000
2021-2-20343000
2021-2-21344000
2021-2-22345000
2021-2-23346000
2021-2-24347000
2021-2-25348000
2021-2-26349000
2021-2-27350000
2021-2-28351000
2021-3-1352000
2021-3-2353000
2021-3-3354000
2021-3-4355000
2021-3-5356000
2021-3-6357000
2021-3-7358000
2021-3-8359000
2021-3-9360000
2021-3-10361000
2021-3-11362000
2021-3-12363000
2021-3-13364000
2021-3-14365000
2021-3-15366000
2021-3-16367000
2021-3-17368000
2021-3-18369000
2021-3-19370000
2021-3-20371000
2021-3-21372000
2021-3-22373000
2021-3-23374000
2021-3-24375000
2021-3-25376000
2021-3-26377000
2021-3-27378000
2021-3-28379000
2021-3-29380000
2021-3-30381000
2021-3-31382000
2021-4-1383000
2021-4-2384000
2021-4-3385000
2021-4-4386000
2021-4-5387000
2021-4-6388000
2021-4-7389000
2021-4-8390000
2021-4-9391000
2021-4-10392000
2021-4-11393000
2021-4-12394000
2021-4-13395000
2021-4-14396000
2021-4-15397000
2021-4-16398000
2021-4-17399000
2021-4-18400000
2021-4-19401000
2021-4-20402000
2021-4-21403000
2021-4-22404000
2021-4-23405000
2021-4-24406000
2021-4-25407000
2021-4-26408000
2021-4-27409000
2021-4-28410000
2021-4-29411000
2021-4-30412000
2021-5-1413000
2021-5-2414000
2021-5-3415000
2021-5-4416000
Goodness of fit x2 = 92747.04
Today = 08-08-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-17 to 07-08-2020
a=4.9051389673665 / b=1452965.9575223 / c=1.62556624642

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-17212205.3942483.36
2020-3-18222335.45131320.76
2020-3-19233495.8553884.06
2020-3-20244196.0384746.49
2020-3-21255306.2735712.99
2020-3-22266266.4396794.2
2020-3-23277406.6077984.35
2020-3-24288906.7919291.71
2020-3-252910306.93710721.66
2020-3-263011987.08812250.62
2020-3-273113667.2213890.41
2020-3-283216137.38615641.5
2020-3-293318337.51417493.98
2020-3-303420177.60919442.74
2020-3-313522717.72821477.09
2020-4-13624647.8123594.62
2020-4-23728337.949257924.91
2020-4-33832568.088280671.94
2020-4-43934328.141304050.46
2020-4-54038748.2623279107.62
2020-4-64141448.3293524108.86
2020-4-74245288.4183773150.75
2020-4-84348248.4814026157.86
2020-4-94451178.544282162.49
2020-4-104554568.6044541184.25
2020-4-114657738.6614801196.55
2020-4-124760038.75062174.54
2020-4-134862028.7335324144.49
2020-4-144963218.752558696.52
2020-4-155066288.7995847104.07
2020-4-165168308.829610785.38
2020-4-175271818.8796366104.31
2020-4-185374148.911662294.68
2020-4-195478878.9736875148.78
2020-4-205580808.9977125127.75
2020-4-215681589.007737283.65
2020-4-225782309.016761549.57
2020-4-235883179.026785427.26
2020-4-245984549.042808816.52
2020-4-256086239.062831711.2
2020-4-266188179.08485418.86
2020-4-276288749.09187601.46
2020-4-286389679.10189740.01
2020-4-296489919.10491813.96
2020-4-306589979.105938315.9
2020-5-16689639.101957839.59
2020-5-26789499.099976868.69
2020-5-36890709.113995178.03
2020-5-46992139.1281012782.64
2020-5-57094359.1521029872.33
2020-5-67193529.14310461117.71
2020-5-77294309.15210618133.1
2020-5-87394069.14910769172.62
2020-5-97494299.15210913201.92
2020-5-107594989.15911050218.22
2020-5-117696999.1811181196.63
2020-5-127799519.20511306162.43
2020-5-137899339.20411424194.62
2020-5-1479100369.21411535194.93
2020-5-1580101919.22911640180.53
2020-5-1681101679.22711739210.63
2020-5-1782101539.22611832238.28
2020-5-1883103219.24211918214.14
2020-5-1984104179.25111998208.58
2020-5-2085105949.26812073181.29
2020-5-2186107199.2812142166.79
2020-5-2287109069.29712204138.25
2020-5-2388109619.30212262138.08
2020-5-2489111369.31812313112.68
2020-5-2590113489.3371236082.9
2020-5-2691110309.30812401151.63
2020-5-2792111159.31612437140.54
2020-5-2893112279.32612467123.5
2020-5-2994114129.3421249393.66
2020-5-3095114949.351251483.27
