COVID-19 Online Forecast South Africa Statistics Forum


South Africa / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 14.07.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 14-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-20 to 13-07-2020
a=-556.0727818173 / b=0.0031643522661297 / c=-3.8738680105732E-5

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-2032025.308573241
2020-3-2142405.481599215.43
2020-3-2252745.613625197.87
2020-3-2364025.99665396.95
2020-3-2475506.3168225.86
2020-3-2586976.5477130.38
2020-3-2699156.81974538.66
2020-3-271011387.037778165.85
2020-3-281111557.052813143.27
2020-3-291212477.128850185.24
2020-3-301312927.164888183.3
2020-3-311413177.183928162.52
2020-4-11513257.189970129.49
2020-4-21614077.2491014151.91
2020-4-31714017.2451060109.36
2020-4-41814817.31108125.06
2020-4-51915497.3451159131.14
2020-4-62015797.3651211111.15
2020-4-72116417.4031267110.17
2020-4-82217327.4571325124.78
2020-4-92318217.5071386136.45
2020-4-102415697.35814499.81
2020-4-112515937.37315163.86
2020-4-122617387.46158614.5
2020-4-132718357.515165918.54
2020-4-142819787.59173633.63
2020-4-152920627.631181633.09
2020-4-163016547.411190132.13
2020-4-173118307.512198912.79
2020-4-183220797.6420820
2020-4-193322017.69721790.22
2020-4-203421877.6922813.89
2020-4-213523527.76323870.54
2020-4-223625157.8324990.09
2020-4-233724057.785261717.24
2020-4-243826687.88927401.92
2020-4-253928027.93828691.6
2020-4-264029868.00230050.12
2020-4-274132308.0831472.16
2020-4-284228307.948329666.06
2020-4-294331748.063345322.57
2020-4-304434718.15236175.92
2020-5-14534538.147378929.91
2020-5-24636648.206397023.66
2020-5-34741038.31941600.79
2020-5-44843368.37543590.13
2020-5-54946788.45145682.63
2020-5-65045028.412478717.07
2020-5-75149188.50150182
2020-5-85255648.624526017.55
2020-5-95352518.566551412.56
2020-5-105456488.63957803.05
2020-5-115560898.71460600.13
2020-5-125667878.823635429.38
2020-5-135771108.869666329.88
2020-5-145868258.82869883.81
2020-5-155971948.88173292.49
2020-5-166076168.93876870.66
2020-5-176182459.01780634.1
2020-5-186288499.088845818.04
2020-5-196389289.09788730.33
2020-5-206487149.073930938.15
2020-5-216598189.19297680.25
2020-5-226696249.1721025038.28
2020-5-2367108329.29107560.52
2020-5-2468110549.311112894.91
2020-5-2569112179.3251184933.73
2020-5-2670109999.30612437166.4
2020-5-2771119349.3871305696.47
2020-5-2872124569.4313706114.15
2020-5-2973135369.5131439050.78
2020-5-3074142089.5621511053.87
2020-5-3175151919.6281586628.78
2020-6-176163619.703166625.46
2020-6-277167449.7261749932.61
2020-6-378170519.7441837996.08
2020-6-479186339.8331930623.47
2020-6-580194389.8752028035.01
2020-6-681207639.9412130513.84
2020-6-7822292310.042238412.94
2020-6-8832370010.073235201.38
2020-6-9842282310.03624714144.84
2020-6-10852270610.0325972410.83
2020-6-11862403210.08727296390.35
2020-6-12872556710.14928689339.85
2020-6-13882746310.22130156240.55
2020-6-14893002710.313170088.35
2020-6-15903209810.3773332645.28
2020-6-16913264610.39335038163.36
2020-6-17923440710.44636841160.84
2020-6-18933723310.5253873958.61
2020-6-19943805910.54740739176.35
2020-6-20954047810.60942845130.82
2020-6-21964376410.6874506337.5
2020-6-22974615510.744740032.75
2020-6-23984896110.7994986216.32
2020-6-24995271710.873524561.29
2020-6-251005610910.9355519015.3
2020-6-261015813910.971580700.08
2020-6-271026229311.046110523.08
2020-6-281036675311.1096430493.24
2020-6-291047112111.17267675175.39
2020-6-301057500911.22571229200.53
2020-7-11068055911.29774975415.77
2020-7-21078321811.32978925233.5
2020-7-31088787411.38483088275.57
2020-7-41099372411.44887479445.8
2020-7-511010023611.51592108717.15
2020-7-611110456311.55896990591.24
2020-7-711211005411.609102138613.37
2020-7-811311422111.646107569411.35
2020-7-911412155811.708113296602.4
2020-7-1011512859511.764119338717.98
2020-7-1111613249811.794125712366.28
2020-7-1211713728911.83132436177.78
2020-7-1311814538311.887139531245.38
2020-7-1411901470180
2020-7-1512001549180
2020-7-1612101632550
2020-7-1712201720540
2020-7-1812301813420
2020-7-1912401911460
2020-7-2012502014950
2020-7-2112602124210
2020-7-2212702239570
2020-7-2312802361380
2020-7-2412902490010
2020-7-2513002625840
2020-7-2613102769300
2020-7-2713202920830
2020-7-2813303080880
2020-7-2913403249960
2020-7-3013503428580
2020-7-3113603617300
2020-8-113703816700
2020-8-213804027410
2020-8-313904250080
Goodness of fit x2 = 12870.85
Today = 14-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-20 to 13-07-2020
a=4.1600297755678 / b=10717.172502738 / c=-4.7137474766578

