COVID-19 Online Forecast South Africa Statistics Forum


South Africa / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 07.07.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 07-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-20 to 06-07-2020
a=-800.38404773035 / b=1.0573616212711E-5 / c=-2.7572695262771E-5

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-2032025.308566234.28
2020-3-2142405.481591209.2
2020-3-2252745.613618192.08
2020-3-2364025.99664692.69
2020-3-2475506.3167623.59
2020-3-2586976.5477070.14
2020-3-2699156.81973941.72
2020-3-271011387.037773172.19
2020-3-281111557.052808148.51
2020-3-291212477.128845190.64
2020-3-301312927.164884187.99
2020-3-311413177.183924166.26
2020-4-11513257.189967132.21
2020-4-21614077.2491011154.27
2020-4-31714017.2451058110.81
2020-4-41814817.31107126.07
2020-4-51915497.3451158131.62
2020-4-62015797.3651212111.07
2020-4-72116417.4031268109.57
2020-4-82217327.4571327123.59
2020-4-92318217.5071388134.63
2020-4-102415697.35814539.23
2020-4-112515937.37315203.43
2020-4-122617387.46159113.45
2020-4-132718357.515166517.16
2020-4-142819787.59174331.47
2020-4-152920627.631182530.69
2020-4-163016547.411191034.51
2020-4-173118307.512200014.51
2020-4-183220797.6420940.11
2020-4-193322017.69721920.03
2020-4-203421877.6922955.16
2020-4-213523527.76324041.13
2020-4-223625157.8325170
2020-4-233724057.785263620.3
2020-4-243826687.88927613.14
2020-4-253928027.93828912.79
2020-4-264029868.00230280.61
2020-4-274132308.0831721.04
2020-4-284228307.948332373.24
2020-4-294331748.063348127.16
2020-4-304434718.15236478.53
2020-5-14534538.147382135.5
2020-5-24636648.206400328.83
2020-5-34741038.31941952.03
2020-5-44843368.37543950.82
2020-5-54946788.45146061.1
2020-5-65045028.412482721.98
2020-5-75149188.50150593.97
2020-5-85255648.624530312.85
2020-5-95352518.566555817
2020-5-105456488.63958265.46
2020-5-115560898.71461070.06
2020-5-125667878.823640223.05
2020-5-135771108.869671223.53
2020-5-145868258.82870376.43
2020-5-155971948.88173794.65
2020-5-166076168.93877371.91
2020-5-176182459.01781132.13
2020-5-186288499.088850813.62
2020-5-196389289.09789230
2020-5-206487149.073935844.41
2020-5-216598189.19298150
2020-5-226696249.1721029543.85
2020-5-2367108329.29108000.09
2020-5-2468110549.311113296.7
2020-5-2569112179.3251188537.61
2020-5-2670109999.30612469173.45
2020-5-2771119349.38713083100.93
2020-5-2872124569.4313727117.78
2020-5-2973135369.5131440452.36
2020-5-3074142089.5621511554.5
2020-5-3175151919.6281586228.45
2020-6-176163619.703166474.94
2020-6-277167449.7261747230.38
2020-6-378170519.7441833990.5
2020-6-479186339.8331924919.78
2020-6-580194389.8752020729.27
2020-6-681207639.941212129.54
2020-6-7822292310.042227019.15
2020-6-8832370010.073233814.35
2020-6-9842282310.03624548121.35
2020-6-10852270610.0325776365.78
2020-6-11862403210.08727067340.34
2020-6-12872556710.14928423287.13
2020-6-13882746310.22129850190.9
2020-6-14893002710.313134955.82
2020-6-15903209810.3773292620.85
2020-6-16913264610.39334584108.67
2020-6-17923440710.44636328101.59
2020-6-18933723310.5253816122.6
2020-6-19943805910.54740089102.88
2020-6-20954047810.6094211763.85
2020-6-21964376410.687442505.36
2020-6-22974615510.74464942.48
2020-6-23984896110.799488540.23
2020-6-24995271710.8735133737.07
2020-6-251005610910.9355394986.46
2020-6-261015813910.9715669736.67
2020-6-271026229311.0459588122.77
2020-6-281036675311.10962630271.39
2020-6-291047112111.17265831425.06
2020-6-301057500911.22569199487.73
2020-7-11068055911.29772744839.54
2020-7-21078321811.32976474594.61
2020-7-31088787411.38480400694.62
2020-7-41099372411.44884533999.24
2020-7-511010023611.515888831450.1
2020-7-611110456311.558934611318.58
2020-7-71120982810
2020-7-811301033560
2020-7-911401086980
2020-7-1011501143230
2020-7-1111601202450
2020-7-1211701264810
2020-7-1311801330480
2020-7-1411901399640
2020-7-1512001472470
2020-7-1612101549180
2020-7-1712201629970
2020-7-1812301715070
2020-7-1912401804710
2020-7-2012501899150
2020-7-2112601998630
2020-7-2212702103450
2020-7-2312802213880
2020-7-2412902330230
2020-7-2513002452840
2020-7-2613102582050
Goodness of fit x2 = 13317.46
Today = 07-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-20 to 06-07-2020
a=4.0465822789719 / b=6714.5874786989 / c=-4.1867127267718

