COVID-19 Online Forecast Thailand Statistics Forum


Thailand / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 11.07.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 11-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-18 to 10-07-2020
a=160.53067041061 / b=34.774140073567 / c=-0.00015258830249702

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-1831695.1315331214.4
2020-3-1942295.43414621039.88
2020-3-2052795.6311394891.87
2020-3-2163685.9081329695.46
2020-3-2275546.3171268402.5
2020-3-2386766.5161210236.13
2020-3-2497716.6481155128.1
2020-3-25108606.757110353.82
2020-3-26119536.8610549.74
2020-3-271210346.94110070.7
2020-3-281311427.04196233.29
2020-3-291412847.158920143.36
2020-3-301512867.159880186.67
2020-3-311612997.169842247.43
2020-4-11712547.134806248.7
2020-4-21813557.212771440.72
2020-4-31913477.206739500.12
2020-4-42013737.225707624.85
2020-4-52113537.21678671.13
2020-4-62214017.245650867.26
2020-4-72313437.203623831
2020-4-82414517.285971217.84
2020-4-92514517.285731342.82
2020-4-102614277.2635501396.6
2020-4-112713487.2065281272.05
2020-4-122812957.1665071223.39
2020-4-132912517.1324871197.37
2020-4-143011677.0624681043.42
2020-4-153111037.006449948.07
2020-4-163210336.94432833.61
2020-4-17339646.871415722.07
2020-4-18348996.801400621.94
2020-4-19357906.672385425.9
2020-4-20367466.615370380.18
2020-4-21376556.485356249.08
2020-4-22384256.05234319.23
2020-4-23393595.8833312.34
2020-4-24403095.7333190.32
2020-4-25413095.7333070.01
2020-4-26422775.6242961.31
2020-4-27432705.5982860.92
2020-4-28442325.4472767.06
2020-4-29452285.4292665.57
2020-4-30462165.3752576.64
2020-5-1471875.23124815.24
2020-5-2481805.19324015.05
2020-5-3491765.1723213.54
2020-5-4501935.2632244.37
2020-5-5511875.2312164.12
2020-5-6521735.1532096.46
2020-5-7531655.1062037.11
2020-5-8541615.0811966.41
2020-5-9551615.0811904.49
2020-5-10561595.0691843.45
2020-5-11571635.0941781.34
2020-5-12581635.0941720.57
2020-5-13591174.76216715.3
2020-5-14601124.71816215.72
2020-5-15611154.74515711.55
2020-5-16621144.7361529.93
2020-5-17631164.7541487.1
2020-5-18641184.7711444.74
2020-5-19651204.7871392.85
2020-5-2066904.513515.54
2020-5-2167844.43113217.53
2020-5-2268714.26312825.68
2020-5-2369684.2212425.9
2020-5-2470634.14312128.13
2020-5-2571574.04311831.65
2020-5-2672594.07811427.26
2020-5-2773664.1911118.85
2020-5-2874634.14310919.42
2020-5-2975744.3041069.75
2020-5-3076594.07810319.11
2020-5-3177614.11110015.74
2020-6-178604.0949814.93
2020-6-279594.0789514.19
2020-6-380584.069313.51
2020-6-481754.317912.91
2020-6-582734.29892.91
2020-6-683754.317871.66
2020-6-784824.407840.11
2020-6-885884.477830.3
2020-6-986904.5810.96
2020-6-1087864.454790.56
2020-6-1188804.382770.07
2020-6-1289844.431750.86
2020-6-1390894.489742.91
2020-6-1491904.5724.11
2020-6-1592904.5714.96
2020-6-1693844.431692.92
2020-6-1794814.394682.35
2020-6-1895864.454665.41
2020-6-1996804.382653.14
2020-6-2097714.263640.68
2020-6-2198724.277631.24
2020-6-2299714.263611.32
2020-6-23100754.317603.3
2020-6-24101624.127590.09
2020-6-25102624.127580.19
2020-6-26103644.159570.71
2020-6-27104513.932560.56
2020-6-28105513.932550.39
2020-6-29106584.06540.19
2020-6-30107574.043530.18
2020-7-1108564.025520.17
2020-7-2109624.127521.86
2020-7-3110564.025510.42
2020-7-4111614.111502.15
2020-7-5112614.111492.51
2020-7-6113654.174495.16
2020-7-7114654.174485.7
2020-7-8115654.174476.26
2020-7-9116594.078473.03
2020-7-10117574.043462.4
2020-7-111180450
2020-7-121190450