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-201202025.308571238.74
2020-3-211212405.481595212.06
2020-3-221222745.613620193.47
2020-3-231234025.99664692.72
2020-3-241245506.3167423.03
2020-3-251256976.5477030.07
2020-3-261269156.81973444.44
2020-3-2712711387.037766180.1
2020-3-2812811557.052800157.35
2020-3-2912912477.128835202.61
2020-3-3013012927.164872201.45
2020-3-3113113177.183911180.17
2020-4-113213257.189952145.52
2020-4-213314077.249995169.94
2020-4-313414017.2451040124.65
2020-4-413514817.31088141.77
2020-4-513615497.3451137148.44
2020-4-613715797.3651190126.96
2020-4-713816417.4031245125.84
2020-4-813917327.4571302141.4
2020-4-914018217.5071363153.65
2020-4-1014115697.358142614.16
2020-4-1114215937.37314936.61
2020-4-1214317387.46156319.42
2020-4-1314418357.515163723.86
2020-4-1414519787.59171440.45
2020-4-1514620627.631179539.45
2020-4-1614716547.411188127.42
2020-4-1714818307.512197010.04
2020-4-1814920797.6420640.1
2020-4-1915022017.69721630.65
2020-4-2015121877.6922672.84
2020-4-2115223527.76323760.25
2020-4-2215325157.8324900.24
2020-4-2315424057.785261116.25
2020-4-2415526687.88927371.75
2020-4-2515628027.93828691.61
2020-4-2615729868.00230090.18
2020-4-2715832308.0831551.75
2020-4-2815928307.948330969.43
2020-4-2916031748.063347025.38
2020-4-3016134718.15236407.88
2020-5-116234538.147381834.99
2020-5-216336648.206400529.14
2020-5-316441038.31942022.34
2020-5-416543368.37544081.2
2020-5-516646788.45146250.6
2020-5-616745028.412485325.41
2020-5-716849188.50150925.97
2020-5-816955648.62453439.08
2020-5-917052518.566560722.68
2020-5-1017156488.63958849.53
2020-5-1117260898.71461751.22
2020-5-1217367878.823648114.37
2020-5-1317471108.869680213.86
2020-5-1417568258.828714013.92
2020-5-1517671948.881749412.06
2020-5-1617776168.93878667.99
2020-5-1717882459.01782570.02
2020-5-1817988499.08886673.78
2020-5-1918089289.09790993.21
2020-5-2018187149.073955173.47
2020-5-2118298189.192100274.36
2020-5-2218396249.1721052677.36
2020-5-23184108329.29110504.33
2020-5-24185110549.3111160125.82
2020-5-25186112179.3251217976.06
2020-5-26187109999.30612786249.91
2020-5-27188119349.38713424165.4
2020-5-28189124569.4314093190.26
2020-5-29190135369.51314796107.36
2020-5-30191142089.56215534113.25
2020-5-31192151919.6281630976.68
2020-6-1193163619.7031712233.9
2020-6-2194167449.7261797784.57
2020-6-3195170519.74418873176.04
2020-6-4196186339.8331981570.54
2020-6-5197194389.8752080389.65
2020-6-6198207639.9412184153.23
2020-6-71992292310.04229300
2020-6-82002370010.073240735.81
2020-6-92012282310.03625274237.7
2020-6-102022270610.0326533552.22
2020-6-112032403210.08727856525
2020-6-122042556710.14929244462.35
2020-6-132052746310.22130700341.47
2020-6-142063002710.3132229150.54
2020-6-152073209810.3773383489.09
2020-6-162083264610.39335518232.24
2020-6-172093440710.44637285222.18
2020-6-182103723310.5253913992.87
2020-6-192113805910.54741085222.94
2020-6-202124047810.60943127162.75
2020-6-212134376410.6874526950.09
2020-6-222144615510.744751739.08
2020-6-232154896110.7994987616.8
2020-6-242165271710.873523502.56
2020-6-252175610910.9355494624.57
2020-6-262185813910.971576703.81
2020-6-272196229311.046052751.49
2020-6-282206675311.10963524164.06
2020-6-292217112111.17266668297.36
2020-6-302227500911.22569966363.46
2020-7-12238055911.29773425693.14
2020-7-22248321811.32977052493.29
2020-7-32258787411.38480857608.85
2020-7-42269372411.44884847928.54
2020-7-522710023611.515890321409.77
2020-7-622810456311.558934201328.87
2020-7-722911005411.609980221476.71
2020-7-823011422111.6461028481257.61
2020-7-923112155811.7081079071726.76
2020-7-1023212859511.7641132122090.02
2020-7-1123313249811.7941187741585.61
2020-7-1223413728911.831246051290.96
2020-7-1323514538311.8871307191644.96
2020-7-1423601371270
2020-7-1523701438450
2020-7-1623801508870
2020-7-1723901582690
2020-7-1824001660060
2020-7-1924101741140
2020-7-2024201826130
2020-7-2124301915190
2020-7-2224402008520
2020-7-2324502106330
2020-7-2424602208820
2020-7-2524702316200
2020-7-2624802428720
2020-7-2724902546610
2020-7-2825002670110
2020-7-2925102799500
2020-7-3025202935040
2020-7-3125303077030
2020-8-125403225760
2020-8-225503381540
2020-8-325603544700
Goodness of fit x2 = 26043.25