COVID-19 Online Forecast US Statistics Forum


US / Forecast of the Coronavirus Epidemic / Update 09.08.2020
Confirmed Recover Deaths Active Forecast 1 Forecast 2


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Today = 09-08-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-6 to 08-08-2020
a=113.88840160481 / b=3114899.580494 / c=0.00055210241372504

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-632015.30335083117.95
2020-3-743135.74639633361.96
2020-3-854236.04744723666.07
2020-3-964906.19450404108.26
2020-3-1076756.51556754405.51
2020-3-11810686.97463824425.37
2020-3-12915067.31771704474.66
2020-3-131020937.64680464404.8
2020-3-141128007.93790194288.68
2020-3-151228867.968100995151.78
2020-3-161342468.354112954399.48
2020-3-171459928.698126193480.63
2020-3-181586219.062140832118.58
2020-3-1916137679.5315699237.88
2020-3-2017189649.8517481125.65
2020-3-21182518610.134194451694.87
2020-3-22193297210.403216055980.42
2020-3-23204287410.6662397814890.31
2020-3-24215272410.8732658225706.37
2020-3-25226433811.0722943841375.32
2020-3-26238163211.313256373937.97
2020-3-27249906611.50435981110602.47
2020-3-282511800211.67839714154326.99
2020-3-292613491111.81243785189646.5
2020-3-302715260011.93648221225934.78
2020-3-312817598212.07853047284890.54
2020-4-12919874512.258292338408.51
2020-4-23022701012.33363985415355.61
2020-4-33125690412.45670157497087.85
2020-4-43228378412.55676839557349.22
2020-4-53330736012.63684064593128.09
2020-4-63433313012.71691867633602.93
2020-4-73535934612.792100284669227.06
2020-4-83638706212.866109351705279.1
2020-4-93741781612.943119106749138.57
2020-4-103844579113.008129588771545.87
2020-4-113947121313.063140838774985.71
2020-4-124049619813.115152894770835.98
2020-4-134150908913.14165800710773.21
2020-4-144252941613.18179597681372.78
2020-4-154355157013.221194327656735.93
2020-4-164457808613.267210033644954.04
2020-4-174560430213.312226759628590.33
2020-4-184662390313.344244545588485.61
2020-4-194764316813.374263436547363.43
2020-4-204866668313.41283473518034.13
2020-4-214968690613.44304698479433.63
2020-4-225071041713.474327150449007.96
2020-4-235173930613.513350869430025.96
2020-4-245275456713.534375892381476.47
2020-4-255378449813.573402256363223.32
2020-4-265480424113.598429993325728.43
2020-4-275582080313.618459136284888.7
2020-4-285683858513.639489713248536.28
2020-4-295785880013.663521749217733.98
2020-4-305885287813.656555269159510.13
2020-5-15987508113.682590289137400.76
2020-5-26089121713.7626825111518.37
2020-5-36191091313.72266488991034.12
2020-5-46292502713.73870448569041
2020-5-56394428313.75874561652933.82
2020-5-66496705713.78278827740546.59
2020-5-76598787713.80383246029015.61
2020-5-866100935113.82587814819602.56
2020-5-967102005513.8359253229698.42
2020-5-1068103529013.859739543862.59
2020-5-1169103658913.8511024011154.48
2020-5-1270105959913.8731075452233.71
2020-5-1371106565113.87911282313471.21
2020-5-1472108850113.911822947440.78
2020-5-1573110778713.918123758013612.31
2020-5-1674111404313.924129402225032.4
2020-5-1775112840013.936135154436841.95
2020-5-1876113848013.945141006652309.01
2020-5-1977115116013.956146949868961.93
2020-5-2078116846813.971152974585322.39
2020-5-2179118848313.9881590705101705.09
2020-5-2280115963413.9641652268146882.31
2020-5-2381116922313.9721714320173323.27
2020-5-2482118392513.9841776740197794.85
2020-5-2583118997213.9891839400229290.64