2020-7-131200440
2020-7-141210440
2020-7-151220430
2020-7-161230430
2020-7-171240420
2020-7-181250420
2020-7-191260410
2020-7-201270410
2020-7-211280400
2020-7-221290400
2020-7-231300400
2020-7-241310390
2020-7-251320390
2020-7-261330390
2020-7-271340380
2020-7-281350380
2020-7-291360380
2020-7-301370370
2020-7-311380370
2020-8-11390370
2020-8-21400370
2020-8-31410360
2020-8-41420360
2020-8-51430360
2020-8-61440360
2020-8-71450360
2020-8-81460350
2020-8-91470350
2020-8-101480350
2020-8-111490350
2020-8-121500350
2020-8-131510350
2020-8-141520350
2020-8-151530350
2020-8-161540350
2020-8-171550340
2020-8-181560340
2020-8-191570340
2020-8-201580340
2020-8-211590340
2020-8-221600340
2020-8-231610340
2020-8-241620340
2020-8-251630340
2020-8-261640340
2020-8-271650340
2020-8-281660340
2020-8-291670340
2020-8-301680350
2020-8-311690350
2020-9-11700350
2020-9-21710350
2020-9-31720350
2020-9-41730350
2020-9-51740350
2020-9-61750350
2020-9-71760360
2020-9-81770360
2020-9-91780360
2020-9-101790360
2020-9-111800360
2020-9-121810370
2020-9-131820370
2020-9-141830370
2020-9-151840370
2020-9-161850380
2020-9-171860380
2020-9-181870380
2020-9-191880390
2020-9-201890390
2020-9-211900390
2020-9-221910400
2020-9-231920400
2020-9-241930400
2020-9-251940410
2020-9-261950410
2020-9-271960420
2020-9-281970420
2020-9-291980430
2020-9-301990430
2020-10-12000440
2020-10-22010440
2020-10-32020450
2020-10-42030450
2020-10-52040460
2020-10-62050470
2020-10-72060470
2020-10-82070480
2020-10-92080490
2020-10-102090490
2020-10-112100500
2020-10-122110510
2020-10-132120520
2020-10-142130520
2020-10-152140530
2020-10-162150540
2020-10-172160550
2020-10-182170560
2020-10-192180570
2020-10-202190580
2020-10-212200590
2020-10-222210600
2020-10-232220610
2020-10-242230630
2020-10-252240640
2020-10-262250650
Goodness of fit x2 = 22906.03
Today = 11-07-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-18 to 10-07-2020
a=3.6813314223264 / b=26882.171858442 / c=1.2198505564948

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-18211695.13780479.15
2020-3-19222295.434798406.46
2020-3-20232795.631812350.42
2020-3-21243685.908822251.05
2020-3-22255546.31782890.88
2020-3-23266766.51683028.91
2020-3-24277716.6488304.27
2020-3-25288606.7578271.28
2020-3-26299536.8682120.91
2020-3-273010346.94181459.29
2020-3-283111427.041804141.28
2020-3-293212847.158793302.78
2020-3-303312867.159781325.91
2020-3-313412997.169767367.46
2020-4-13512547.134753332.74
2020-4-23613557.212738515.69
2020-4-33713477.206722540.62
2020-4-43813737.225705630.78
2020-4-53913537.21689639.85
2020-4-64014017.245672790.81
2020-4-74113437.203654723.2
2020-4-84214517.286371037.76
2020-4-94314517.286201112.37
2020-4-104414277.2636031125.43
2020-4-114513487.206586990.67
2020-4-124612957.166569925.78
2020-4-134712517.132552883.42
2020-4-144811677.062535743.02
2020-4-154911037.006519654.5
2020-4-165010336.94503555.72
2020-4-17519646.871488463.54
2020-4-18528996.801473383.66
2020-4-19537906.672458240.48
2020-4-20547466.615443206.26
2020-4-21556556.485429118.61
2020-4-22564256.0524150.22
2020-4-23573595.8834024.61
2020-4-24583095.73338816.43
2020-4-25593095.73337612.01
2020-4-26602775.62436320.74
2020-4-27612705.59835119.05
2020-4-28622325.44734034.43
2020-4-29632285.42932830.99
2020-4-30642165.37531832.73
2020-5-1651875.23130747.18
2020-5-2661805.19329746.21
2020-5-3671765.1728743.09
2020-5-4681935.26327725.81
2020-5-5691875.23126824.67
2020-5-6701735.15325928.77
2020-5-7711655.10625029.3
