COVID-19 Online Forecast Sweden Statistics Forum


Sweden / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 09.08.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 09-08-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-8 to 08-08-2020
a=128.93275366449 / b=71344.662529037 / c=0.00028936219389325

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-832035.313725375.9
2020-3-942485.513779362.54
2020-3-1053555.872837278.29
2020-3-1164996.213899178.61
2020-3-1275986.394965140.19
2020-3-1388136.701103648.12
2020-3-1499596.866111120.83
2020-3-151010196.927119024.74
2020-3-161110977127524.88
2020-3-171211837.076136424.21
2020-3-181312697.146145924.97
2020-3-191414287.264156011.29
2020-3-201516237.39216671.19
2020-3-211617437.46317800.8
2020-3-221719137.55619000.08
2020-3-231820217.61120270.02
2020-3-241922507.71921603.67
2020-3-252024647.81230211.38
2020-3-262127637.924245139.64
2020-3-272229647.994260848.45
2020-3-282333428.1142774116.2
2020-3-292435908.1862948139.44
2020-3-302538828.2643132179.34
2020-3-312642558.3563325259.66
2020-4-12747088.4573528394.02
2020-4-22852608.5683742615.63
2020-4-32957738.6613966823.16
2020-4-43060708.7114201831.45
2020-4-53164298.7694447883.02
2020-4-63267298.8144705870.38
2020-4-73371028.8684975909.01
2020-4-83477328.95352571164.23
2020-4-93583489.0355531406.55
2020-4-103688159.08458611487.91
2020-4-113792649.13461831534.22
2020-4-123895849.16865191440.04
2020-4-1339100299.21368701452.39
2020-4-1440104129.25172351394.94
2020-4-1541107249.2876151269.28
2020-4-1642112079.32480101275.75
2020-4-1743118169.37784211368.59
2020-4-1844123119.41888471355.41
2020-4-1945128459.46192911359.44
2020-4-2046131979.48897501218.1
2020-4-2147135579.515102271084.2
2020-4-2248140679.552107201044.56
2020-4-2349147349.598112311092.29
2020-4-2450154159.643117591136.12
2020-4-2551159859.679123051099.96
2020-4-2652164469.70812869993.69
2020-4-2753166529.7213451761.26
2020-4-2854172669.75614052735.02
2020-4-2955178409.78914670684.65
2020-4-3056185069.82615307668.27
2020-5-157188679.84515962528.32
2020-5-258194139.87416636463.31
2020-5-359196389.88517328307.72
2020-5-460199529.90118039202.8
2020-5-561203629.92118768135.37
2020-5-662209779.95119514109.53
2020-5-763215839.982027983.74
2020-5-8642209010.0032106250.12
2020-5-9652270110.032186232.14
2020-5-10662309710.047226807.66
2020-5-11672341410.061235140.43
2020-5-12682395910.084243656.79
2020-5-13692444910.1042523224.36
2020-5-14702505310.1292611543.27
2020-5-15712556110.1492701478.18
2020-5-16722600310.16627927132.58
2020-5-17732646410.18428854198.02
2020-5-18742667910.19229795325.88
2020-5-19752705610.20630748443.43
2020-5-20762769210.22931714510.13
2020-5-21772830110.25132691589.6
2020-5-22782888410.27133679682.69
2020-5-23792919610.28234676866.17
2020-5-24802946110.291356821084.87
2020-5-25812981410.303366971291.04
2020-5-26823031510.319377181453.16
2020-5-27833086810.337387451601.7
2020-5-28843146110.357397781738.96
2020-5-29853212610.377408141849.45
2020-5-30863271810.396418531993.85
2020-5-31873314710.409428932214.66
2020-6-1883341110.417439342520.65
2020-6-2893412110.438449742619.28
2020-6-3903626110.498460122066.75
2020-6-4913732110.527470472010.89
2020-6-5923830010.553480771988.62
2020-6-6933923110.577491021984.53
2020-6-7944007110.598501192014.71
2020-6-8954043910.608511282234.86
2020-6-9964120710.626521272287.75
2020-6-10974201910.646531152318.02
2020-6-11984347410.68540902083.58
2020-6-12994483010.711550511897.72
2020-6-131004605710.738559961764.41
2020-6-141014674010.752569251822.6
2020-6-151024749210.768578361850.32
2020-6-161034838410.787587281822.07
2020-6-171044952110.81595991704.23
2020-6-181055099010.839604471479.83
2020-6-191065297110.877612731124.92
2020-6-201075348210.887620731189.25
2020-6-211085373710.892628481320.99
2020-6-221095381010.893635961505.92