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-201202025.308557226.38
2020-3-211212405.481581200.89
2020-3-221222745.613607183.39
2020-3-231234025.99663585.59
2020-3-241245506.3166319.51
2020-3-251256976.5476930.01
2020-3-261269156.81972549.57
2020-3-2712711387.037758189.89
2020-3-2812811557.052793164.98
2020-3-2912912477.128829209.87
2020-3-3013012927.164867207.12
2020-3-3113113177.183908184.02
2020-4-113213257.189950147.68
2020-4-213314077.249994170.95
2020-4-313414017.2451041124.4
2020-4-413514817.31089140.34
2020-4-513615497.3451141145.8
2020-4-613715797.3651194123.5
2020-4-713816417.4031251121.38
2020-4-813917327.4571310135.57
2020-4-914018217.5071372146.44
2020-4-1014115697.358143711.95
2020-4-1114215937.37315064.98
2020-4-1214317387.46157816.16
2020-4-1314418357.515165319.87
2020-4-1414519787.59173234.66
2020-4-1514620627.631181633.31
2020-4-1614716547.411190332.66
2020-4-1714818307.512199413.63
2020-4-1814920797.6420910.07
2020-4-1915022017.69721910.04
2020-4-2015121877.6922975.34
2020-4-2115223527.76324081.35
2020-4-2215325157.8325250.04
2020-4-2315424057.785264722.3
2020-4-2415526687.88927764.24
2020-4-2515628027.93829114.1
2020-4-2615729868.00230521.46
2020-4-2715832308.0832010.26
2020-4-2815928307.948335782.77
2020-4-2916031748.063352034.14
2020-4-3016134718.152369213.26
2020-5-116234538.147387245.42
2020-5-216336648.206406138.88
2020-5-316441038.31942595.76
2020-5-416543368.37544673.88
2020-5-516646788.45146860.01
2020-5-616745028.412491534.72
2020-5-716849188.501515510.93
2020-5-816955648.62454074.52
2020-5-917052518.566567231.27
2020-5-1017156488.639594915.3
2020-5-1117260898.71462403.69
2020-5-1217367878.82365468.85
2020-5-1317471108.86968668.62
2020-5-1417568258.828720219.82
2020-5-1517671948.881755517.29
2020-5-1617776168.938792512.07
2020-5-1717882459.01783130.56
2020-5-1817988499.08887201.91
2020-5-1918089289.09791465.23
2020-5-2018187149.073959480.76
2020-5-2118298189.192100635.99
2020-5-2218396249.1721055582.26
2020-5-23184108329.29110715.2
2020-5-24185110549.3111161326.93
2020-5-25186112179.3251218076.26
2020-5-26187109999.30612775247.14
2020-5-27188119349.38713399160.36
2020-5-28189124569.4314054181.72
2020-5-29190135369.5131473998.35
2020-5-30191142089.56215459101.25
2020-5-31192151919.6281621264.41
2020-6-1193163619.7031700324.25
2020-6-2194167449.7261783166.33
2020-6-3195170519.74418699145.38
2020-6-4196186339.8331960948.67
2020-6-5197194389.8752056361.64
2020-6-6198207639.9412156329.73
2020-6-71992292310.04226114.29
2020-6-82002370010.073237090
2020-6-92012282310.03624860166.95
2020-6-102022270610.0326066433.13
2020-6-112032403210.08727329397.88
2020-6-122042556710.14928653332.46
2020-6-132052746310.22130040221.16
2020-6-142063002710.313149368.32
2020-6-152073209810.3773301625.54
2020-6-162083264610.39334611111.6
2020-6-172093440710.4463628296.91
2020-6-182103723310.5253803216.8
2020-6-192113805910.5473986581.88
2020-6-202124047810.6094178540.93
2020-6-212134376410.687437960.02
2020-6-222144615510.74459031.38
2020-6-232154896110.7994810915.09
2020-6-242165271710.87350418104.75
2020-6-252175610910.93552837202.53
2020-6-262185813910.97155370138.42
2020-6-272196229311.0458022314.31
2020-6-282206675311.10960799583.05
2020-6-292217112111.17263706863.05
2020-6-302227500911.225667491022.06
2020-7-12238055911.297699351613.86
2020-7-22248321811.329732701350.62
2020-7-32258787411.384767601608.89
2020-7-42269372411.448804142202.77
2020-7-522710023611.515842383037.84
2020-7-622810456311.558882413018.94
2020-7-72290924290
2020-7-82300968130
2020-7-923101014000
2020-7-1023201061990
2020-7-1123301112210
2020-7-1223401164750
2020-7-1323501219720
2020-7-1423601277230
2020-7-1523701337390
2020-7-1623801400320
2020-7-1723901466140
2020-7-1824001534990
2020-7-1924101606990
2020-7-2024201682300
2020-7-2124301761060
2020-7-2224401843420
2020-7-2324501929540
2020-7-2424602019580
2020-7-2524702113730
2020-7-2624802212170
Goodness of fit x2 = 23164.65