2020-5-8721615.08124227.28
2020-5-9731615.08123422.88
2020-5-10741595.06922620.04
2020-5-11751635.09421814.22
2020-5-12761635.09421111.11
2020-5-13771174.76220437.37
2020-5-14781124.71819737.06
2020-5-15791154.74519030.23
2020-5-16801144.73618427.01
2020-5-17811164.75417821.87
2020-5-18821184.77117217.24
2020-5-19831204.78716613.14
2020-5-2084904.516131.51
2020-5-2185844.43115533.19
2020-5-2286714.26315042.23
2020-5-2387684.2214541.54
2020-5-2488634.14314143.17
2020-5-2589574.04313646.22
2020-5-2690594.07813140.31
2020-5-2791664.1912729.74
2020-5-2892634.14312329.59
2020-5-2993744.30411917.27
2020-5-3094594.07811527.67
2020-5-3195614.11111123.08
2020-6-196604.09410821.45
2020-6-297594.07810419.93
2020-6-398584.0610118.51
2020-6-499754.317985.42
2020-6-5100734.29945.06
2020-6-6101754.317913.1
2020-6-7102824.407880.54
2020-6-8103884.477860.04
2020-6-9104904.5830.53
2020-6-10105864.454800.34
2020-6-11106804.382780.04
2020-6-12107844.431750.9
2020-6-13108894.489733.34
2020-6-14109904.5715.05
2020-6-15110904.5686.51
2020-6-16111844.431664.49
2020-6-17112814.394644.15
2020-6-18113864.454628.73
2020-6-19114804.382606.15
2020-6-20115714.263582.53
2020-6-21116724.277573.95
2020-6-22117714.263554.49
2020-6-23118754.317538.57
2020-6-24119624.127511.95
2020-6-25120624.127502.69
2020-6-26121644.159484.71
2020-6-27122513.932470.28
2020-6-28123513.932450.56
2020-6-29124584.06444.06
2020-6-30125574.043434.4
2020-7-1126564.025414.73
2020-7-2127624.1274011.19
2020-7-3128564.025396.93
2020-7-4129614.1113813.47
2020-7-5130614.1113715.29
2020-7-6131654.1743623.21
2020-7-7132654.1743525.7
2020-7-8133654.1743328.32
2020-7-9134594.0783220.51
2020-7-10135574.0433219.47
2020-7-111360310
2020-7-121370300
2020-7-131380290
2020-7-141390280
2020-7-151400270
2020-7-161410260
2020-7-171420260
2020-7-181430250
2020-7-191440240
2020-7-201450230
2020-7-211460230
2020-7-221470220
2020-7-231480210
2020-7-241490210
2020-7-251500200
2020-7-261510200
2020-7-271520190
2020-7-281530190
2020-7-291540180
2020-7-301550180
2020-7-311560170
2020-8-11570170
2020-8-21580160
2020-8-31590160
2020-8-41600150
2020-8-51610150
2020-8-61620140
2020-8-71630140
2020-8-81640140
2020-8-91650130
2020-8-101660130
2020-8-111670120
2020-8-121680120
2020-8-131690120
2020-8-141700110
2020-8-151710110
2020-8-161720110
2020-8-171730110
2020-8-181740100
2020-8-191750100
2020-8-201760100
2020-8-21177090
2020-8-22178090
2020-8-23179090
2020-8-24180090
2020-8-25181080
2020-8-26182080
2020-8-27183080
2020-8-28184080
2020-8-29185080
2020-8-30186070
2020-8-31187070
2020-9-1188070
2020-9-2189070
2020-9-3190070
2020-9-4191060
2020-9-5192060
2020-9-6193060
2020-9-7194060
2020-9-8195060
2020-9-9196060
2020-9-10197050
2020-9-11198050
2020-9-12199050
2020-9-13200050
2020-9-14201050
2020-9-15202050
2020-9-16203050
2020-9-17204050
2020-9-18205040
2020-9-19206040
2020-9-20207040
2020-9-21208040
2020-9-22209040
2020-9-23210040
2020-9-24211040
2020-9-25212040
2020-9-26213040
2020-9-27214030
2020-9-28215030
2020-9-29216030
2020-9-30217030
2020-10-1218030
2020-10-2219030
2020-10-3220030
2020-10-4221030
2020-10-5222030
2020-10-6223030
2020-10-7224030
2020-10-8225030
2020-10-9226020
2020-10-10227020
2020-10-11228020
2020-10-12229020
2020-10-13230020
2020-10-14231020
2020-10-15232020
2020-10-16233020
2020-10-17234020
2020-10-18235020
2020-10-19236020
2020-10-20237020
2020-10-21238020
2020-10-22239020
2020-10-23240020
2020-10-24241020
2020-10-25242020
2020-10-26243020
Goodness of fit x2 = 17867.5