2020-6-231105567610.927643151160.55
2020-6-241115711510.95365005957.71
2020-6-251125866010.9865664747.16
2020-6-26113598571166291624.62
2020-6-27114598571166886738.79
2020-6-28115598571167447854.25
2020-6-291166235711.04167973464.15
2020-6-301176311811.05368464417.56
2020-7-11186432211.07268919306.67
2020-7-21196522811.08669336243.47
2020-7-31206599911.09769716198.2
2020-7-41216599911.09770057235.09
2020-7-51226599911.09770359270.22
2020-7-61236762811.12270621126.91
2020-7-71246789711.12670844122.6
2020-7-81256837611.1337102698.88
2020-7-91266883311.1397116776.57
2020-7-101276937211.1477126750.42
2020-7-111286937211.1477132653.57
2020-7-121296937211.1477134454.54
2020-7-131307029011.167132114.91
2020-7-141317045611.163712568.99
2020-7-151327092011.169711500.75
2020-7-161337128411.174710031.1
2020-7-171347166211.187081610.09
2020-7-181357166211.187058816.32
2020-7-191367166211.187032025.57
2020-7-201377240911.197001381.95
2020-7-211387252011.19269667116.8
2020-7-221397283711.19669282182.34
2020-7-231407308711.19968860259.43
2020-7-241417330011.20268400350.89
2020-7-251427330011.20267905428.59
2020-7-261437330011.20267374521.2
2020-7-271447369511.20866808709.84
2020-7-281457379211.20966209868.4
2020-7-291467405211.213655771095.13
2020-7-301477436111.217649141374.75
2020-7-311487467911.221642201703.21
2020-8-11497467911.221634971969.05
2020-8-21507467911.221627462269.4
2020-8-31517526811.229619672854.67
2020-8-41527543411.231611633329.46
2020-8-51537578011.236603353953.65
2020-8-61547620111.241594834698.44
2020-8-71557656011.246586095497.6
2020-8-81567656011.246577156152.87
2020-8-91570568020
2020-8-101580558700
2020-8-111590549220
2020-8-121600539590
2020-8-131610529820
2020-8-141620519930
2020-8-151630509930
2020-8-161640499830
2020-8-171650489650
2020-8-181660479390
2020-8-191670469080
2020-8-201680458730
2020-8-211690448340
2020-8-221700437940
2020-8-231710427530
2020-8-241720417130
2020-8-251730406740
2020-8-261740396380
2020-8-271750386070
2020-8-281760375800
Goodness of fit x2 = 141627.17
Today = 09-08-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-8 to 08-08-2020
a=6.5799875210384 / b=62881881.689144 / c=0.74383477516351

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-8212035.31327418.59
2020-3-9222485.51333422.16
2020-3-10233555.8724015.46
2020-3-11244996.2134780.9
2020-3-12255986.3945632.07
2020-3-13268136.70165836.07
2020-3-14279596.86676349.94
2020-3-152810196.92787822.38
2020-3-16291097710048.55
2020-3-173011837.07611401.57
2020-3-183112697.14612870.28
2020-3-193214287.26414460.24
2020-3-203316237.39216160.03
2020-3-213417437.46317971.68
2020-3-223519137.55619913.07
2020-3-233620217.611219613.98
2020-3-243722507.719241311.02
2020-3-253824647.81264111.98
2020-3-263927637.92428824.97
2020-3-274029647.99431359.38
2020-3-284133428.11434001
2020-3-294235908.18636762.05
2020-3-304338828.26439651.76
2020-3-314442558.35642650.03
2020-4-14547088.45745783.69
2020-4-24652608.568490126.17
2020-4-34757738.661523754.81
2020-4-44860708.711558442.3
2020-4-54964298.769594239.9
2020-4-65067298.814631127.64
2020-4-75171028.868669125.17
2020-4-85277328.953708259.53
2020-4-95383489.03748499.64
2020-4-105488159.0847896106.79
2020-4-115592649.1348319107.29
2020-4-125695849.168875179.11
2020-4-1357100299.213919475.74
2020-4-1458104129.251964660.69
2020-4-1559107249.281010837.46
2020-4-1660112079.3241057937.18
2020-4-1761118169.3771105951.68
2020-4-1862123119.4181154950.27
2020-4-1963128459.4611204652.88
2020-4-2064131979.4881255233.04
2020-4-2165135579.5151306718.35
2020-4-2266140679.5521358916.76
2020-4-2367147349.5981411926.71
2020-4-2468154159.6431465739.14
2020-4-2569159859.6791520240.27
2020-4-2670164469.7081575430.33
2020-4-2771166529.72163137.02
2020-4-2872172669.756168798.86
2020-4-2973178409.789174518.66