2020-5-26841202415141902168257419.5
2020-5-2785121257314.0081964908288058.34
2020-5-2886122571314.0192027476317056.81
2020-5-2987124259114.0332089729343414.46
2020-5-3088125604714.0432151516372697.56
2020-5-3189124706914.0362212685421394.95
2020-6-190125017414.0392273081460317.92
2020-6-291126438914.052332550489150.47
2020-6-392126794614.0532390932527450.59
2020-6-493128253014.0642448071554921.43
2020-6-594130010114.0782503810578684.32
2020-6-695131300314.0882557991605942.75
2020-6-796132476914.0972610461633223.22
2020-6-897132951614.12661067666284.91
2020-6-998134036514.1082709660691957.82
2020-6-1099135159214.1172756096715734.42
2020-6-11100136686614.1282800234733704.69
2020-6-12101138427014.1412841939747658.44
2020-6-13102139984314.1522881082761543.62
2020-6-14103141414914.1622917541774689.22
2020-6-15104141890014.1652951200795589.81
2020-6-16105143459314.1762981953802938.63
2020-6-17106145071214.1883009702807538.9
2020-6-18107147088714.2013034357805587.13
2020-6-19108149409514.2173055837798157.55
2020-6-20109151548614.2313074073790220.35
2020-6-21110153696814.2453089005779804.77
2020-6-22111154905214.2533100584776387.24
2020-6-23112157604314.273108772755687.54
2020-6-24113160160114.2873113542734201.39
2020-6-25114163351414.3063114878704502.61
2020-6-26115167091014.3293112775667884.88
2020-6-27116170461614.3493107240633152.29
2020-6-28117173811414.3683098293597131.29
2020-6-29118175851514.383085962571010.23
2020-6-30119178809814.3973070287535458.24
2020-7-1120182922214.4193051322489469.38
2020-7-2121183098314.423029126473915.05
2020-7-3122187520814.4443003774424020.63
2020-7-4123181689614.4132975347451042.8
2020-7-5124185404214.4332943936403496.97
2020-7-6125188125914.4472909642363471.54
2020-7-7126192772814.4722872574310778.51
2020-7-8127196849314.4932832848263731.21
2020-7-9128201507914.5162790589215515.83
2020-7-10129206796614.5422745926167386.34
2020-7-11130211507214.5652698996126331.48
2020-7-12131216288814.587264994189519.39
2020-7-13132219610114.602259890662430.96
2020-7-14133224543114.624254604135492.98
2020-7-15134228500714.642249149817113.77
2020-7-16135234654614.66824354343244.24
2020-7-17136240062514.6912378003215.19
2020-7-18137244793714.71123193657127.23
2020-7-19138250093814.732225967625759.08
2020-7-20139253287514.745219909350661.74
2020-7-21140257436914.761213777389165.47
2020-7-22141261523714.7772075869140142.22
2020-7-23142266039114.7942013533207805.78
2020-7-24143270462814.811950914291188.46
2020-7-25144275237614.8281888156395557.78
2020-7-26145278840314.8411825400508038.18
2020-7-27146281575114.8511762783628972.05
2020-7-28147285069314.8631700434778091.48
2020-7-29148288597114.8751638481949800.15
2020-7-30149292805814.8915770431157382.05
2020-7-31150296989914.90415162331393680.16
2020-8-1151300354814.91514561591644333.38
2020-8-2152304391814.92913969221941836.33
2020-8-3153304399014.92913386162172616.61
2020-8-4154308461914.94212813282537881.12
2020-8-5155308718514.94312251382830063.65
2020-8-6156312485414.95511701193265467.69
2020-8-7157315653814.96511163383728632.57
2020-8-8158319238814.97610638534258724.11
2020-8-9159010127170
2020-8-1016009629750
2020-8-1116109146660
2020-8-1216208678210
2020-8-1316308224670
2020-8-1416407786230
2020-8-1516507363030
2020-8-1616606955140
2020-8-1716706562610
2020-8-1816806185390
2020-8-1916905823420
2020-8-2017005476580
2020-8-2117105144710
2020-8-2217204827620
2020-8-2317304525080