2020-5-3196114519.3461253193.12
2020-6-197116429.3621254364.73
2020-6-298115779.3571255075.51
2020-6-399115589.3551255378.96
2020-6-4100117049.3681255257.36
2020-6-5101118639.3811254737.33
2020-6-6102121929.409125389.57
2020-6-7103125499.437125250.04
2020-6-8104129969.4721250918.96
2020-6-9105131819.4871248838.35
2020-6-10106132259.491246546.28
2020-6-11107132909.4951243858.28
2020-6-12108135509.51412408105
2020-6-13109136769.52312375136.67
2020-6-14110139199.54112339202.22
2020-6-15111141499.55712300277.82
2020-6-16112142699.56612258329.66
2020-6-17113144949.58112214425.46
2020-6-18114143829.57412167403.04
2020-6-19115142849.56712118387.08
2020-6-20116140939.55312066340.32
2020-6-21117138929.53912012294.01
2020-6-22118137929.53211956281.71
2020-6-23119135799.51611898237.3
2020-6-24120132919.49511838178.17
2020-6-25121130539.47711776138.29
2020-6-26122127489.4531171391.41
2020-6-27123123079.4181164737.29
2020-6-28124119219.386115819.98
2020-6-29125118139.377115127.83
2020-6-30126116499.363114423.71
2020-7-1127115079.351113711.61
2020-7-2128114459.345112991.88
2020-7-3129112479.328112250.04
2020-7-4130110809.313111500.45
2020-7-5131106879.2771107513.61
2020-7-6132106689.275109989.93
2020-7-7133106469.273109206.91
2020-7-8134102699.2371084230.29
2020-7-913599239.2031076265.51
2020-7-1013696069.1710682108.5
2020-7-1113793189.1410601155.46
2020-7-1213891729.12410520172.82
2020-7-1313990999.11610438171.86
2020-7-1414091139.11710355149.16
2020-7-1514186359.06410272261.14
2020-7-1614285219.0510189273.21
2020-7-1714382909.02310105326.24
2020-7-1814482049.01210021329.68
2020-7-1914581889.019937307.94
2020-7-2014682179.0149852271.55
2020-7-2114783759.0339767198.63
2020-7-2214883819.0349682175.06
2020-7-2314983889.0359597152.52
2020-7-2415083869.0349512133.46
2020-7-2515185399.052942783.75
2020-7-2615286419.064934252.66
2020-7-2715388709.09925716.2
2020-7-2815491799.12591720.01
2020-7-2915595329.162908721.79
2020-7-3015696799.178900250.89
2020-7-3115799859.2098917127.83
2020-8-1158102519.2358832227.73
2020-8-2159104549.2558748332.56
2020-8-3160108569.2928664554.51
2020-8-4161113559.3378580897.39
2020-8-5162117129.36884961216.94
2020-8-6163120999.40184131614.9
2020-8-7164124969.43383292083.57
2020-8-8165082470
2020-8-9166081640
2020-8-10167080820
2020-8-11168080000
2020-8-12169079190
2020-8-13170078380
2020-8-14171077580
2020-8-15172076780
2020-8-16173075980
2020-8-17174075190
2020-8-18175074400
2020-8-19176073620
2020-8-20177072850
2020-8-21178072070
2020-8-22179071310
2020-8-23180070550
2020-8-24181069790
2020-8-25182069040
2020-8-26183068290
2020-8-27184067550
2020-8-28185066820
2020-8-29186066090
2020-8-30187065370
2020-8-31188064650
2020-9-1189063940
2020-9-2190063230
2020-9-3191062530
2020-9-4192061840
2020-9-5193061150
2020-9-6194060470
2020-9-7195059790
2020-9-8196059120
2020-9-9197058460
2020-9-10198057800
2020-9-11199057150
2020-9-12200056500
2020-9-13201055860
2020-9-14202055220
2020-9-15203054600
2020-9-16204053970
2020-9-17205053360
2020-9-18206052750
2020-9-19207052140
2020-9-20208051540
2020-9-21209050950
2020-9-22210050360
2020-9-23211049780
2020-9-24212049200
2020-9-25213048630
2020-9-26214048070
2020-9-27215047510
2020-9-28216046960
2020-9-29217046410
2020-9-30218045870
2020-10-1219045330
2020-10-2220044800
2020-10-3221044280
2020-10-4222043760
2020-10-5223043250
2020-10-6224042740
2020-10-7225042240
2020-10-8226041740
2020-10-9227041250
2020-10-10228040760
2020-10-11229040280
2020-10-12230039810
2020-10-13231039340
2020-10-14232038870
2020-10-15233038410
2020-10-16234037960
2020-10-17235037510
2020-10-18236037060
2020-10-19237036620
2020-10-20238036190
2020-10-21239035760