2020-4-3074185069.8261802912.59
2020-5-175188679.845186133.44
2020-5-276194139.874192032.28
2020-5-377196389.885197991.32
2020-5-478199529.901204009.85
2020-5-579203629.9212100619.77
2020-5-680209779.9512161718.97
2020-5-781215839.982223319.01
2020-5-8822209010.0032285325.49
2020-5-9832270110.032347725.69
2020-5-10842309710.0472410642.26
2020-5-11852341410.0612473870.94
2020-5-12862395910.0842537479.01
2020-5-13872444910.1042601494.23
2020-5-14882505310.1292665796.6
2020-5-15892556110.14927303111.26
2020-5-16902600310.16627953136.04
2020-5-17912646410.18428604160.24
2020-5-18922667910.19229259227.59
2020-5-19932705610.20629916273.5
2020-5-20942769210.22930575271.97
2020-5-21952830110.25131236275.95
2020-5-22962888410.27131900285.18
2020-5-23972919610.28232565348.57
2020-5-24982946110.29133231427.86
2020-5-25992981410.30333899492.43
2020-5-261003031510.31934569523.51
2020-5-271013086810.33735239542.29
2020-5-281023146110.35735910551.42
2020-5-291033212610.37736583543.07
2020-5-301043271810.39637256552.81
2020-5-311053314710.40937929603.1
2020-6-11063341110.41738603698.52
2020-6-21073412110.43839278677.12
2020-6-31083626110.49839952341.11
2020-6-41093732110.52740627269.05
2020-6-51103830010.55341301218.14
2020-6-61113923110.57741975179.49
2020-6-71124007110.59842649155.93
2020-6-81134043910.60843323192.03
2020-6-91144120710.62643996176.84
2020-6-101154201910.64644668157.17
2020-6-111164347410.684534076.81
2020-6-121174483010.7114601030.31
2020-6-131184605710.738466808.33
2020-6-141194674010.752473497.84
2020-6-151204749210.768480165.73
2020-6-161214838410.787486821.84
2020-6-171224952110.81493470.61
2020-6-181235099010.8395001119.15
2020-6-191245297110.87750673104.19
2020-6-201255348210.8875133389.91
2020-6-211265373710.8925199258.55
2020-6-221275381010.8935264925.6
2020-6-231285567610.92753304105.54
2020-6-241295711510.95353957184.8
2020-6-251305866010.9854608300.61
2020-6-26131598571155257382.87
2020-6-27132598571155904279.48
2020-6-28133598571156548193.52
2020-6-291346235711.04157191466.57
2020-6-301356311811.05357831483.26
2020-7-11366432211.07258469585.88
2020-7-21376522811.08659104634.45
2020-7-31386599911.09759737656.4
2020-7-41396599911.09760367525.39
2020-7-51406599911.09760994410.56
2020-7-61416762811.12261619585.86
2020-7-71426789711.12662241513.83
2020-7-81436837611.13362861483.82
2020-7-91446883311.13963477451.8
2020-7-101456937211.14764091435.08
2020-7-111466937211.14764702337.04
2020-7-121476937211.14765309252.64
2020-7-131487029011.1665914290.41
2020-7-141497045611.16366516233.31
2020-7-151507092011.16967115215.68
2020-7-161517128411.17467710188.55
2020-7-171527166211.1868303165.15
2020-7-181537166211.1868892111.32
2020-7-191547166211.186947868.6
2020-7-201557240911.197006178.64
2020-7-211567252011.1927064149.96
2020-7-221577283711.1967121736.82
2020-7-231587308711.1997179023.41
2020-7-241597330011.2027236012.2
2020-7-251607330011.202729261.91
2020-7-261617330011.202734890.49
2020-7-271627369511.208740481.69
2020-7-281637379211.209746048.86
2020-7-291647405211.2137515716.26
2020-7-301657436111.2177570623.91
2020-7-311667467911.2217625232.45
2020-8-11677467911.2217679458.26
2020-8-21687467911.2217733291.06
2020-8-31697526811.2297786786.79
2020-8-41707543411.23178399112.14
2020-8-51717578011.23678926125.47
2020-8-61727620111.24179451132.96
2020-8-71737656011.24679971145.56
2020-8-81747656011.24680488191.78
2020-8-91750810020
2020-8-101760815120
2020-8-111770820180
2020-8-121780825200
2020-8-131790830190
2020-8-141800835150
2020-8-151810840060
2020-8-161820844940
2020-8-171830849780
2020-8-181840854590
2020-8-191850859360
2020-8-201860864090
2020-8-211870868790
2020-8-221880873440
2020-8-231890878070
2020-8-241900882650
2020-8-251910887200
2020-8-261920891710
2020-8-271930896180
2020-8-281940900620
Goodness of fit x2 = 22611.73