2020-8-2417404236810
2020-8-2517503962530
2020-8-2617603701920
2020-8-2717703454630
2020-8-2817803220300
Goodness of fit x2 = 74076264.61
Today = 09-08-2020 / analyze starting from = 2020-3-6 to 08-08-2020
a=5.10007888238 / b=316234574.55306 / c=2.6181920261624

dayt[i]x[i]u[i]y(t[i])(x[i]-y(t[i]))2/y(t[i]
2020-3-6212015.3032365.25
2020-3-7223135.7463698.76
2020-3-8234236.04756134.34
2020-3-9244906.194830139.52
2020-3-10256756.5151196227.61
2020-3-112610686.9741686227.06
2020-3-122715067.3172328290.81
2020-3-132820937.6463155357.84
2020-3-142928007.9374202468.16
2020-3-153028867.96855091249.04
2020-3-163142468.35471171158.29
2020-3-173259928.69890711045.26
2020-3-183386219.06211418685.24
2020-3-1934137679.531420613.59
2020-3-2035189649.8517485124.99
2020-3-21362518610.13421306706.49
2020-3-22373297210.403257182045.61
2020-3-23384287410.666307734758.41
2020-3-24395272410.873365187191.15
2020-3-25406433811.0724300310584.73
2020-3-26418163211.315027219562.25
2020-3-27429906611.5045836928374.96
2020-3-284311800211.6786733438125.28
2020-3-294413491111.8127720643128.95
2020-3-304515260011.9368801747387.16
2020-3-314617598212.0789979858156.85
2020-4-14719874512.211257465959.13
2020-4-24822701012.33312636880152.85
2020-4-34925690412.45614119694820.64
2020-4-45028378412.556157071102221.97
2020-4-55130736012.636174001102208.64
2020-4-65233313012.716191990103756.27
2020-4-75335934612.792211038104224.01
2020-4-85438706212.866231137105185.43
2020-4-95541781612.943252280108617.37
2020-4-105644579113.008274451106966.62
2020-4-115747121313.063297633101231.29
2020-4-125849619813.11532180494508.66
2020-4-135950908913.1434693775786.52
2020-4-146052941613.1837300465588.11
2020-4-156155157013.22139997257458.66
2020-4-166257808613.26742780552790.54
2020-4-176360430213.31245646647879.11
2020-4-186462390313.34448591439185.68
2020-4-196564316813.37451610531282.32
2020-4-206666668313.4154699426189.26
2020-4-216768690613.4457853420300.03
2020-4-226871041713.47461067816289.6
2020-4-236973930613.51364337614303.52
2020-4-247075456713.5346765768990.17
2020-4-257178449813.5737102287766.53
2020-4-267280424113.5987442794830.67
2020-4-277382080313.6187786782278.84
2020-4-287483858513.639813372781.55
2020-4-297585880013.663848308129.76
2020-4-307685287813.6568834351056.94
2020-5-17787508113.6829187002071.05
2020-5-27889121713.79540544138.65
2020-5-37991091313.7229894446233.03
2020-5-48092502713.73810248239718.1
2020-5-58194428313.758106014112661.71
2020-5-68296705713.782109535115026.71
2020-5-78398787713.803113040717971.42
2020-5-884100935113.825116526420861.5
2020-5-985102005513.835119987926950.17
2020-5-1086103529013.85123421032060.4
2020-5-1187103658913.851126821542304.35
2020-5-1288105959913.873130185745081.27
2020-5-1389106565113.879133509954379.7
2020-5-1490108850113.9136790357069.73
2020-5-1591110778713.918140023861080.75
2020-5-1692111404313.924143206970625.75
2020-5-1793112840013.936146336876675.04
2020-5-1894113848013.945149410584645.57
2020-5-1995115116013.956152425391322.61
2020-5-2096116846813.971155378795554.43
2020-5-2197118848313.988158268498184.26
2020-5-2298115963413.9641610921126424.76
2020-5-2399116922313.9721638478134393.62
2020-5-24100118392513.9841665338139166.12
2020-5-25101118997213.9891691482148693.6
2020-5-261021202415141716896154168.17
2020-5-27103121257314.0081741565160679.03
2020-5-28104122571314.0191765478165024.27
2020-5-29105124259114.0331788624166693.67