2020-10-22240035330
2020-10-23241034910
2020-10-24242034500
2020-10-25243034090
2020-10-26244033680
2020-10-27245033280
2020-10-28246032880
2020-10-29247032490
2020-10-30248032100
2020-10-31249031720
2020-11-1250031340
2020-11-2251030960
2020-11-3252030590
2020-11-4253030230
2020-11-5254029870
2020-11-6255029510
2020-11-7256029160
2020-11-8257028810
2020-11-9258028460
2020-11-10259028120
2020-11-11260027790
2020-11-12261027450
2020-11-13262027120
2020-11-14263026800
2020-11-15264026480
2020-11-16265026160
2020-11-17266025850
2020-11-18267025540
2020-11-19268025230
2020-11-20269024930
2020-11-21270024630
2020-11-22271024340
2020-11-23272024040
2020-11-24273023760
2020-11-25274023470
2020-11-26275023190
2020-11-27276022910
2020-11-28277022640
2020-11-29278022370
2020-11-30279022100
2020-12-1280021830
2020-12-2281021570
2020-12-3282021310
2020-12-4283021060
2020-12-5284020810
2020-12-6285020560
2020-12-7286020310
2020-12-8287020070
2020-12-9288019830
2020-12-10289019590
2020-12-11290019360
2020-12-12291019130
2020-12-13292018900
2020-12-14293018670
2020-12-15294018450
2020-12-16295018230
2020-12-17296018010
2020-12-18297017800
2020-12-19298017580
2020-12-20299017370
2020-12-21300017170
2020-12-22301016960
2020-12-23302016760
2020-12-24303016560
2020-12-25304016360
2020-12-26305016170
2020-12-27306015980
2020-12-28307015790
2020-12-29308015600
2020-12-30309015410
2020-12-31310015230
2021-1-1311015050
2021-1-2312014870
2021-1-3313014690
2021-1-4314014520
2021-1-5315014350
2021-1-6316014180
2021-1-7317014010
2021-1-8318013840
2021-1-9319013680
2021-1-10320013520
2021-1-11321013360
2021-1-12322013200
2021-1-13323013040
2021-1-14324012890
2021-1-15325012740
2021-1-16326012590
2021-1-17327012440
2021-1-18328012290
2021-1-19329012150
2021-1-20330012010
2021-1-21331011860
2021-1-22332011720
2021-1-23333011590
2021-1-24334011450
2021-1-25335011320
2021-1-26336011180
2021-1-27337011050
2021-1-28338010920
2021-1-29339010790
2021-1-30340010670
2021-1-31341010540
2021-2-1342010420
2021-2-2343010300
2021-2-3344010180
2021-2-4345010060
2021-2-534609940
2021-2-634709830
2021-2-734809710
2021-2-834909600
2021-2-935009490
2021-2-1035109380
2021-2-1135209270
2021-2-1235309160
2021-2-1335409050
2021-2-1435508950
2021-2-1535608840
2021-2-1635708740
2021-2-1735808640
2021-2-1835908540
2021-2-1936008440
2021-2-2036108340
2021-2-2136208250
2021-2-2236308150
2021-2-2336408060
2021-2-2436507960
2021-2-2536607870
2021-2-2636707780
2021-2-2736807690
2021-2-2836907600
2021-3-137007520
2021-3-237107430
2021-3-337207340
2021-3-437307260
2021-3-537407180
2021-3-637507090
2021-3-737607010
2021-3-837706930
2021-3-937806850
2021-3-1037906770
2021-3-1138006700
2021-3-1238106620
2021-3-1338206540
2021-3-1438306470
2021-3-1538406400
2021-3-1638506320
2021-3-1738606250
2021-3-1838706180
2021-3-1938806110
2021-3-2038906040
2021-3-2139005970
2021-3-2239105900
2021-3-2339205840
2021-3-2439305770
2021-3-2539405710
2021-3-2639505640
2021-3-2739605580
2021-3-2839705510
2021-3-2939805450
2021-3-3039905390
2021-3-3140005330
2021-4-140105270
2021-4-240205210
2021-4-340305150
2021-4-440405090
2021-4-540505040
2021-4-640604980
2021-4-740704920
2021-4-840804870
2021-4-940904810
2021-4-1041004760
2021-4-1141104710
2021-4-1241204650
2021-4-1341304600
2021-4-1441404550
2021-4-1541504500
2021-4-1641604450
2021-4-1741704400
2021-4-1841804350
2021-4-1941904300
2021-4-2042004250
2021-4-2142104210
2021-4-2242204160
2021-4-2342304110
2021-4-2442404070
2021-4-2542504020
2021-4-2642603980
2021-4-2742703940
2021-4-2842803890
2021-4-2942903850
2021-4-3043003810
2021-5-143103760
2021-5-243203720
2021-5-343303680
2021-5-443403640
Goodness of fit x2 = 22046.99