2020-5-30106125604714.0431810993170053.41
2020-5-31107124706914.0361832578187070.35
2020-6-1108125017414.0391853371196316.61
2020-6-2109126438914.051873369197962.52
2020-6-3110126794614.0531892566206148.87
2020-6-4111128253014.0641910960206662.78
2020-6-5112130010114.0781928549204789.73
2020-6-6113131300314.0881945332205538.7
2020-6-7114132476914.0971961312206589.84
2020-6-8115132951614.11976488211776.12
2020-6-9116134036514.1081990863212545.22
2020-6-10117135159214.1172004442212634.4
2020-6-11118136686614.1282017228209679.19
2020-6-12119138427014.1412029226204988.82
2020-6-13120139984314.1522040443201117.45
2020-6-14121141414914.1622050885197687.01
2020-6-15122141890014.1652060560199813.71
2020-6-16123143459314.1762069476194772.41
2020-6-17124145071214.1882077641189176.49
2020-6-18125147088714.2012085066180913.2
2020-6-19126149409514.2172091759170766.51
2020-6-20127151548614.2312097731161607.66
2020-6-21128153696814.2452102993152346.83
2020-6-22129154905214.2532107555148003.94
2020-6-23130157604314.272111431135756.56
2020-6-24131160160114.2872114631124466.19
2020-6-25132163351414.3062117168110487.81
2020-6-26133167091014.329211905494774.93
2020-6-27134170461614.349212030281495.53
2020-6-28135173811414.368212092569094.75
2020-6-29136175851514.38212093761930.17
2020-6-30137178809814.397212035052063.06
2020-7-1138182922214.419211917939673.54
2020-7-2139183098314.42211743738752.47
2020-7-3140187520814.444211513727216.22
2020-7-4141181689614.413211229341310.49
2020-7-5142185404214.433210892030803.99
2020-7-6143188125914.447210503123787.9
2020-7-7144192772814.472210064114233.23
2020-7-8145196849314.49320957627728.66
2020-7-9146201507914.51620904092714.6
2020-7-10147206796614.5422084595132.66
2020-7-11148211507214.5652078335649.34
2020-7-12149216288814.58720716424018.86
2020-7-13150219610114.60220645308384.81
2020-7-14151224543114.624205701317258.69
2020-7-15152228500714.642204910227158.62
2020-7-16153234654614.668204081345801.54
2020-7-17154240062514.691203215866809.67
2020-7-18155244793714.711202314989189.66
2020-7-19156250093814.7322013801117837.75
2020-7-20157253287514.7452004125139500
2020-7-21158257436914.7611994135168830.58
2020-7-22159261523714.7771983842200953.07
2020-7-23160266039114.7941973258239274.43
2020-7-24161270462814.811962397280731.34
2020-7-25162275237614.8281951269328899.94
2020-7-26163278840314.8411939885371146.11
2020-7-27164281575114.8511928259408472.74
2020-7-28165285069314.8631916400455490.65
2020-7-29166288597114.8751904320506027.29
2020-7-30167292805814.891892029567303.31
2020-7-31168296989914.9041879539632540.49
2020-8-1169300354814.9151866859692104.54
2020-8-2170304391814.9291853999763703.22
2020-8-3171304399014.9291840970786136.76
2020-8-4172308461914.9421827782864237.46
2020-8-5173308718514.9431814443892763.89
2020-8-6174312485414.9551800964973191.66
2020-8-7175315653814.96517873531048850.78
2020-8-8176319238814.97617736191134913.8
2020-8-9177017597700
2020-8-10178017458160
2020-8-11179017317650
2020-8-12180017176240
2020-8-13181017034010
2020-8-14182016891040
2020-8-15183016747400
2020-8-16184016603170
2020-8-17185016458420
2020-8-18186016313200
2020-8-19187016167600
2020-8-20188016021670
2020-8-21189015875470
2020-8-22190015729070
2020-8-23191015582520
2020-8-24192015435880
2020-8-25193015289210
2020-8-26194015142560
2020-8-27195014995970
2020-8-28196014849500
Goodness of fit x2 = 21446223.3